Om Term 1
Om Term 1
Management
Introduction
What is Operations Management?
• The four functions have mutual interactions among them. The decisions
made in each of these functional areas could form an important input in
another functional area.
Operations as a key functional area
• Organizations typically begin their yearly plan with the marketing
function making an estimate of the next year’s sales.
• The above input forms the basis for production planning in the operations
area of business.
• Based on the production plans, procurement planning is done and all these
factors lead to a certain estimate of the fund requirements. This forms an
important input for the finance function.
• The interactions between these functions are even greater when the above
plans are executed.
• The human resource management function influences the productive
capacity of labour available in real time.
Operations Management: A System Perspective
• System perspective helps to understand various activities of operations
management.
The basic inputs in an operating system are
labour, material and capital.
•
Productivity Measurement
•
Productivity Measurement
• Capital can include the value of equipment, facilities, inventory, and land.
Example:-
Osborne Industries is compiling the monthly productivity report for its
Board of Directors. From the following data, calculate (a) labor productivity,
(b) machine productivity, and (c) the multifactor productivity of dollars
spent on labor, machine, materials, and energy. The average labor rate is
$15 an hour, and the average machine usage rate is $10 an hour.
Units Produced 100,000
Labor hour 10,000
Machine hours 5000
Cost of Material $35,000
Cost of Energy $15,000
Productivity Measurement
•
Example-Productivity Measurement
•
•
Competitiveness
Strategy
• A plan for achieving organizational goals
• Serves as a roadmap for reaching the organizational destinations
• Organizations have
• Organizational strategies
• Overall strategies that relate to the entire organization
• Support the achievement of organizational goals and mission
• Functional level strategies
• Strategies that relate to each of the functional areas and that
support achievement of the organizational strategy
Core Competencies
• The unique strengths of a business or the special attributes or abilities that
give an organization a competitive edge.
• A firm’s core competence can be exceptional service, higher quality, faster
delivery, or lower cost.
• Core competencies are more likely to be processes, a company’s ability to
do certain things better than a competitor.
• iPod was a breakthrough product, it is Apple’s ability to turn out hit
product after hit product such as iPhone, iPad, MacBook, etc. that gives it
that competitive advantage.
• Core competencies are not static. It changes over the time. Example: Dell,
Walmart.
• It helps define a business strategy is an understanding of the
company’s strengths.
• Companies need to continually evaluate the characteristics of their
products or services that prompt customer purchase; that is, the order
qualifiers and order winners.
Order Winners and Order Qualifiers
• Order qualifiers are the characteristics of a product or service that qualify
it to be considered for purchase by a customer.
• The absence of any of these attributes will result in the customer removing
the product or service from his or her list of items under consideration.
• An order winner is a criterion, or possibly a set of criteria, that
differentiates the products or services of one firm from those of another.
• Depending on the situation, the order-winning criteria may be the cost of
the product (price), product quality and reliability, or any of the other
dimensions developed earlier.
• What constitutes order-winning and order-qualifying attributes might
change from time to time.
• Marketing helps to identify these qualifiers and winners.
• Characteristics under the purview of operations and supply chain
management, such as cost, speed to the market, speed of delivery, or
customization, are also considered as qualifiers and winners.
The role of Operations Strategy
Can we do it?
• Manufacturability - the capability of an organization to produce an item at
an acceptable profit
Output is the
project mission
Includes statement
assessment of which specifies
Precedes Begins with
technology the target
Project corporate
development market of the
Approval strategy
and market product,
objectives busines goal,
key
assumptions
Phase 1: Concept Development
One or more
Alternative
Needs of target concepts are
product concepts
market are selected for further
are generated and
identified development and
evaluated.
testing
Phase 2: System Level Design
Geometric layout of
the product
functional
Decomposition of Final assembly specification of
the product into scheme for the each of the product
subsystem and production system subsystem
components is usually defined - Process flow
diagram for the
final assembly
process
Phase 3: Detail Design
Complete
specifications
of all parts, Identification Tooling is
Process plan
materials, of all designed for
is established
and tolerance standard parts each part
of all the
unique parts
Phase 4: Testing and Refinement
Products
Product is Need to train may be
Transition to
made using workers and supplied to
ongoing
the intended resolve any preferred
production
production remaining customers
is gradual
system problems for
evaluation
Organization For Product
Development
Product design and development is an interdisciplinary effort.
Marketing, Design, Finance, Production Planning functions also play a
major role in translating the concept to meaningful products that can be
manufactured at an attractive cost.
An organizational structure is vital for a good product development
process.
In the traditional approach, each functional area addressed its part in the
product development process in isolation.
Traditional approach is a time consuming approach.
Marketin Procureme Producti
Design Planning Finance
g nt on
Organization For Product Development
Concurrent Engineering-
▪ Basic idea behind this is to put together a team of cross-functional professionals and
provide them with necessary resources and mandate for product development process.
Customer
s
▪ Benefits of Concurrent Engineering:
a. Low Lead time
Marketing Planning
b. Increase productivity
c. Suppliers are involved in the
product development process.
Design Concurrent
Engineering
Procureme
nt
Suppliers can able to cut lead time
for capacity augmentation.
d. Promotes consensus-based
decision making and increase the
Productio
Supplier
n propensity for collective risk-
Finance taking.
Quality Function Deployment (QFD)
Quick cool-down 3 X A B
Easy and
Automatic shutoff
Number of holes
Material used in
Size of soleplate
Weight of iron
Size of holes
soleplate
soleplate
450º F
100º
Customer Requirements
Presses quickly - - + + + -
Removes wrinkles + + + + +
Doesn’t stick to fabric - + +
Irons
well
+ +
Provides enough steam + + + +
Doesn’t spot fabric + - - -
Doesn’t scorch fabric + + + - +
Heats quickly - - + -
safe to use
Easy and
Automatic shut-off
+
Quick cool-down - - + +
Doesn’t break when dropped + + +
+
Doesn’t burn when touched +
+ + +
Not too heavy + - - - + -
Product design characteristics are also interrelated, shown in the roof of
the house.
