The Man in the High Castle

The Man in the High Castle is one of those books I have been meaning to read for a long time, but having finally gotten around to it, I ended up being a little disappointed. Don’t get me wrong. Philip K. Dick’s classic story of alternate history in which the Axis power won World War II is a very good book. It has all the ingredients necessary for a thoroughly enjoyable read, interesting characters you can identify with, a suspense-filled plot, and a surprising ending. Although The Man in the High Castle is a relatively early work of Dick, it showcases many of his themes: the nature of reality, personal experience, and identity, as well as the struggle for truth in an authoritarian society. I did enjoy reading the book. I was simply a little disappointed.

My problem with The Man in the High Castle was that the world it presented did not seem very plausible. Mr. Dick had, it appeared to me, some misunderstandings about the nature of the nations which made up the Axis alliance and the most probable outcome of an Axis victory. That may not have been Dick’s fault. He wrote his novel in 1962, and some of the then-prevailing ideas about Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan have since been reconsidered. We know more about the inner workings of the Axis powers than we did in 1962, and many of Dick’s ideas about a world ruled by the victorious Axis seem outdated now.

The Man in the High Castle takes place in an America that has been partitioned into puppet states controlled by Germany and Japan. Japan controls the Pacific States of America on the west coast while Germany dominates a rump United States and the South on the East. Between the two occupying powers is a neutral zone that maintains a precarious independence called the Rocky Mountain States. This setting seems implausible in the extreme. I can imagine scenarios in which the Axis won the war. I cannot imagine any scenario in which they managed to occupy North America.

The Germans found it difficult enough to cross the English Channel to invade Britain. They would have found it absolutely impossible to cross the North Atlantic to invade America. The best the Germans could have hoped for was to avoid war with the United States long enough to compel the British to accept a negotiated peace in which they agreed to stay neutral while the Germans completed their conquest of the Soviet Union. If the Germans had made continental Europe into a fortress, with a neutral Britain forbidden to allow American troops to use Britain as a staging ground for an invasion of France, Germany might have won the war.

As for Japan, the bombing of Pearl Harbor was just about at the limit of Japanese capabilities. One of the reasons the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor was such a surprise was that the American military command simply did not believe the Japanese would engage in so risky an operation so far from their bases. If the war had proceeded in Japan’s favor and they were very lucky, the Japanese might have been able to occupy Hawaii. An invasion of the West Coast was simply impossible for Japan.

As far as I can see, the best possible outcome for Germany would be an empire that dominated Eurasia after conquering Russia with a neutral, “Finlandized” Great Britain. Japan’s best hope would have been a negotiated peace with the United States, allowing them control of the western half of the Pacific Ocean along with its conquests in China and Indochina. In both cases, there would probably be a continuing cold war with the United States and an American-supported guerrilla war in Russia and China. The occupation of the United States is simply not within the realm of possibility.

Phillip K. Dick takes a rather benign view of the Japanese occupiers in The Man in the High Castle. The Japanese are portrayed almost as the ‘good guys’ in the Axis. The Japanese control the puppet Pacific States of America but rule with a light hand, almost benevolently. There is some sign that Blacks and Chinese are persecuted, but Whites seem to live much as they did before the war. They are free to move about and make a living as they see fit. One of the characters states that the Japanese did not build ‘ovens’, referring to the Holocaust. At one point in the story, the Japanese authorities refuse to extradite a Jew to the Germans on the grounds of humanity. The Japanese themselves repeatedly deplore Nazi cruelty.
Dick seems entirely unaware that the Japanese were actually quite a bit more brutal than the Nazis. The Asian Holocaust, which the Japanese perpetrated throughout East and Southeast Asia, may have killed twice as many people as the better-known Nazi Holocaust. The Nazis were more meticulous at mass murder, but the Japanese were more cruel. The Nazis had ovens. The Japanese had Unit 731, the Rape of Nanjing, and the Bataan Death March. Judging from the Japanese treatment of the Chinese and others, the Japanese occupation of America would not have been pleasant for the occupied at all.

