0 ratings0% found this document useful (0 votes) 301 views16 pagesCHAPTER-2 HR Planning Forecasting
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content,
claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
Chapter 2
STRATEGIC HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING
OBJECTIVES:
After this lesson, you should be able to:
+ Discuss the role of the human resource in strategic planning;
+ Explain the two important components in human resource
planning; .
+ Determine the different kinds of human resource planning and the
important Elements in Strategic Human Resource Planning;
+ Know the advantages in using the elements of human resource
planning;
+ Enumerate the five steps inn human resource planning; and
+ Discuss the different kinds of planning techniques in human
resource management.
21
Scanned with CamScannerHuman Resource Planning (HRP)
nltinan Resource Planning (HRD) is the process of systematically reviewing
human resource Tequirements to ensure that the number of employees matches
the required skills It is the process vr matching the internal and external supplies
Te OPle with job openings anticipated in the organization over a specific period of
time. Some organizations continue to provide lip service to these important functions,
Nevertheless, ‘presently HRP is increasingly being recognized as an important
Component of Human Resource Management,
What is Strategic Planning?
Strategic Planning is the determination of the overall organizational purpose and
goals and how they are to be achieved. Human resource is the integral component
of a strategic plan, which greatly affects productivity and organization performance,
After the strategic plans have been formulated, human resource strategic planning
is to be undertaken, Along these lines, strategies are reduced to specific quantitative
and qualitative human resource plans. The HRD shall determine the total manpower
component to execute the planned strategic activities.
Two Important Components of the Human Resource Planning
1. Requirement
Forecasting human requirements involves deter
of employees needed. The level of skills has to be determined and matched with the
Plan operations. The analysis will reflect various factors such as production plans,
and changes in productivity together with the introduction of new" technology if
there is any. The HRD, in order to forecast availability must look to bath inte val
and external sources. Internal sources refer to existing manpower that could be
re-assigned to new positions or be promoted to higher vacant positions, Extemel
sources refer to positions that are not available inside the organization and need
to be sourced out.
mining the number and types
2. Availability
When employee requirements have been analyzed, the firm determines
whether there is a surplus or shortage of manpower. If there is 0 surplus, ways
must be instituted to reduce the number of employees. Some of thee vwomeee
include restricted hiring, reduced work hours, early
retirement of old employees,
and the worst is to layoff some employees. If the manpower forecast reveals
shortage, the HRD must obtain the proper quantity and quality of workers outside
7m within. Human resource
tion could affect the entire
ions of forecasts,
the organization after exhausting efforts to find fro)
planning must be continuous, as changing condi
organization thereby requiring extensive modificati
Scanned with CamScannerAspects of Human Resource Planning
1.
Systematic Forecasting of Manpower Needs
On the basis of business conditions and forecasts, manpower needs are planned
and monitored closely. 1
Performance Management
Analyzing, improving and monitoring the performance of each employee and
of the organization as a whole.
Career Management
Determining, planning and monitoring the career aspiration each individual
in the organization and developing them for improved productivity.
Management Development
Assessing and determining the developmental needs managers for future
succession requirements.
Advantages in using the Elements of HR Planning
ds
Through a systematic planning of human resources, a company can be better
assisted in attaining its goals and objectives
Ithelps the company determine its manpower needs and provides a method of
meeting them.
It can be an effective means of planning the development and growth of the
employees.
It can assist in placing the employees properly in jobs where they can maximize
the use of their skills and potentials.
It can assist the company to attract and retain better qualified employees.
Five Steps to Human Resource Planning
-
Determining the workload inputs based on the corporate goals and objectives
Once the company’s objectives are known, the operating executives
can determine what they are responsible for in the common endeavor
of attaining the corporate goals. The kind and magnitude of workload
determine the organizational structure, the number and quality (skills)
of employees needed to man the organization or department under a
desirable level of performance.
Several factors that should be considered in determining work inputs:
a. Business Development and Assumptions
Scanned with CamScannerr
Corporate planning
Economic Forecasts
‘Changes in Plans and Products
ao
j &. New Product Lines
{Mergers and Consolidations ti
8 iting the job description and jg,
| 2. Studying the jobs in the company and writing
specifications
Forecasting of manpower needs
: le required for
| a. Determination of the number and skills of people red the
work.
©. Forecasting manpower nds cme nest afte deternning the wo
| input, and is known as the planned and logical method of eee tiene
both quantitatively and qualitatively the employ: hon i
work inputs to enable the company to attain its goals.
4. Inventory of Manpower
a. An analysis of the present manpower complement of the company
to determine whether it has enough or less or more personnel (both
qualitatively and quantitatively) than required.
