The Grand Theory of Everything

Abstract

Economics often starts by stipulating what agents are trying to maximize, then explaining their choices as means to that end. This paper argues that the move quietly overcommits: when ends are uncertain or shifting, labeling behavior “irrational” or “inconsistent” mostly reflects the analyst’s mis specified objective rather than a genuine failure of reason. I propose a “primitive shift” from utility (as an often-contentless placeholder) to desire: we do not assume we know what people want—only that they want something, and act under constraints and limited knowledge to pursue it. This minimal primitive supports a correspondence-style project: familiar pillars of economics reappear as limiting cases once welfare is recast as the value of the reachable set and “cost” as a broad barrier bundle (money, time, risk, stigma, institutional friction). On this basis the paper re-derives canonical phenomena—Invisible Hand coordination, comparative advantage, subjective value, Keynesian animal spirits, Marxian “political prices,” praxeological action, Samuelsonian utility as a local compression, and Sen-style capability reasoning—without positing a universal end. Finally, the framework implies an empirical shift: when behavior is regime-conditional, econometrics should focus on decision-landscape reconstruction rather than global parametric surfaces, illustrated by benchmark gains of a regime-sensitive random forest over logit baselines on the UCI Bank Marketing task.

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2026-03-01

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