EFFECTIVE CONTRACT METRICS
FOR DELIVERING BUSINESS VALUE




      Agile Business Conference
          10-11 October 2012

           Susan Atkinson
                                  EVOLVE
          EVOLVE contracts        contracts
A CONTRACT THAT REFLECTS AGILE?




                                  EVOLVE
                                  contracts
YOU GET WHAT YOU MEASURE

“Perhaps what you measure is what you get.
More likely, what you measure is all you get.
What you don’t (or can’t) measure is lost.”
                           H Thomas Johnson (2006)




                                             EVOLVE
                                             contracts
CONTRACTS DRIVE BEHAVIOUR




                            EVOLVE
                            contracts
THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT
        FOR SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT

• Output-Based Requirements
• Activity-based metrics based on sequential
  development
• Change control mechanism

NOTE:
The charging model is secondary
So are IP ownership, data protection, liability, indemnities etc.
                                                            EVOLVE
                                                            contracts
MAJOR INFLUENCES BEHIND
            THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT




Sir Isaac
                   Frederick
 Newton
                    Taylor                 1875-1966
1642-1727                      1863-1947
                   1856-1915



  The Industrial
   Revolution
   1750-1850

                                                EVOLVE
                                                contracts
THE IMPACT OF THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT

 • Increases the risk of failure:
    Delivery risk

    Business value risk

    Existing business model failure risk

 • Leads to the design of suboptimal software
 • Leads to a poor return on investment

                                            EVOLVE
                                            contracts
THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT
     FOR SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT

• Output-Based Requirements

• Activity-based metrics based on sequential
  development

• Change control mechanism


                                         EVOLVE
                                         contracts
SO WHAT IS THE COMMERCIAL MODEL? …..




                                 EVOLVE
                                 contracts
START WITH WHY




                 EVOLVE
                 contracts
THE COMPLEXITY THEORY




                The Stacey Matrix
                   Supplemented by
                the Cynefin framework




                               EVOLVE
                               contracts
MANAGEMENT FOR THE DIFFERENT CONTEXTS

           SIMPLE                         COMPLICATED                        COMPLEX

       ‘Known Knowns’                   ‘Known Unknowns’                ‘Unknown Unknowns’

      Stable environment                Stable environment            Unpredictability and flux


  Clear relationship between         Clear relationship between     No/little relationship between
       cause and effect                   cause and effect                  cause and effect
                                    BUT not everyone can see it     Understand only in retrospect


Right answer is self-evident and       Multiple right answers
                                                                          No right answers
          undisputed                BUT not everyone can see it

 ‘Sense, Categorise, Respond’        ‘Sense, Analyse, Respond’         ‘Probe, sense, respond’

                                        Consult the experts            ‘Experimental’ mode of
                                                                            management
   ‘Command and Control”           Trade-off between right answer
                                       and making a decision        Allow patterns to emerge and
                                                                         select the best ones
THE BUSINESS ADVOCATES OF
    COMPLEXITY THEORY
THE COMPLEXITY THEORY




                   Software
                  Development




                          EVOLVE
                          contracts
SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT IS COMPLEX

          •   The customer discovers what it
              wants

          •   The supplier learns what to build

          •   Many things change along the
              way:
               Internal changes – customer’s
                perception

               External factors – market,
                regulations, end user expectations

                                                EVOLVE
                                                contracts
WHAT IS EXPERIMENTAL MANAGEMENT?

                    • Hypothesis

                    • Target outcome

                    • Boundaries

                    • Fast feedback

                    • Minimum viable
                      product (MVP)


                                   EVOLVE
                                   contracts
SIMPLE RULES

“Simple, clear purpose and principles give
 rise to complex and intelligent behavior.
Complex rules and regulations give rise to
        simple and stupid behavior.”
            Dee Hock, CEO Emeritus VISA International




                                                 EVOLVE
                                                 contracts
HOW TO MEASURE ANYTHING
               “Measurement is
            a quantitatively expressed
           reduction of uncertainty
                   based on
           one or more observations.”
                      Douglas Hubbard, 2010

                “It is better to be
             approximately right
                      than
                precisely wrong.”
                              Warren Buffett
                                       EVOLVE
                                       contracts
THE EVOLVE CONTRACT - STRUCTURE

•   Results-focused - agnostic to methodology

•   Focuses on the goal and the constraints

•   Modular structure for incremental development
     Sequencing of work

     Ability to take into account changes and learning in
      subsequent work

•   No upfront design

                                                             EVOLVE
                                                             contracts
THE EVOLVE CONTRACT – METRICS
•   Framework with various options for each SOW

•   Different metrics can be called off into each SOW to suit
    the circumstances:
       Output and targets model – each SOW for an MVP
       Throughput and targets model – each SOW for a specified
        number of story points / function points
       Targets model – each SOW for an MVP

•   “[The MVP] is the fastest way to get through the Build-
    Measure-Learn feedback loop with the minimum amount
    of effort” (‘The Lean Startup’ by Eric Ries)

•   Variety of charging mechanisms
                                                                  EVOLVE
                                                                  contracts
THE IMPACT OF THE EVOLVE CONTRACT
•    Reduces the risk of failure:
        Delivery risk – transparency of the process, prioritisation, reduces
         exposure to change
        Business value risk – focus on targets of the customer
        Existing business model failure risk – no ‘big bang’ roll out

•    Increases the likelihood of optimal design
        Design and development are not artificially divorced
        Regular feedback from the customer

•    Increases the likelihood of a good ROI:
        Less waste
        Increased productivity
                                                                         EVOLVE
                                                                         contracts
CONCLUSION
    “Natural selection may explain the survival of the fittest,
         but it cannot explain the arrival of the fittest”
                                                    Hugo deVries, 1905