This fourth step in the planning process is the inventory (audit) of
available currentmanpower. What happensin this step is the assessment
of the skills, career aspirations, strengths and weaknesses of each of the
current employees and their potentials for promotion. Each is matched
against the positions forecasted in step 3. When the current manpower
is matched against forecast of needs, positions are filled either by
Promotion, transfer or assignment of qualified personnel taking into
account the most effective method of achieving the corporate goals.
The net result of this operation is that you either find:
a, Enough manpower
b. Excess in the number of available manpower, bit lacking the skills
required
¢. The number of available manpow
er is insufficient, and a
also inadequate to meet the needs the skills
of the work inputs.
5. Improvement Plans
Determination of the appropriate steps to i
ii im]
| ofder to insure that the company has the Hehe ae ie a
| of people, properly assigned to jobs for which they are oon patty
| .
Scanned with CamScannerincludes action plans to improve the capabilities of current personnel
thru training and development. This plan can be part and parcel of the
total development program which covers career planning, management
development programs, succession programs, etc.
Planning Techniques in HR Management
L
Skills Inventory
This approach involves the listing of all the skills possessed by the
workforce and they are made to relate to the requirements of the organization.
This technique requires detailed information of the experience and training of
every individual in the organization.
Ratio Analysis
This is a technique wherein the personnel who are promotable to the
higher positions are identified together with their backup or understudy.
There should be a ratio that will ensure that promotions will not create any
void. To accomplish this, recruitment must support the backup requirements.
At the same time, training must be done to develop the backup ratio.
Cascade Approach
Under this approach the setting of objectives flows from the top to bottom
in the organization so that everyone gets a chance to make his contribution.
This approach results in the formulation of a plan wherein the objectives of
the rank and file get included in the blueprint for action. The plan is then a
participatory planning outputs.
Replacement Approach
Under this approach, HRP is done to have a body of manpower in the
organization that is ready to take over existing jobs on a one-to-one basis
within the organization. This approach calls for year-round acceptance of
applications for possible replacements.
Commitment Planning Approach
This technique involves the supervisors and personnel in every component
of the organization on the identification of manpower needs in terms, skills,
replacements, policy, working conditions and promotion so that human
resource in the organization may be up to the challenge of current and future
operations. The units thus become conscious of their needs and aware of the
ways the human resource requirements can be met.
Successor Planning Approach
The approach known as successor planning takes into consideration the
different components of the old plan and increase them. Proportionately by the
desired expansion rate stated by management as to the total manpower needs.
Scanned with CamScannerThe cost of doing the activities is likewise increased. Any new concern set UP at
a starting scale and viewed in proportion with other comparable a5P000 Ne
existing plan. This approach also enables the persorinel staff to get DY ' u
having to ask much from management, which in turn does not xP ch
from the HR staff in terms of radical change.
Common Weaknesses in Human Resource Planning
x
Over-Planning.
A plan is likely to fail through an inherent weakness of Tens ie
many aspects of personnel management at the very early stage o _
firm or government office.
Technique Overload.
The use of so many techniques sometimes leads to the gathering of so
much information. Then the techniques do not get to be applied effectively.
This makes the techniques serve as a trap rather than a means for action.
Bias for the Quantitative.
There are plannersin HRP who sometimes make the mistake of being drawn
towards emphasizing the quantitative aspects of personnel management to the
neglect of the qualitative side.
Isolation of the Planners.
When top management has a low regard for human resource activities and
for the HR staff, they give little encouragement to HRP activities, ignore the
plan and withdrawn support for plan implementation,
Isolation from Organizational Objectives.
When HRP is pursued for its own sake or for narrow viewpoint of
concentrating on HRD, the effort leads to the formulation of a plan that does
not interphase with organizational development.
Lack of Line Supervisors’ Inputs.
Any plan to develop the personnel and to improve the conditions of work
must use the feedbacks from the line supervisors, since they are the ones who
are handling the personnel in the organization.
Four Basic Terms of Manpower Forecasting
1
2
Long Term Trend ~ Long term forecasting is usuall
0 tally done for a period of five
years or more depending on the company operations and customer demands
Cyclical Variations - This refers to reasonable and predictable movement that
occur over a period of one year or more. This cyclical movement may be doe
Scanned with CamScannerto economic conditions, political instability, peace and order, loss in customer
demands and societal pressures. These variations typically last for one to five
years.
Seasonal Variations ~ This is a reasonable prediction change over a period
of one year. This covers firms who manufacture seasonal products and hire
temporary workers for temporary increase in demand, like Christmas and
other special occasions.
