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Production in construction

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Compiling agency: National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT)

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The monthly index of Production in Construction (IPC) is one of the economic indicators required by Regulation (EU) 2019/2152, to monitor and evaluate developments in the construction sector. The related Implementing Regulation (EU) 2020/1197 calls for the provision of the IPC for the entire construction sector (section F of NACE Rev.2) starting from the reference period January 2005. Moreover, from January 2021 onwards, it requires the provision of IPC broken down by NACE Rev.2 Divisions: Construction of buildings (F41), Civil Engineering (F42) and Specialized Construction Activities (F43).

The monthly Index of Production in Construction (IPC) measures all construction activities, including the production of new manufactured products and the maintenance of existing products (section F of the NACE Rev. 2 economic activity classification). The index is constructed on a fixed basis and uses 2021 as the reference year.

The compilation index is also provided for by the current Italian National Statistical Programme.

Starting from the press release of 27 March 2024, the estimation method of the IPC has been completely revised (see next paragraph) according to the EBS methodological manual for compiling the monthly index of production in construction – 2021 edition.

13 June 2025

List and definition of variables:

  • the monthly Index of Production in Construction – Section F of NACE Rev.2
  • the monthly Index of Production in Construction - Divisions F41 of NACE Rev.2
  • the monthly Index of Production in Construction  - Divisions F42 of NACE Rev.2
  • the monthly Index of Production in Construction - Divisions F43 of NACE Rev.2

The monthly Index of Production in Construction (IPC) measures all construction activities, including the production of new manufactured products and the maintenance of existing products (section F of the NACE Rev. 2 economic activity classification). The index is constructed on a fixed basis and uses 2021 as the reference year. It is compiled from input data (hours worked provided by the Building Workers Welfare Funds (BWWF), monthly productivity coefficient calculated using the annual National Accounting data and electronic invoicing data provided by Revenue Agency) applying an indirect method.

The variables directly surveyed for IPC are those related to labour input: hours worked, number of manual workers and number of enterprises. They are administrative data but collected by Istat through a monthly survey. Input data are combined to estimate the output of the construction sector.

Reporting unit (s):

Hours worked: Register Building Workers Welfare Funds (BWWF). After collecting information on hours worked and number of manual workers of enterprises that subscribed the specific contract for the construction sector, these organizations (BWWF) transmit data to Istat.

Observation unit(s):

Construction enterprises

Theoretical statistical population is represented by the total of the enterprises of the construction sector.

The area covered by the IPC is the whole national territory.

Month.

All measures to reduce errors have been implemented, ensuring the overall accuracy of the index is good. Additionally, there is an average lag of 9.5 months between the provisional and final releases, during which the indicators typically exhibit a consistent trend.

Index.

For each reference month, the estimation method uses information on hours worked from the BWWF, which are bodies responsible for managing various contractual terms at a territorial level. They collect data on the hours actually worked by workers and apprentices in the construction sector.

Through a census survey based on the 106 BWWF in Italy, Istat gathers information monthly on hours worked, on the number of workers and the number of businesses to which hours are referred. Collected data are checked for consistency accuracy. Additionally, comparisons with other Istat surveys have shown that data from the BWWF sufficiently approximate the trend of the labour input of the sector.

The provisional data on hours worked sent by the BWWF are then revalued applying coefficients, calculated on the basis on the deviation observed in the series between provisional and final data. These coefficients are calculated with regard to the geographical division of each BWWF. In general, the variance related to distribution j, for the month m of the year t, calculated for the transmission interval i, is defined by:

 2025-09-19_162020

where:

 2025-09-19_162053

 

The transmission interval i=1,2,3,… refers to the number of months following the reference period for which the data are transmitted; for example, i=1 means that the transmission of data occurs approximately 1 month after the end of the reference month, i=2 means that the transmission of data occurs approximately 2 month after the end of the reference month, and so on.

The revaluation coefficient of the hours of the geographical division j, for the month m of the year t, is calculated as the average of the deviations of the same month in the previous 3 (k) years:

 2025-09-19_162124

where:

2025-09-19_162146

This procedure produces five different revaluation coefficients and five total hours, one for each geographical division.