Nazi Germany is clearly the dominant political and scientific power in the world of The Man in the High Castle. In 1962, The Nazis have rocket planes that fly from Europe to America in an hour. They have sent manned missions to Mars and Venus and have drained the Mediterranean to create additional farmland. The Germans have even worked to rebuild the infrastructure of their American clients, building modern, efficient roads and industries.

It would seem that Phillip K. Dick subscribed to the myth of Fascist efficiency so prevalent in the years before, during, and after the war. This myth is the idea that while Nazis and Fascists may have been brutal and tyrannical, they were, at least, efficient. Totalitarian governments may deprive their citizen of freedom, the argument goes, but at least they get things done. Mussolini made the trains run on time. Hitler helped the Germans recover from defeat and the Depression.

This idea, usually held by citizens of free nations who do not have to live under tyranny, that countries ruled by authoritarian governments are somehow more efficient has also been applied to the Soviet Union under Stalin and, most recently, the People’s Republic of China. The myth simply isn’t true. Nazi Germany was not a paragon of efficiency by any measure. Nazi Germany was a mess. The civil service of the Nazi Government was corrupt and inefficient with ill-defined and overlapping responsibilities between departments. Hitler preferred it this way since as long as his lieutenants were fighting against each other they weren’t conspiring to overthrow Hitler. That did not make for efficient administration.

The German economy was also a mess. Historians can debate to what extent the National Socialists took Socialism seriously. The Nazis did not nationalize the entire economy as the Soviets did, but they were hardly supporters of free market capitalism either. The Nazis were socialists to the extent that they believed the economy should serve the needs of the state. This meant that decisions that might have been made by the market in a free economy were made by politicians and bureaucrats. This is not the way to have an efficient economy.

As for science, Germany had indeed been the leading nation in scientific research before the Nazi takeover. It turns out that chasing out the Jewish scientists from your country and declaring most of modern physics to be Jewish science to be replaced with good Aryan science does not give a country a good chance of maintaining its lead in science and technology.
In a very real way, Germany entered the Second World War crippled by the inefficiencies of the Nazi administration. It is actually a testament to the hard-working nature of the German people that Nazi Germany succeeded to the extent it did. A victorious Germany would not be a scientific wonderland with everything proceeding with machine-like efficiency. After Hitler, Nazi Germany would probably resemble the Soviet Union, a sclerotic empire, corrupt and stagnant with a restive subject population in the process of losing a cold war with the United States and Japan.

All such quibbles aside, The Man in the High Castle is well worth reading. After all, science fiction is less about the imaginary worlds the author creates than what he is saying about the real world we live in, and Phillip K. Dick has plenty to say about our world in his classic work of alternate history. I only wish he had been a little more realistic about an Axis-dominated world.

Bastille Day

In France, they are celebrating Bastille Day today. Bastille Day commemorates the day of July 14, 1789, when a mob stormed the notorious prison and fortress and freed seven confused convicts. It seemed a good idea at the time. To be honest, I am not sure why Bastille Day should be the National Day of France, comparable to our own Fourth of July. The storming of the Bastille wasn’t really that important, and it certainly does not mark the beginning of the French Revolution. I would think that the logical point to consider the beginning of the Revolution might be June 20, 1789, when the representatives of the Third Estate walked out of the Estates-General and met at a tennis court across the street to create the National Assembly. But it’s their country so the French get to decide when to celebrate.

Anyway here’s to France.

La Marseillaise is my favorite national anthem. Vive le France.

Betelgeuse

If we are lucky, sometime in the next few decades we may be treated to a July Fourth fireworks show to end all fireworks shows. I am referring to the possibility that the supergiant star Betelgeuse is about to go supernova fairly soon, at least as stars measure time. Here’s some more information from an article at Science Alert.

