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Overview

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.0% in June 2025, up from 1.9% in May according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in June (3.3%, compared with 3.2% in May), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (3.1%, compared with 3.2% in May), non-energy industrial goods (0.5%, compared with 0.6% in May) and energy (-2.7%, compared with -3.6% in May).

Euro area annual inflation - June 2025, %

Tables

Euro area annual inflation and its components (%)

Weights (‰)

Annual rate

Monthly rate

2025

Jun 24

Jan 25

Feb 25

Mar 25

Apr 25

May 25

Jun 25

Jun 25

All-items HICP

1000.0

2.5

2.5

2.3

2.2

2.2

1.9

2.0e

0.3e

All-items excluding:

energy

906.0

2.8

2.6

2.6

2.5

2.8

2.5

2.5e

0.3e

energy, unprocessed food

863.4

2.8

2.7

2.6

2.5

2.7

2.4

2.4e

0.3e

energy, food, alcohol & tobacco

712.8

2.9

2.7

2.6

2.4

2.7

2.3

2.3e

0.4e

Food, alcohol & tobacco

193.3

2.4

2.3

2.7

2.9

3.0

3.2

3.1e

0.1e

processed food, alcohol & tobacco

150.6

2.7

2.6

2.6

2.6

2.4

2.9

2.7e

0.2e

unprocessed food

42.7

1.3

1.4

3.0

4.2

4.9

4.3

4.6e

-0.1e

Energy

94.0

0.2

1.9

0.2

-1.0

-3.6

-3.6

-2.7e

0.1e

Non-energy industrial goods

256.3

0.7

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.5e

-0.2e

Services

456.5

4.1

3.9

3.7

3.5

4.0

3.2

3.3e

0.7e

Inflation rates (%) measured by the HICP

Annual rate

Monthly rate

Jun 24

Jan 25

Feb 25

Mar 25

Apr 25

May 25

Jun 25

Jun 25

Belgium

5.4

4.4

4.4

3.6

3.1

2.8

2.8e

0.5e

Germany

2.5

2.8

2.6

2.3

2.2

2.1

2.0e

0.1e

Estonia

2.8

3.8

5.1

4.3

4.4

4.6

5.2e

1.1e

Ireland

1.5

1.7

1.4

1.8

2.0

1.4

1.6e

0.5e

Greece

2.5

3.1

3.0

3.1

2.6

3.3

3.6e

1.3e

Spain

3.6

2.9

2.9

2.2

2.2

2.0

2.2e

0.6e

France

2.5

1.8

0.9

0.9

0.9

0.6

0.8e

0.4e

Croatia

3.5

5.0

4.8

4.3

4.0

4.3

4.4e

0.8e

Italy

0.9

1.7

1.7

2.1

2.0

1.7

1.7e

0.2e

Cyprus

3.0

2.9

2.3

2.1

1.4

0.4

0.5e

0.4e

Latvia

1.5

3.1

3.7

3.5

4.0

3.7

4.0e

0.3e

Lithuania

1.0

3.4

3.2

3.7

3.6

3.0

3.1e

0.2e

Luxembourg

2.8

2.4

1.9

1.5

1.7

2.1

2.4e

0.3e

Malta

2.2

1.8

2.0

2.1

2.6

2.7

2.5e

1.1e

Netherlands

3.4

3.0

3.5

3.4

4.1

2.9

2.8e

0.0e

Austria

3.1

3.4

3.4

3.1

3.3

3.0

3.2e

0.2e

Portugal

3.1

2.7

2.5

1.9

2.1

1.7

2.1e

0.1e

Slovenia

1.6

2.3

1.9

2.2

2.3

1.9

2.5e

0.6e

Slovakia

2.4

4.2

4.1

4.2

3.9

4.3

4.6e

0.3e

Finland

0.5

1.7

1.5

1.8

1.9

2.0

1.9e

-0.2e

Notes for users

Revisions and timetable

The euro area inflation flash estimate is issued at the end of each reference month.

The complete set of harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP) for the euro area, EU and Member States is released around the middle of the month following the reference month.

The next release with full data for June 2025 is scheduled for 17 July 2025.

Methods and definitions

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

Geographical information

The euro area consists of Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The euro area data refer to the country composition at a specific point in time. Changes in the composition of the euro area are incorporated using a chain index formula.

For more information

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