For example, increasing the thickness of the soleplate would increase the
weight of the iron but decrease the energy need to press. Also, a thicker
soleplate would decrease the flow of water through the holes, and
increase the time it takes for the iron to heat up or cool.
Designers must take all these factors into consideration when determining
a final design.
Energy needed to press
Weight of iron
-
Size of soleplate
+
Thickness of soleplate
Material used in
-
soleplate
+
Number of holes
+
Size of holes
Flow of water from holes
Time required to reach
450º
Time to go from 450º to
100º
Protective cover for
soleplate
Automatic shutoff
The last section of the house adds the quantitative measures to our design
characteristics.
Measuring our iron X against the competitors A and B, we find that our
iron is heavier, larger and has a thicker soleplate. Also, it takes longer to
heat up and cool down, but requires less energy to press and provides
more steam than other irons.
To decide which design characteristics to change, we compare the
estimated impact of the change with the estimated cost.
We rate these factors on a common scale from 1 to 5, with 5 being the
most.
As long as the estimated impact exceeds the estimated cost, we should
make a change.
N
Objective
measures
Iron B
Target values
Estimated cost
4
Iron A 3
Design changes
Our Iron (X)
Estimated impact
3
3
2
1.2
1.4
Units of measure
*
3
4
1.2
1.7
8x4
8x4
ft-lb
*
3
4
1
2
lb
8x5
9x5
*
3
3
4
4
SS
in.
MG
Weight of iron
*
4
5
T
SS
27
27
cm
Size of soleplate
*
3
4
ty
Thickness of soleplate
30
35
15
15
15
0.3
0.5
Number of holes
3
2
35
45
0.7
mm
Size of holes
*
4
5
30
50
350
500
oz/s
5
3
Y
Y
Automatic shutoff
Y/
A Series of Connected QFD Houses
Product
characteristics
requirement
Customer
Part
A-1 characteristics
characteristic
s
Process
House A-2
Product
characteristics
of
characteristic
quality
s
Parts A-3 Operations
deployment
Part
characteristic
s
Process A-4
Process
planning
s
Operating
requirements
Value Engineering (VE) / Value Analysis (VA)
Value Engineering (VE) / Value
Analysis (VA)
Value Analysis: Cost-Reduction Method
Value Engineering: Cost-Avoidance Method
Example:
TATA Nano project had ambitious cost targets to bring to the
market an Rs. 1,00,000 car. Expectedly, the supplier had to make
the use of Value Engineering efforts.
Design for X (DfX)
Design for Excellence
Excellence in terms of manufacturing, in terms of assembly, in terms of cost.
Systematic design approach that entails wide range of guidelines and
standards targeting different phases of product life cycle.
Design for
manufactur
ing
Design
for
Reliabilit
Df Design for
Costing
y
X
Deign for Design for
Disassembly Service
Design for
Environment
Design for Manufacturing (DfM)
Structured approach to ensure that manufacturing requirements and
preferences are considered fairly early in the design process.
Design guidelines are intended to be used by the designers during the design
phase.
DfM guidelines address three set of generic requirements:
a. Reducing cost Product
b. Considering Operational Convenience Design Design Product
Problem Process Design
c. Reducing Cost.
Design Effectiveness
Strategic Measure
Market Impact
Economic Analysis of Product
Development Project
Evaluate the economic impact of a new product on a company.
For Example, CI-700’s (New photograph printer) development, the team faces
several decisions that it knows could have a significant impact on the
product’s profitability:
• Should the team take more time for development in order to make the
product available on multiple computer “platforms,” or would a delay in
bringing the CI-700 to market be too costly?
Economic analysis is useful in at least two different circumstances
1. Go/no-go milestones
2. Operational design and development decisions
Building a base-case financial model
◦ Compute net present value
◦ Good estimates of cash flows
Economic Analysis of Product
Development Project
The most basic categories of cash flow for a typical new product
development project are:
a. Development cost (all remaining design, testing, and refinement costs up
to production ramp-up)
b. Ramp-up cost
c. Marketing and support cost
d. Production cost
e. Sales revenue
Thank You
Service Design
Characteristics of Services
• Services are intangible
• Service output is variable
• Services have higher customer contact
• Services are perishable
• The service and the service delivery are inseparable
• Services tend to be decentralized and geographically dispersed
• Services are consumed more often than products
• Services can be easily emulated
Service Design Process
Service design is more comprehensive and occurs more often than
product design.
-Inherent variability of service processes requires that the service system be
carefully.
Service design process beginning with a service concept and ending with
service delivery.
The service concept defines the purpose of a service and the target
customer and the desired customer experience.
It also defines how our service is different from other and how it will
compete in the market place.
- Amazon excels at customer service for online orders.
From the service concept, a service package is created to meet customer
needs.
Service Design Process
The service package consists of:
a. Physical items.
b. Sensual benefits.
c. Psychological benefits
• For a restaurant the physical items consist of the facility, food, drinks,
tableware, napkins, and other touchable commodities.
▪ The sensual benefits include the taste and aroma of the food and the
sights and sounds of the people.
▪ Psychological benefits are rest and relaxation, comfort, status, and a sense
of well-being.
Service Design Process
Finding the appropriate mix of physical items and sensual and psychological
benefits and designing them to be consistent with each other.
From the service package, service specifications are developed for
performance, design, and delivery.
◦ Performance specifications outline expectations and requirements for
general and specific customers.
◦ Converted into design specifications and, finally, delivery specifications.
◦ Design specifications must describe the service in sufficient detail for the
desired service experience to be replicated. (activities to be performed, skill
requirements, guidelines for service providers, cost and time estimates).
◦ Delivery specifications outline the steps required in the work process,
including the work schedule, deliverables, and the locations at which the
work is to be performed
Service Design
Process
Service-Process Matrix
Both Customers and Service Providers may be involved in determining
performance, design, and delivery specification.
Service processes can be classified according to:
a. Degree of customization (Involvement of customer in service design and
delivery).
b. Labor Intensity (involvement of the service provider in the service design
and delivery)
Service-process matrix is based on these two service characteristics.
Service-Process Matrix
A. Professional Service: Such as accountant, lawyer, or doctor, is highly
customized and very labor intensive.
B. Service Shop: such as schools and hospitals, is less customized and
labor intensive but still attentive to individual customers.
C. Mass Service: such as retailing and banking, offers the same basic
services to all customers and allows less interaction with the service
provider.
D. Service Factory: Services with the least degree of customization and
labor intensity, such as airlines and trucking, are most like manufactured
products.
High Vs. Low Contact Services
Design High-Contact Low-Contact
Decision Service Service
Facility Convenient to Near labor or
location customer transportation
source
Facility Must look presentable, Designed for
layout accommodate efficiency
customer needs, and
facilitate interaction
with customer
High Vs. Low Contact Services
Design High-Contact Low-Contact
Decisions Service Service
◦ Additional information - the time taken for each stage of the process,
certain useful measures can be computed. For instance, one may be
able to estimate the time required to complete the process. Using this
information, one can also identify the bottlenecks in the process and the
productive capacity of the process.
Planning Premises and Process
Implication
Three generic planning premises are in use in operations management:
make to stock, make to order, and assemble to order.
❑ Make-to-Stock:-
◦ The basic approach to planning in the MTS system is to schedule
production for the purpose of replenishing stocks to some
predetermined level.
◦ Based on the estimate of the demand and the available inventory of
finished goods on hand, the exact production quantity for the planning
period is arrived at.
◦ Such systems are more applicable to organizations with fewer product
varieties and high production volume, as in the case of continuous and
streamlined flow systems.
◦ MTS is suitable for mass production systems.
Planning Premises and Process Implication
❑ Make-to-order (MTO)-
• In this approach, no efforts are directed towards production until a firm
customer order is available.
◦ Once a customer order is launched into the production system, the
requirement details are computed and production is planned.
◦ It may be necessary for certain types of organizations to use the MTO
planning methodology. These organizations are typically manufacturers
of products with high variety and low volumes
Planning Premises and Process Implication
❑ Assemble-to-order-
• Intermediate to MTS and MTO.
◦ The ATO planning framework incorporates some of the features of MTS
into the MTO planning methodology to create a hybrid version.
◦ The system utilizes MTS for the early stages of the manufacturing
process.
◦ At the later and final stages of the manufacturing system, the planning
changes to that of MTO.
◦ If there is a high degree of commonality in the parts and sub-assembly
level, then the volume of production and demand will be high.
Therefore, typical MTS planning will be efficient.
◦ More applicable in mid volume and mid variety manufacturing system.
◦ Also applicable in service.
Analyzing the process
Throughput time (flow time):- Throughput time (TPUT) is the elapsed time
from the first stage of the process to the last stage of the process. It is also
known as flow time.
Cycle time: Cycle time is the elapsed time between two successive outputs
from a process that is continuously operating in a given period of time.
◦ For instance, in a bread-making process, if a loaf of baked bread comes out
of the system every 20 seconds, then the cycle time for the process is 20
seconds.
Bottleneck: That stage of the process that dictates the output of a process is
the bottleneck.
• Let us assume that in the bread-making example, the baking of the bread in
the oven takes 20 seconds and all other processes take less than 20 seconds.
In this case, the baking process is the bottleneck. The processing time at
the bottleneck is the cycle time for the process.
The throughput rate is the output rate that the process is expected to
produce over a period of time. It is the mathematical inversion of the cycle
time.
Illustrative Example
A toy manufacturer receives crafted toys from local carpenters and
performs the final operations before stocking it for sale.
The process consists of five steps.
• The first step is to arrange a set of four toys in a pallet.
• After this, the pallet moves to the next station where the toys are pre-
treated.
• The next step is to send it to the spray-painting chamber, where it is
painted as per the specifications. At present, there is one spray-painting
machine.
• After painting, it is left in an open area for drying. The painting process
and the pre-treatment process are specialized so the paint dries quickly.
• Finally, the toys are inspected and packed.
Illustrative Example
• Step 1 (Preparation of toys): 8 minutes
• Step 2 (Pre-treatment): 12 minutes
• Step 3 (Painting): 20 minutes
• Step 4 (Drying): 10 minutes
• Step 5 (Inspection and packing): 5 minutes
What is the throughput time for this manufacturing process?
Identify the bottleneck for this process.
What is the cycle time for this process?
What is the productive capacity of the process?
Illustrative Example
❑ The throughput time for the process is the sum of all processing times. In
this example, the throughput time is 55 minutes. This implies that if all the
required resources are available, then from the time the job is launched
at the first step, a pallet consisting of four toys will come out of the system
after 55 minutes.
❑ The bottleneck is that stage of the process that dictates the output of the
process. In our example, the spray painting is the bottleneck.
❑ The cycle time is determined by the process time at the bottleneck station
in the process. In this example, cycle time is 20 minutes. The implication
of this is that when the process operates in a continuous manner, then
one can expect a pallet of finished toys to come out every 20 minutes.
❑ In order to compute the productive capacity of the process, we shall compute
the production rate at each stage of the process.
Intermittent Flow
Types of Manufacturing Process
C. Manufacturing Cell: (Batch Processing)
▪ Batch processing is used when a moderate volume of goods or services is
desired, and it can handle a moderate variety in products or services.
▪ A manufacturing cell layout is a dedicated area where products that are
similar in processing requirements are produced.
▪ These cells are designed to perform a specific set of processes, and the cell are
dedicated to a limited range of products.
▪ processing is still intermittent
▪ It processes many different jobs through the production system at the same
time in groups or batches.
▪ Examples of batch systems include bakeries, which make bread, cakes, or
cookies in batches
Types of Manufacturing Process
d. Assembly line: (Repetitive)
▪ An assembly line is where work processes are arranged according to the
progressive steps by which the product is made.
▪ It produces large volumes of a standard product for a mass market.
▪ The assembly line steps are done in areas (“stations”) and typically the
stations are linked by some form of material handling device.
▪ Process design for streamlined flow can be visualized at two levels in a
mass production system. At the overall level, each product will flow
across departments in a streamlined fashion. Furthermore, within each
department, there will be an orderly flow of components and materials.
