Effective Sales
       Management:
    Short and Long-term
 Planning, Forecasting, and
     Expense Budgeting

            Why are we here today?
                  Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                 Dr. John J. Hogan            1
John J. Hogan,
     Ph.D., CHE, CHA, MHS

 A career hotelier and educator, with 35 years experience

 Industry certified; past recipient of the American Hotel & Lodging
 Association’s Pearson Award for Excellence in Lodging Journalism, as
 well as operational and marketing awards from international brands

 Author of weekly columns for a number of global online services -
 published more than 400 articles and columns
 Co-authored LESSONS FROM THE FIELD – a COMMON SENSE
 APPROACH TO EFFECTIVE HOTEL SALES

                     Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                    Dr. John J. Hogan                       2
John J. Hogan, Ph.D., CHE, CHA, MHS
     Clients are associations, international brands, management groups, convention
     bureaus, academic institutions
     Taught college level courses at three different universities over a 20-year period,
     while managing with Sheraton, Hilton, Omni and independents

     Created/developed a blended learning system as Director of Education & Cultural
     Diversity for world’s largest hotel chain
     Has conducted an estimated 3,200 workshops and classes in career

                         Expertise and Research Interest includes:
1.   sales management and training
2.   turn-around and revenue management
3.   professional development
4.   customer service
5.   leadership and executive education


                               Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
      4/13/2012                        Dr. John J. Hogan                          3
Agenda
 1.    Mapping out Your Sales Plan
 2.    Preparing and Revising Your Sales Forecast
 3.    Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your
       Forecast and Sales Plan
 4.    Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the
       Market



                  Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                 Dr. John J. Hogan            4
Mapping out Your Sales Plan
    Acquire & use good selling knowledge
•      Finding out who your customers are
•      where they are coming from
•      how they came to select your business/product
•      why they use your business/product
•      how often will they need you and how much
       they spend


                    Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
    4/13/2012               Dr. John J. Hogan            5
Mapping out Your Sales Plan
            Plan A Good Market Mix
   It is extremely hard to be all things to all people all
   the time, which means knowing your proper customer
   base.

    While one does not want to turn away
   potential, understanding the mix of business reflects
   how much of what type of business you're doing.




                   Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                  Dr. John J. Hogan               6
Mapping out Your Sales Plan
                     Try New Things
•     FACT: most successful entrepreneurs would not be
      where they are today if they didn't take a chance and
      try new things.

•     Come up with new ideas to promote business and
      don't be afraid to put them into action.


•     Examples -


                    Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                   Dr. John J. Hogan            7
Preparing & Revising Your Sales Forecast
                Know Your Competition –
            specifically your direct competitors.

 A thorough knowledge of the competition can help you
    size up your strengths/weaknesses and determine
             where you can compete the best:

is it location, price, size, product, service or amenities?

The idea, of course, is to sell your positives and to expand
your market share profitably.

                     Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                    Dr. John J. Hogan                8
Preparing & Revising Your Sales Forecast
Research & qualify your multiple price policy

Understanding/measuring selective discounting.
Do you know which special rates are generating business
for you?
Periodic reviews of all rates help establish the multiple-rate
policy that's right for you.
3rd party sites – evaluate if they help your profitability
and/or cash flow.


                   Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
 4/13/2012                 Dr. John J. Hogan              9
Preparing & Revising Your Sales Forecast
                Sell Aggressively!
•   Aggressive and assertive are not synonyms.

•   One means hard hitting and the other confident – in
    challenging economic times, those professionals in
    sales must have some of both attributes to book the
    business.

•   One can be aggressive while still being
    friendly, credible and sincere.
•    Being tenacious, following up and ensuring customer
    confidence all add up to success.
                    Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                   Dr. John J. Hogan             10
Aligning Your Expense Budget
      With Your Forecast and Sales Plan
            Re-examine all operating budgets
•    Annual budgets usually prepared 6 months before the
    beginning of any year in advance, which often means
    projections could be as far out as 15-18 months.
•   While most of us projected potential trouble in
    2009, few of us anticipated the international financial
    meltdown that unraveled in late summer/fall 2008.
•   It is time to re-evaluate all operating budgets
    immediately and determine planning for action steps
    that need to be taken NOW.
                     Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                    Dr. John J. Hogan            11
Aligning Your Expense Budget With
        Your Forecast and Sales Plan
    Initiate aggressive, but realistic goals for
          achieving specific expense savings
•     Link to changes in the operating budgets you have just
      re-forecasted.
•     There will be revenue lines projected at lower levels
      and the expenses associated with them should be
      identified.
•     Zero-based budgeting – positives and negatives

