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Crowding Out Research Paper

This paper discusses the causes and effects of government debt, which as of April 2025 stands at approximately $36.2 trillion in the U.S. Key causes include persistent budget deficits, economic crises, and rising healthcare costs, while effects encompass higher interest rates, slower economic growth, and reduced fiscal flexibility. The author emphasizes the need for careful management of debt to ensure economic stability and avoid burdening future generations.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
7 views3 pages

Crowding Out Research Paper

This paper discusses the causes and effects of government debt, which as of April 2025 stands at approximately $36.2 trillion in the U.S. Key causes include persistent budget deficits, economic crises, and rising healthcare costs, while effects encompass higher interest rates, slower economic growth, and reduced fiscal flexibility. The author emphasizes the need for careful management of debt to ensure economic stability and avoid burdening future generations.

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krjsion
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Jeon 1

Paul Jeon

Ms. Bagley

ECON520

April 8, 2025

The Burden of Borrowing: Causes and Effects of Government Debt

Government debt, often called national or public debt, is the total amount a government

owes its creditors when it spends more than it collects in revenue. As of April 2025, the U.S.

national debt stands at approximately $36.2 trillion, raising concerns about its sustainability

(U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data). This paper examines the primary causes of government debt—

budget deficits, economic crises, and rising healthcare costs—and its effects, including higher

interest rates, slower economic growth, and reduced fiscal flexibility. Through this analysis, it

becomes clear that unchecked government debt threatens long-term economic stability and

burdens future generations.

One major cause of government debt is persistent budget deficits. When a government’s

annual spending exceeds its tax revenue, it borrows to cover the shortfall. The Treasury Direct

Kids website explains this simply: “If the government spends $3 trillion but collects only $2

trillion in taxes, it must borrow $1 trillion” (Treasury Direct Kids). Economic crises amplify this

problem. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, U.S. spending surged by nearly 50%

from 2019 to 2021 to fund relief efforts, pushing the debt higher (U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data).

Rising healthcare costs also play a significant role, especially in the U.S., where the

Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts federal spending on Medicare and Medicaid will

rise from 5.8% of GDP in 2025 to 8.1% by 2055 (CBO). These factors—deficits, crises, and

healthcare—drive debt accumulation over time.


Jeon 2

The effects of high government debt are equally concerning. First, it can lead to higher

interest rates. When governments borrow heavily, they compete with private borrowers, driving

up borrowing costs. The Balance notes that this “crowding out” effect makes it harder for

businesses to invest, stunting growth (Kimberly Amadeo). Second, excessive debt may slow

economic growth. A World Bank study cited by The Balance suggests that when debt exceeds

77% of GDP, each additional percentage point reduces growth by 0.017 points (Amadeo). For

the U.S., with debt at 100% of GDP in 2025 and projected to hit 118% by 2035, this is a pressing

issue (CBO). Finally, high debt reduces fiscal flexibility. As interest payments grow—reaching

$881 billion in 2024 and projected to hit $1.8 trillion by 2035—less money is available for

schools, roads, or emergencies (CBO). These effects highlight the risks of unchecked borrowing.

In the U.S., these causes and effects are starkly visible. The national debt, now $36.2

trillion, reflects decades of deficits worsened by tax cuts, wars, and recent pandemics (U.S.

Treasury Fiscal Data). With debt held by the public at $29 trillion, or 100% of GDP, the CBO

warns of rising interest costs and potential economic slowdowns if trends continue (CBO). While

some argue debt fuels growth during crises, the long-term costs—higher rates, slower growth,

and limited options—suggest a need for balance. Personally, I believe this tradeoff matters:

borrowing today shouldn’t saddle tomorrow’s taxpayers with unmanageable bills.

In conclusion, government debt stems from deficits, crises, and healthcare costs, leading

to higher interest rates, slower growth, and less fiscal room to maneuver. The U.S. case shows

how these forces play out, with a debt trajectory that demands attention. Managing this burden

requires tough choices—raising revenue or cutting spending—to protect economic stability and

future generations. Without action, the weight of debt could become a crisis of its own.
Jeon 3

Works Cited

Amadeo, Kimberly. “What Is the Public Debt, and When Is It Too High?” The Balance,

31 Mar. 2025, www.thebalancemoney.com/what-is-the-public-debt-3306294. Accessed 6 Apr.

2025.

Congressional Budget Office. The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2025 to 2035. CBO,

Feb. 2025, www.cbo.gov/publication/60870. Accessed 6 Apr. 2025.

U.S. Department of the Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal Service. “Debt to the Penny.”

Fiscal Data, 4 Apr. 2025, fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/debt-to-the-penny/debt-to-the-penny.

Accessed 6 Apr. 2025.

U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Government—How Does the U.S. Government

Borrow Money?” TreasuryDirect KIDS, www.treasurydirect.gov/kids/borrow/borrow.htm.

Accessed 6 Apr. 2025.

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