• This type of arrangement of manufacturing resources for mass
production in known as flow shop.
Types of Manufacturing Process
▪ Product demand is stable, and product volume is high. Goods that are mass
produced include automobiles, televisions, personal computers, fast food, and
most consumer goods.
Types of Manufacturing Process
d. Continuous Production: is used for very high-volume commodity
products that are very standardized. The system is highly automated and
is typically in operation continuously 24 hours a day. Refined oil, treated
water, paints, chemicals, and foodstuffs are produced by continuous
production.
Difference among the manufacturing
process
Repetitive/
Job Shop Batch Assembly Continuous
Description Customized Semi- Standardized Highly
goods or standardized goods or standardized
services goods or services Goods or
services services
Advantages Able to handle a Flexibility; easy Low unit Very efficient,
wide variety to add or cost, high very
of work change volume, high volume
products or efficient
services
Disadvantage Slow, high cost Moderate cost Low flexibility, Very rigid, lack
s per unit, per unit, high cost of of
complex moderate downtime variety, costly
planning and scheduling to change,
scheduling complexity very high cost
of downtime
Process Selection With Break-Even Analysis
▪ Several Quantitative techniques are available for selecting a process.
▪ The choice of which specific equipment to use in a process often can be
based on an analysis of cost trade-offs.
▪ For example, if we need to drill holes in a piece of metal, the general-
purpose option may be to use a simple hand drill. An alternative special-
purpose drill is a drill press.
▪ The trade-offs involve the cost of the equipment (the manual drill is
inexpensive, and the drill press expensive), the setup time (the manual
drill is quick, while the drill press takes some time), and the time per unit
(the manual drill is slow, and the drill press quick).
▪ A standard approach to choosing among alternative processes or
equipment is break-even analysis.
Process Selection With Break-Even Analysis
▪ The ‘best’ method depends on the anticipated volume of demand for the
product and the trade off between fixed costs and variable costs.
Example: Suppose a manufacturer has identified the following options for
obtaining a machined part: It can buy the part at $200 per unit (including
materials); it can make the part on a numerically controlled
semiautomatic lathe at $75 per unit (including materials); or it can make
the part on a machining center at $15 per unit (including materials).
There is negligible fixed cost if the item is purchased; a semiautomatic
lathe costs $80,000; and a machining center costs $200,000.
Process Selection With Break-Even Analysis
Process Selection With Break-Even Analysis
If demand is expected to be more than 2,000 units (point A), the machine
center is the best choice because this would result in the lowest total cost.
If demand is between 640 (point B) and 2,000 units, the semiautomatic
lathe is the cheapest.
If demand is less than 640 (between 0 and point B), the most economical
course is to buy the product.
Consider the effect of revenue, assuming the part sells for $300 each.
Profit (or loss) is the vertical distance between the revenue line and the
alternative process cost at a given number of units.
At 1,000 units, for example, maximum profit is the difference between the
$300,000 revenue (point C) and the semiautomatic lathe cost of $155,000
(point D)
Process Selection with Break-Even Part
Example 2: Travis and Jef, the owner of Up Right Paddlers, a new startup
company with the goal of designing, making, and marketing stand-up
paddle boards for streams and rivers. The boards are constructed from
heavy duty raft material that is inflatable, rather than the fiberglass
material used in surfboards. Travis design a process (semiautomatic) the
fixed cost for equipment and space will be $2,000, and the material and
labor costs will run $50 per unit. Jeff, the more optimistic owners, believes
that demand for paddle boards will exceed the breakeven point of 40
units He proposes spending $10,000 in fixed costs to buy more automated
equipment that would reduce the materials and labor cost to $30 per
board. The boards would sell for $100, regardless of which manufacturing
process is chosen. Compare the two processes and determine for what
level of demand each process would be preferred. Label Travis’ proposal
as Process A, and Jeff’s proposal as Process B.
Manufacturing Process Analysis
❑ A company supplies a component from our emerging plant to several
large auto manufacturers. This component is assembled in a shop by 15
workers working an eight-hour shift on an assembly line that moves at
the rate of 150 components per hour. The workers receive their pay in the
form of a group incentive amounting to $0.30 per completed good part.
This wage is distributed equally among the workers. Management
believes that it can hire 15 more workers for a second shift if necessary.
Parts for the final assembly come from two sources. The molding
department makes one very critical part, and the rest come from outside
suppliers.
o 11 Machines are capable of doing the one part done in-house.
o One machine is being overhauled or repaired at any given time.
o Each Machines requires one full time operator.
o Machine can produce 25 parts per hour.
o Workers are paid $0.20 for each good parts.
o Overtime is $0.30 for each good parts.
o Employment is flexible. Currently 6 workers are available and 4 more are
available from the labor pool of the company.
o The raw materials for each part molded cost $ 0.10 per part; a detailed analysis
by the accounting department has concluded that $ 0.02 of electricity is used in
making each part.
o The parts purchased from the outside cost $ 0.3 for each final component
produced.
o This entire operation is located in a rented building costing $100 per week.
Supervision, maintenance, and clerical employees receive $1,000 per week. The
accounting department charges depreciation for equipment against this
operation at $50 per week.
Manufacturing Process Analysis
a) Determine the capacity of the entire process
◦ Are the capacities balanced?
b) If the molding process were to use 10 machines instead of 6, what
would be the capacity of the entire process?
c) If the company went to a second shift of eight more hours on the
assembly task, what would be the new capacity?
d) Determine the cost per unit output when the capacity is 6,000 per week
or 10,000 per week
Manufacturing Process Analysis
Manufacturing Process Analysis
Manufacturing Process Analysis
D.1. Cost Per unit when the output = 6000 units
Manufacturing Process Analysis
Cost per unit when output =10,000 units.
Facility Layout
Layout Planning
Layout planning in manufacturing and service organizations involves the
physical arrangement of various resources available in the system to
improve the performance of the operating system, thereby providing better
customer service.
The basic objective of layout design is to facilitate a smooth flow of work,
material, and information through the system.
Supporting objectives:
◦ To facilitate attainment of product or service quality.
◦ To use workers and space efficiently.
