#CeutaUpdate : EFCSN members discovering Russian networks actively amplifying related narratives.
1️⃣ Recurring: a new mass wave entered or tried to enter Ceuta on 15 August. Old footage was recirculated as supposed evidence that hundreds of migrants had gathered at the border, entered Ceuta, or were preparing for another "wave". Our members found the videos documented earlier events, predominantly the mass crossings of late July and early August.
➞ The recycling tried to create a misleading impression of the scale and success of the attempt.
2️⃣ New: Russian networks amplifying the narratives. An investigation by our members analysed 23,234 Telegram posts published between 28 July and 11 August, categorising them into 10 narratives related to Ceuta. Russian-linked networks, particularly Rybar and Pravda, joined the information environment after the mass crossings and amplified existing narratives. They did not cause or organise the migration. They exploited the events after they occurred, spreading those narratives to European and Russian audiences in ways designed to generate fear and political division.
3️⃣ Recurring: Posts claimed Spanish military and police forces were letting migrants pass, with some alleging the European Union had mediated an agreement to enable the crossings. This is a recurring narrative alleged that the arrival of migrants was not the result of authorities losing control, but of a deliberate political decision to facilitate their entry.
4️⃣ Recurring: migrants are bringing violence, crime and disorder. An old video of an attempted robbery in Barcelona was presented as showing a Moroccan migrant connected to the recent influx, and images of burned vehicles recorded on the Moroccan side of the border were falsely tied to events in the enclave.
5️⃣ The Ceuta crisis also became the subject of geopolitical narratives attributing the migration situation and territorial tensions to covert foreign interference. One claim alleged Chinese intelligence had determined that Israel's Mossad was behind the Moroccan migration crisis, with no basis for such an assessment. Another claimed the Trump administration gave Morocco $40 million to help it "retake" Ceuta and Melilla.
6️⃣ Recurring: Moroccan security forces violently suppressed the 15 August attempt. A video circulated as supposedly showing Moroccan police opening fire at the Ceuta fence that day. It was recorded in Melilla, in late July.
This is the last regular update for the time being. According to our #PrebunkingatScale monitoring tool, the spread of narratives has slowed, at least on short-form video platforms. But the situation in Ceuta is not resolved and real challenges persist.
Countering #disinformation reduces the risk of people being misled and situations spiralling out of control, but it cannot solve the underlying issues people are facing. We keep monitoring, and we will post again as needed.
Check our members' work in the comments for reference: