Assessment of Anthropogenic Background PAH 
                Concentrations in East Anglia Soils


                                        Aamer Raza
                             Associate Director, Harrison Group
                                       Environmental
                             Director, MPA Global Solutions Ltd




          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
What is Background?
  Wh t i B k       d?
   Background concentrations are generally considered to be the level or amount of
   a chemical f
      h i l found i common areas not associated with a particular contaminant
                 d in                   t      i t d ith       ti l       t i    t
   release.

   Parks, roadways, residential areas, non‐industrialized properties are typical
        ,        y,                  ,                    p p             yp
   background areas.

   The definition from Tiered Approach to Corrective Action Objectives (TACO 
   (Illinois) is:
   (Illinois) is:

   “Area Background” means concentrations of regulated substances that are
   consistently present in the environment in the vicinity of a site that are the result
   of natural conditions or human activities, and not the result solely of releases at
   the site.
   Information summarized from Urban Area Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Study Tiered Approach to Corrective Action 
   Objectives, Illinois EPA


            MPA – Global Solutions  
          www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Motivating Factors for the Study
  M ti ti F t f th St d
   ALARA Principle – Remediation to target levels < background is not practicable,
   cost efficient, or b
      t ffi i t       beneficial f
                          fi i l from a h lth protection standpoint;
                                        health   t ti     t d i t

   Delineating limits of contamination from point sources;

   Screening out sites from Preliminary Investigations relative to more detailed
   studies;

   Understanding local conditions – will be highly variable

   Because we can – large amounts of data are available, and can be retrospectively
   analysed, as long as amenable to electronic data reading and manipulation (AGS
   data format proved to be the key)




          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Study Objectives
  St d Obj ti
  Assess anthropogenic background levels of PAH levels detected in
  East Anglia Soils.

  •Rural ( id tifi d current or hi t i source)
   R l (no identified        t historic          )
  •Urban (no identified current or historic source)
  •Industrial
  •Farms
  •Automotive works




          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Design
   Retrospective examination of SI data between 2004 and 2010

   •Non‐structured selection of sites – SI
    N     t t d l ti          f it      SIs conducted by Harrison Group with 
                                               d t db H i         G      ith
   archived AGS electronic data

    Cl ifi ti       f it           l d       b d      D k St d i f      ti
   •Classification of sites as per land uses based on Desk Study information

   •Statistical review of PAH data
        Distributional characteristics
        Distributional characteristics
        Outlier identification
        Development of baseline data set
        Derivation of statistical parameters
                                  p
        Comparison with published values



           MPA – Global Solutions  
         www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Design




                                        Group      Sites   Samples
                                        Farm         2       13
                                      Industrial    15       104
                                        Urban        7       28
                                       General      16       69
                                     Automotive     10       45
                                         Total      50       259


          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Sites in Urban Areas




                                        Group      Sites   Samples
                                        Farm         2       13
                                      Industrial    15       104
                                        Urban        7       28
                                       General      16       69
                                     Automotive     10       45
                                         Total      50       259


          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Statistical Analysis and Screening


    Statistical analysis : 
    Statistical analysis :

         •Normal probability plots
          T t f             lit (Sh i Wilk )
         •Tests for  normality (Shapiro Wilkes)
         •Test for outliers (Grubbs Test)
         •Upper Confidence Limits (Normal, Log‐Normal, Non‐Parametric) 
         •95% Upper Tolerance Limits
         •95% Upper Tolerance Limits
         •Multi‐Variate Analysis (Fingerprinting)

    Spatial Analysis
    Spatial Analysis
         •Lateral and Vertical extent
         •Hot‐spots
         •Concentration Gradients




           MPA – Global Solutions  
         www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Summary Statistics ‐ General (no identified current or historic source)
                                  Summary Statistics General Data
                                        y