•    New contract model for complex contexts required
        Management styles need to change
        Different commercial models are required




                                                                    EVOLVE
                                                                    contracts
THANK YOU




        Susan Atkinson
       EVOLVE contracts
           166 Chiltern Court
               Baker Street
           London NW1 5SW
         Tel: +44 7843 284 543
Email: satkinson@evolvecontracts.com   EVOLVE
                                       contracts

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Abc Contract Metrics (Atkinson) 10.10.12

  • 1. EFFECTIVE CONTRACT METRICS FOR DELIVERING BUSINESS VALUE Agile Business Conference 10-11 October 2012 Susan Atkinson EVOLVE EVOLVE contracts contracts
  • 2. A CONTRACT THAT REFLECTS AGILE? EVOLVE contracts
  • 3. YOU GET WHAT YOU MEASURE “Perhaps what you measure is what you get. More likely, what you measure is all you get. What you don’t (or can’t) measure is lost.” H Thomas Johnson (2006) EVOLVE contracts
  • 4. CONTRACTS DRIVE BEHAVIOUR EVOLVE contracts
  • 5. THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT FOR SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT • Output-Based Requirements • Activity-based metrics based on sequential development • Change control mechanism NOTE: The charging model is secondary So are IP ownership, data protection, liability, indemnities etc. EVOLVE contracts
  • 6. MAJOR INFLUENCES BEHIND THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT Sir Isaac Frederick Newton Taylor 1875-1966 1642-1727 1863-1947 1856-1915 The Industrial Revolution 1750-1850 EVOLVE contracts
  • 7. THE IMPACT OF THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT • Increases the risk of failure:  Delivery risk  Business value risk  Existing business model failure risk • Leads to the design of suboptimal software • Leads to a poor return on investment EVOLVE contracts
  • 8. THE TRADITIONAL CONTRACT FOR SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT • Output-Based Requirements • Activity-based metrics based on sequential development • Change control mechanism EVOLVE contracts
  • 9. SO WHAT IS THE COMMERCIAL MODEL? ….. EVOLVE contracts
  • 10. START WITH WHY EVOLVE contracts
  • 11. THE COMPLEXITY THEORY The Stacey Matrix Supplemented by the Cynefin framework EVOLVE contracts
  • 12. MANAGEMENT FOR THE DIFFERENT CONTEXTS SIMPLE COMPLICATED COMPLEX ‘Known Knowns’ ‘Known Unknowns’ ‘Unknown Unknowns’ Stable environment Stable environment Unpredictability and flux Clear relationship between Clear relationship between No/little relationship between cause and effect cause and effect cause and effect BUT not everyone can see it Understand only in retrospect Right answer is self-evident and Multiple right answers No right answers undisputed BUT not everyone can see it ‘Sense, Categorise, Respond’ ‘Sense, Analyse, Respond’ ‘Probe, sense, respond’ Consult the experts ‘Experimental’ mode of management ‘Command and Control” Trade-off between right answer and making a decision Allow patterns to emerge and select the best ones
  • 13. THE BUSINESS ADVOCATES OF COMPLEXITY THEORY
  • 14. THE COMPLEXITY THEORY Software Development EVOLVE contracts
  • 15. SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT IS COMPLEX • The customer discovers what it wants • The supplier learns what to build • Many things change along the way:  Internal changes – customer’s perception  External factors – market, regulations, end user expectations EVOLVE contracts
  • 16. WHAT IS EXPERIMENTAL MANAGEMENT? • Hypothesis • Target outcome • Boundaries • Fast feedback • Minimum viable product (MVP) EVOLVE contracts
  • 17. SIMPLE RULES “Simple, clear purpose and principles give rise to complex and intelligent behavior. Complex rules and regulations give rise to simple and stupid behavior.” Dee Hock, CEO Emeritus VISA International EVOLVE contracts
  • 18. HOW TO MEASURE ANYTHING “Measurement is a quantitatively expressed reduction of uncertainty based on one or more observations.” Douglas Hubbard, 2010 “It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong.” Warren Buffett EVOLVE contracts
  • 19. THE EVOLVE CONTRACT - STRUCTURE • Results-focused - agnostic to methodology • Focuses on the goal and the constraints • Modular structure for incremental development  Sequencing of work  Ability to take into account changes and learning in subsequent work • No upfront design EVOLVE contracts
  • 20. THE EVOLVE CONTRACT – METRICS • Framework with various options for each SOW • Different metrics can be called off into each SOW to suit the circumstances:  Output and targets model – each SOW for an MVP  Throughput and targets model – each SOW for a specified number of story points / function points  Targets model – each SOW for an MVP • “[The MVP] is the fastest way to get through the Build- Measure-Learn feedback loop with the minimum amount of effort” (‘The Lean Startup’ by Eric Ries) • Variety of charging mechanisms EVOLVE contracts
  • 21. THE IMPACT OF THE EVOLVE CONTRACT • Reduces the risk of failure:  Delivery risk – transparency of the process, prioritisation, reduces exposure to change  Business value risk – focus on targets of the customer  Existing business model failure risk – no ‘big bang’ roll out • Increases the likelihood of optimal design  Design and development are not artificially divorced  Regular feedback from the customer • Increases the likelihood of a good ROI:  Less waste  Increased productivity EVOLVE contracts
  • 22. CONCLUSION “Natural selection may explain the survival of the fittest, but it cannot explain the arrival of the fittest” Hugo deVries, 1905 • New contract model for complex contexts required  Management styles need to change  Different commercial models are required EVOLVE contracts
  • 23. THANK YOU Susan Atkinson EVOLVE contracts 166 Chiltern Court Baker Street London NW1 5SW Tel: +44 7843 284 543 Email: [email protected] EVOLVE contracts