8 shah johir rayhan final paper--99-113

Research Journal of Finance and Accounting www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1697 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2847 (Online)
Vol 2, No 3, 2011

Performance Evaluation and Competitive Analysis of State
Owned Commercial Banks in Bangladesh

Shah Johir Rayhan (Corresponding author)
Department of Management & Finance
Sher-e-Bangla Agricultural University
Sher-e-Bangla Nagar, Dhaka-1207, Bangladesh.
Cell: +8801712700906
E-mail: johir_rayhan2006@yahoo.com
Alternative E-mail: sohagag@gmail.com

S.M. Sohel Ahmed
Department of Marketing
Northern College Bangladesh (Sister Concern of Northern University Bangladesh)
Dhaka-1207, Bangladesh.
Cell: +88 01711053120
E-mail: smsohelahmed@gmail.com
Alternative E-mail: smsohel_ahmed@yahoo.com

Ripon Kumar Mondal
Department of Agricultural Economics
Sher-e-Bangla Agricultural University
Sher-e-Bangla Nagar, Dhaka-1207, Bangladesh.
Cell: +8801712953758
E-mail: rkumar.ga@gmail.com

Abstract
The broad objective of this study is Performance Evaluation and Competitive Analysis of state owned
commercial banks in Bangladesh. This paper finds the development and growth of state owned commercial
banks in Bangladesh. Secondary data was used for the research. The study reveals all the state owned
commercial banks in Bangladesh are not able to achieve a stable growth, net profit, earning per Share,
return on equity, return on assets, net asset value per share but they are capable to achieve a stable growth
of deposit, loan and advances, equity. It is also observed that all the of state owned commercial banks have
high non performing loan/classified loan and % of classified loan to total loan is very high. Employees of
all state owned commercial banks are negative growth. Trend equations have been tested for different
activities of the state owned commercial Banks. Positive growth was found in deposit, assets and expense
while negative trend was found in number of employees. In case of non performing loan and % of
classified loan positive trend was found in Sonali Bank Limited and Rupali Bank Limited while negative
trend was in Janata Bank Limited and Agrani Bank Limited. Square of correlation coefficient (r2) has also
been tested for all trend equations. The r2 of branches, employees, deposit, assets are more than 0.5. It
indicates that the prospects of these indicators of state owned commercial banks are bright. All other
indicators like net profit after tax, earnings per share, non performing loan, and % of classified loan to total
loan r2 are not more than 0.5 for all banks. It proves that all state owned commercial banks do not achieve
these indicators during the period of 2005-2009.
Key words: State owned commercial bank, Competitive evaluation, Performance, Equity.
1. Introduction
Banks play very important roles in the economy life of a nation. The health of an economy is closely
related to the soundness of its banking system. Although banks create no new wealth but their borrowing,