4. Random Variations ~ This is one occasion where there is no special pattern
and it is quite difficult to predict or determine. The HR practitioner must be
careful in his manpower forecast especially in the hiring of employees. Along
this line, temporary workers are hired instead of regular workforce.
Human Resource Forecasting Techniques
1. The Zero-Base Forecasting Approach -It uses the organizations’ current level
of employment as the starting point for determining future staffing needs.
The usual references point is the organizational structure pattern based on
company production forecast on market and customer demands
2. The Bottom -Up Approach - This forecast uses the progression upward
methods from the lower organization units to ultimately provide the
aggregate forecast of employment needs. The starting point is the number of ,
current employees and the progress in operation requirements as the company
improves its operation to meet increasing customer demand.
3. Use of Predictor Variables — This methods uses the past employment levels to
predict future requirements. Predictor variables are known factors that have
an impact on employment. Sales volume determines employment levels. As
production increases, demand for manpower increases. It uses regression
analyses to predict one item, which is known as the independent variable
(current employment level) through the other item (sales volume) that is
dependent variables.
4. Simulation ~ It is a technique for the testing of alternatives on mathematical
models representing the real world situation. The purpose of this model is
to permit the human resource manager to gain considerable insights into a
particular problem before making actual decisions.
The Important Elements in Strategic Human Resource Planning
1. Organizational Goals - The human resource planning process should be tied
up with the organizational strategic goals. It must rest on solid foundation
of information about sales forecasts, market trends, technological advances,
and major changes in processes and productivity. Considerable effort should
be devoted to securing reliable data on business trends and needs in terms of
quantity and quality of labor as the basic input for human resource planning.
2. Human Resource Forecast - The second element in the planning proves is the
forecasting of human resource needs based on business strategies, production
Scanned with CamScanneri plans and the various indicators of chang@in technolosy 284 te hier al
t operating methods Forecasting is usually accomplisned bY wg
date and ycllabie nition This inchides indirect and aiteet 800) 2S
the same with productivity trends. The result of this forecast ny tegote :
sheet of employees in terms of number, mix, cost, new skills Se iestond
lam bers oa levee of managers Remde.to accom Oe ON
strategic goals. Experience has shown that producing this sore ee ahd Right
challenging partir the planning process because itequires reat've 7 TB Y
participative approaches in dealing with business and echnical onosriauises
several years in the future.
3. Employee Information -The third element in the planning process. is
ne composition, assignments
maintaining accurate information concerning # ‘
and capabilities of the current workforce. This information includes job
classification, age, gender, status, organizational Jevel, rate of pay and functions.
Employee information may also include the employee's resurrt with such
data as skills, education, training, career interest and other important personal
data that could be used in the movement or transfer of the employee.
4, Human Resource Availability Projections ~The fourth element of the human
‘e number of current employees and
resource planning process is estimating th
those that could be available in the future. By projecting the past data about
the size, organization and composition of the workforce and about funover,
aging, and hiring, availability at a specific future data can be estimated. The
result could paint the picture of the organization's current human resources
and how they can be expected to evolve over time in terms of turnover,
retirement, obsolescence, promotions and other relevant characteristics.
5. Analyzing and Evaluating Human Resource Gaps ~The fifth element in the
jruman resource planning process is comparing what is needed with what is
available in terms of numbers, mix, skills and technologies. The comparison
permits the human resource manager to determine gaps and evaluate where
the most serious mismatches likely appear.
This type of analysis should help management address issues such as:
a. Are there imbalances developing between projected human resources
needs and availability?
b. What is the effect of current productivity trends and
workforce levels and costs? pay rates on the
¢. Do turnover problems exist in certain jobs or age levels?
4. Are there problems of career blockage and obsolescence?
Strategy Evaluation and Control
The final component to the strategic management process i
5 evaluation and control. Itis extremely important for the company es oe a
ya yeness of Both thestrategy and the implementation process, The motrin
; " lonuit
Scanned with CamScannermakes it possible for the company to identify problem areas and either revise existing
structures or strategies or revise new ones. In this process, we see emergent strategies
appear as well as the critical nature of human resources in competitive advantage.
Human Resource Role in Providing Competitive Advantage
Human resource practices are developed to implement strategies that will make
the organization more effective and will answer the companys’ competitive advantage.
HER can provide strategic competitive advantage in two ways:
1, Emergent Strategies — consist of strategies that evolve from the grassroots of
the organization and can be thought of as what the organizations actually do.
