Government shutdown hinders USDA reports, affecting grain markets.

As we navigate the changing landscape of agriculture, our latest article in #PartnersMagazine dives into key economic shifts this season. From record-breaking corn yields to steady pork profits and evolving trade policies, discover how the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB), Fed rate cuts, and global trade dynamics are influencing everything from dairy margins to soybean exports. 🌽🐖 🔗 Read the full article for expert insights on what producers can expect as we head into 2026. https://ow.ly/nhCK50Xiorw #AgEconomy #FarmFinance #GreenStonePartners #CornSurge #DairyMarkets #PorkProfitability #OBBB #Tariffs #InterestRates

Seth Meyer, chief economist of the US Department of Agriculture, at the recent Ag Outlook Forum in Kansas City, Missouri, US, addressed concerns and economic challenges that are currently affecting the nation’s #agriculture sector. Meyer began by showing a chart featuring the total cash receipts forecast for 2025, and while all commodity receipts were expected to increase this year, crop receipts were on a resolute decline. Meyer said the downturn mainly was attributed to falling crop prices amid high input costs that were slow to follow the decline in crop prices. The lack of Chinese buying US ag commodities, especially #soybeans, also was a factor. A panel of industry participants that followed Meyer’s presentation echoed the economist’s concerns. “Everybody’s focused on what’s happening to the soybeans, obviously, but this is a bigger issue than just what’s happening in the soybean market. We’ve got challenges across the entire farm economy.” - John Newton, executive head of Terrain, a consultancy of four agricultural credit organizations. More about this presentation at World Grain → https://ow.ly/2VGy50X8Chh 📸: Dusan Kostic - Adobe Stock #agribusiness #grain #oilseeds #harvest

🌾 Cash Market: Agriculture Continues to Wait and See 🇩🇪 Germany’s grain trade remains subdued as both producers and buyers hold their positions. According to Dagmar Hofnagel (Oct 22, 2025), trading activity is “very manageable,” with the industry still well covered and farmers selling only limited volumes of stored grain. Even after the completion of winter grain sowing, there are no clear signs of market recovery. Many producers continue to adopt a wait-and-see strategy, holding back sales in anticipation of more favorable price movements amid global uncertainty. 📉 The result: muted liquidity in the cash market, stable to slightly weaker spot prices, and cautious sentiment across the agri-trade chain - from cooperatives to processors. #Germany #GrainMarket #Agriculture #CashMarket #Commodities #Wheat #Barley #Farming #Trade #MarketOutlook #FoodIndustry #AgriBusiness https://lnkd.in/dQpw4YJ7

ASA appreciates President Trump & his administration for prioritizing America’s farmers in today’s announcement regarding U.S.–China trade. After months of stalled purchases and uncertainty, this is a very positive development for soybean farmers who rely on open markets. https://ow.ly/seSC50XkuLa #AgPolicy #AgEcon #Farmers #Soybeans

🔒 #US government #shutdown has left the #market without guidance Due to the shutdown of federal agencies in the United States, farmers and traders were left without key reports from the Department of Agriculture (USDA), which usually determine price benchmarks in the #grain and #oilseed markets. The absence of data on exports, crop conditions and production forecasts has created uncertainty at a time when corn and soybean harvesting is well underway. “The market is just flying blind right now,” said Illinois farmer Sherman Newlin. The government shutdown has blocked the release of weekly and monthly reports, including the key #WASDE, which assesses global supply and demand. Experts warn that the lack of official data increases market volatility and gives an advantage to large corporations with their own analytics. Analysts expect that after the #USDA resumes its work, the market may experience a sharp jump in prices due to the correction of crop estimates. Read more 👉 https://surl.lu/keipun

U.S. Wheat Associates joined the USDA on an agricultural trade mission to Japan in early October. The mission aimed to further solidify partnership between U.S. wheat farmers and Japan’s milling and baking industries. Read the full story on Grain Journal: https://lnkd.in/gjcBBnaf

Backtesting is more than a tool. It’s the edge traders need. By assessing the quality of in-season information and filling gaps where reliable, science-based data and analytics is missing, it directly drives better trading outcomes. EarthDaily's track record speaks for itself. In Brazil, during the 2022 season, persistently low NDVI throughout the cycle allowed us to anticipate a significant crop failure by December. Cumulative precipitation from Nov 1 to Feb 7 was 45% below average. By early Jan, while the market estimated soybean production between 131 and 145.7 mmt, we had already lowered our forecast to 125.35 mmt, well ahead of all other sources, capturing the true numbers before the market caught up. This is one of the reasons Bloomberg relies on EarthDaily to provide state-level vegetation time-series for U.S. corn and wheat, offering immense value when USDA data is delayed or unavailable. #EarthDaily #SatelliteData #AgriAnalytics #CropForecasting #TradingEdge #CommoditiesTrading #SupplyChainInsights #BrazilianSoybeanCrop Felippe Reis

🌽 Grain Without a Buyer 🌱 This year’s harvest tells a tough story: bins are full, but buyers are scarce. China hasn’t purchased a single U.S. soybean shipment, basis is widening, and U.S. farmers are left holding the bag. I wrote an article linked below that dives into why record yields don’t always mean security, and how shifting trade and global demand are reshaping U.S. agriculture. #agriculture #tradewar #farmers https://lnkd.in/gTebyJde

📣 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐖𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐭 𝐂𝐫𝐨𝐩 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄      U.S. Wheat Associates is pleased to share this year’s report, which provides essential, objective data to assist global wheat buyers in purchasing the wheat they need for the best possible value.   “𝑇ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑑𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑎𝑡 𝑡ℎ𝑒 ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ-𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑡 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑛 𝑏𝑦 𝑈.𝑆. 𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑡 𝑓𝑎𝑟𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑦 𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑏𝑎𝑘𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑎𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑙𝑑,” 𝑠𝑎𝑖𝑑 𝑈𝑆𝑊 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐶𝐸𝑂 𝑀𝑖𝑘𝑒 𝑆𝑝𝑖𝑒𝑟. “𝑇ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡 𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑠 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑜𝑛𝑙𝑦 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 2025 𝑐𝑟𝑜𝑝, 𝑏𝑢𝑡 𝑎𝑙𝑠𝑜 𝑡ℎ𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑈.𝑆. 𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑡 𝑓𝑎𝑟𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑠.” 🌾 Read the announcement at https://bit.ly/47l1SLg  🌾 Access the 2025 report at https://bit.ly/USWCQ2025  🌾 Find all crop quality reports and related information at uswheat.org/cropquality 

Soybean growers are awaiting details of a potential relief package as the White House promises financial support following China’s withdrawal from the market, leaving U.S. farmers without one of their largest buyers. Reports suggest the package could range between $10 billion and $14 billion, partially funded through tariff revenue, aimed at easing the impact of lost export markets and rising costs. The ongoing federal government shutdown adds uncertainty, delaying USDA crop reports and halting payments for programs like ARC and PLC. Farmers and commodity traders are adopting a cautious approach as the sector awaits clarity and access to key export markets. For detailed information; soymag.com #SoybeanRelief #USAFarmers #AgricultureSupport #TradeDisruption