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lending and related activities facilitate the process of production distribution, exchange and consumption of
wealth. In this way they become very efficient partners in the process of economic development. Today
modern banks are very useful for the utilization of the resources of the country. The banks are mobilizing
the savings of the people for the investment purpose. If there would no banks then a great portion of a
portion of a capital of the country would remain idle. A bank as a matter of fact is just like a heart in the
economic structure and the capital provided by it is like blood in it. As long as blood is in circulation the
organ will remain sound and healthy. If the blood is not supplied to any organ then it part would become
useless. So if the finance is not provided to agriculture sector or industrial sector it will be destroyed. Loan
facility provided by banks as an incentive to the producer to increase the production. Bangladesh financial
system is determined by banks where the banking systems account for around 96 percent of total assets of
the financial sector. The financial systems in Bangladesh is including Bangladesh Bank (The central Bank),
scheduled banks, non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), Microfinance Institutions (MIs), Insurance
companies, co-operative, credit rating agency and stock exchange. Bangladesh has mixed banking system
comprising sate owned, private and foreign commercial banks. At present among the schedule bank 4 state
owned commercial banks (SCBs), 4 state owned specialized banks (SBs), 30 domestic private commercial
banks (PCBs), 9 foreign banks and 29 Non Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) as of December 31, 2009.
Besides the schedule banks 4 development financial institution, Investment Corporation in Bangladesh
(ICB), House Building Finance Corporation (HBFC), Samabai (Co-operative) Bank, Ansar VDP Unnayan
Bank and Karmasangstan Bank are operating in financial sector in Bangladesh all of which are state owned.
The Nobel Prize winning Grameen Bank is a specialized microfinance institution that revolutionized the
concept of poverty reduction and the empowerment of women in Bangladesh.
2. Review of the literature
Pandey (2006) stated that the easiest way to evaluate the performance of a firm is to compare its present
ratio with the past ratio. It gives an indicator of the direction of change and reflects whether the firm’s
financial performance has improved, deteriorated or remained constant over time. Connelt, et al. (2009)
observed how government ownership involvement in a country’s banking system affects bank performance
from 1989 through 2004. Their study uncovers an interesting pattern of changing performance difference
between state owned and privately owned banks around the Asian Financial Crisis. They found that State-
owned banks operated with less profitability, held less core capital and had greater credit risk than privately
owned banks prior to 2001 and the greater performance differing more significant in those countries with
greater government involvement and political corruption in the banking system. Shleifer (1998) point out
that private ownership should generally be preferred to public ownership when incentive and contain costs
are strong and especially when competition between suppliers, reputation mechanism and possibility of
provision by private not-for-profit firms as well as political patronage and corruption are brought into play.
Chowdhury and Ahmed (2009) observed that all the selected private commercial banks are able to achieve
a stable growth of branches, employee, deposit, loans and advances, net income, earning per share during
the period of 2002-2006. They indicate that the prospect of private commercial banks in Bangladesh is very
bright. Chowdhury (2002) observed that the banking industry of Bangladesh is a mixed one comprising
nationalized, Private and foreign banks. Many efforts have been made to explain the performance of these
banks. Understanding the performance of the bank requires knowledge about the profitability and the
relationship between variables like market size, banks risk and banks market size with the profitability.
Chowdhury and Islam (2007) stated that deposit and loan advances of nationalized commercial banks
(NCBs) are less sensitive to interest changes than those of Specialized Banks (SBs). So, SBs should not
make abrupt change in lending or deposit by following the NCBs. If NCBs change their lending rate, their
deposit or loan and advances will be affected less than those of CBs. Moreover, deposits of NCBs have
higher volume and higher volatility than those of SBs. However SBs offer higher deposit rates and charge
higher lending rate than NCBs, which is why the interest rate spread of SBs was higher than that of NCBs.
Siddique and Islam (2001) pointed out that the commercial banks, as a whole are performing well and
contributing to the economic development of the country. The average profitability of all Bangladeshi
Banks collectively was 0.09% during 1980 to 1995 which means that a profit of Tk.0.09 was earned by
utilizing assets of Tk.100 in every aspect of profit; banking sector contributes the national economy as well
as the individual organization. Despite overall growth of the banking sector positive the performance of

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different categories of banks were not equally attractive. Al-Shammari and Salimi (1998) stated that
profitability ratio especially Return on Equity (ROE) signals the earning capability of the organization.
They also suggest that higher return on Equity (ROE) ratio is appreciable and it is the primary indicator of
banks profitability and functional efficiency. Bhatt and Ghosh (1992) stated that the profitability of
commercial banks depends on several factors some of them are endogenous and some exogenous. The
endogenous factors represent control of expenditure, expansion of banking business, timely recovery of
loan and productivity. The exogenous factors consist of direct investments, such as SLR (Statutory
Liquidity Ratio), CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) and direct credit program such as region wise, population wise
guidelines on lending to priority sector. The regulated and restricted regime in the operation of banking
system of investment, credit allocation, branch expansion, interest rate determination and internal
management corded the productivity and profitability. Jones et al. (1999) provide evidence that when
government convert state-owned firm to privately-owned firm via public share offering, they under price
share issue privatization offer, allocate the share to favored domestic investors, impose control restrictions
on privatized firm and typically used fixed price offer rather than competitive tender offer, all to further
political and economic policy objectives. Barth et al. (2001) concluded that state-ownership of banks tends
to be associated with more poorly developed banks, non-banks and securities market. Alam and Jahan
(1999) reported that non professional handling of assets both by the state owned commercial banks and the
private sector banks was reported as the main reasons for accumulation of loan default problem in
Bangladesh. It included the government directed credit for the loss making public sector enterprises and the
private sector banks lending to insiders and connected people. Mujeri & Younus (2009) stated that the
higher the non interest income as a ratio of total assets of banks the lower interest rate spread. Similarly
market share of deposit of a bank, statutory reserve requirement and NSD certificate interest rate affects the
IRS. The analysis in terms of banks group shows that IRS is significantly influenced by operating cost and
classified loan of state owned commercial bank and specialized banks while inflation, operating cost
market share of deposit, statutory reserve requirement and taxes are important for the private commercial
banks. On the other hand non interest income, inflation, market share and taxes matter for the foreign
Commercial banks. Ahmed et al. (2006) stated that in order to strengthen the economic conditions of the
economy the NCB must be improved of its NPL, ROA, ROE, NII, and other monitoring, assessment and
performance evaluation metrics. Khan (2008) stated that bank is evaluated based on profit and loss as the
same way for other business. If the shareholders of the bank get more profit then the bank is identified as
successful. Banks can attain success if relevant risks are effectively controlled. Van Horne & Wachowicz
(2005) stated that to evaluate a firm’s financial condition and performance the financial analyst need to
perform “checkups” on various aspects of a firm’s financial health. A tool frequently used these checkup is
a financial ratio. Brigham and Houston (2004) that financial statement analysis involves comparative the
firm’s performance with that of other firms in the same industry and evaluating trends in the firm’s
financial position over time. Jahangir et al. (2007) argued that the traditional measure of profitability
through stakeholder’s equity is quite different in banking industry from any other sector of business, where
loan-to-deposit ratio works as a very good indicator of banks’ profitability as it depict the status of assets-
liability management of banks.
3. An overview of the state owned commercial banks in Bangladesh
3.1 Sonali Bank Limited
Sonali Bank Limited is the largest among the state owned commercial banks in Bangladesh. Soon after
independence of the country Sonali Bank emerged as the largest and leading Nationalized Commercial
Bank by proclamation of the Banks' Nationalization Order 1972 (Presidential Order-26) liquidating the then
National Bank of Pakistan, Premier Bank and Bank of Bhwalpur. As a fully state owned institution, the
bank had been discharging its nation-building responsibilities by undertaking government entrusted
different socio-economic schemes as well as money market activities of its own volition, covering all
spheres of the economy. It was registered as a public limited company on June 03, 2007 and has been
converted to a Public Limited Company with 100% ownership of the government and started functioning as
Sonali Bank Limited from November 15, 2007 taking over all assets, liabilities and business of Sonali
Bank. Authorized Capital and paid up capital of the company is Tk.10.00 billion and Tk.9.00 billion. The

