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Chronology of Main Events, Shocks and Policy Shifts

The document outlines the economic developments in South Korea from 1953 to 2002, highlighting key events such as the establishment of the Korea Development Bank, multiple currency reforms, and the implementation of various economic plans aimed at industrialization and stabilization. It details the impact of foreign aid, the shift towards export-driven growth, and the challenges faced during economic crises, including the Asian financial crisis in 1997. The summary also notes significant policy changes, including labor market reforms and financial liberalization efforts throughout the decades.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
1 views6 pages

Chronology of Main Events, Shocks and Policy Shifts

The document outlines the economic developments in South Korea from 1953 to 2002, highlighting key events such as the establishment of the Korea Development Bank, multiple currency reforms, and the implementation of various economic plans aimed at industrialization and stabilization. It details the impact of foreign aid, the shift towards export-driven growth, and the challenges faced during economic crises, including the Asian financial crisis in 1997. The summary also notes significant policy changes, including labor market reforms and financial liberalization efforts throughout the decades.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1953

 Korean War armistice; post-war monetary clean-up via a 100-to-1 currency reform (the
“new won”), alongside tight foreign-exchange controls.

 US/UN aid structures define the economy: the Merchandise Procurement Committee
and the domestic “counterpart fund” system channel resources into reconstruction and
controlled imports.

1954

 State sets up long-term development finance by establishing the Korea Development


Bank (KDB) to fund industrial projects.

1955–1956

 Multiple exchange-rate regime entrenched (low official rate for imports; export-dollar
premiums for exporters) and high protection for import substitution—framework that
lasts to 1964.

1957

 US aid peaks; Washington pushes a formal Financial Stabilization Program (1957–


1960) to rein in deficits and money growth—Korean officials get their first systematic
monetary-control experience.

1958–1959

 Export-dollar premiums and subsidies rise; the effective (real) exchange rate for
exports peaks in 1959 under the multi-rate system.

1960

 Two devaluations begin the move toward a realistic rate (Feb and Oct): official rate
starts shifting up from 50 won/US$ toward 130 by early 1961, compressing the
premium on export dollars.

1961

 May coup ushers in the Park regime; within 10 days the Economic Planning Board
(EPB) is created with planning, budgeting and foreign-capital functions concentrated
under a deputy prime minister.

 Government takes effective control of banking to direct credit; short-term export credit
is streamlined with automatic bank loans against export L/Cs.

 A 10-to-1 currency redenomination further tidies the won.

1962

 First Five-Year Economic Development Plan (1962–1966) launched; heavy early


reliance on commercial foreign loans.

 To unlock external finance, the state enacts the Act on Payment Guarantee of Foreign
Borrowing (government guarantees private foreign loans); initial West German credits
follow.
1963

 Facing reserve pressure, the government introduces a full export-import link system
(imports rationed in proportion to export performance) and removes most “automatic”
import approvals.

1964

 Comprehensive Export Promotion Program (June) puts incentives on a systematic


footing.

 Exchange-rate reform consolidates multiple rates into a single, adjustable rate and
devalues to ≈255 won/US$, phasing out export-dollar premiums and making prices
more coherent for exporters.

1965

 Financial reform nearly doubles bank deposit rates to mobilise savings, while
exporters’ preferential rates are cut further—strengthening targeted credit.

 New export tools: wastage allowances on input imports; local L/Cs that extend export
benefits down the supply chain; and the Monthly Export Promotion Meeting chaired
by the president begins.

 Treaty with Japan normalises relations and brings US$300m grants, US$200m soft
loans, and US$300m commercial credits—a pivotal capital inflow.

 The state also starts organising labour export (Korea Overseas Development
Corporation) to earn FX and relieve unemployment.

1966

 KIST (Korea Institute of Science and Technology) is founded to back industrial


upgrading; export credit instruments expand (incl. Vietnam-related US offshore
procurement).

1967

 Second Five-Year Plan (1967–1971) ramps up industrialisation; sectoral laws begin to


steer capacity building (Machinery and Shipbuilding Promotion Acts).

 Trade regime shifts toward a negative list (more items liberalised by default, with
explicit prohibitions kept).

1968

 Loans for Machine Industry Promotion begin—large directed-credit windows to


priority capital-goods makers.

1969

 Blue-chip infrastructure/industry pipeline takes shape (roads, petrochemicals,


integrated steel); government sets up a Taskforce to Restructure Insolvent Firms
(May–Aug) to merge/close weak companies amid debt issues.

1970
 Gyeongbu (Seoul–Busan) Expressway opens, slashing logistics times and knitting the
home market.

 Industry statutes multiply: Petrochemical Industry Promotion Act and Steel Industry
Fostering Act (legal scaffolding for complexes like Ulsan petrochemicals and Pohang
steel).

 Defence-industrial groundwork: Park approves the “four core plants” concept; Agency
for Defense Development (ADD) is established—pre-HCI state-capacity build-out.

1971

 KDI (Korea Development Institute) set up as the EPB’s macro/industry think-tank.

 IMF-backed stabilisation: won devaluation (~11.9%), tighter money/credit; growth


decelerates and highly leveraged firms feel the squeeze.

1972

 Second won devaluation (~13.0%) under continuing IMF programme; recessionary


external environment persists.

 3 August Emergency Decree freezes and restructures the informal-credit (curb)


market: mandatory reporting; 3-year grace + 5-year amortisation; capped rates (16.2%
p.a.); large-scale rescheduling and conversion of short-term bank loans to long-term at
8% backed by BOK special debentures.