                    Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                   Dr. John J. Hogan             12
Aligning Your Expense Budget
          With Your Forecast and Sales Plan
          Competitively re-bid all significant vendor
                      and supplier contracts
•    It is not being suggested to break contracts, but every
     company in every industry is feeling strained resources
     these days.
•    Discussions on terms, pricing, quantities, payment
     schedules and other factors are all items that should be
     analyzed short term and ongoing.
•    A wide range of services and products, including utility
     purchasing options that might offer incentives or access
     through energy cooperatives.

                      Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
    4/13/2012                 Dr. John J. Hogan            13
Practical Approaches to
                Opportunities in the Market
    Evaluate carefully product/guest amenities
•      Straight forward decision if you are independent

•      If part of a brand, there are agreed upon standards that
       perhaps may be delivered in alternate ways.
•      Chain management may be open to options if the guest
       experience is not diminished.

•      Consider approaches that are green in nature and a
       service that is optional rather than wasted or unused
       products that requires staff services

                       Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
    4/13/2012                  Dr. John J. Hogan            14
Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market

      Examine every part of your credit policy

•   Credit is an essential part of the business cycle
•   The current global financial crisis is at least partially mired
    due to credit snafus.
•   Are you in fact are lending the use of money when
    extending credit?
•   What is your proper balance when considering the use of
    credit as a potential feature?
•   Care must be used when considering credit – even large
    companies have been known to renege on credit yet it can
    be an important point of difference.

                       Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
    4/13/2012                  Dr. John J. Hogan              15
Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market
            Plan and monitor Monthly cash flow
                   (forecasted and actual)
 •      Too many entrepreneurs new to an industry disregard the
        difference between cash flow and profits
 •      Even some veterans do not fully appreciate the value of
        monitoring cash flow.
 •      While any business needs both to survive, cash flow is the more
        indispensable of the two.
 •      Cash flow basically refers to the flow of cash into and out of a
        business over a period of time - what is needed to keep the
        doors open while trying to make a profit.
 •      Without adequate cash, one cannot pay suppliers, taxes, meet
        payroll, market itself or operate professionally. If an adequate
        cash flow is not maintained, there is the very real danger of
        bankruptcy or going out of business.

                        Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                       Dr. John J. Hogan                  16
Practical Approaches to Opportunities
                         in the Market
•   Planning & monitoring inflows/outflows of cash = top priority
•   Planning ahead for seasonal fluctuations and unexpected
    emergencies allows for dealing with challenges and at least
    partially reduces stress.
•   Knowing where you are in cash positioning allows you to also
    maintain more open and constructive relationships with
    suppliers, banks, staff and business partners.
•    By monitoring cash, you can better anticipate potential
    problem spots & conceivably lessen or avoid a liquidity crisis.
•   In this type of economy, the potential for shortfall in business
    levels is real, which means cash flow will likely be diminished.
•   Being able to deal with this underperformance in advance will
    definitely help bridge the challenge.
                         Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
      4/13/2012                  Dr. John J. Hogan             17
Maximizing Involvement and Results
                           Recap
             Mapping out Your Sales Plan

   Acquiring and Using Good Selling Knowledge
   Planning a Good Market Mix
   Trying New Things



                   Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
 4/13/2012                 Dr. John J. Hogan            18
Maximizing Involvement and Results
                         Recap
 Preparing and Revising Your Sales Forecast

 Knowing Your Competition and Specifically Your
 Direct Competitors
 Researching and Qualifying Your Multiple Price
 Policy
 Selling Aggressively
                Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
 4/13/2012              Dr. John J. Hogan            19
Maximizing Involvement and Results
                         Recap
  Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your
            Forecast and Sales Plan

   Re-Examining All Operating Budgets
   Initiating Aggressive, but Realistic Goals for
   Achieving Specific Expense Savings
   Competitively Re-Bidding All Significant Vendor
   and Supplier Contracts
                 Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
 4/13/2012               Dr. John J. Hogan            20
Maximizing Involvement and Results
                           Recap
  Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the
                         Market
 Carefully Evaluating All Amenities and Packages in
 Your Offerings
 Examining Every Part of Your Credit Policy and
 Practice
 Planning and Monitoring Monthly Cash Flow
 (Forecasted and Actual)
                 Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
 4/13/2012               Dr. John J. Hogan            21
Contact Information
        Membership and Learning Resources
          www.HospitalityEducators.com
           John.Hogan@HospitalityEducators.com