◦ To avoid bottlenecks.
◦ To minimize material handling costs.
◦ To eliminate unnecessary movements of workers or materials.
◦ To minimize production time or customer service time.
◦ To design for safety.
Types of Layout Planning
Operations management researchers and practitioners have evolved four
major types of layouts.
a. Product Layout
b. Process Layout
c. Fixed Position Layout
d. Group Technology Layout.
Product Layout
A product layout is an design for the arrangement of resources.
Product Layouts are used to achieve a smooth and rapid flow of large
volumes of goods or customers through a system.
In this case, the order in which the resources are placed exactly follows
the process sequence dictated by a product.
Resulting in smooth component flow in the shop.
The final assembly in several manufacturing plants follows a product
layout.
Product Layout
The assembly workstations are designed in such a manner that at each
workstation a part of the job is completed.
The feeder stations are linked to the assembly workstations to ensure
material availability. As the product moves through the assembly, the
process is completed. Testing, final inspection, and even packing could be
part of this layout, so that at the end of the line it is ready for dispatch to
the market.
If you visit the Chinchwad plant of Tata Motors at Pune, you will notice
that there are nearly 180 workstations involved in the final assembly of
the Tata Indica. As the chassis moves through these stations, the car is
assembled in a progressive fashion, and at the end the car is ready for
dispatch.
Product Layout
Product Layout
The major concern in a product layout is balancing the assembly line so
that no one workstation becomes a bottleneck and holds up the flow of
work through the line.
❑ Necessary: ❑ Evil:
• Decoupling • Capital tied up unused – no
• Disruption control value addition at present
• Reduction of no. of orders / • Obsolescence, depreciation
machine setups • Risky for perishable products
• Hedging against inflation • Resistance to NPD / use of
• Availing quantity discounts substitute materials
• Facing uncertainty
Inventory Classification Problem
• In several ways we can define an inventory problem.
• What are the factors actually determined the inventory problem?
Repetitiveness
• Single Order
• Repeat Order
Supply Source
• Outside Supply
• Inside Supply
Knowledge of Demand
• Constant demand or Variable demand
• Independent demand or Dependent demand
Inventory Classification Problem
Knowledge of Lead Time
• Constant Lead Time
• Variable Lead Time
Kinds of Inventory System
• Q-System or Continuous Review
• P-System or Periodic Review.
• MRP
• Single order quantity
Types of Inventory
Cyclic inventory – regular production or purchase in batches
Safety stock – safeguard against uncertainty of demand & supply
Decoupling stocks – manage mismatch or independent operations among
depts, decision making units
Anticipation inventory – seasonal stock.
Pipeline inventory – in-transit inventory, work-in-process inventory
Inventory planning for
independent Item
Inventory planning of independent demand items must address the
following two key questions:
• How Much?
- The replenishment could be of a fixed quantity or variable.
- It could be based on the cost associated.
- It could also satisfy certain practical considerations such as truck
capacity, quantity discount, minimum order quantity restriction
posed by the suppliers.
• When?
- The other issue is related to timing of the replenishment.
- Since demand is continuous and uncertain, the timing of
replenishment is equally important.
Inventory Related Costs
There are several costs associated with inventory planning and control.
These costs could be classified under three broad categories:
• The cost of carrying an inventory.
• The cost associated with ordering material and replenishing it in
cyclic intervals.
• The cost arising out of shortages.
▪ Inventory control models should take these into consideration and aim at
minimizing the sum of all these costs.
• Sometimes, the unit cost of the item for which inventory planning is done
is also a relevant cost for decision making.
• This is because when large quantities are ordered, there could be some
discount in the unit cost of the item.
Inventory Carrying Cost
The most significant component is the interest for the short-term
borrowals for the working capital required for inventory investment.
The second significant cost relates to the cost of stores and warehousing
and the administrative costs related to maintaining inventory and
accounting for it.
The elements of storing and warehousing costs include the following:
• Investment in store space and storage and retrieval systems.
• Software for maintaining the inventory status.
• Managerial and other administrative manpower to discharge various
activities related to stores.
• Insurance costs.
• Cost of obsolescence, pilferage, damages, and wastage.
All the costs related to carrying inventory are directly related to the level
of inventory
Inventory Ordering Cost
Replenishment of cyclic inventory is achieved by ordering material with
the suppliers.
Organizations perform a series of tasks related to ordering material.
• Search and identification of appropriate sources of supply.
• Price negotiation.
• contracting and purchase-order generation.
• Follow-up and receipt of material.
Ordering cost is independent of size of replenishment i.e. fixed in nature.
Ordering a larger quantity could reduce the total costs of ordering.
As the order size increased the number order will decrease.
Trade off between total ordering
cost and total inventory carrying
cost
• The total cost of carrying and the cost of ordering are fundamentally two
opposing cost structures in inventory planning.
• When the order quantity becomes smaller, the total cost of carrying
inventory decreases.
• On the other hand, since a large number of orders are to be placed to
satisfy the demand, the total ordering costs will go up.
• Balancing these two opposing costs will be central to inventory planning
and control in any organization
Shortage cost
Shortage costs result when demand exceeds the supply of inventory on
hand.
Shortage costs includes
▪ cost of the adverse effect due to non-availability of materials (includes
intangibles like loss of image to customers, loyalty etc.),
▪ lost sales / backorder etc.
• When the demand is not met and the order is canceled, this is referred to
as a stock out.
• A backorder is when the order is held and filled at a later date when the
inventory for the item is replenished.
How much to order: Economic
Order Quantity (EOQ)
EOQ models identify the optimal order quantity by minimizing the total
inventory cost that vary with order size and order frequency.
It is used to identify a fixed order size that will minimize the sum of the
annual costs of holding inventory and ordering inventory.
The unit purchase price of items in inventory is not generally included in
the total cost because the unit cost is unaffected by the order size unless
quantity discounts are a factor
This basics model involves some basic assumptions
• Only product is involved.
• Annual demand requirements are known
• Demand rate is reasonably constant
• Instantaneous replenishment.
• No quantity discount.
