Papers by Franck Sédillot
OECD Economic Studies, 2005
Revue économique de l'OCDE, 2005
OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 2004
JT00164370 Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document avail... more JT00164370 Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLIS in its original format ECO/WKP(2004)13 Unclassified English -Or. English ECO/WKP(2004)13 2
OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 2006
JT03211855 Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document avail... more JT03211855 Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLIS in its original format ECO/WKP(2006)10 Unclassified English text only ECO/WKP(2006)10 2 ABSTRACT/RÉSUMÉ NEW OECD METHODS FOR SUPPLY-SIDE AND MEDIUM-TERM ASSESSMENTS: A CAPITAL SERVICES APPROACH
JT00164370 Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document avail... more JT00164370 Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLIS in its original format ECO/WKP(2004)13 Unclassified English -Or. English ECO/WKP(2004)13 2
Oecd Economic Studies, 2004
The first official data releases of quarterly real GDP for the euro area are published about eigh... more The first official data releases of quarterly real GDP for the euro area are published about eight weeks after the end of the reference quarters. Meanwhile, ongoing economic developments must be assessed from various, more readily available, monthly indicators. We examine in the context of univariate forecasting equations to what extent monthly indicators provide useful information for predicting euro area
OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 2008
The supply-side framework and related measures of output and unemployment gaps play a leading rol... more The supply-side framework and related measures of output and unemployment gaps play a leading role in the OECD analysis of short-term conjunctural conditions and long-term determinants of growth. To allow such diagnoses for Poland, this paper develops a comprehensive supply block in accordance with the OECD approach. The structural unemployment rate is derived from a Phillips-curve equation and, along with working age population, is combined with filter-based estimates of trend labour productivity, participation rates and hours worked per employee to generate measures of potential output. The performance of the model in capturing price pressures underlying the growth trajectory of the Polish economy is assessed, and measures of cyclically-adjusted general government net lending are provided. Based on the OECD autumn 2007 projections for 2008 and 2009, out-of-sample simulations derived from the Phillips-curve model suggest that CPI inflation is likely to continue to trend upward, exceeding the central bank"s inflation target by a wide margin.
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Papers by Franck Sédillot