Sunairio

Introducing Sunairio ONE: an Omniscale Next-generation Ensemble ✨ Sunairio ONE is: ✨1,000 ensemble paths: a 1k-path ensemble captures 97% of extremes that traditional forecasts miss ✨100x higher resolution: trained on proprietary Sunairio High-resolution Earth Data and purpose-built for the modern, granular grid ✨1 continuous coverage model: Sunairio ONE seamlessly spans short-term (18-hour), medium-range (15-day), seasonal (12 months), and long-term (15 years) time horizons Listen to what our customers have to say: "No other solution gives us weather and energy forecasts from a 1,000 member ensemble and continuously tracks changes to load growth and infrastructure buildout," said Josh Henson Vice President, Wholesale Trading, Constellation. “We’ve been pleased with Sunairio as a platform to model probabilistic weather and energy risks for longer-term power markets. Sunairio ONE provides those same insights for short-term markets enabling better business decision-making that benefits our customers.” Learn more about Sunairio ONE: https://lnkd.in/gk7uwmjU

October is shaping up to be an exciting month for Sunairio ⚡ Our founder & CEO Rob Cirincione will be speaking at two of the industry’s leading events — Nodal Trader by S&P Global and Energy Trading Week Americas. 🟣 At Nodal Trader (S&P Global), Rob will join a panel of industry experts to discuss, “How Weather Forecasting Helps Manage Risk for Traders.” 📆 Thursday, October 23rd, 4:45 PM  🟣 At Energy Trading Week Americas, Rob will participate on the panel, “The Gridfather: Market Forces You Can’t Refuse,” joining leaders from REV Renewables, Chariot Energy, and Perast Capital Management to discuss how surging data center demand, renewable variability, and market volatility are reshaping forward power markets. 📆 Thursday, Oct. 30, 9:35 AM in the Founders Ballroom If you’ll be attending either event, don’t miss Rob’s sessions — and come connect with the Sunairio team to learn how our probabilistic forecasting platform helps traders make decisions under uncertainty with more confidence than ever.

At GCPA Fall Conference in Austin -- stop by if you're attending!

Low-resolution weather data obscures the critical variability that increasingly drives the most important energy and market dynamics in our granular, modern grid. Being able to see that variation means you can better prepare for the weather and demand ahead, while also reviewing past outcomes for clear and informed analyses, ultimately helping you make better business decisions. You don’t need to take it from us when you can see it for yourself. Take a look at the animation below to see the difference high-resolution downscaling makes for wind speed and temperature data. Which dataset will you base decisions on?

We’re headed to the Gulf Coast Power Association 40th Annual Fall Conference & Exhibition! Come say hello to our CEO Rob Cirincione, and VP of Sales, Dustin Whipple, at the Sunairio booth to see precision grid forecasts powered by data you can’t get anywhere else. 

We’re hiring! Join our growing team working at the intersection of weather, climate, and grid forecasting. We have open positions in sales and data science. Follow the link for full job descriptions. https://lnkd.in/e_nBQ9Sn 

Interested in keeping up with Sunairio outside of your LinkedIn scrolling? We have a newsletter! The best part: it’s no spam, no nonsense – just the latest updates. Our once-monthly email delivers new insights from the team, platform features and updates, upcoming events, and more. Sign up here: https://lnkd.in/g6SQ9wdH  

It’s time to throw out the old playbook for grid planning, as our CEO Rob Cirincione writes in a new opinion piece Factor This. We’ve traditionally built out our grid infrastructure by modeling how much generation we expect to have available to meet peak demand under a limited set of historical weather scenarios from the past. The problem? 🟣 Historical weather is an increasingly bad predictor of future weather 🟣 We’ll never have a broad enough historical weather dataset to truly see the extremes we care about 🟣 The extremes we care about in the modern grid aren’t usually peak demand hours – they’re peak *net* demand hours that can occur due to combinations of less-than-extreme individual weather drivers which increase demand while reducing renewable generation This isn’t a hypothetical problem. All three major grid outage events of the past five years (CA 2020, TX 2021, NC 2022) were caused in part by poor planning due to insufficient weather assumptions. (That’s according to an National Renewable Energy Laboratory post-mortem) Fortunately, advances in weather forecasting and climate modeling powered by machine learning and AI are rapidly solving these data problems, but we now need to incorporate them in our grid planning processes Read more about how to prepare for the future of extreme weather — the one that’s already here — in this piece written by Rob Cirincione for Factor This. https://lnkd.in/gFqcDvz3

PLATFORM UPDATES FROM SUNAIRIO We’ve been listening to user feedback, and we’re excited to share two new platform updates with you. Now available on the Sunairio platform: 🟡 Probabilistic price forecasts for ERCOT trading hubs 🟡 Historical actuals now visible against forward Sunairio ensemble percentiles in one visualization Let’s dig in: NEW PROBABILISTIC PRICE FORECASTS FOR ERCOT TRADING HUBS After months of offering our fundamental price model as a beta feature, we’re excited to launch this new dataset in the Sunairio platform. Users can now access Hourly North, South, Houston, West, and Panhandle Hump LMP in addition to Houston Ship Channel and WAHA daily gas. These market simulations are driven by Sunairio’s hourly Grid Stress Index ensembles and are available for a full 15 years (updated weekly), allowing you to easily vet term trading, hedging, and valuation strategies against state-of-the-art probabilistic price forecasts. HISTORICAL ACTUALS NOW VISIBLE AGAINST FORWARD PERCENTILES We’ve added the ability to plot historical actuals against ensemble forecast percentiles in the Simulation Explorer Module. Now you can benchmark future distributions against past realizations. Interested in seeing more? Reach out to schedule a demo. 

It’s amazing when you get to partner with a team full of dynamic personalities that uniquely complement each other, and that’s what we have been lucky to find with our supporters at Laconia. Whether the road (or water!) is bumpy or not, we’re grateful for the diverse perspectives on board. Thanks to David Arcara for bringing careful strategic wisdom, Jeffrey Silverman for pushing us to go faster, and the rest of the team for being with us through it all.