How much to order: Economic
Order Quantity (EOQ)
Item no. Unit Value Annual Consumption Cum number Cum Value
(Rs) Consumption Value (Rs) of items (%) (%)
1 30000 80 2400000 5.00 62.96
2 450 1200 540000 10.00 77.12
3 590 400 236000 15.00 83.32
…… …… …… …… ...... …….
18 80 100 8000 90.00 99.90
19 25 100 2500 95.00 99.96
20 1 1500 1500 100.00 100.00
Percentage of Annual Cummula
Item Stock Unit Value Annual Dollar Percentage of Annual
number of Consumption tive Class
Number ($) Volume Dollar Volume
Item stocked (units) percent
#10286 1000 90 90,000 0.387835747 38.8
20% A
#11526 500 154 77,000 0.331815028 72
#12760 1550 17 26,350 0.113549688 83.3
#10867 30% 350 42.86 15001 0.0646436 89.7 B
#10500 1000 12.5 12500 0.053866076 95.1
#12572 600 14.17 8502 0.03663755 98.8
#14075 2000 0.6 1200 0.005171143 99.3
#01036 50% 100 8.5 850 0.003662893 99.7 C
#01307 1200 0.42 504 0.00217188 99.9
#10572 250 0.6 150 0.000646393 1
8550 2,32,057
VED analysis:
On the basis of criticality of items in operations.
V: Vital or highly critical items
E: Essential or moderately critical items
D: Desirable or non-critical items
FSN analysis:
On the basis of movement of inventory or period of stocking.
F: Fast moving items
S: Slow moving items
N: Non - moving items
Forecasting
Forecasting
• Forecasts are a basic input in the decision processes of operations
management because they provide information on future demand.
• The primary goal of operations management is to match supply to
demand.
• Having a forecast of demand is essential for determining how much
capacity or supply will be needed to meet demand.
• For instance, operations needs to know what capacity will be needed to
make staffing and equipment decisions, budgets must be prepared,
purchasing needs information for ordering from suppliers, and supply
chain partners need to make their plans
• Many businesses, most or all of anticipated demand is derived from
forecasts.
Forecasting
• Two aspects of forecasts are important.
One is the expected level of demand.
The degree of accuracy that can be assigned to a forecast.
• The expected level of demand can be a function of some structural
variation, such as a trend or seasonal variation.
• Forecast accuracy is a function of the ability of forecasters to correctly
model demand, random variation, and sometimes unforeseen events.
• Forecasts are made with reference to a specific time horizon.
Components of Forecasting
Demand
• The type of forecasting method to use depends on several factors,
including
• The time frame of the forecast (i.e. how far in the future is being
forecasted).
• The behavior of demand and the possible existence of patterns (trends,
seasonality, cycle)
• The causes of demand behavior.
❑ Time Frame:-
• Forecasts are either short-to-mid-range, or long-range.
• Short-range (to mid-range) forecasts are typically for daily, weekly, or
monthly sales demand for up to approximately two years into the future.
• They are primarily used to determine production and delivery schedules
and to establish inventory levels.
Components of Forecasting
Demand
• A long-range forecast is usually for a period longer than two years into the
future.
• A long-range forecast is normally used for strategic planning—to establish
long-term goals, plan new products for changing markets, enter new
markets, develop new facilities, develop technology, design the supply
chain, and implement strategic programs.
❑ Demand Behavior:-
• Demand exhibits predictable behavior, with trends or repetitive patterns,
which the forecast may reflect.
• The four types of demand behavior are trends, cycles, seasonal patterns,
and random
• A trend is a gradual, long-term up or down movement of demand.
◦ For example, the demand for houses has followed an upward trend during the
past few decades
Components of Forecasting
Demand
• Random variations are movements that are not predictable and follow
no pattern (and thus are virtually unpredictable). They are routine
variations that have no “assignable” cause.
• A seasonal pattern is an oscillating movement in demand that occurs
periodically (in the short run) and is repetitive. Seasonality is often
weather-related.
For example, every winter the demand for sweaters and Jackets increases,
demand of firecrackers increase during Diwali.
• A cycle is an up-and-down movement in demand that repeats itself over a
lengthy time span (i.e., more than a year).
◦ For example, The demand for winter sports equipment increases every
four years before and after the Winter Olympics.
Components of Forecasting
Demand
Forecasting Process
1. Identify the purpose of 2. Collect historical data 3. Plot data and identify
forecast patterns
7.
Is accuracy of No 8b. Select new forecast
forecast model or adjust
acceptable? parameters of existing
model
Yes
9. Adjust forecast based on 10. Monitor results and
8a. Forecast over planning
additional qualitative measure forecast accuracy
horizon
information and insight
Sources of Data
• Forecasting is often only as good as the quality and quantity of data
available.
• Therefore, it is important to know the type of data required and the
normal sources through which such data could be collected.
Sales-force Estimates-
• For every organization, one of the most valuable sources of data is the
sales force that operates in the field.
• The sales force spans the entire geographical range of operation, they
have access to data on the actual consumption and the changing patterns
in consumption.
• Using this data, organizations can make an end-use analysis to project
emerging scenarios in market demand
Sources of Data
Point of Sales (POS) Data System-
• Advances in information technology have enabled organizations to
capture data at the point of sale using POS systems.
• Using POS technology, as a customer buys a unit of an organization’s
product at a retail counter, the information is captured and
instantaneously transferred to a common database
• Giant retail chains such as Wal-Mart is attributed to the use of POS
systems. You may find similar systems in use in Indian retail chains such
as Big Bazaar, More, and Reliance Mart
Sources of Data
Forecasts from supply chain partners:-
• Organizations often have to rely on their supply chain partners to obtain
data on actual sales during a period.
• Moreover, supply chain partners provide vital information on market
trends, competitor performance, and overall market sentiments and
projections. These estimates are crucial for accurate forecasting of future
demand, particularly during annual planning exercises.
Trade/Industry Association Journal
Economic surveys and Indicators- Economic research agencies such as
the Central Statistical Organization (CSO) and the Centre for Monitoring
Indian Economy (CMIE) provide useful data to model these situations and
estimate the emerging demand for such products.
