Sensors Ralph Meijers
Measuring the energy
transition
Ralph Meijers
smartflowerTM
Sensors for smart statistics
- Energy transition:
- Potential, supply & demand of renewable energy
- Need for more regional data
- Policy urgency
- Sensors:
- Gas & electricity consumption (smart meters)
- Public grid demand (Tennet)
- Solar irradiance at Earth’s surface (KNMI)
- Aerial / satellite images (NSO / ESA)
3
The energy transition
4
Future?
Smart grids:
- Higher efficiency
- Higher stability
Balancing supply
& demand
Data / insight
(regional & high frequency)
Parties & interests
5
Net operators /
energy companies
Short term:
balancing supply
& demand
Long term:
infrastructure
Policy makers
Climate goals
Influence
behaviour
Competitiveness
local economy
House owners
Sustainable
investments
Parties & interests
6
Net operators /
energy companies
Short term:
balancing supply
& demand
Long term:
infrastructure
Policy makers
Climate goals
Influence
behaviour
Competitiveness
local economy
House owners
Sustainable
investments
?
- Where to start?
- Best “Return on
Investment”?
Important piece of the puzzle: solar energy
Renewable energy
- Wind, solar, …
- Weather & season dependent
volatility
- Gasless neighbourhoods?
User behaviour
Data source: Smart meters … ?
7
Inferring solar power from grid demand
8
Jan 2016
Public grid demand in MWh (from Tennet)
Solar irradiance in J/m2 (from KNMI)
Jul 2016 Dec 2016
Jan 2016 Jul 2016 Dec 2016
Preliminary results (yearly pattern)
9
(disclaimer: NOT fit-for-use yet)
power from grid (known)
solar power (estimated)
Energydemand[MWh]
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Year
A different approach
Model solar energy production:
− location and power of solar panels
− orientation of roof
− solar irradiance
10
Location of solar panels
Several registrations:
− Net operators (PIR)
− Energylabel database
Incomplete and not collected for statistical purposes
Add tax data
− Incentive: tax return
11
Solar panels in the Netherlands
12
Solar panels in South of Limburg
13
Solar panels in South of Limburg
14
Policy works
− In some areas faster
growth of number of
solar panels.
− Influence of policy?
E.g. “Solar panel project”
Landgraaf / Parkstad
Extract solar panel locations from aerial images
15
First step:
extract
buildings
Machine visionAdmin data
‘positive’ ‘negative’
Extract solar panel locations from aerial images
16
Energy savings (solar panels)
17
w. solar panelsAll buildings
#households
#households
-10.000 -5.000 0 5.000-10.000 -5.000 0 5.000
difference [kWh] difference [kWh]
- Compare energy consumption year t+1 vs t-1
- Only consider ‘constant’ households
- Solar panels installed in year t (if present)
2014
Energy savings potential (private properties)
18
Source: Energiebesparingspotentie koopwoningen (info@cbs.nl)
theoreticaltheoretical realisticrealistic
Work in progress: potential solar panels
Further plans
− City portals / local energy balance
− Monitor CO2 emissions
− Energy transition economic activity
19
Thanks to:
− Bart Buelens
− Tim de Jong
− Olga Skriabikova
− Jacqueline van Beuningen
− Jos Erkens & Hans Muller
− Alex Priem
− Martijn Tennekes
− Marijn Zuurmond
− Otto Swertz
− Anne Miek Kremer
− Jurriën Vroom
− Reinoud Segers
− Olav ten Bosch
− Sofie De Broe
20

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Sensors Ralph Meijers

  • 3. Sensors for smart statistics - Energy transition: - Potential, supply & demand of renewable energy - Need for more regional data - Policy urgency - Sensors: - Gas & electricity consumption (smart meters) - Public grid demand (Tennet) - Solar irradiance at Earth’s surface (KNMI) - Aerial / satellite images (NSO / ESA) 3
  • 4. The energy transition 4 Future? Smart grids: - Higher efficiency - Higher stability Balancing supply & demand Data / insight (regional & high frequency)
  • 5. Parties & interests 5 Net operators / energy companies Short term: balancing supply & demand Long term: infrastructure Policy makers Climate goals Influence behaviour Competitiveness local economy House owners Sustainable investments
  • 6. Parties & interests 6 Net operators / energy companies Short term: balancing supply & demand Long term: infrastructure Policy makers Climate goals Influence behaviour Competitiveness local economy House owners Sustainable investments ? - Where to start? - Best “Return on Investment”?
  • 7. Important piece of the puzzle: solar energy Renewable energy - Wind, solar, … - Weather & season dependent volatility - Gasless neighbourhoods? User behaviour Data source: Smart meters … ? 7
  • 8. Inferring solar power from grid demand 8 Jan 2016 Public grid demand in MWh (from Tennet) Solar irradiance in J/m2 (from KNMI) Jul 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2016 Jul 2016 Dec 2016
  • 9. Preliminary results (yearly pattern) 9 (disclaimer: NOT fit-for-use yet) power from grid (known) solar power (estimated) Energydemand[MWh] 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Year
  • 10. A different approach Model solar energy production: − location and power of solar panels − orientation of roof − solar irradiance 10
  • 11. Location of solar panels Several registrations: − Net operators (PIR) − Energylabel database Incomplete and not collected for statistical purposes Add tax data − Incentive: tax return 11
  • 12. Solar panels in the Netherlands 12
  • 13. Solar panels in South of Limburg 13
  • 14. Solar panels in South of Limburg 14 Policy works − In some areas faster growth of number of solar panels. − Influence of policy? E.g. “Solar panel project” Landgraaf / Parkstad
  • 15. Extract solar panel locations from aerial images 15
  • 16. First step: extract buildings Machine visionAdmin data ‘positive’ ‘negative’ Extract solar panel locations from aerial images 16
  • 17. Energy savings (solar panels) 17 w. solar panelsAll buildings #households #households -10.000 -5.000 0 5.000-10.000 -5.000 0 5.000 difference [kWh] difference [kWh] - Compare energy consumption year t+1 vs t-1 - Only consider ‘constant’ households - Solar panels installed in year t (if present) 2014
  • 18. Energy savings potential (private properties) 18 Source: Energiebesparingspotentie koopwoningen ([email protected]) theoreticaltheoretical realisticrealistic Work in progress: potential solar panels
  • 19. Further plans − City portals / local energy balance − Monitor CO2 emissions − Energy transition economic activity 19
  • 20. Thanks to: − Bart Buelens − Tim de Jong − Olga Skriabikova − Jacqueline van Beuningen − Jos Erkens & Hans Muller − Alex Priem − Martijn Tennekes − Marijn Zuurmond − Otto Swertz − Anne Miek Kremer − Jurriën Vroom − Reinoud Segers − Olav ten Bosch − Sofie De Broe 20