🔥 It was great to speak on stage at FusionX Innovation in London with Peter Dolan from Hedosophia, Torsten Löffler from DTCF | DeepTech & Climate Fonds, and Stuart Allen from FusionX Group, exploring the complex investment landscape around fusion technologies.
💡 Breakthroughs in materials, computing and plasma physics mean fusion is transforming from a distant ambition to a rapidly evolving technology frontier, and several private companies have emerged with credible plans to deliver grid-scale power by the mid-2030s.
🌍 For most, the Holy Grail of fusion is competing in the global energy market, and the race to commercialize power generation is accelerating. But fusion technologies could also have more immediate adjacent opportunities in:
👉 Medical and industrial settings - isotopes, diagnostic imaging, and power electronics
👉 Defence applications - focused energy, advanced shielding materials, and amplifiers
👉 Supply chains - lasers, superconducting magnets, and enabling components
💲 We discussed the sector’s risk-return profile, and whether near-term revenues represent a meaningful opportunity or are simply a distraction. With a wide variety of sources, and a significant amount of capital now looking at fusion, long-term alignment between founders and the right investors is crucial.
⚡ Many VCs are backing fusion for the ultimate breakthrough rather than interim revenue streams, so want decisions that help achieve Q>1 and accelerate delivery of electrons onto the grid to be prioritised. In many cases the most valuable near-term revenues will come from government and institutional contracts.
📈 As global demand for electricity rises and the need for 24/7 clean firm power intensifies, in nuclear the race is on to unlock the promise of fusion energy while scaling nuclear fission. Yet significant questions remain around how to deploy at speed, overcome scaling challenges, build viable business models, and separate genuine progress from hype.
💚 Turning this momentum into a commercial reality will require both sustained private investment and strong federal support for the deployment of demonstration reactors and next-generation plants, but it remains an exciting opportunity.
➡️ Read the full article via the link in comments.
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For me, the comparison technology for fusion should be coal, not fission. The technology for generating heat from coal is the simplest possible: grind up the coal and set it alight. Yet coal-fired power stations still costs around $5/watt before you even think about fuel supply. That's because of all the additional costs of boilers, turbines, generator, condenser etc, needed for the rankine cycle to operate. So, the absolute lower bound for fusion power is $5/W, before you begin to think about all the costs and complications of the reactor and fuel supply. Solar costs $1/W and falling. Yes, you need 5 watts of solar to generate 1 watt baseload. You then need to add a 15-hour battery at around $3/W. You then get something close to baseload output, at least in sunny regions, for a cost of around $8/W: something that fusion can only aspire to. At current trends, baseload solar will likely be below $5/W within a decade. Fusion has missed its chance.