ACLED

A year after the Novi Sad station collapse that killed 16 people, anti-corruption protests in #Serbia continue to gain momentum. ACLED data shows that violent “interventions” by authorities have doubled since June. A new The Observer UK report details how tens of thousands traveled to Novi Sad for a mass commemoration with students emerging as key actors. 🗣️ “I’m genuinely surprised by the length and intensity of the movement,” said Magda Anastasijevic, ACLED’s Eastern Europe Research Manager. Protesters are calling for accountability and proposing independent experts to lead a technocratic government tackling corruption. 🔗 Read the full article: https://lnkd.in/dJQpNYYi

Insurgent activity continued in Muidumbe district, where militants attacked security forces, targeted civilians, and disrupted traffic on the N380 highway. On 21 October, Islamic State Mozambique (ISM) ambushed a police convoy near Xitaxi village, killing the driver of the lead vehicle with a rocket-propelled grenade and halting traffic for several hours. The attack sparked panic in nearby villages, with some residents fleeing. Days later, five fishermen were captured and beheaded near Nguri Lagoon, prompting reported Defense and Security Forces bombardments targeting insurgent positions as ISM sustains its presence in the area. Explore the latest #Mozambique Conflict Monitor: https://lnkd.in/d-kkN27J

Once seen as a minor player in Myanmar’s decades-long civil war, the Arakan Army (AA) has become one of the most formidable resistance forces in post-coup #Myanmar — and the most active ethnic armed organization in ACLED’s database. This transformation has been driven by the expansion of its military capacity, a clear political vision that resonates with local populations, and its pragmatic positioning within the wider movement resisting central military rule. ACLED data show the AA’s presence expanded significantly from 2015 onward, as it pushed from southern Chin and northeastern #Rakhine into central parts of the state. Since the 2021 coup, it has rapidly extended control across western Myanmar — including much of Rakhine and Paletwa township — emerging as the dominant armed actor in a region long contested by the military. Explore the Arakan Army’s territorial expansion in ACLED’s latest report: https://lnkd.in/dCxQ86rJ

Donald Trump says Islamist militants in #Nigeria are killing Christians — and has called for US military action. But conflict data shows the violence is far more complex. Since Islamist insurgency escalated nearly 16 years ago, about 52,000 civilians have been killed across all faiths and causes — challenging claims of “100,000 Christian deaths.” 🎥 Watch the latest ACLED Briefed for the newest developments.

The war on drugs in the #Philippines has continued under President Marcos Jr., despite promises of a “bloodless” approach. ACLED records at least 492 drug war-related civilian deaths up to 10 October 2025 — with levels of violence comparable to Duterte’s final months in office. New patterns are emerging: Central Visayas has become the center of gravity of violence, with police as the main perpetrators alongside anti-drug vigilantes, and a rising share of violent activity by armed drug suspects. The Duterte-era Oplan Double Barrel — the operational plan that put Duterte’s war on drugs into action — remains in force under Marcos, even as a political divorce between the Marcoses and the Dutertes has taken shape. Explore the full Philippines war on drugs report: https://lnkd.in/dqhYp6tc 

The Islamic State’s pivot to Africa is driving new security pressures from Somalia and the Sahel to the Lake Chad Basin, the Great Lakes region, and northern Mozambique. Governments are turning to a range of strategic military partnerships to push back — but what does this mean for the road ahead? Join us for a live webinar unpacking:  ◾ How states are engaging in bilateral military cooperation, hiring private mercenaries, and supporting local self-defense forces  ◾ The evolving nature of African regional security  ◾ Live Q&A with ACLED experts Don’t miss this crucial conversation — register today: https://lnkd.in/g9-PrPN8

Hezbollah’s rearmament is raising the risk of renewed conflict along the Israel–Lebanon border. Since the cessation of hostilities in November last year, ACLED records around 1,000 Israeli airstrikes and more than 500 artillery strikes in #Lebanon as Israel targets what it identifies as Hezbollah positions. A new The Wall Street Journal article shows how #Hezbollah is rebuilding its arsenal and ranks in defiance of the cease-fire terms, straining an already fragile agreement. It also details how weapons continue to move through Syria and seaports as Israel steps up pressure — warning that patience is running out. 🔗 Read the full piece: https://lnkd.in/dyjXzad2

The Arakan Army (AA) has become one of Myanmar’s most powerful ethnic armed organizations after unprecedented victories over the military in #Rakhine state since 2023. It now controls nearly all of Rakhine, the full border with Bangladesh, and Paletwa township in Chin state — the only group in Myanmar with significant coastal territory. Despite accusations of human rights abuses — including extrajudicial killings, massacring Rohingya Muslim civilians, and forced recruitment — the AA remains popular within the wider revolution against military rule, particularly among ethnic Rakhine people. As its successes advance regional goals and provide strategic leverage against the military and its backers in India and China, what does the AA’s ascent mean for post-coup #Myanmar? 📊 Full report: https://lnkd.in/dCxQ86rJ

Islamic State #Mozambique (ISM) continued to target civilians in Mocímboa da Praia and Metuge districts. Between 14 and 20 October, IS claimed responsibility for a series of attacks in Mocímboa da Praia, including the beheading of a security guard near Palma district and the burning of homes in Mbau. Further south in Metuge, sightings of militants prompted residents to flee Impiri and Intutupue, followed by the beheading of two civilians on 21 October. ISM fighters were also reported in Quissanga district, raiding a village near Natugo before retreating into surrounding forests. Explore the full update with Zitamar News and Mediafax: https://lnkd.in/d-kkN27J