Researchers from Tohoku University in Japan and the University of Geneva in Switzerland have reassessed oscillations in the brightness of the nearby star, finding it’s likely they represent the very end stage of the star’s life after all.

Earlier this year Betelgeuse’s usual glow peaked, blazing over one-and-a-half times as bright as usual. Once again there was speculation over the object’s fate, and whether the changes were a death rattle or simply palpitations that come with old age.

Once a hot, heavyweight beast known as an O-type star, Betelgeuse follows the creed of burn fast, die young, having only come into existence a mere 10 million years ago.

Already a bloated red ball of gas running low on fuel, its years are numbered. Just how numbered depends on a bunch of factors.

One is its actual size, which has been the subject of debate over much of the 20th century. With recent measures putting it at the more compact end of estimates, it’s likely the star has many tens of thousands of years to go before it’ll finally grow cold enough to implode.

There are other reasons to think Betelgeuse is trim enough to still have some way to go.

Like many stars, its outer layers pulse in an equilibrium of contractions and expansions driven by internal dynamics of competing pressure and gravity.

The resulting fluctuations in brightness hum in frequencies that take months, or even years to repeat – in Betelgeuse’s case, its two most notable periods are approximately 2,200 and 420 days long.

The shorter period has typically been regarded as the dominant ‘beat’ of this enormous heart, representing an oscillation in the star’s entire girth in what’s known as its radial fundamental mode. Critically, calculations based on this relatively rapid expansion and contraction is what we might expect of a slightly smaller and therefore younger O-type star.

But what if there were more to the 2,200-day-long cycle than appears? The researchers behind this latest investigation aren’t so quick to dismiss the much slower pulse as a so-called long secondary period, arguing the thermodynamics behind oscillations in luminous supergiants like Betelgeuse are a little more complicated than in most other stars.

If the star were squeezing atomic nuclei into slightly larger elements, such as carbon, it just might manage a much longer radial pulsing period. Where the shorter duration radial modes would put Betelgeuse’s radius at around 800 to 900 times that of our Sun, the team showed how the longer pulse would be consistent with a radius of around 1,300 times.

That means the outer layers of Betelgeuse are drifting much further away as its mass concentrates in its core, churning through fuel at a rate fast enough for its engines to seize not in millennia, but in decades.

It would be really cool if Betelgeuse were to go supernova soon. Well, maybe not so pleasant for any aliens who might live on planets within a hundred or so lightyears from Betelgeuse. For astronomers here on Earth, this is an opportunity they have been waiting to study for centuries. The last supernova visible to the naked eye was way back in 1604, before the invention of the telescope. Since then astronomers have had to be content to observe supernovae in distant galaxies. If there has been a supernova in the Milkyway, it would have been on the far side of our galaxy, blocked by the galactic core.

The closest supernova in recent times occurred in 1987 in the Large Magellanic Cloud about 168,000 light years away. This may seem a long way away, but it was close enough to be a scientific bonanza for the astronomical community. Imagine how much more we can learn from a supernova only 650 light years away. Maybe next July Fourth we will be treated to a display we will never forget.

The Declaration of Independence

For this Fourth of July, I thought I might present the text that started it all, the Declaration of Independence, along with a few thoughts.

In Congress, July 4, 1776

The unanimous Declaration of the thirteen united States of America, When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, –That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed.

This is my favorite part of the Declaration. I have actually memorized it. It is hard for us to understand just how radical the idea that the governed should replace a government that doesn’t serve them was at the time. At the time, most people believed that kings were appointed by God and were answerable only to God. England had already begun to establish the idea that kings and governments depended on the consent of the governed in the English Civil Wars. Still, the Declaration lays out the concept more clearly than it has ever been established before or since.

But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.

I suppose the Democrats and the media would call this sedition and insurrection. Well, let them make the most of it.

–Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

King George was a libertarian compared to our present federal government. Talk about repeated injuries and usurpations all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute tyranny over these states, we’re living it right now.

He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.

He has forbidden his Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to attend to them.

Our whole government, both parties in Congress is refusing to pass laws for the public good.

He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.

He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.

He has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.

He has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the Legislative powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.

He has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands.

Our government is refusing to enforce immigration laws and actively discouraging new immigrants legal and illegal from assimilating to our laws and culture.

He has obstructed the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary powers.

He has made Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.

He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harrass our people, and eat out their substance.

Oh boy. The IRS, EPA, FBI, and the whole slew of alphabet agencies, all for the express purpose of harassing our people.

He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.

He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power.

He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:

Do the attempts to limit our rights by signing treaties such as the Small Arms Treaty and the Paris Accords count?

For Quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:

For protecting them, by a mock Trial, from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States:

For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world:

For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent:

For depriving us in many cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:

The J6 defendants might have something to say about this

For transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences

For abolishing the free System of English Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule into these Colonies:

This is a reference to the Quebec Act of 1774 which permitted the French residents of Quebec to live under their own laws and customs, including retaining the privileges of the Catholic Church in Quebec. This was an enlightened measure of the British Parliament, but the colonists didn’t see it that way.

For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:

For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.

He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.

He has plundered our seas, ravaged our Coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.

He is at this time transporting large Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the Head of a civilized nation.

We haven’t gotten that far yet, thank God, but we do have a president who seems to delight in threatening his own citizens with F-16s.

He has constrained our fellow Citizens taken Captive on the high Seas to bear Arms against their Country, to become the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to fall themselves by their Hands.

He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

The description of the Indians as merciless savages seems more than a little extreme, if not racist. We should remember that while we tend to view the American Indians as the hapless victims of White aggression, the attitude of the colonists was quite different. To them, the American Indians were a real threat on the frontier and the fact that the British were willing to encourage them to go to war with the rebels was a terrifying threat.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our Brittish brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.

We have tried to petition the government with the Tea Party movement, only to be dismissed as racists and Nazis. We elected Donald Trump as our standard bearer only to see the entire government, with both parties, arrayed to destroy him.

We, therefore, the Representatives of the united States of America, in General Congress, Assembled, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these Colonies, solemnly publish and declare, That these United Colonies are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent States; that they are Absolved from all Allegiance to the British Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of Great Britain, is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as Free and Independent States, they have full Power to levy War, conclude Peace, contract Alliances, establish Commerce, and to do all other Acts and Things which Independent States may of right do. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor

As I have noted throughout, our present situation is not unlike that of the patriots who signed the Declaration of Independence. Like them, we have a government that will not listen to our just complaints and which seems determined to grind us down into a system of absolute tyranny. I do not think it is time to take up arms yet. God willing, that time will never come. We still have options short of revolution, but time is running out. We may yet have to pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes, and our sacred honor.

 

Independence Day

The Fourth of July is the day on which the American people celebrate their independence from Great Britain. It is not actually clear why Independence Day is the Fourth. Congress actually passed the Declaration of Independence on July 2, 1776. It has often been thought that the Declaration was signed on the fourth, but that doesn’t seem to be true. There wasn’t any one time when the members of Congress signed the Declaration and there were a few who didn’t get around to signing it until August. Nevertheless, the fourth is the date that stuck. As John Adams wrote to Abigail.

English:

The second day of July, 1776, will be the most memorable epoch in the history of America. I am apt to believe that it will be celebrated by succeeding generations as the great anniversary festival. It ought to be commemorated as the day of deliverance, by solemn acts of devotion to God Almighty. It ought to be solemnized with pomp and parade, with shows, games, sports, guns, bells, bonfires, and illuminations, from one end of this continent to the other, from this time forward forever more.

And so it has been for the last 247 years. May God bless America and grant us many more years of freedom.

Happy Independence Day.

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