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Brad Templeton's Tesla’s ‘Full Self-Driving’ Is 99.9% There, Just 1,000 Times Further To Go sums it up:
"There are also several necessary disengagements — where the human driver has to grab the wheel and take control to avoid a very likely accident — in these videos. While no statistics are available about how frequently those are needed, it appears to be reasonably frequent. This is the norm with systems that require constant manual supervision, and is why they need that supervision. All the full robocar projects have also required one (or really two) “safety drivers” behind the wheel who also have needed to do such interventions, frequently at first, and less and less frequently as time goes on. Only recently have Waymo and now Nuro deployed vehicles with no supervising driver on-board. (Cruise recently got the permit to do this but has not yet done it, though they claim they might by the end of this year. Ama/Zoox also has such a permit.)
Based on the videos and claims by Tesla of it commonly taking Elon Musk on his commute with few interventions and sometimes none, I threw out the number 99.9% in the headline. This is not a precisely calculated number, but a proxy for “seems to work most of the time.” In reality, we would want to calculate how often it is needing interventions."
Oct 24, 2020, 1:54:54 PM
Posted to First We Change How People Behave