                                                                           Log-Normal

                                                     Geometric             95th         95% Upper
          Constituent           Min    Max    Mean     Mean    95% UCL   Percentile   Tolerance Limit
         Acenaphthene           14      760     53       28        56       132              197
        Acenaphthylene           5      890     84       20       114       258              492
          Anthracene             9     1700    169       35       222       484              948
     Benzo (a) anthracene       12     8100    686      117      1141      2200            4656
       Benzo (a) pyrene         12     8700    768       97      1564      2518            5781
     Benzo (b) fluoranthene     16    11000    930      128      1794      3049            6846
      Benzo (ghi) perylene      10     6700    603       87      1164      2073            4662
     Benzo (k) fluoranthene     25     7400    534       97       652      1403             2776
           Chrysene             10     7000    716      107      1532      2581            5818
    Dibenzo (ah) anthracene      8     1500    129      26        150       336             643
         Fluoranthene           25    21000   1529      198      2859      4803            10839
           Fluorene             12     1300     79       31        87       213              348
   Indeno (1.2.3 - cd) pyrene   11    5900     467      63        746      1350            2947
          Naphthalene           10     5100    253       75       362       839             1554
         Phenanthrene           21     8500    722      140      1147      2337            4795
            Pyrene              22    17000   1240      172      2248      3918            8702



           MPA – Global Solutions  
         www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Statistical Distribution ‐ General (no identified current or historic source)
                         Normal Probability Plot BaP ‐ General Land Use
                                          Full Data Set
                                          Full Data Set
              10

               8

               6
   Ln Value




               4

               2

               0
                    3
                   ‐3          ‐2
                                2         ‐1
                                           1          0         1         2              3
              ‐2
                                           Normal Quantile
                                                                              20
                                                                              18
                                                                              16
                                                                              14
   •High end outliers
   •High end outliers                                                         12
   •Left censored (detection limits)                                          10                                                       Frequency

   •Bi‐modal                                                                   8                                                       Fitted Curve
                                                                               6
                                                                               4
                                                                               2
                                                                               0
                                                                                   0.2   1.4   2.6   3.8   5   6.2   7.4   8.6   9.8




                          MPA – Global Solutions  
                        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
 G‐CAT
Statistical Distribution ‐ General (no identified current or historic source)
                              Normal Probability Plot BaP ‐ General Land Use
                                               y
                                        Minus High End Outliers
                     9
                     8
                     7
                     6
                     5
         Ln Value




                     4
                     3
                     2
                     1
                     0                                                                                   BaP in General Soils
                                              Normal Quantile
                         ‐3        ‐2        ‐1         0          1       20     2            3
                                                                       F   18
                                                                       r   16
                                                                       e   14
   •Closer conformity with Log
   •Closer conformity with Log‐                                        q   12
   normal Distribution                                                 u   10
                                                                            8                                                                   Frequency
                                                                       e
   •Left censored (detection limits)                                   n    6                                                                   Fitted Curve
                                                                       c    4
                                                                       y    2
                                                                            0
                                                                                0.2 0.8 1.4 2 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.4 5 5.6 6.2 6.8 7.4 8 8.6 9.2 9.8
                                                                                                           Ln Conc




                      MPA – Global Solutions  
                    www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
 G‐CAT
Dealing with Non‐Detects 

   •Detection Limit (approach used)
             Detection Frequency 75%

    ½       i    i i
   •½ Detection Limit

   •Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Left Censored Data ‐
   replacement of non‐detect values with fitted values
         •To be assessed




           MPA – Global Solutions  
         www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
 G‐CAT
Pattern Assessment – Variation in Isomer ratios (assessment of discrete sources)
•Principal Components Analysis of Isomer Ratios
•Data divided by concentration – assess if outliers are from unique sources
                   5

                   4

                   3

                   2

                   1
  PCA2
                   0
     ‐4     ‐2
                   ‐1
                        0    2          4           6   8   10   12   No clear difference by 
                                                                      Concentration level.
                   ‐2
                    2

                   ‐3                                                 Most samples showed 
                   ‐4                                                 very similar profiles
                                      PCA1

                                 <1    1‐10   >10                     Suggestive of common 
                                                                      source


            MPA – Global Solutions  
          www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
  G‐CAT
Statistical Distribution ‐ Industrial
                        Normal Probability Plot BaP ‐ Industrial Land Use
                        Normal Probability Plot BaP Industrial Land Use
                                         Full Data Set
               8
               7
               6
               5
    Ln Value