Forecasting Methods
• Three basic types of forecasting: Time series methods, Causal methods, and
Qualitative methods.
❑ Time Series Forecasting: -
• Time series methods are statistical techniques that make use of historical
data accumulated over a period of time.
• Time series methods assume that what has occurred in the past will
continue to occur in the future.
• These methods assume that identifiable historical patterns or trends for
demand over time will repeat themselves.
• These methods relate the forecast to only one factor—time.
• They include the moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear
trend line; and they are among the most popular methods
Simple Moving Average
Three months Moving Average
ORDERS MOVING 3
MONTH PER MONTH AVERAGE
Jan 120 Σ
i = 1 Di
Feb 90 MA3 =
Mar 100 3
Apr 75
May 110
June 50
July 75
Aug 130
Sept 110
Oct 90
Nov -
Three months Moving Average
ORDERS MOVING 3
MONTH PER MONTH AVERAGE
Jan 120 – Σ
i = 1 Di
Feb 90 – MA3 =
Mar 100 – 3
Apr 75 103.3
May 110 88.3 90 + 110 + 130
= 3
June 50 95.0
July 75 78.3
Aug 130 78.3 = 110 orders for Nov
Sept 110 85.0
Oct 90 105.0
Nov - 110.0
Five Months Moving Average
ORDERS MOVING 5
MONTH PER MONTH AVERAGE
Jan 120 Σ
i = 1 Di
Feb 90 MA5 =
Mar 100 5
Apr 75
May 110
June 50
July 75
Aug 130
Sept 110
Oct 90
Nov -
Five Months Moving Average
ORDERS MOVING 5
MONTH PER MONTH AVERAGE
Jan 120 – Σ
i = 1 Di
Feb 90 – MA5 =
Mar 100 – 5
Apr 75 –
May 110 – 90 + 110 + 130+75+50
= 5
June 50 99.0
July 75 85.0
Aug 130 82.0 = 91 orders for Nov
Sept 110 88.0
Oct 90 95.0
Nov - 91.0
Smoothing Effects
Weighted Moving Average
= 103.4 orders
Exponential Smoothing
• Exponential smoothing is also an averaging method that weights the
most recent data more strongly.
• The forecast will react more to recent changes in demand.
• This is useful if the recent changes in the data are significant and
unpredictable instead of just random fluctuations (for which a simple
moving average forecast would suffice).
• Exponential smoothing is one of the more popular and frequently used
forecasting techniques.
Exponential Smoothing
Effect of Smoothing Factor
0.0 ≤ α ≤ 1.0
If α = 0.20, then F t +1 = 0.20 Dt + 0.80 F t
If α = 0, then F t +1 = 0 Dt + 1 F t = F t
Forecast does not reflect recent
data
If α = 1, then F t +1 = 1 Dt + 0 F t = Dt
Forecast based only on most
recent data
PERIOD MONTH DEMAND
1 Jan 37 F2 = αD1 + (1 - α)F1
2 Feb 40
3 Mar 41
4 Apr 37
5 May 45
F3 = αD2 + (1 - α)F2
6 Jun 50
7 Jul 43
8 Aug 47
9 Sep 56
10 Oct 52 F13 = αD12 + (1 - α)F12
11 Nov 55
12 Dec 54
PERIOD MONTH DEMAND
1 Jan 37 F2 = αD1 + (1 - α)F1
2 Feb 40 = (0.30)(37) + (0.70)(37)
3 Mar 41
4 Apr 37
= 37
5 May 45
F3 = αD2 + (1 - α)F2
6 Jun 50
7 Jul 43 = (0.30)(40) + (0.70)(37)
8 Aug 47 = 37.9
9 Sep 56
10 Oct 52 F13 = αD12 + (1 - α)F12
11 Nov 55 = (0.30)(54) + (0.70)(50.84)
12 Dec 54 = 51.79
FORECAST, F t + 1
PERIOD MONTH DEMAND (α = 0.3) (α = 0.5)
1 Jan 37 – –
2 Feb 40
3 Mar 41
4 Apr 37
5 May 45
6 Jun 50
7 Jul 43
8 Aug 47
9 Sep 56
10 Oct 52
11 Nov 55
12 Dec 54
13 Jan –
FORECAST, F t + 1
PERIOD MONTH DEMAND (α = 0.3) (α = 0.5)
1 Jan 37 – –
2 Feb 40 37.00 37.00
3 Mar 41 37.90 38.50
4 Apr 37 38.83 39.75
5 May 45 38.28 38.37
6 Jun 50 40.29 41.68
7 Jul 43 43.20 45.84
8 Aug 47 43.14 44.42
9 Sep 56 44.30 45.71
10 Oct 52 47.81 50.85
11 Nov 55 49.06 51.42
12 Dec 54 50.84 53.21
13 Jan – 51.79 53.61
Linear Trend
Linear Trend
Linear Trend
• Cell phone sales for a California-based firm over the last 10 weeks are shown in
the following table. Plot the data, and visually check to see if a linear trend line
would be appropriate. Then determine the equation of the trend line, and predict
sales for weeks 11 and 12.
Week Unit Sales
1 700
2 724
3 720
4 728
5 740
6 742
7 758
8 750
9 770
10 775
Linear Trend
• The coefficients of the line, a and b, are based on the following two
equations:-
Week(t) Unit Sales (y) ty t^2
1 700 700 1
2 724 1448 4
3 720 2160 9
4 728 2912 16
5 740 3700 25
6 742 4452 36
7 758 5306 49
8 750 6000 64
9 770 6930 81
10 775 7750 100
Forecast Accuracy
▪ A forecast is never completely accurate; forecasts will always deviate
from the actual demand.
▪ This difference between the forecast and the actual is the forecast error.
▪ The objective of forecasting is that it be as slight as possible.
A large degree of error may indicate that either the forecasting technique
is the wrong one or it needs to be adjusted by changing its parameters (for
example, in the exponential smoothing forecast).
Mean Absolute Deviation
• The mean absolute deviation, or MAD, is one of the most popular and
simplest to use measures of forecast error.
