1
Bank	
  Digital	
  transforma0on(s)?	
  
Cass	
  Business	
  School,	
  9	
  April	
  2015	
  
	
  
Gianvito	
  Lanzolla,	
  PhD	
  
Professor	
  of	
  Strategic	
  Leadership,	
  Cass	
  Business	
  School,	
  London,	
  UK	
  
g.lanzolla@city.ac.uk	
  	
  	
  
…digital	
  technologies	
  driving	
  business	
  transforma0ons	
  	
  
•  Internet	
  
•  Apps	
  
•  Analy.cs	
  
•  Cloud	
  
•  E-­‐commerce	
  
•  Mobile	
  
•  Internet	
  of	
  Things	
  
•  …	
  
	
  
2
The
SMAC
Stack
Social Mobile
Analytics Cloud
…by 2030
35	
  ZB	
  
OF	
  DATA	
  
Source:	
  Intel,	
  2015	
  
Revenue	
  
Growth	
  
Cost	
  
Savings	
  
New	
  Value	
  
X	
   =	
  
80%	
  of	
  the	
  
World*	
  
Popula.on	
  
50B	
  
devices*	
  
Trillions	
  of	
  
sensors	
  
Source:	
  Intel,	
  2015	
  
Source:	
  The	
  Economist,	
  2015	
  
Source:	
  Consensus	
  
3
•  Innova.on:	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  inter	
  ‘industry’	
  
connec.vity	
  
•  Value	
  proposi.ons	
  transforma.ons:	
  products	
  
becoming	
  more	
  informa.on	
  based	
  
	
  
	
  
Digital	
  transforma0ons:	
  two	
  trends	
  	
  
4
…new	
  lenses	
  are	
  required	
  
•  Disrup.ons	
  
•  Network	
  effect	
  &	
  the	
  long	
  tail	
  
•  Convergence	
  
•  (Near)Zero	
  marginal	
  cost	
  compe..on	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  underlining	
  transforma0onal	
  forces	
  
5
It	
  is	
  not	
  always	
  like	
  this…	
  
Performance	
  
Time	
  
Old	
  
Technology	
  
New	
  
Technology	
  
6
Disrup0on	
  of	
  a	
  mature	
  market	
  
Performance	
  
Effort	
  (0me)	
  
Old	
  
Technology	
  
New	
  “Invading”	
  digital	
  
Technology	
  
Reac0on	
  
Acknowledges	
  threat	
  
e.g.	
  retail	
  banks	
  
e.g.	
  digital	
  banks?	
  
Moore’s	
  Law	
  
7
Disrup0ve	
  Change	
  
Cri0cal	
  elements	
  to	
  consider:	
  
	
  
1.  The	
  rate	
  of	
  improvement	
  that	
  current	
  
customers	
  can	
  u.lize	
  or	
  absorb	
  
2.  The	
  natural	
  tendency	
  for	
  incumbent	
  
firms	
  to	
  overshoot	
  what	
  exis.ng	
  
customers	
  are	
  able	
  to	
  u.lize	
  in	
  the	
  future	
  
3.  New	
  technologies	
  that	
  ini.ally	
  have	
  a	
  
lower	
  level	
  of	
  performance	
  vis	
  a	
  vis	
  the	
  
old	
  one	
  and	
  that	
  address	
  they	
  key	
  
customer	
  needs	
  
Performance	
  
Time	
  
Sustaining	
  Innova.ons	
  
Disrup0ve	
  
Innova0ons	
  
Performance	
  that	
  Customers	
  
Can	
  U.lize	
  or	
  Absorb	
  
Range	
  of	
  performance	
  
customers	
  can	
  u.lize	
  
Source: Christensen, 1997
Exis.ng	
  trade-­‐offs	
  
(Compe..ve	
  strategy)	
  
Blue	
  Ocean	
   Low	
  end	
  
Value	
   Cost	
  
8
Demand	
  side	
  –	
  Increasing	
  customer	
  u0lity	
  
Value to
consumer
Actual	
  (or	
  an.cipated)	
  size	
  customer	
  base	
  
Value	
  of	
  standards	
  
Driven	
  product	
  
Conven.onal	
  product	
  
Demand	
  side	
  –	
  Increasing	
  availability	
  of	
  
complementary	
  goods	
  
Complementary
goods
Installed base
Complementary
goods
Installed base
9
Winners	
  take	
  all	
  and	
  the	
  “long	
  tail”?	
  