               4
               3
               2
               1
               0
                                         Normal Quantile
                   ‐3    ‐2.5     ‐2      ‐1.5     ‐1      ‐0.5     0            8
                                                                                0.5         1
                                                                            F    7
                                                                            r    6
   •Good fit with Log normal
   •Good fit with Log‐normal                                                e
                                                                                 5
                                                                            q
   Distribution                                                             u    4
                                                                                                                                            Frequency
   •Left censored (detection limits)                                        e
                                                                            n
                                                                                 3
                                                                                                                                            Fitted Curve
                                                                                 2
                                                                            c
                                                                            y    1
                                                                                 0
                                                                                      0.2   1.4   2.6   3.8     5   6.2   7.4   8.6   9.8
                                                                                                              Ln Conc



                     MPA – Global Solutions  
                   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
 G‐CAT
Data Comparison Across Groups




                                                                        Log-Normal



                                                  Geometric           95th       95% Upper
        Constituent        Min        Max    Mean   Mean    95% UCL Percentile Tolerance Limit

          Urban             12        4700   498      129      1447      1933        5214

         General            12        8700   768      97       1564      2518        5781

         Industrial         12    220000     6049     508     13414     19717        50176

        Automotive          12    16840      1276     222      2913      4414        9950

           Farm             26    14000      2008     561     33072     11559        76123




           MPA – Global Solutions  
         www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Comparison with Published Literature


   Background Levels of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) and Selected Metals 
   Background Levels of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) and Selected Metals
   in New England Urban Soils
   L. J. N. Bradley B. H. Magee and S. L. Allen Journal of Soil Contamination, 3(4): (1994)

   •Samples of surficial soils from urban locations in three New England cities. Sixty 
   samples – twenty from each city

   Concentrations of Polynuclear Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Inorganic Constituents in 
   Concentrations of Polynuclear Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Inorganic Constituents in
   Ambient Surface Soils – Chicago Illinois, 2001‐2002
   Kay et al, 2003, USGS Report 03‐1045

    57 Sit i Chi        M t    lit A       O       l f        h it
   •57 Sites in Chicago Metropolitan Area. One sample from each site

   PAHs in background soils from Western Europe: Influence of atmospheric 
   deposition and soil organic matter
     p                   g
   Jae Jak Nam et al. Chemosphere 70 (2008) 1596–1602

   •53 Soil Samples from Norway and UK

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G‐CAT
Comparison with Published Literature


   Broadly, our results are similar to the observations made elsewhere:
   Broadly our results are similar to the observations made elsewhere:

   UK soils – Geometric Mean BaP  46 ug/kg – range  1.8 – 1600; (our data Geo. Mean 
   52 range 6‐1724, after high end outliers were excluded)

   Chicago soils – BaP 95 Percentile 2,100 ug/kg; (our data 2,500 including outliers, 
   1,700 excluding)

   Highly spatially variable – orders of magnitude differences within 300 metres of each 
   other.

   New England Study – BaP range 40 – 13 000 /k
   N E l d St d B P                  40 13,000 ug/kg, and 95 percentile 1,800 ((our 
                                                        d 95       til 1 800 ((
   data 2,500 including outliers, 1,700 excluding)




          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Implication for Remediation

                                                                                              Approximate Screening Value
                   Number of                                                                                       Fitzgerald et 
 Samples  Analysed Detects         Minimum       Maximum         Mean        95% UCL     HPA BMD10       GAC            al.
                                                                                            500         1000           5000
        5                5            680          8500          4514         8068.7
                                                                              8068 7
        5                2            12            66            26           47.9
        4                3            12           1724           649         1534.6
        4                4            22            954           366         883.2
        4                3            12            880           275         752.9
        4                4            51            390           139         335.9
        6                2            12            28            15           20.4
        4                2            12            69            36           69.3
        5                5            52           8700          2177         5698.6
        4                2            12            340           101         289.2
        6                5            12           2300           638         1422.9
        5                3            12            142           45           98.5
        4                4            91            390           200          364.4



D. James Fitzgerald,Neville I. Robinson,and Beverly A. Pester. Application of Benzo(a)pyrene and Coal Tar Tumor Dose–Response 
Data to a Modified Benchmark Dose Method of Guideline Development 



              MPA – Global Solutions  
            www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
Conclusions – Points for Discussion

  Stationary and mobile anthropogenic sources account for the majority of PAHs, with 
  great variability regionally and locally.