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bank has 1184 branches of which 341 in urban area and 841 in rural area and 2 in overseas. The bank has 3
subsidiaries company namely Sonali Bank UK Limited having 7 (seven) branches in UK, Sonali Exchange
Company Incorporated (SECI) having 8 (eight) branches in USA and Sonali Investment Limited (Merchant
Banking) having 1 (one) branch at Motijheel, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Sonali Bank Limited has Debit Card
namely Ready Cash. At present Sonali Bank Limited has 267 branches are computerized, 12 ATM booth
and 34 branches are included in the online Branch banking network. Branches having ABB facility are also
rendering SMS banking services (Annual Report of Sonali Bank Limited 2005-2009).
3.2 Agrani Bank Limited
Agrani Bank Limited, a leading commercial bank with 867 outlets strategically located in almost all the
commercial areas throughout Bangladesh, Overseas Exchange Houses and hundreds of overseas
Correspondents, came into being as a Public Limited Company on May 17, 2007 with a view to take over
the business, assets, liabilities, rights and obligations of the Agrani Bank which emerged as a nationalized
commercial bank in 1972 immediately after the emergence of Bangladesh as an independent state. Agrani
Bank Limited started functioning as a going concern basis through a Vendors Agreement signed between
the ministry of finance, Government of the People's Republic of Bangladesh on behalf of the former Agrani
Bank and the Board of Directors of Agrani Bank Limited on November 15, 2007 with retrospective effect
from 01 July, 2007. The authorized capital of the Bank is Tk. 800 crore. With a view to serving a huge
number of Bangladeshi guest workers in Singapore, Agrani Bank Limited have taken a bold step to open in
Singapore Agrani Exchange House Pte Ltd, a subsidiary company fully owned by Agrani Bank Limited,
which started its operation since February 08, 2002. (Annual Report of Agrani Bank Limited 2005-2009).
3.3 Janata Bank Limited
Janata Bank Limited, one of the state owned commercial banks in Bangladesh, has an authorized capital of
Tk. 20,000.00 million (approx. US$ 289.85 million), paid up capital of Tk. 5,000.00 million, reserve of
Tk.8,202.00 million and retained surplus Tk. 2,737.00 million. Immediately after the emergence of
Bangladesh in 1971, the erstwhile United Bank Limited and Union Bank Limited were renamed as Janata
Bank. On November 15, 2007 the bank has been corporatized and renamed as Janata Bank Limited. Janata
Bank Limited operates through 860 branches including 4 overseas branches at United Arab Emirates. It is
linked with 1202 foreign correspondents all over the world. Janata Bank Limited has also a subsidiary
company named Janata Exchange Company SRL in Italy. With a view to providing exclusive banking
service to NBR’s Janata Bank Limited opened NRB branch. Janata Bank Limited is going to launch Islami
Banking operation its five branches and also diversified its product they are going to launch Merchant
Banking Unit to play an important role in the capital market. Janata Bank Limited, first among the
Nationalized Commercial Banks, has introduced ATM Services (Annual Report of Janata Bank Limited
2005-2009).
3.4 Rupali Bank Limited
Rupali Bank Limited, one of the state owned commercial banks in Bangladesh, has an authorized capital of
Tk.7,000.00 million (US$ 120.70 million), Paid up Capital: Tk. 1,250 million (US$ 21.55 million). The
Breakup of paid up Capital is Government Shareholding 93.11% and Private Shareholding: 06.89 %.
Rupali Bank Ltd. was constituted with the merger of 3 (three) erstwhile commercial banks i.e. Muslim
Commercial Bank Ltd., Australasia Bank Ltd. and Standard Bank Ltd. operated in the then Pakistan on
March 26, 1972 under the Bangladesh Banks (Nationalization) Order 1972 (P.O. No. 26 of 1972), with all
their assets, benefits, rights, powers, authorities, privileges, liabilities, borrowings and obligations. Rupali
Bank Limited worked as a nationalized commercial bank till December13, 1986. Rupali Bank Ltd. emerged
as the largest Public Limited Banking Company of the country on December 14, 1986 (Annual Report of
Rupali Bank Limited 2005-2009).
4. Objectives of this study
 To appraise the performance of State Owned Commercial Banks in Bangladesh.
 To appraise the competitive analysis of State Owned Commercial Banks in Bangladesh.
 To make recommendations on the basis of findings.