          Speaking Engagements, Hospitality
Consulting, Training, Expert Witness, Litigation Support
                   www.HoganHospitality.com
                 John@HoganHospitality.com

     Sites Under Construction for Online Learning
                www.HotelTrainingToYou.com;
              www.HospitalityTrainingToYou.com

                   602-799-5375 Direct Line
             Dr. John Hogan, CHA CHE CMHS

    Copyright 2012 Dr. John Hogan, CHA CHE CMHS All Rights Reserved
Questions/Comments?


                  THANK YOU!

            John J. Hogan,          Ph.D., CHE, CHA, MHS



              john.hogan@hospitalityeducators.com

                         602-799-5375




                  Copyright 2012 All rights reserved
4/13/2012                 Dr. John J. Hogan                23

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Master Hogan Copy 2012 Update Effective Sales Management Planning Forecasting Budgeting

  • 1. Effective Sales Management: Short and Long-term Planning, Forecasting, and Expense Budgeting Why are we here today? Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 1
  • 2. John J. Hogan, Ph.D., CHE, CHA, MHS A career hotelier and educator, with 35 years experience Industry certified; past recipient of the American Hotel & Lodging Association’s Pearson Award for Excellence in Lodging Journalism, as well as operational and marketing awards from international brands Author of weekly columns for a number of global online services - published more than 400 articles and columns Co-authored LESSONS FROM THE FIELD – a COMMON SENSE APPROACH TO EFFECTIVE HOTEL SALES Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 2
  • 3. John J. Hogan, Ph.D., CHE, CHA, MHS Clients are associations, international brands, management groups, convention bureaus, academic institutions Taught college level courses at three different universities over a 20-year period, while managing with Sheraton, Hilton, Omni and independents Created/developed a blended learning system as Director of Education & Cultural Diversity for world’s largest hotel chain Has conducted an estimated 3,200 workshops and classes in career Expertise and Research Interest includes: 1. sales management and training 2. turn-around and revenue management 3. professional development 4. customer service 5. leadership and executive education Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 3
  • 4. Agenda 1. Mapping out Your Sales Plan 2. Preparing and Revising Your Sales Forecast 3. Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your Forecast and Sales Plan 4. Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 4
  • 5. Mapping out Your Sales Plan Acquire & use good selling knowledge • Finding out who your customers are • where they are coming from • how they came to select your business/product • why they use your business/product • how often will they need you and how much they spend Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 5
  • 6. Mapping out Your Sales Plan Plan A Good Market Mix It is extremely hard to be all things to all people all the time, which means knowing your proper customer base. While one does not want to turn away potential, understanding the mix of business reflects how much of what type of business you're doing. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 6
  • 7. Mapping out Your Sales Plan Try New Things • FACT: most successful entrepreneurs would not be where they are today if they didn't take a chance and try new things. • Come up with new ideas to promote business and don't be afraid to put them into action. • Examples - Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 7
  • 8. Preparing & Revising Your Sales Forecast Know Your Competition – specifically your direct competitors. A thorough knowledge of the competition can help you size up your strengths/weaknesses and determine where you can compete the best: is it location, price, size, product, service or amenities? The idea, of course, is to sell your positives and to expand your market share profitably. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 8
  • 9. Preparing & Revising Your Sales Forecast Research & qualify your multiple price policy Understanding/measuring selective discounting. Do you know which special rates are generating business for you? Periodic reviews of all rates help establish the multiple-rate policy that's right for you. 3rd party sites – evaluate if they help your profitability and/or cash flow. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 9
  • 10. Preparing & Revising Your Sales Forecast Sell Aggressively! • Aggressive and assertive are not synonyms. • One means hard hitting and the other confident – in challenging economic times, those professionals in sales must have some of both attributes to book the business. • One can be aggressive while still being friendly, credible and sincere. • Being tenacious, following up and ensuring customer confidence all add up to success. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 10
  • 11. Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your Forecast and Sales Plan Re-examine all operating budgets • Annual budgets usually prepared 6 months before the beginning of any year in advance, which often means projections could be as far out as 15-18 months. • While most of us projected potential trouble in 2009, few of us anticipated the international financial meltdown that unraveled in late summer/fall 2008. • It is time to re-evaluate all operating budgets immediately and determine planning for action steps that need to be taken NOW. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 11