Most emergent strategies are identified with the people in lower level of the
management hierarchy. It is usually the lower level rank and file employees
who provide ideas for new markets, new products and new strategies being
at the front line of operations. HRM should make sure that the information is
systematically arranged and should contain the data needed. :
Intended Strategies ~ are the results of the rational decision-making by the
top management as they develop strategic plans. It is a pattern of plans that
integrates an organization's major goals, policies and action sequences in a
cohesive whole. The new focus on strategic HRM role is directed primarily on
intended strategies. The task is to formulate business related issues relevant to
strategy formulation and then development of HR systems that can aid in the
implementation of the strategic plan.
Human Resource Information System (HRIS)
HRIS is any organized approach to obtaining relevant and timely information on
which to base human resource decisions. An effective HRIS is crucial to sound human
resource decision-making. It is designed to provide information that is~ SMART.
Scanned with CamScannerand contain the
1. Systematic ~ Information must be systematically arranged
needed data. Is for effective
1 tools
2. Mahagement-Oriented ~The and information are of employees.
manpower planning, retention, development, and seP se omen
oe e
3. Applicable - The data and information stored in file a be siaried
in making human resource decisions. Irrelevant data Jevant to the current
Information must be updated from time to time to be bs ery exithe accuraty
manpower needs requirements. A manager must be able to rely
of the information provided.
and the decisions derived
.d the employees’ concern.
any productivity and
4, Result-Oriented-The results from the information
thereat must be both acceptable to management an‘
The end results must contribute to greater comp’
employees’ satisfaction.
5. Time Bound -Relevant human resource information are necessary rfor effective
decision-making. The need for timely decisions are crucial to the effective
management of human resources
The absence of these characteristics reduces the effectiveness of HRIS and
complicates the decision-making process. Conversely,“ a system processing
characteristics enhances the ease and accuracy of the decision-making process. An
effective HRIS also produces and forecasts several important reports related to
business operations.
1. Routine Reports ~ These are human resource data summarized on scheduled
bases, like current manpowerstatus, regular employees, contractual employees,
supervisors and managerial employees on a regular payroll.
2. Exception Reports ~This information may contain confidential data that are
available only for managerial decision-making and needs immediate attention.
This may pertain to violations of existing company rules and procedures,
policies and management programs.
3. On Demand Reports ~ Management may demand some r
This may pertain to productivity index,
other information that may lead to dow!
xy den eports for analysis.
individual performance records, and
nsizing, and other personnel actions.
4, Manpower Forecast - applies to predictive models b;
This may cover increase or decrease in thanpower require
men
demand or increase customer orders, Human resource a to caren
to provide timely information and ready manpower to anew ieaceiete
company operations. the need of the
ased on specific situations.
Software Application for HRM
The advent ofthe different HRM software application has mad
smanagers’ functions for decision-making just a click on the me c® the human resource
major human resource functions ar ™puter programs. The
Scanned with CamScanner1. Staffing Applications ~ Common applications used in the area of staffing
include the following:
a. Applicant recruiting and tracking
b. DOLE reporting requirements
c. Developing a master employee data base
d. Staffing applications for decision-making
Human Resource Planning Applications ~ This involves company specific
applications in determining future employee turnover, growth rate and
promotion patterns and other personnel movements. This includes the
following applications:
a, Work-Force Profile Analysis ~ It refers to work-force labor supply and
demand analysis or work-force profile analysis review.
b. Work-Force Dynamic Analysis -Number of new hires, transfer and
promotions, Number still needed in the future and those employees who
are available to fill up job openings in the future.
c. Human Resource Planning for Decision-Making - This application
pertains to information about employees who are about to retire, job
classification of employees for promotions and those departments that lack
basic skills for the job.
d. Performance Management Applications - employee performance ratings,
disciplinary actions, work-rule violations and the daily productivity index
could now be stored in the computer database as bases for management
decisions,
e. Training and Development Applications ~ These are used primarily to
track down the need for employees training programs, courses to attend,
certified skills and educational qualifications. Career applications assess
the employees’ career interests, work values and career goals.
£ Compensation and Benefits Applications - These includes payroll, job
evaluation, salary planning and analysis of executive ‘compensation
planning and management benefits.
Scanned with CamScannerCase Study 2 ;
The Outsider
enlerral ction busines
Peter Movers Corporation was expanding its operation in its eae manpowee
and trading activities, Most of the employees come from ear a a new and freak
due to the nature of work. The management feel that they need to :
executives to bief up the growing work force.