  Remediation should not commence without establishing / assessing a site‐specific 
  background, if possible.


  The impracticality and infeasibility of remediation to guideline levels if naturally 
  occurring background exceeds the maximum allowable value is self evident. It deems 
  remediation unnecessary and unproductive in such scenarios.




          MPA – Global Solutions  
        www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT
ALARA principal is a vital consideration (setting cleanup levels as low as 
        reasonably achievable). Assessment and consideration of background 
        would be imperative.

        A tier‐based guideline system may be very beneficial, where the central
        tendency and maximum values are compared with relevant background
        numbers (95% UCL), (95th percentile). This is particularly relevant in the
        current times, given the b d i
                 i       i       h broader issues of greenhouse gas emissions, and
                                                    f      h           i i       d
        need for efficient utilisation of economic resources.




            MPA – Global Solutions  
          www.mpaglobalsolutions.com
G‐CAT

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Analysis of Background PAH levels in East Anglia

  • 1. Assessment of Anthropogenic Background PAH  Concentrations in East Anglia Soils Aamer Raza Associate Director, Harrison Group Environmental Director, MPA Global Solutions Ltd MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 2. What is Background? Wh t i B k d? Background concentrations are generally considered to be the level or amount of a chemical f h i l found i common areas not associated with a particular contaminant d in t i t d ith ti l t i t release. Parks, roadways, residential areas, non‐industrialized properties are typical , y, , p p yp background areas. The definition from Tiered Approach to Corrective Action Objectives (TACO  (Illinois) is: (Illinois) is: “Area Background” means concentrations of regulated substances that are consistently present in the environment in the vicinity of a site that are the result of natural conditions or human activities, and not the result solely of releases at the site. Information summarized from Urban Area Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Study Tiered Approach to Corrective Action  Objectives, Illinois EPA MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 3. Motivating Factors for the Study M ti ti F t f th St d ALARA Principle – Remediation to target levels < background is not practicable, cost efficient, or b t ffi i t beneficial f fi i l from a h lth protection standpoint; health t ti t d i t Delineating limits of contamination from point sources; Screening out sites from Preliminary Investigations relative to more detailed studies; Understanding local conditions – will be highly variable Because we can – large amounts of data are available, and can be retrospectively analysed, as long as amenable to electronic data reading and manipulation (AGS data format proved to be the key) MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 4. Study Objectives St d Obj ti Assess anthropogenic background levels of PAH levels detected in East Anglia Soils. •Rural ( id tifi d current or hi t i source) R l (no identified t historic ) •Urban (no identified current or historic source) •Industrial •Farms •Automotive works MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 5. Design Retrospective examination of SI data between 2004 and 2010 •Non‐structured selection of sites – SI N t t d l ti f it SIs conducted by Harrison Group with  d t db H i G ith archived AGS electronic data Cl ifi ti f it l d b d D k St d i f ti •Classification of sites as per land uses based on Desk Study information •Statistical review of PAH data Distributional characteristics Distributional characteristics Outlier identification Development of baseline data set Derivation of statistical parameters p Comparison with published values MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 6. Design Group Sites Samples