  • 12. Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your Forecast and Sales Plan Initiate aggressive, but realistic goals for achieving specific expense savings • Link to changes in the operating budgets you have just re-forecasted. • There will be revenue lines projected at lower levels and the expenses associated with them should be identified. • Zero-based budgeting – positives and negatives Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 12
  • 13. Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your Forecast and Sales Plan Competitively re-bid all significant vendor and supplier contracts • It is not being suggested to break contracts, but every company in every industry is feeling strained resources these days. • Discussions on terms, pricing, quantities, payment schedules and other factors are all items that should be analyzed short term and ongoing. • A wide range of services and products, including utility purchasing options that might offer incentives or access through energy cooperatives. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 13
  • 14. Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market Evaluate carefully product/guest amenities • Straight forward decision if you are independent • If part of a brand, there are agreed upon standards that perhaps may be delivered in alternate ways. • Chain management may be open to options if the guest experience is not diminished. • Consider approaches that are green in nature and a service that is optional rather than wasted or unused products that requires staff services Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 14
  • 15. Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market Examine every part of your credit policy • Credit is an essential part of the business cycle • The current global financial crisis is at least partially mired due to credit snafus. • Are you in fact are lending the use of money when extending credit? • What is your proper balance when considering the use of credit as a potential feature? • Care must be used when considering credit – even large companies have been known to renege on credit yet it can be an important point of difference. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 15
  • 16. Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market Plan and monitor Monthly cash flow (forecasted and actual) • Too many entrepreneurs new to an industry disregard the difference between cash flow and profits • Even some veterans do not fully appreciate the value of monitoring cash flow. • While any business needs both to survive, cash flow is the more indispensable of the two. • Cash flow basically refers to the flow of cash into and out of a business over a period of time - what is needed to keep the doors open while trying to make a profit. • Without adequate cash, one cannot pay suppliers, taxes, meet payroll, market itself or operate professionally. If an adequate cash flow is not maintained, there is the very real danger of bankruptcy or going out of business. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 16
  • 17. Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market • Planning & monitoring inflows/outflows of cash = top priority • Planning ahead for seasonal fluctuations and unexpected emergencies allows for dealing with challenges and at least partially reduces stress. • Knowing where you are in cash positioning allows you to also maintain more open and constructive relationships with suppliers, banks, staff and business partners. • By monitoring cash, you can better anticipate potential problem spots & conceivably lessen or avoid a liquidity crisis. • In this type of economy, the potential for shortfall in business levels is real, which means cash flow will likely be diminished. • Being able to deal with this underperformance in advance will definitely help bridge the challenge. Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 17
  • 18. Maximizing Involvement and Results Recap Mapping out Your Sales Plan Acquiring and Using Good Selling Knowledge Planning a Good Market Mix Trying New Things Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 18
  • 19. Maximizing Involvement and Results Recap Preparing and Revising Your Sales Forecast Knowing Your Competition and Specifically Your Direct Competitors Researching and Qualifying Your Multiple Price Policy Selling Aggressively Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 19
  • 20. Maximizing Involvement and Results Recap Aligning Your Expense Budget With Your Forecast and Sales Plan Re-Examining All Operating Budgets Initiating Aggressive, but Realistic Goals for Achieving Specific Expense Savings Competitively Re-Bidding All Significant Vendor and Supplier Contracts Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 20
  • 21. Maximizing Involvement and Results Recap Practical Approaches to Opportunities in the Market Carefully Evaluating All Amenities and Packages in Your Offerings Examining Every Part of Your Credit Policy and Practice Planning and Monitoring Monthly Cash Flow (Forecasted and Actual) Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 21
  • 22. Contact Information Membership and Learning Resources www.HospitalityEducators.com [email protected] Speaking Engagements, Hospitality Consulting, Training, Expert Witness, Litigation Support www.HoganHospitality.com [email protected] Sites Under Construction for Online Learning www.HotelTrainingToYou.com; www.HospitalityTrainingToYou.com 602-799-5375 Direct Line Dr. John Hogan, CHA CHE CMHS Copyright 2012 Dr. John Hogan, CHA CHE CMHS All Rights Reserved
  • 23. Questions/Comments? THANK YOU! John J. Hogan, Ph.D., CHE, CHA, MHS [email protected] 602-799-5375 Copyright 2012 All rights reserved 4/13/2012 Dr. John J. Hogan 23