BOMBAYTRANSPORT CHALLENGES &
SOLUTIONS.
FOR
MUMBAITRANSPORT FORUM
By
Abhijit Mehta
Political And Social Analyst
BREAKING NEWS…
TRANSPORT RIOTS
BOGOTA
2012Transport Protests
BOGOTA
2012Transport Protests
BOGOTA
2012Transport Protests
BOGOTA
2012Transport Protest
SAO PAULO
June 2013,Transport Protests
SAO PAULO
June 2013,Transport Protests
SAO PAULO
June 2013,Transport Protests
SAO PAULO
June 2013,Transport Protests
SAO PAULO
June 2013,Transport Protests
MUMBAI’STRANSPORT
CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS.
By
Abhijit Mehta
Political And Social Analyst
OF THE PEOPLE
BY THE PEOPLE
FOR THE PEOPLE
MUMBAITRANSPORT
NO WHERETO GO !!!
A SOLUTION LOOKS ELUSIVE.
GOALS
GOAL
50 %LessTravelTime
GOAL
1 HourBackToThe Citizens
GOAL
90 %Use PublicTransportation
GOAL
6Sq Meter
Density Max
GOAL
Average speed
30KMS/Hr
PLANNING
24/7Availability
LETS DEFINETHE PROBLEM
DEMAND
AND
SUPPLY
POPULATIONTRENDS
NO
TRANSPORT
DEVELOPMENT
In Mumbai Suburban District
Above Average Below Average
* www.demographia.com/db-mumbaidistr91.htm
Density Per Kilometer
Ward Density per
Square
Kilometer
C 1,14,001
G/S 64,168
E 59,505
D 57,744
B 56,936
L 49,006
G/N 45,793
H/E 42,929
P/N 41,651
F/N 40,400
Average 36,443.79
R/S 33,177
K/E 32,688
K/W 29,956
H/W 29,211
F/S 28,294
N 23,866
M/W 21,233
M/E 20,765
R/N 20,213
P/S 17,915
A 16,868
S 10,800
R/C 10,262
T 7,270
2001 figures
Above Average Below Average
* Ward wise population has been rounded-up
* Source: BUDGET ESTIMATES FOR 2010-11 - CITIZENS DIGEST
Ward Population
R/S 8,29,000
K/E 8,06,000
P/N 7,90,000
F/N 7,02,000
K/W 6,94,000
S 6,91,000
R/C 6,81,000
M/E 6,75,000
N 6,15,000
G/N 5,91,000
L 5,91,000
H/E 5,79,000
G/S 5,63,000
Average 5,32,833
T 5,10,000
F/S 4,77,000
P/S 4,52,000
H/W 4,21,000
M/W 4,14,000
E 4,11,000
D 3,79,000
R/N 3,64,000
A 2,11,000
C 2,02,000
B 1,40,000
Population per Ward
TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005
Source CTS, MMRDA
TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005
Source CTS, MMRDA
TRAFFIC NOT LINEAR
ANYMORE
Source CTS, MMRDA
UNDERSTANDING
DEMAND
Source CTS, MMRDA
UNDERSTANDING
DEMAND
Source CTS, MMRDA
UNDERSTANDING
SUPPLY
UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY
50,000Peak Hour Peak Direction Traffic
(Per track, 12 car rake, 3 minute headway at 7 persons per
SqMtr)
Source CTS, MMRDA
BEST BUS SERVICE
Fleet: 4,680
Daily ridership: 4.5 million
MORE AUTOS ???
246,458 auto rickshaws
MORETAXIS ???
58,000 In Greater Mumbai
MORE
PRIVATE
VEHICLES ???
DO WE
HAVE
THE
SPACE
TO
E X PA N D ?
PLANNING
DELHI METRO
Already Over loaded.
PLANNING FOR UNDER
CAPACITY
PLANNING
52 %WalkTo Work
Source CTS, MMRDA
PLANNING
100 %Increase in Demand
Source: MRVC
PLANNING
Planning for People instead of vehicles.
DEMAND
(Current)
175,000
PHPDT
100,000
PHPDT
80,000
PHPDT
DEMAND
(2030)
350,000
PHPDT
200,000
PHPDT
160,000
PHPDT
NO MORE BAND AID
SOLUTIONS
THE QUALITY OF PUBLIC
TRANSPORT SHOULD BE
BETTERTHENTHE PRIVATE
TRANSPORT.