Farm 2 13 Industrial 15 104 Urban 7 28 General 16 69 Automotive 10 45 Total 50 259 MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 7. Sites in Urban Areas Group Sites Samples Farm 2 13 Industrial 15 104 Urban 7 28 General 16 69 Automotive 10 45 Total 50 259 MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 8. Statistical Analysis and Screening Statistical analysis :  Statistical analysis : •Normal probability plots T t f lit (Sh i Wilk ) •Tests for  normality (Shapiro Wilkes) •Test for outliers (Grubbs Test) •Upper Confidence Limits (Normal, Log‐Normal, Non‐Parametric)  •95% Upper Tolerance Limits •95% Upper Tolerance Limits •Multi‐Variate Analysis (Fingerprinting) Spatial Analysis Spatial Analysis •Lateral and Vertical extent •Hot‐spots •Concentration Gradients MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 9. Summary Statistics ‐ General (no identified current or historic source) Summary Statistics General Data y Log-Normal Geometric 95th 95% Upper Constituent Min Max Mean Mean 95% UCL Percentile Tolerance Limit Acenaphthene 14 760 53 28 56 132 197 Acenaphthylene 5 890 84 20 114 258 492 Anthracene 9 1700 169 35 222 484 948 Benzo (a) anthracene 12 8100 686 117 1141 2200 4656 Benzo (a) pyrene 12 8700 768 97 1564 2518 5781 Benzo (b) fluoranthene 16 11000 930 128 1794 3049 6846 Benzo (ghi) perylene 10 6700 603 87 1164 2073 4662 Benzo (k) fluoranthene 25 7400 534 97 652 1403 2776 Chrysene 10 7000 716 107 1532 2581 5818 Dibenzo (ah) anthracene 8 1500 129 26 150 336 643 Fluoranthene 25 21000 1529 198 2859 4803 10839 Fluorene 12 1300 79 31 87 213 348 Indeno (1.2.3 - cd) pyrene 11 5900 467 63 746 1350 2947 Naphthalene 10 5100 253 75 362 839 1554 Phenanthrene 21 8500 722 140 1147 2337 4795 Pyrene 22 17000 1240 172 2248 3918 8702 MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 10. Statistical Distribution ‐ General (no identified current or historic source) Normal Probability Plot BaP ‐ General Land Use Full Data Set Full Data Set 10 8 6 Ln Value 4 2 0 3 ‐3 ‐2 2 ‐1 1 0 1 2 3 ‐2 Normal Quantile 20 18 16 14 •High end outliers •High end outliers 12 •Left censored (detection limits) 10 Frequency •Bi‐modal 8 Fitted Curve 6 4 2 0 0.2 1.4 2.6 3.8 5 6.2 7.4 8.6 9.8 MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 11. Statistical Distribution ‐ General (no identified current or historic source) Normal Probability Plot BaP ‐ General Land Use y Minus High End Outliers 9 8 7 6 5 Ln Value 4 3 2 1 0 BaP in General Soils Normal Quantile ‐3 ‐2 ‐1 0 1 20 2 3 F 18 r 16 e 14 •Closer conformity with Log •Closer conformity with Log‐ q 12 normal Distribution u 10 8 Frequency e •Left censored (detection limits) n 6 Fitted Curve c 4 y 2 0 0.2 0.8 1.4 2 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.4 5 5.6 6.2 6.8 7.4 8 8.6 9.2 9.8 Ln Conc MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 12. Dealing with Non‐Detects  •Detection Limit (approach used) Detection Frequency 75% ½ i i i •½ Detection Limit •Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Left Censored Data ‐ replacement of non‐detect values with fitted values •To be assessed MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 13. Pattern Assessment – Variation in Isomer ratios (assessment of discrete sources) •Principal Components Analysis of Isomer Ratios •Data divided by concentration – assess if outliers are from unique sources 5 4 3 2 1 PCA2 0 ‐4 ‐2 ‐1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 No clear difference by  Concentration level. ‐2 2 ‐3 Most samples showed  ‐4 very similar profiles PCA1 <1 1‐10 >10 Suggestive of common  source MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 14. Statistical Distribution ‐ Industrial Normal Probability Plot BaP ‐ Industrial Land Use Normal Probability Plot BaP Industrial Land Use Full Data Set 8 7 6 5 Ln Value 4 3 2 1 0 Normal Quantile ‐3 ‐2.5 ‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 8 0.5 1 F 7 r 6 •Good fit with Log normal •Good fit with Log‐normal  e 5 q Distribution u 4 Frequency •Left censored (detection limits) e n 3 Fitted Curve 2 c y 1 0 0.2 1.4 2.6 3.8 5 6.2 7.4 8.6 9.8 Ln Conc MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 15. Data Comparison Across Groups Log-Normal Geometric 95th 95% Upper Constituent Min Max Mean Mean 95% UCL Percentile Tolerance Limit Urban 12 4700 498 129 1447 1933 5214 General 12 8700 768 97 1564 2518 5781 Industrial 12 220000 6049 508 13414 19717 50176 Automotive 12 16840 1276 222 2913 4414 9950 Farm 26 14000 2008 561 33072 11559 76123 MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 16. Comparison with Published Literature Background Levels of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) and Selected Metals  Background Levels of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) and Selected Metals in New England Urban Soils L. J. N. Bradley B. H. Magee and S. L. Allen Journal of Soil Contamination, 3(4): (1994) •Samples of surficial soils from urban locations in three New England cities. Sixty  samples – twenty from each city Concentrations of Polynuclear Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Inorganic Constituents in  Concentrations of Polynuclear Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Inorganic Constituents in Ambient Surface Soils – Chicago Illinois, 2001‐2002 Kay et al, 2003, USGS Report 03‐1045 57 Sit i Chi M t lit A O l f h it •57 Sites in Chicago Metropolitan Area. One sample from each site PAHs in background soils from Western Europe: Influence of atmospheric  deposition and soil organic matter p g Jae Jak Nam et al. Chemosphere 70 (2008) 1596–1602 •53 Soil Samples from Norway and UK MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 17. Comparison with Published Literature Broadly, our results are similar to the observations made elsewhere: Broadly our results are similar to the observations made elsewhere: UK soils – Geometric Mean BaP  46 ug/kg – range  1.8 – 1600; (our data Geo. Mean  52 range 6‐1724, after high end outliers were excluded) Chicago soils – BaP 95 Percentile 2,100 ug/kg; (our data 2,500 including outliers,  1,700 excluding) Highly spatially variable – orders of magnitude differences within 300 metres of each  other. New England Study – BaP range 40 – 13 000 /k N E l d St d B P 40 13,000 ug/kg, and 95 percentile 1,800 ((our  d 95 til 1 800 (( data 2,500 including outliers, 1,700 excluding) MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 18. Implication for Remediation Approximate Screening Value Number of  Fitzgerald et  Samples  Analysed Detects Minimum Maximum Mean 95% UCL HPA BMD10 GAC al. 500 1000 5000 5 5 680 8500 4514 8068.7 8068 7 5 2 12 66 26 47.9 4 3 12 1724 649 1534.6 4 4 22 954 366 883.2 4 3 12 880 275 752.9 4 4 51 390 139 335.9 6 2 12 28 15 20.4 4 2 12 69 36 69.3 5 5 52 8700 2177 5698.6 4 2 12 340 101 289.2 6 5 12 2300 638 1422.9 5 3 12 142 45 98.5 4 4 91 390 200 364.4 D. James Fitzgerald,Neville I. Robinson,and Beverly A. Pester. Application of Benzo(a)pyrene and Coal Tar Tumor Dose–Response  Data to a Modified Benchmark Dose Method of Guideline Development  MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 19. Conclusions – Points for Discussion Stationary and mobile anthropogenic sources account for the majority of PAHs, with  great variability regionally and locally. Remediation should not commence without establishing / assessing a site‐specific  background, if possible. The impracticality and infeasibility of remediation to guideline levels if naturally  occurring background exceeds the maximum allowable value is self evident. It deems  remediation unnecessary and unproductive in such scenarios. MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT
  • 20. ALARA principal is a vital consideration (setting cleanup levels as low as  reasonably achievable). Assessment and consideration of background  would be imperative. A tier‐based guideline system may be very beneficial, where the central tendency and maximum values are compared with relevant background numbers (95% UCL), (95th percentile). This is particularly relevant in the current times, given the b d i i i h broader issues of greenhouse gas emissions, and f h i i d need for efficient utilisation of economic resources. MPA – Global Solutions   www.mpaglobalsolutions.com G‐CAT