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5. Methodology
The present study has been carried out to evaluate the performance of state owned commercial banks in
Bangladesh. The banks are Sonali Bank Limited, Agrani Bank Limited, Janata Bank Limited and Rupali
Bank Limited. The analysis has been conducted mainly on data from Secondary sources. The relevant data
and information were collected from Stock Exchange, Annual Report, in relevant banks in Bangladesh,
Bangladesh Bank, Securities and Exchange Commission website and from relevant commercial banks.
Relevant article and literature have also been consulted. In this article we analyzed five years (2005-2009)
data of state owned commercial Banks of Bangladesh. Among the various straight-line trend method of
time series analysis the method of least square is most popular and widely used in practice. The method of
least square can be used either to a fit a straight trend or a parabolic trend. The straight-line trend is
represented by the equation Ye = a + bx where, Ye denotes the trend values to distinguish them from the
actual Y values. “a” is the Y intercept or the value of the Y variable when x= 0. “b” represent the slope of
the line of the amount of change in Y variable that if associated with a change of one unit in x variable. X
variable in the time series analysis represent time. The square of correlation coefficient (r 2) is called the
multiple determinants or squared multiple correlation coefficients. The coefficient of correlation is denoted
by r. The value of r lies between 0 and 1. The higher r 2 the greater the percentage of the variation of Y
explained by the regression model, that is, the better the “goodness of fit” of the regression model to the
sample observation r2 closer to zero, the worse the fit. Entire data analysis was performed through SPSS.
6. Result and Discussion
6.1 Growth of Branches of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 1 shows the growth pattern of number of branches of state owned commercial banks. In 2009 the
growth of branches is highest in Janata Bank Limited where no growth was found in Sonali Bank Limited,
Agrani Bank Limited and Rupali Bank Limited. Sonali Bank Limited has the highest number of branches
i.e, 1184 and Rupali Bank Limited has the lowest number of branches i.e., 492.
6.2 Trend equation and r2 of Branches of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 2 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of branch expansion of state owned commercial
banks. It is reflected that trend equation of all state owned commercial banks are positive and goodness of
fit of all equations are high. In case of Janata Bank Limited is very high i.e. 0.88.
6.3 Growth of Employee of State Owned Commercial Banks
No. of employee of state owned commercial banks have been shown in Table 3. The highest no. of
employees are working in Sonali Bank Limited and lowest in Rupali Bank Limited, Negative trend was
found during 2005-2007 in each bank. In 2009 the growth percentage is higher in Rupali Bank Limited and
still negative and lowest in Janata Bank Limited.
6.4 Trend equation and r2 of Employee of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 4 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of employees of state owned commercial banks. It is
reflected from the table 4 that trend equation of all state owned commercial banks are negative and
goodness of fit of all equation is high. In case of Janata Bank Limited is very high i.e.0.97.
6.5 Growth of Deposit State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 5 shows the growth pattern of deposit of state owned commercial banks. It is observed from the table
5 that almost every year of deposit of all state owned commercial banks has increased from the previous
year except Rupali Bank Limited. The highest deposit is found in Sonali Bank Limited and lowest in
Rupali Bank Limited. The highest growth percentage of deposit is found in Agrani Bank Limited and
lowest in Rupali Bank Limited.
6.6 Trend equation and r2 of Deposit State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 6 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of deposit of state owned commercial banks. It is
reflected from the table 6 that trend equation of all state owned commercial banks are positive and
goodness of fit of all equation is high. In case of Sonali Bank Limited is very high i.e.0.99.

