Americans tend to forget that “democracy” isn’t about everybody getting what they want. Rather, it’s about the most people choosing to get the most they can of what they want. The “will of the people” is merely a euphemism for dictatorship by numerical power… leaving everyone else to consider other forms of power.
So while voting is certainly a useful tool in constructing a proper government, democracy is also, as James Thurber put it, “…a dangerous thing.” In a system where no one is required to think in terms of right and wrong, there’s a real danger to finding one’s self among a minority. And yet, everyone finds themselves in the minority at some point. This is ostensibly why the US system of democracy is tempered through a constitutional republic. Our electoral dice are heavily loaded.
Remember any of those polls predicting a “President Trump” win on election night? Ha! Neither do I. But I do remember one place that put the two major candidates on equal footing right up the bitter end. As I recall, the Vegas books were placing even odds (at something like -120) on both candidates. Perhaps a bad margin for betters (effectively 20% for the house), but at least the books didn’t make the mistake of paying a premium to any of those bettors with more sense that the people who do the polls.
I live in a state where it’s entirely legal to gamble on such matters. “Books” presently have payouts reflecting odds on everything from who will win the upcoming Democratic state caucus (Sanders at -350, meaning that it would take a $350 bet to win just $100), to whether the Ayatollah will still be alive when Trump leaves office ($100 will win you $250 if he still is). And since there’s real money invested in the payouts, there’s a great deal of emphasis upon determining them from an informed and objective perspective.
Granted, I was exposed to too much statistics in college to gamble my own hard-earned capital, even with the $50,000 payout for $100 placed on Howard Shultz as our next president. There’s a reason those Vegas casinos can afford to build such magnificent edifices to the almighty gods of odds and margins. They call high-rollers, “whales”. And as people who can afford to lose big, casinos know they’re worth attracting with the oversized VIP-treatment they receive. But people with systems… they’re simply known as “suckers”.
Speaking of which, I get the feeling that a lot of Americans are going through something like a reflexive gag-response this election silly-season, trying to cough up the accumulated hairball of suddenly realizing how much they’ve been suckered by “democratic” governance. So I don’t think anyone should be surprised that the books are currently placing Sanders as the most likely Democratic Party contender to a throne built upon the ballots of the disenfranchised.
But the odds can always change. Regardless of the will of the people, twelve of my own state’s forty-eight Democratic delegates aren’t even pledged. And there’s still some time left in which to blow on the dice. Wait long enough and who knows, Howard Shultz, might come from nowhere with a plan for free coffee! I know a lot of people who’d probably vote for that.
If you’re a gambling type, however, you still might want to check the odds regarding the general election before plopping down a bet… just be prepared for a good cough.

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