Speed Cost Comfort
ALTERNATE PLAN
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
MINIMUM OF 50,000 PHPDT
PER SYSTEM
ALTERNATE PLAN
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
5 Major Systems
on
North - South Direction
3 Major Systems
on
East - West Direction
ALTERNATE PLAN
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
1 Major Systems
on
North - South Direction
upto Dhanu with one and
half hour connectivity to city
centre
2 Major Systems
on
East - West Direction
upto Kalyan and Panvel with
one hour connectivity to
city centre
GOVT PLAN
GOVT PLAN
ComprehensiveTransport Plan
2005
METRO SYSTEMS
ComprehensiveTransport Plan
2005
SUBURBAN RAIL
ComprehensiveTransport Plan
2005
HIGHWAY SYSTEMS
ComprehensiveTransport Plan
2005
MUMBAI METRO
10 yrs to complete 11 kms
EASTERN EXPRESS FREEWAY
Conceptualized in 1962
BombayTraffic AndTransportation Study 1961
MONO RAIL
A RideTo No Where
Cost: US$470 million
OUR PLAN
YOU
WALK
200 Meters
Every
200 Meters
BRTS
Every
2 Kms
Every
2 Kms
Traveling in North -
South Direction
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
BRTS
Every
5 Kms
Every
5 Kms
Traveling in East -
West Direction
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
BRTS
Every
200 Meters
Every
2 Kms
North - South
Travel
Every
5 Kms
East - West
Travel
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
OPTIONS
New AgeTransport Systems
Light Rail
High CapacityTrams
DOUBLE DECKER BUS
DOUBLE ARTICULATED BUSES
DOUBLE DECKER
SUBURBANTRAINS
B RT S
MASSIVE METRO
Great Walking
Environment
FUNDING
FINANCING
The goal of a good transport
network is to improve the quality of
life of the citizens.
FINANCING
The Return On Investment should
be calculated based on the increase
of city level productivity.
FINANCING
A
SPV(Special PurposeVehicle)
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
This entity will own and
operate all
public transportation
in
Bombay
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
All purchases and sales
by this entity
will be
tax free
WhyTax something that is going to benefit the
general population?
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
This cuts the over all costs
by
20%
BR
People
SPV
Govt
Tax
People Govt
BR
Tax Free Bonds
People
SPV
BR
Govt Bonds
SPV
Govt
BR
Buy Bonds
SPV
Govt
BR
Buy Share
in SPV
via IPO
People
SPV
BR
Returns
Money
SPV
Govt
B
People
SPV Govt Govt
B
SPV
People
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
A special tax free bond
up-to
200,000
per person
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
A special tax free bond
up-to
10,000,000 OR 40%Tax
Liability
for
Small & Medium Business
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
A special tax free bond up-to
25% of
Taxable Income
for
Major Business
(Revenue of 1,000crs+)
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
Donation to this entity will
be considered as part of
2% CSR activity
ALL MAJOR TRANSIT
Transit Oriented Development
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
T-O-D
will compensate for all
revenue deficit
from
fare box revenues.
(Operations and Maintenance)
Thru this model In theory
Public Transport can be free.
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
Dis-investment of
20%
thru Proposed IPO in first
3-5 yrs.
of operations
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
Dis-investment of next
30%
after another
5 yrs.
of operations
S PV
(Special PurposeVehicle)
This makes the entire
project revenue neutral
in just a decade
IMPLEMENTATION
11/2
Year
Planning
IMPLEMENTATION
5
Years
Executing
IMPLEMENTATION
2014 - 2015
Planning
2016 - 2021
Execution
PLANNING
24/7Availability
GOAL
6Sq Meter
Density Max
GOAL
90 %Use PublicTransportation
GOAL
Average speed
30KMS/Hr
GOAL
1 HourBackToThe Citizens
GOAL
50 %LessTravelTime
GOAL ACHIEVED
WE CANNOT KEEPING
SOLVING
YESTERDAY'S PROBLEM
TOMORROW
WE NEEDTOTHINK
BIG
WE NEEDTO PLAN FOR
Tomorrow
OF THE PEOPLE
BY THE PEOPLE
FOR THE PEOPLE
MUMBAITRANSPORT
THANKYOU
Abhijit Mehta
www.abhijitmehta.com

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