‘nontechnical executive in the person of Roger Santiago was added to the working
teams of managers. He was assigned as assistant to the president and chit ive
Officer. The work of Mr. Santiago covers analysis of manpower programs and cost
related activities and to give advice to the president of some management aspects that
are not generally handled by line managers.
The appointment of Mr. Santiago wasnot received well by older managers. They felt
that insider should have been placed instead as assistant to the president. Mr. Santiago
had difficulty getting some important information from line managers, without the
expressed orders from the president. Nevertheless, Mr. Santiago continued to prove
his worth by instituting new work programs and managerial activities, that brought
substantial improvement in the company operation and profitability. He worked for
management compensation systems that gave more benefits and produced more
dedicated manpower. He made a lot of improvements in system design and work
improvement programs. i
Five years later, Mr. Santiago was promoted to the position of vice president.
During the period of proving his managerial competence, managerial employees
slowly began to like him as a person worthy to the position. His Promotion to the
position was well received by all.
Note: Use the case format
Scanned with CamScannerExercise 2
Name:
Section:
L
TRUE or FALSE. Write T on
1
10.
the space provided if the statement is correct and F if
the statement is incorrect. (10 pts)
Strategic planning is the determination of the overall organization
Purpose and goals and how they are to be achieved.
Human resource planning is the process of systematically reviewing
human resource requirements to ensure that the number of. employees
match the required skills.
The two important components of human resource planning are
requirement aid forecasting
Long term forecasting refers to reasonable predictable movements that
occur over a period of one year or more.
Random variation is an occasion where is no special pattem and is
quite difficult to predict or determine.
The final component to the strategic management process is that of
strategy evaluation and control.
Intended strategies consist of strategies that evolve from the grassroots
of the organization and can be thought of as what the organizations
actually do.
Emergent strategies are the results of the rational decisign making by
top management as they develop strategic plans.
Routine reports are human resource data summarized on a schedule
basis like current manpower status, regular employees, contractual
employees, supervisors and managerial employees ona regular payroll.
On demand reports are reports for analysis. This may pertain to
productivity index, individual performance records and other
information that may lead to downsizing and other personnel actions.
Scanned with CamScannerre Manager)
I, MULTIPLE CHOICE. (Roles of the Personnel/Human Reso
; t : number. (10 pts)
ch,
Direction: Choose the best answer by encircling the letter of ea
: j: re requirements to
1. It is the process of systematically reviewing human resov! pl
jred skills.
ensure that the number of employees match the required ski
: : iculum planning
a. strategic planning cc. curricul
b. human resource planning dd. short-term planning
: id how th
2. The determination of the overall organization purpose and goals an 2
are to be achieved.
a. strategic planning curriculum planning
b. human resource planning d. successor planning
3. A planning technique approach which involves the listing of all the skills,
possessed by the workforce which are made to relate to the requirements of
the organization.
a. strategic planning ¢. curriculum planning
b. human resource planning d. short-term planning
4, This is a technique wherein the personnel who are promotable to the higher”
position are identified together with their backup or understudy.
' a. skills inventory c. cascade approach
b. ratio analysis d. replacement approach
5. A plan is likely to fail through an inherent weakness of having covered too
many aspects of personnel management at the very early stage of Human
Resource Planning in the firm or government office,
a. technique over-load c. bias for quantitative
‘b. over-planning d. isolation of planners
6. The use of so many techniques sometimes leads to thé
information. Then the techniques do not get to be ap
makes the techniques serve as the trap rather than the
gathering of so much
plied effectively. This
Means for action. 4
a, over-planning a ’
bias é i
b. technique over-load 4 for quantitative
| isolation of planners
4 7. It is the process of combining the factors for atta
| the establishment of condition in the physical or
ining @ changed situation in
social environment, i
directing
9. organizing
Hi. a. controlling 7
b, planning
Scanned with CamScanner8. An aspect of Human Resource Planning which states the basis of business
conditions and forecasts; manpower needs are planned and monitored closely.
a. Performance Management c. Career Management
b. Systematic Forecasting of d. Management Developnient
Manpower Needs
9. An aspect of Human Resource Planning of analyzing, improving and
monitoring the performance of each employee and of the organization as a.
whole.
a. Management Development —_c._ Career Management
3 b. Performance Management d._ Systematic-Forecasting of
Manpower Needs
10. An aspect of Human Resource Planning of assessing and determining the
development needs of managers for future succession requirements.
a. Performance Management c. Career Management
b. Management Development Systematic Forecasting of
Manpower Needs
Scanned with CamScannerIIL. Essay.
t that are essential
é Discuss the personal qualities of the human resource manager
in the success of a company. (5 pts.)
Scanned with CamScanner