Subsequently, the total number of hours of each geographical division is multiplied by its expansion coefficient, generating five partial totals of hours, which are then added together to provide the value of the revalued total hours. In general, indicating ∆_(j,m,t)^i  as the revaluation coefficient for the month m of the year t, calculated for the geographical division j for the transmission interval i of the data and h_(j,m,t)^ , as the hours worked in the same period and related to the same geographical division j (with j=5), the estimate of the total hours revalued for the generic month m of the year t is given by
2025-09-19_162224

The total thus obtained (3) is then adjusted with a monthly productivity coefficient, calculated using the annual National Accounting data (value added and hours worked in the construction sector). Denoting π_(m,t) as the productivity coefficient for the month m in the year t, a proxy of the total value added of production in the construction sector will be expressed by the following relationship:
2025-09-19_162244

That means that an estimate of the overall value added in volume for the month m of the year t is derived from the product of the sum of the partial totals of the revalued hours worked of the geographical divisions and the monthly productivity coefficient (4). The overall volume of production thus obtained, represents a proxy for the value added of production in construction (section F). Then, the equation (4) is estimated for the same month of the previous year as well, but in this case, the value of the total hours of the month m of the previous year, H_(m,t-1)^ , will not be a revalued data, as by year t-1, the hours have completed the data revision cycle. The corresponding equation for the same month of the previous year will be:
2025-09-19_162304

where:

2025-09-19_162321


Finally, the official index for section F is calculated using the chain-linking method, applying the trend change calculated on the value added to the respective index of the same month of the previous year.
2025-09-19_162337

where:

2025-09-19_162351




Starting from provisional data of January 2024, the estimation method of the IPC has been completely revised according to the EBS methodological manual for compiling the monthly index of production in construction – 2021 edition. The new methodology for calculating the IPC applies an indirect method and it uses as calculation input:

  • hours worked provided by the Building Workers Welfare Funds (BWWF) in the reference month;
  • monthly productivity coefficient, calculated using the annual National Accounting data (value added and hours worked in the construction sector);
  • distribution quotas calculated using the annual National Accounting data and the administrative electronic invoicing data provided by Revenue Agency. These quotas are used to divide the production of Nace Rev.2 Section F and obtain the production of the F41, F42 and F43 Divisions of Nace Rev.2

Although hours worked represent administrative information, data on labour input used for the IPC compilation are obtained through a statistical survey. Since 2016, the survey conducted on Building Workers Welfare Funds (BWWF) has become a census and since 2024 the BWWF have increased from 98 to 106. The trend and the rate of change of hours worked are always aligned, confirming the reliability of this index in describing the evolution of the sector output.

Through the census survey based on the 106 BWWF in Italy, Istat gathers information monthly on hours worked, on the number of workers and the number of businesses to which hours are referred. Collected data are checked for consistency accuracy.

Monthly.

ISTAT provides a provisional estimate of the monthly value of the IPC, typically 45 days past the end of the reference month and transmits it confidentially to Eurostat, which uses these indices in the calculation of the European aggregates. Subsequently, these estimates undergo revision 75 days after the reference period.
Provisional estimates are then released at national level approximately 50 days past the end of the reference month.
Initially, the data is provisional at the time of first release, with subsequent revisions leading to finalization coinciding with the annual review which typically occurs in March of the year following the reference period when information on hours worked is completed.

Data dissemination at the national level adheres to European definitions outlined in CR 1503/2006, ensuring consistency across the entire national territory in terms of definitions and methodologies.
The data used to compile the index essentially covers the entire national territory, as the 106 welfare funds involved in the BWWF survey are distributed across all Italian geographical regions, even if for some of them the response rate is slightly lower than the national average. Furthermore, the quality (completeness) of the data transmitted appears to be less satisfactory for some regions, whose BWWFs collect data on businesses with a delay.

With the publication of the provisional index for January 2024, the new series of non-adjusted data, corrected for calendar effects and seasonally adjusted are released based on the 2021 reference base.

The F series starts from the year 1995:

- for the years prior to 2021, the non-adjusted series were reconstructed through a shift operation of the data previously published based on 2015, in order to keep the trend variations of the original series unchanged;

- starting from the year 2021, the indices have been recalculated with the new estimation method based only on labor input.

The F41, F42 and F43 series start from the year 2021.