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6.7 Trend equation and r2 of Loan and Advances of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 7 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of loan and advances of state owned commercial
banks. It is reflected from the table 7 that trend equation of all state owned commercial banks are positive
and goodness of fit of all equation is high except Sonali Bank Limited.
6.8 Non Performing/Classified Loan of State Owned Commercial Banks
It is reflected from the table 8 that the non performing loan of all state owned commercial banks is
increasing during 2005-2007 but decreasing after 2007 to 2009. The highest NPL is found in Sonali Bank
Limited and lowest in Rupali Bank Limited. It is also found that the recovery rate is highest in Rupali Bank
Limited and lowest in Sonali Bank Limited.
6.9 Trend Equation and r2 of % of Classified Loan to Total Loan of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 9 shows the summary of trend equation and r 2 of % of classified loan to total loan of state owned
commercial banks. It is reflected from the table 9 that trend equations of Sonali Bank Limited and Rupali
Bank Limited are positive and negative in Janata Bank Limited and Agrani Bank Limited .All the equation
are not Goodness of fit except Agrani Bank Limited.
6.10 Growth of Net Profit after Tax of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 10 shows the growth pattern of net profit of state owned commercial banks. It is observed from the
table 10 that all the banks have failed to earned net income continuously during the year of 2005-2009. In
2009 the highest net income is found in Janata Bank Limited and lowest in Agrani Bank Limited. All banks
have negative growth in net profit during 2008-2009 except Rupali bank Limited.
6.11 Trend Equation and r2 of Net Profit after Tax of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 11 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of net profit of state owned commercial banks. It is
reflected from the table 11 that trend equations of all state owned commercial banks are positive and
goodness of fit except Rupali Bank Limited equation.
6.12 Trend Equation and r2 of Earnings Per Share (EPS) of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 12 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of EPS of state owned commercial banks. It is
reflected that trend equations of all state owned commercial banks are positive except Agrani Bank
Limited and goodness of fit only Janata Bank Limited equation.
6.13 Trend Equation and r2 of Equity of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 13 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of equity of state owned commercial banks. It is
reflected that trend equation of all state owned commercial banks are positive except Rupali Bank Limited
and goodness of fit of all equation are highly low. In case of Janata Bank Limited is very high.
6.14 Trend Equation and r2 of assets of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 14 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of assets of state owned commercial banks. It shows
that trend equations of all state owned commercial banks are positive and goodness of fit of all equation is
high. In case of Janata Bank Limited is very high i.e.0.99.
6.15 Return on Equity (%) of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 15 shows the Return on Equity (ROE) of assets of state owned commercial banks. During December
2009 the highest ROE is found in Janata Bank Limited and lowest in Sonali Bank Limited. Though the
equity is negative in Rupali Bank Limited so, ROA is not applicable.
6.16 Return on Asset (%) of State-Owned Commercial Banks
Table 16 shows the Return on Assets (ROA) of assets of state owned commercial banks. It explores that it
is fluctuate from year to year. During December 2009 the highest ROA is found in Rupali Bank Limited
and lowest in Sonali Bank Limited.
6.17 Growth of Total Expense of State Owned Commercial Banks

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Table 17 shows the growth pattern of expense of state owned commercial anks. It is observed that almost
every year of expense of all state owned commercial banks has increased from the previous year. The
highest amount and percentage of expense is found in Sonali Bank Limited and lowest in Rupali Bank
Limited.
6.18 Profit to Expense Ratio of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 18 shows the Profit to expense ratio of state owned commercial banks. It is fount that it is fluctuate
from year to year. During December 2009 the highest Profit to expense ratio is found in Rupali Bank
Limited and lowest in Sonali Bank Limited.
6.19 Trend Equation and r2 of Net Asset Value per Share of State Owned Commercial Banks
Table 19 shows the summary of trend equation and r2 of net asset value per share of state owned
commercial banks. It is reflected from the table 15 that trend equation of all state owned commercial banks
are positive and goodness of fit of all equations is not high except ABL. In case of Agrani Bank Limited is
0.79.
7. Conclusion
Evaluation of banks financial performance is important for all parties like depositors, bank manager,
stockholders, creditors, regulators and educationalist. In a competitive market financial bank performance
provides signals to depositor investors whether to invest or withdraw fund from the bank. Similarly, it
flashes direction to bank manager whether to improve its deposit service or loan service or both to improve
its finance. Stockholders and creditors use the performance to evaluate the attractiveness of the bank as an
investment by examining its ability to meets its current and expected future financial obligation. Regulator
is also interested to know its regulation purpose. Educationalist can use this article for further research. It
has been observed that the net income of the SCB did not continuously increase from previous year rather
all SCB have decrease except Rupali Bank Limited during 2008-2009.It is also reflected from the analysis
that the EPS of all the SCB are not continuously rising and not so high. It is also indicated that the
profitability of all the SCB are not satisfactory. NPL/classified loan indicates that from 2005-2007 the
classified loan of all the banks have been decreased but after 2007 all the bank classified loan have
decreased but the amount is still high. Loan recovery rate indicates that the banks are able to manage their
credit efficiently. It is observed that from 2005 to 2007 % of classified loan have been increased to all the
banks and decreased all the banks after 2007. It is also observed that the classified loan of Janata Bank
Limited is low among all the SCB. It is also observed that Sonali Bank Ltd, Agrani Bank Limited and
Rupali Bank Limited are not able to manage credit efficiency effectively as a result recovery of loan is not
quite good. The growth percentages of branches of all SCB are almost zero. Since there are many branches
are spread all over the country they do not open their branches. In order to increase their activity and
income Janata and Rupali Bank may expand new branches. SCBs play an important role to create
employment in the banking sector. There are around seventy thousand people working in SCB.
Employment status of SCB indicates that employee of all the banks is decreasing from 2005 to 2009 except
Agrani and Rupali Bank Limited in the year 2009. So, all the SCB has to recruit energetic employee to
maintain the credit healthy. From the sequence of the analysis it is reflected that the deposit of SBL and
JBL has showed increasing trend but ABL and RBL is fluctuating during the period of 2005 to 2009. It is
also observed that the total deposit of ABL, RBL are not satisfactory in the comparison of SBL. So these
bank need to increase their deposit. It has been identified that the loan and advances of all SCBs are not
continuously increasing except RBL. It is fluctuated from the previous year. The growth rate of SBL, ABL
and RBL are not satisfactory in comparison with JBL. So SBL, ABL and RBL should try to increase the
growth rate of loan and advances. ROE indicates that a bank convert its equity into net earnings. The higher
ratio indicates higher ability and indicates that the ROE of all the SCB are fluctuating from year to year. It
is also indicates that all the banks fail to maintain a satisfactory ROE. ROA indicates that a bank convert its
assets into net earnings. The higher ratio indicates higher ability and indicates that the ROA of all the SCB
are fluctuating from year to year. It is also indicates that all the banks fail to maintain a satisfactory ROA.
Total expense of SCB indicates that Sonali Bank Limited need to decrease expense to increase net profit.
Profit expense ratio shows that SBL has lowest profit expense ratio. SBL need to decrease expense in order

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to increase profit expense ratio. From our analysis it is indicated that the assets of all SCB is increasing. It
is also indicate that RBL asset growth is not satisfactory in comparison to SBL, ABL and JBL. From the
analysis it is indicated that the equity of Janata Bank Limited have increased every year. 15 trend equations
have been observed for different activities of SCB. Although zero growth was found in branch but trend is
positive. Negative growth and negative trend was found in employee of all SCB. Positive growth and
positive trend was found in deposit, assets and expense. Although loan and advances and net profit was
fluctuated from year to year but positive trend was found in all the SCB. In case of EPS positive trend was
found in SBL, JBL and RBL but negative trend was found in ABL. In case of NPL and % of classified loan
to total loan positive trend was found in SBL and RBL but negative trend was found in JBL and SBL.
Square correlation coefficient (r2) has also been tested for all equation. The r2 of branches, employee,
deposit, assets are more than 0.5. It indicates that the prospects of these indicators of SCB are bright. All
other indicator like net income, EPS, NPL, % of classified loan to total loans r2 are not more than 0.5 for
all banks. It indicates that all the banks do not achieve this indicator during the period 2005-2009.
8. Recommendations
All banks have to recruit and select new employees. Sonali Bank Limited and Rupali Bank Limited have to
emphasize on recovery department to reduce the classified loan. SBL need to increase net income by
decreasing expense. Agrani Bank Limited and Janata Bank Limited need to expand the branches to collect
more deposit and increase net income.
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Appendices
Appendix-1
Short form Variable Name
SCB State Owned Commercial Bank
NPL Non Performing Loan
EPS Earnings Per Share,
NAV Net Asset Value
SBL Sonali Bank Limited
ABL Agrani Bank Limited
JBL Janata Bank Limited
RBL Rupali Bank Limited
NCB Nationalized Commercial Bank
ROE Return on Equity
ROA Return on Asset
CRR Cash Requirement Reserve
SLR Statutory Liquidity Reserve
IRS Interest Rate Spread
NII Net Interest Income