• MAD is an average of the difference between the forecast and actual
demand, as computed by the following formula
Mean Absolute Percent Deviation
• The mean absolute percent deviation (MAPD) measures the absolute
error as a percentage of demand rather than per period.
• As a result, it eliminates the problem of interpreting the measure of
accuracy relative to the magnitude of the demand and forecast values, as
MAD does.
• The mean absolute percent deviation is computed according to the
following formula:
Cumulative Error and Bias
• Cumulative error is computed simply by summing the forecast errors, as
shown in the following formula
3-month 5-month
MAD 3.93 5.49
MAPD 0.08 0.11
E 28.0 38.40
3.11 5.49
No. of demand
Input: periods 12
Alpha 0.30 0.5
Total
Inventory
cost 70000
One can represent this information using a standard data structure. Such a
structure is known as the bill of materials (BOM).
Bill of Materials (BOM)
Contains the complete
product description, listing Often called the product
the materials, parts, and structure file or product
components along with the tree because it shows how
sequence in which the a product is put together
product is created
The BOM
shows how the
product is put
together
Single Level BOM-simplest Modular bill of material
format are very useful to
Indented BOM-Multi-level represent product
format structures with several
Modular BOM varieties.
Bill of Material (BOM)
Parts List in a indented BOM List
Low-Level Coding
Level 0 in the independent demand item
Lower levels (higher numbers) refer to components and raw materials
In low-level coding, all identical items are placed at the same level of the
Bill of material
◦ This makes it a simple matter for the computer to scan across each level
and summarize the number of units of each item required
Problem
Consider a product, code-named A, manufactured by a company. Product
A is made of three Sub-assemblies B, C, and D. One unit of B, four units of
C, and two units of D are required for assembling one unit of Product A.
Sub-assembly B is made of two units of E and four units of F. Sub-
assembly C is made of two units of E and four units of D, whereas Sub-
assembly D is made of one unit of G and three units of H.
(a) Develop a BOM for Product A.
(b) How many units of D are required to manufacture 10 units of A?
The total number of D’s required for manufacturing
A =180
Lead Times for the components
Once managers determine when products are needed, they determine
when to acquire them.
The time required to acquire (that is, purchase, produce, or assemble) an
item is known as lead time.
Lead time for a manufactured item consists of move , setup , and assembly
or run times for each component.
For a purchased item, the lead time includes the time between recognition
of need for an order and when it is available for production.
Lead Times for the components
For example, consider the bill of material of product (“Awesome A”).
Item On-hand
Inventory
A 10
B 15
C 20
D 10
E 10
F 5
G 0
Gross and Net Material
Requirement Plan
Week
Item
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Gross Requirements 400
Scheduled Receipts 100
Projected on hand 100 100 100
Net Requirements 300
Planned Order
Receipts 300
Planned Order
Releases 300
Lead time of two weeks
Project Management
Project Management
Project management offers alternative tools and techniques to address
the planning and control issues pertaining to large-scale activities
performed in a non repetitive manner.
• Non-repetitive and single shot – no opportunity for correction
• Huge investment and future return – risk involvement
• Main objectives – time, cost and outcome of project
• Project may be composed of subprojects or a portfolio of simultaneous
projects
Project Life Cycle
1. Concept, definition and detailing
2. Feasibility Analysis – technical, market/commercial and financial
3. Project Scheduling
4. Project monitoring and control
Project Management
Project Scheduling
1. Decompose the project to small element of activity – by work
breakdown structure
2. Find out the precedence relationships among them
3. Apply network techniques
Network technique
Activity On Node (AON) or Activity On Arrow (AOA) diagram
Critical Path Method (CPM) – deterministic
Program Evaluation and Review Techniques(PERT) - probabilistic
Project Management-Tools and
Techniques
Activity Precedence
• The elementary unit of analysis in a project network is an activity.
• An activity constitutes an amount of work done towards the
completion of the project. Each activity consumes a set of resources
and takes a finite amount of time for completion.
• Every activity may have certain technological or logical constraints
that link it with its preceding and succeeding set of activities.
Let us consider a new product launch project. The broad set of activities
involved is as follows:
(a) Identify market needs (b) Develop the conceptual design (c) Develop
the detailed design (d) Create the market infrastructure (e) Plan
Production (f) Reach the market.
Project Management-Tools and
Techniques
Constructing the network
• A project has a set of activities that are
interlinked with each other in some fashion, a
graphical representation of the project
simplifies the portrayal of these relationships.
AON Network
Critical Path Method (CPM)
XYZ (P) Ltd specializes in constructing quality homes in the city of
Bangalore. XYZ is known for timely completion of its projects. Consider
one of the projects of XYZ. List of activities and the precedence
relationship with other activities and their duration.
Critical Path Method (CPM)
There are alternative paths leading from the start to the end point in any
project. In this example, the paths are:
Path 1: 1–2–3–5–7–8 (32 weeks)
Path 2: 1–2–3–4–5–7–8 (28 weeks)
Path 3: 1–2–6–7–8 (16 weeks)
Path 4: 1–2–3–5–6–7–8 (35 weeks)
Path 5: 1–2–3–4–5–6–7–8 (31 weeks)
The sum of the activity times along each path indicates the total time to
complete the set of activities in that path.
The time required for the completion of the project is the maximum of the
duration of all paths in a network. The path that has the maximum
duration is the critical path.
Critical Path Method (CPM)
Early start and late start schedules
• There are several activities in a project that are less critical. Shifting the
commencement of these activities back or forth to an extent may not have
an adverse impact on project completion.
• Activity C could start as soon as Activity A is over (8 weeks). However,
even if we delay commencement of Activity C by as much as 19 weeks, the
project completion will still not be affected. In other words, the earliest
start schedule for Activity C is Week 8 and the latest start schedule is Week
27.
• One can compute the early start schedules for all activities by going from
the beginning to end of the project.
• Similarly, one can compute late finish and late start schedules by going
from the end to the beginning of the project.
(ES,EF)=(Early Start, Early Finish)-moving from beginning
to end
[LS,LF]=[Late Start, Late Finish]- moving from end to
beginning
Critical Path Method (CPM)