 October Yushin constitutional change centralises executive power—consolidating the


political machinery that will drive the HCI push the following year.

1973

 Park’s HCI drive begins. The state designates six “strategic” sectors (steel, non-ferrous
metals, machinery, shipbuilding, electronics, petrochemicals), creates an HCI
promotion committee, and concentrates cheap policy credit, tax breaks, and protection
to scale them up—also with a defense-security rationale.

 1973 also brings a big competitiveness jump (tight price controls cut inflation and the
REER for exports spikes), exports surge, and growth hits 14.9%.

1974
 First oil shock hits; Seoul expands demand and doubles down on HCI. Inflation soars
(24.1%); current-account (CA) deficit widens to 10.4% of GDP. A 21.3% devaluation
comes in December.

1975
 Inflation remains high (25.3%); CA deficit ~8.7% of GDP; HCI push continues.

1976
 Growth rebounds to 13.2%; inflation eases; CA deficit shrinks to ~1% of GDP; fixed
nominal rate from Dec-1974 remains in place.
1977
 CA turns small surplus as oil shock fades and devaluation effects filter through.

1978
 With the exchange rate still fixed amid double-digit inflation, competitiveness erodes
and the CA slips back to a ~2% deficit.

1979
 Second oil shock + overheating: Seoul announces a Comprehensive Stabilization
Program (credit tightening, anti-inflation shift) as macro strains mount; political shock
follows later that year.

1980

 Output contracts; Chun Doo-hwan’s government pivots to “stability first,” restraining


fiscal/credit growth and moving from a hard dollar peg to a multiple-basket peg to
regain external balance.

1981–1982
 Monetarist stabilization hardens: administered prices (incl. rice) restrained; zero-
based budgeting introduced (1982) to lock in fiscal discipline.

1983
 Diplomatic finance: after pressing Washington and Tokyo, Seoul lands a US$4 bn
Japanese package (Jan-1983), easing BoP stress and helping avoid a currency crisis.

1984
 “Advance Notice of Tariff Reduction” sets an 11-year path of gradual tariff cuts—
signaling sustained market opening.

1985
 Plaza Accord depreciates the dollar; because the won’s basket weights still favour the
dollar, the won weakens vs. the yen, boosting Korea’s price-competitiveness just as oil
prices collapse—the start of the “three-lows” tailwind.

 Growth averages 10.6% in 1983–85 with low inflation.

1986
 GDP surges; CA flips to a 2.2% surplus, beginning a three-year super-surplus.
Sterilization strains build as the BoK’s net foreign assets balloon.

1987
 Democratization arrives amid a wage explosion that ends the undervalued-won era;
nominal manufacturing wages rise 11.6% in 1987 and accelerate further.

1988
 CA surplus peaks (~6.4% of GDP); Seoul Olympics and US pressure accelerate opening
(External Trade Act 1987, capital-market opening 1988). Won revaluation begins late
(1988), after delaying since 1985.

1989
 Boom cools (growth ~7.1%); inflation returns; rapid revaluation + wage-cost pressures
hit the REER. Government pivots to domestic-demand support via
construction/housing programs.
1990
 Korea adopts the Market Average Exchange Rate (MAER), a step toward a more
flexible, market-linked FX regime.

1991–1992
 Financial-market liberalization plan (1992) and looser rules on outward FDI (1992)
advance.

1993
 “New Economy” Five-Year Plan prioritizes internationalization/liberalization; the Real-
Name Financial Transaction System cleans up opaque finance.

1994
 Broad FDI liberalization (more sectors opened; prior obligations removed).

1995
 REER overvaluation peaks; competitiveness deteriorates in the first half of the 1990s
despite official comfort with the rate at the time.

1995–1996
 Labor reorganization and new union landscape (KCTU, 1995) collide with attempted
labor-law changes (1996–97), adding wage/rigidity pressures; at the same time, short-
term cross-border liabilities and merchant-bank risk-taking swell under liberalization.

1997
 After early-year bankruptcies and capital-flow reversals, Korea is swept into the Asian
crisis; the won plunges and Seoul signs an IMF-led program in December.

1998
 Crisis policy mix: initially tight money and fiscal restraint to stabilize the currency;
sweeping structural conditionality follows.

 Authorities articulate “Five-Plus-Three” principles for corporate reform (focus on core


businesses, transparency, deleveraging to ≤200% debt-equity, better governance),
push Big Deals and workouts, and strengthen bank resolution/deposit insurance.

 Large public funds are mobilized for financial restructuring (₩64 trn in May).

 Labor-market flexibility is negotiated via a Tripartite Pact (February), enabling layoffs


while adding social protections. FDI/M&A restrictions are slashed to draw in foreign
capital.

1999
 Recovery takes hold; KAMCO is established as the centralized bad-asset
buyer/manager; further funds are committed to bank clean-up.

 Daewoo implodes mid-year, triggering unprecedented enforcement (including auditor


sanctions) and catalyzing governance reform.

2000
 IT/KOSDAQ bubble bursts; growth momentum softens. (KOSDAQ’s 2000 collapse is
linked to very low post-crisis interest rates used to jump-start recovery.)
2001
 External tech slump + global slowdown weigh on Korea; the system remains more
open and banks cleaner after the restructuring. (Your sources tie later growth
composition to trade/REER dynamics after 1997.)

2002
 Policy support leans on easy credit to households: tax incentives and deregulation spur
a credit-card lending boom that props up demand but seeds a mini-crisis ahead.

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