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ICB Investment Corporation of Bangladesh
HBFC House Building Finance Corporation
NBFI Non-Banking Financial Institution
PCB Private Commercial Bank
SB Specialized Bank

Appendix-2
Table 1: Number of Branches of State-Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Number of Branches
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 1183 1183 1183 1184 1184
Growth 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.00%
2 Janata Bank Limited 847 848 848 849 851
Growth 0.12% 0.00% 0.12% 0.24%
3 Agrni Bank Limited 864 866 866 867 867
Growth 0.23% 0.00% 0.12% 0.00%
4 Rupali Bank Limited 491 492 492 492 492
Growth 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Source: Compiled from different issues of Annual Report of Sonali Bank Limited, Janata Bank Limited,
Agrani Bank Limited and Rupali Bank Limited.
Table 2: Trend equation and r2 branches of State Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of the Bank Ye= a + bx r2
1 Sonali Bank Limited 1182.80 + 0.30x 0.75
2 Janata Bank Limited 846.80 + 0.90x 0.88
3 Agrni Bank Limited 864.60 + 0.70x 0.82
4 Rupali Bank Limited 491.40+ 0.20x 0.50
Source: Table 1
Table 3: Employee of State Owned Commercial Bank
Sl No. Name of Banks Number of Employees
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 23,933 23,273 22,542 21,839 21,839
Growth -2.76% -3.14% -3.12% 0.00%
2 Janata Bank Limited 15,321 14,772 13,860 13,379 13,122
Growth -3.58% -6.17% -3.47% -1.92%

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3 Agrni Bank Limited 11,938 11,793 11,345 10,988 11,443
Growth -1.21% -3.80% -3.15% 4.14%
4 Rupali Bank Limited 5,008 4,753 4,430 4,269 4,529
Growth -5.09% -6.80% -3.63% 6.09%

Table 4: Trend equation and r2 employees of State Owned Commercial Banks
1 Sonali Bank Limited 23,809.60 -562.20x 0.94
2 Janata Bank Limited 15,249.00 - 579.10x 0.97
3 Agrni Bank Limited 11,860.40 - 179.50x 0.57
4 Rupali Bank Limited 4,886.20 -144.20x 0.62
Source: Table 3
Table 5: Deposit of State Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Total Deposit (Tk. in million)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 277,079.00 302,303.00 328,997.20 364,386.00 406,152.00
Growth 9.10% 8.83% 10.76% 11.46%
2 Janata Bank Limited 168,897.00 182,947.00 198,636.00 221,336.00 246,175.00
Growth 8.32% 8.58% 11.43% 11.22%
3 Agrni Bank Limited 130,840.00 128,920.00 135,920.00 146,810.00 166,280.00
Growth -1.47% 5.43% 8.01% 13.26%
4 Rupali Bank Limited 66,870.50 67,832.10 72,446.10 70,280.50 73,912.80
Growth 1.44% 6.80% -2.99% 5.17%
Table 6: Trend equation and r2 of deposit of State Owned Commercial Banks
1 Sonali Bank Limited 271,737.64 + 32,022.90x 0.99
2 Janata Bank Limited 165,009.20 + 19,294.50x 0.98
3 Agrni Bank Limited 124,000.00 + 8,877.00x 0.83
4 Rupali Bank Limited 66,961.80 + 1,653.30x 0.77
Source: Table 5

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Table 7: Trend equation and r2 of loan and advances of State Owned Commercial Banks.
Source: Own study

