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“Uncertainty is the new normal — are you ready?”
The International Monetary Fund projects a 3.0% global growth by 2025, but warns of perpetual economic uncertainty.
The reality?
Geopolitical tensions and trade disputes feed this uncertainty.
Amid these challenges, resilience is key. Yet, will it last?
Record gold prices at $4,000 an ounce suggest rising investor anxiety.
It’s time to adapt.
Strong policies and global cooperation are more crucial than ever.
Are you prepared for this volatile economic landscape?
#Economy#IMF#GlobalBusiness#Investment#EconomicGrowth#FinancialPlanning
BUSINESS, MILITARY & TECH: Defence / Geopolitics / AI Analyst, Freelance Ghost/Copy Writer: Bringing confidence and clarity to an increasingly complex world. Views expressed are my own. Re-Shares are not endorsements.
The Atlantic Council GeoEconomics Center hosts a fast-paced preview of the big debates and decisions shaping global finance - from debt and development to trade, monetary policy and geopolitical risk.
According to the new IMF Global Financial Stability Report (October 2025), the calm on global markets may be deceiving.
Despite low volatility, resilient equity indices and a weaker dollar, the foundations of financial stability are shifting with deeper linkages between banks, nonbanks, and digital-asset markets.
IMF warns that today’s “quiet” environment hides growing structural vulnerabilities:
· stretched asset valuations and heavy sovereign issuance,
· tighter bank–nonbank interconnections,
· rising liquidity and FX risks,
· and the emergence of stablecoins and private credit as potential transmission channels.
For banks and risk managers, this report is a timely reminder that the next financial shock may not start in the banking system but will quickly reach it.
· Reassessing stress-testing frameworks for nontraditional correlation breakdowns
· Including bond-market liquidity and NBFI spillovers
· Strengthening FX and collateral stress scenarios
are becoming essential elements of proactive risk governance.
IMF calls it “shifting ground beneath the calm.”
In practice, it means moving from capital sufficiency to connectivity awareness: managing not just risk levels, but the interdependencies that define modern financial stability.
#RiskManagement#Banking#IMF#FinancialStability#StressTesting#LiquidityRisk#ERM#NBFI#FXRisk#SovereignDebt
Geopolitics is shaping economic and market dynamics — both in terms of "tactical" issues, which have near-term impacts, and "strategic" issues, which have outcomes that unfold over time. Applying geopolitical analysis to decisions on FX, commodities, rates and supply chains can significantly influence business performance.
Join Michael Groen, Lieutenant General (Ret.), Advisory Board Member, Academy Securities, and Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy, Academy Securities, for their #AFP2025 session "Geopolitical Currents, the Economy and Markets,” Tuesday, October 28, 8:30-9:30 AM.
Learn more about this and other sessions at AFP 2025:
https://lnkd.in/e6Nsa8aW
#Ethiopia#Economy
This is the latest rating commentary from Fitch. While it maintains the country’s foreign currency default rating at Restricted Default, it paints a very optimistic picture of the macro.
