Volatile Financial Markets in 2025
Donald J. Trump became the 47th U.S. President taking over from Joe Biden (46th U.S. President) on 20 January 2025. Donald J. Trump was the 45th U.S. president from 2017 to January 2021 before Joe Biden took over.
On 2 April 2025 after US announced reciprocal import tariffs on countries, the financial markets have been volatile. Equities and bonds slumped immediately at beginning of April. But then they picked up in July erasing losses in equities seen in April. The stock markets powered ahead towards the end of 2025. Such is a crazy market.
Investors cannot be certain how financial markets would move. It all depends on policy news coming out of the United States. There were several dips throughout the year after April. But then they rose again even higher after each dip.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Trades
The biggest buzzword in 2025 is Artificial Intelligence (AI). AI stock market trades were dominating news headlines. Stock prices of these tech companies were elevated to the extent that some fear an AI bubble.
Fed cut benchmark interest rates
The US Federal Reserve FOMC first cut interest rate in September 2025 and then again in October 2025 on account of weak employment data. In December, it cut another 25 basis points so that it was 75 basis points for whole of 2025. The federal funds rate is now at a target range of 3.50%–3.75%.
In Singapore, bank interest rates were down too. Singapore Treasury bills and Singapore Savings Bonds were also down. Some of my Singapore Treasury Bills and fixed deposits had matured. I could not deploy funds to new investments during the year because of uncertainties in financial markets.
Closing Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) Account
Back in 2001, I opened a SRS account with DBS Bank when this scheme was first launched. After 24 years, I closed this SRS account. Before I did that, I sold off all my investments under this account. This is the end of my SRS and I have benefited under the scheme via tax relief over the years.
Keeping our financial matters in order
We were looking at our financial portfolio. We wanted to make our investments simple and clear-cut. We sold off those investments that were bought using personal CDP account when in fact they belonged to the family. We did that in the past to take advantage of good investment yields. Now is the time to drop these investments.
Investment Incomes in 2025 were comparable to 2024
Last year (2024) had been a year of high interest rates for Singapore Treasury Bills, fixed deposits and Singapore Savings Bonds. These rates were reduced substantially this year. Despite this, our Investment incomes for 2025 declined marginally by 0.36% when compared with last year.
Portfolio Performance
Return on Assets (ROA) for 2025 was 3.96% pa (2024: 3.68%) pa.
Total Shareholder Returns (TSR) for 2025 was +0.30% against -1.54% for 2024.
2025 performance was better than 2024.
| Year |
ROA2 |
Marked to Market3 (%) |
TSR1 |
| 2024 |
3.68% |
-5.22% |
-1.54% |
| 2025 |
3.96% |
-3.66% |
+0.30% |
Note: ROA shows total investment income received divided by ALL financial assets including un-invested cash.
SPDR STI ETF jumped 22.6% since the start of 2025
SPDR STI ETF on 31 December 2024 was $3.850.
31 December 2025 was $4.721. This is an increase of 22.6% for this year.
The Straits Times Index (STI) rose 22.7% between the same period.
STI on 31 December 2024 was 3,787.60 points. Now it is 4,646.21 points.
This was a spectacular performance.
Updating our Wills to reflect changed circumstances
Our Last Wills & Testaments were written in October 2003 when our child was still young. 22 years have passed. My child has grown up and some clauses in the Last Will are not relevant now. We engaged a lawyer to draft and refresh our Last Wills.
Our financial positions have changed and our child is independent. My child being an adult does not need trustees to be executor/executrix in respect of the Will. (This was relevant in the past when she was below 21 years old.)
Living Investment Volume 4 was published
I planned initially to publish only three volumes of Living Investment back in 2019. The years from July 2019 to October 2025 were impactful with Covid-19 pandemic affecting a big part of intervening years. In addition, there were two changes in presidential leadership in United States of America. Trade and investment climate changed as a result. The world witnessed two major wars, one between Russia and Ukraine and another between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Because of these developments, Living Investment Volume 4 was published to capture moments in history.
Overseas travels – Taiwan
The last time we visited Taiwan was in 2023. This time, it was 13 days from 22 October to 3 November. We booked our SIA air tickets early to take advantage of SG60 promotions by SIA.
We focused on Northern and North-Eastern part of Taiwan, with accommodations in Yilan (5 nights) and Taipei (7 nights). Yilan and Taipei were our hubs, and we travelled out on daytrips to Miaoli, Yangmingshan, Luodong, Toucheng, Jiaoxi, Shifen, Jiufen, Jingguahshih.
Meditation Retreats
I attended three meditation retreats this year at Vipassana Meditation Centre (Singapore).
Reflections
The world is not peaceful. There were several wars between different countries. Most fight over territories or differing ideologies. There were citizen uprisings within nations with toppling of some sitting governments. Higher cost of living was one catalyst in these uprisings besides corruptions of politicians in power.
Several South-East Asian nations were impacted by several typhoons and severe tropical storms because of global warming according to scientists. Floods and landslides occurred through these episodes. Lives, homes and livelihoods were destroyed. This climate change requires the whole world to come together to address. This earth with its environment is shared by all nations without any physical boundary. It is imperative for us to act as one when tackling climate change.
The world economy was resilient when we thought that it might take a hit this year. Singapore economy is expected to grow around 4.0% despite tariffs imposed by the United States on many countries. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is driving up stock markets of U.S. Price of gold broke US$4,500 per ounce because of its safe-haven asset status. It is a relief that we have no recession in 2025.
At 68 years old, the reality of getting old hits home. This year I started a blog theme titled “Life after 65”. I begin to look at issues arising from reaching this phase of my life. Revising my Will & Testament and keeping my financial matters in order were some things I addressed this year. Staying healthy is increasingly important. I went for vaccinations of Shingrix and influenza this year. Pneumococcal vaccination was done earlier in 2022 and 2023.
Happy New Year! May the new year sees humanity fills with kindness and compassion.
Lim Kim Tong
31 December 2025
Footnotes
1 Total Shareholder Return (TSR) in S$ term comprises dividend return (actual income received) and price return (resulting from changes in valuations of investments as at year-end using marked to market valuation).
2 Return on Assets (ROA) ratio shows how the total portfolio (invested capital + cash) was providing income on investments. Income from investments comes from dividend/interest and gains/loss on sale of investments.
3 Marked to Market (%) shows the changes in valuation of financial assets from cost to market valuation at year-end.
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