Table 8: Non Performing/Classified Loan of State Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Non Performing/Classified Loan (Tk. in million)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Growth -13.20% 79.98% -21.02% -3.91%
Growth 25.88% 12.88% -14.06% -18.79%
Growth 3.34% 14.27% -19.82% -6.87%
Growth 61.46% 50.91% -16.15% -28.67%
Table 9: Trend Equation and r2 of % of Classified Loan to Total Loan of State Owned Commercial
Banks.
1 Sonali Bank Limited 26.71 + 1.69x 0.093
2 Janata Bank Limited 13.53 -0.59x 0.116
3 Agrni Bank Limited 28.98 -2.16x 0.881
4 Rupali Bank Limited 24.23 + 1.32x 0.057
Source: Own study
Table 10: Net Profit after Tax of State Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Net Profit after Tax (Tk. In million)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 208.00 -36,275.60 973.60 2,311.10 1,536.80
Growth -17,540.19% 102.68% 137.38% -33.50%
2 Janata Bank Limited 0.00 0.00 1,681.00 3,145.00 2,982.00

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Growth 168,100% 87.09% -5.18%
3 Agrni Bank Limited 1,630.00 1,940.00 860.00 2,650.00 1,110.00
Growth 19.02% -55.67% 208.14% -58.11%
4 Rupali Bank Limited 188.60 93.80 -11,017.50 874.10 1,668.50
-
Growth -50.27% 107.93% 90.88%
11845.74%

Table 11: Trend Equation and r2 of Net Profit After Tax of State Owned Commercial Banks
1 Sonali Bank Limited (-)1,449.81 + 412.44x 0.151
2 Janata Bank Limited (-)26.02 + 91.09x 0.881
3 Agrni Bank Limited 154.20 + 2.10x 0.002
4 Rupali Bank Limited (-)238.65 +37.40x 0.013
Source: Table 10
Table 12: Trend Equation and r2 of EPS of State-Owned Commercial Banks
1 Sonali Bank Limited (-)288.96 + 77.70x 0.14
2 Janata Bank Limited (-)14.40 + 23.99x 0.77
3 Agrni Bank Limited 73.21 -5.87x 0.08
4 Rupali Bank Limited (-)190.84 +29.86x 0.01
Source: Own study
Table 13: Trend Equation and r2 of equity of State-Owned Commercial Banks
1 Sonali Bank Limited (-)9,340.74 + 10,120.04x 0.455
3 Agrni Bank Limited (-)5,391.54 + 4,395.24x 0.316
4 Rupali Bank Limited (-)944.64 - 1,980.85x 0.404
Source: Own study
Table 14: Trend Equation and r2 of assets of State-Owned Commercial Banks

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Source: Own study
Table 15: Return on Equity (%)of State Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Return on Equity (%)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 3.30 N/A 4.48 9.46 5.04
2 Janata Bank Limited 0.00 0.00 29.60 34.70 21.51
3 Agrni Bank Limited -7.88 12.65 29.55 41.28 12.09
4 Rupali Bank Limited N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A: Not Available

Table 16: Return on Assets (%)of State-Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Return on Assets (%)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 0.06 -10.28 0.21 0.47 0.28
3 Agrni Bank Limited 1.05 1.26 0.46 1.42 0.52
4 Rupali Bank Limited 0.25 0.12 -13.52 1.06 1.91
Table 17: Total Expense of State-Owned Commercial Banks
Sl No. Name of Banks Total Expense (Tk. In million)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Growth 26.57% 0.80% 23.25% 21.00%
Growth 22.53% 12.44% 2.66% 11.33%
Growth 3.43% -3.77% 2.74% 14.70%
Growth 16.10% -1.19% 3.87% 9.33%
Agrani Bank Limited and Rupali Bank Limited
Table 18: Profit to Expense Ratio
Sl No. Name of Banks Profit to Expense Ratio (%)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 Sonali Bank Limited 1.00 -180.25 4.8 9.24 5.08

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3 Agrni Bank Limited 16.08 22.17 10.21 30.63 11.19
4 Rupali Bank Limited 4.78 2.05 -243.25 18.58 32.44
Table 19: Trend Equation and r2 of Net Asset Value Per Share of State-Owned Commercial Banks
Sl. No. Name of the Bank Ye= a + bx r2
1 Sonali Bank Limited -141.33 + 123.20x 0.26
2 Janata Bank Limited -8.99 + 82.19x 0.35
3 Agrni Bank Limited -673.72 + 263.42 0.79
4 Rupali Bank Limited -75.82 + 157.00x 0.39
Source: Own study

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8 shah johir rayhan final paper--99-113

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