One	
  product	
  	
  
becomes	
  the	
  
preferred	
  choice	
  
for	
  nearly	
  
everyone	
  
What are the mechanism driving
value in the long tail? Better
matching.
Growth is intrinsically
constrained in the long tail
Picture from the Economist
10
Media
Capability
Space
e.g. Disney,
Facebook,
Analogue
device
manufacturer
e.g. Sony
Traditional
content
distributors
e..g. Blockbuster,
Borders
Technology	
  Capability	
  Space	
  
Providers of
access to digital
content
e.g. Google, Apple,
YouTube, Amazon
Digital device
manufacturers
e.g. Apple, Sony,
Nokia
Telecomm.
(digital) network
operators
e.g. Vodafone,
Sky, BT
Digital	
  Technology	
  Developers	
  Capability	
  Space	
  
e.g. Ericsson, Microsoft, Nokia, Siemens, IBM
Financial services – e.g. payments, loans
Advertising digital platforms – e.g. pay-per-click
Intellectual property protection – e.g. digital rights management
Digital application (software) development tools – e.g. Android, NET
Financial	
  
Service	
  
Capability	
  
Space	
  
	
  
Source: Lanzolla & Anderson, 2010
11
•  Innova.on	
  &	
  disrup.ons	
  
•  Network	
  effect	
  &	
  the	
  long	
  tail	
  
•  Convergence	
  
•  (Near)Zero	
  marginal	
  cost	
  compe..on	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  underlining	
  transforma0onal	
  forces	
  
First	
  Mover	
  or	
  Follower?	
  No	
  magic…	
  
12
Source: Suarez and Lanzolla, 2005
In	
  Rough	
  Waters	
  First	
  Mover	
  Advantages	
  are	
  difficult	
  to	
  maintain	
  
Bank	
  Digital	
  transforma0on(s)?	
  
Cass	
  Business	
  School,	
  9	
  April	
  2015	
  
	
  
Gianvito	
  Lanzolla,	
  PhD	
  
Professor	
  of	
  Strategic	
  Leadership,	
  Cass	
  Business	
  School,	
  London,	
  UK	
  
g.lanzolla@city.ac.uk	
  	
  	
  

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Bank digital transformation(s)

  • 1. 1 Bank  Digital  transforma0on(s)?   Cass  Business  School,  9  April  2015     Gianvito  Lanzolla,  PhD   Professor  of  Strategic  Leadership,  Cass  Business  School,  London,  UK   [email protected]       …digital  technologies  driving  business  transforma0ons     •  Internet   •  Apps   •  Analy.cs   •  Cloud   •  E-­‐commerce   •  Mobile   •  Internet  of  Things   •  …    
  • 2. 2 The SMAC Stack Social Mobile Analytics Cloud …by 2030 35  ZB   OF  DATA   Source:  Intel,  2015   Revenue   Growth   Cost   Savings   New  Value   X   =   80%  of  the   World*   Popula.on   50B   devices*   Trillions  of   sensors   Source:  Intel,  2015   Source:  The  Economist,  2015   Source:  Consensus  
  • 3. 3 •  Innova.on:  the  impact  of  inter  ‘industry’   connec.vity   •  Value  proposi.ons  transforma.ons:  products   becoming  more  informa.on  based       Digital  transforma0ons:  two  trends    
  • 4. 4 …new  lenses  are  required   •  Disrup.ons   •  Network  effect  &  the  long  tail   •  Convergence   •  (Near)Zero  marginal  cost  compe..on         The  underlining  transforma0onal  forces  
  • 5. 5 It  is  not  always  like  this…   Performance   Time   Old   Technology   New   Technology  
  • 6. 6 Disrup0on  of  a  mature  market   Performance   Effort  (0me)   Old   Technology   New  “Invading”  digital   Technology   Reac0on   Acknowledges  threat   e.g.  retail  banks   e.g.  digital  banks?   Moore’s  Law  
  • 7. 7 Disrup0ve  Change   Cri0cal  elements  to  consider:     1.  The  rate  of  improvement  that  current   customers  can  u.lize  or  absorb   2.  The  natural  tendency  for  incumbent   firms  to  overshoot  what  exis.ng   customers  are  able  to  u.lize  in  the  future   3.  New  technologies  that  ini.ally  have  a   lower  level  of  performance  vis  a  vis  the   old  one  and  that  address  they  key   customer  needs   Performance   Time   Sustaining  Innova.ons   Disrup0ve   Innova0ons   Performance  that  Customers   Can  U.lize  or  Absorb   Range  of  performance   customers  can  u.lize   Source: Christensen, 1997 Exis.ng  trade-­‐offs   (Compe..ve  strategy)   Blue  Ocean   Low  end   Value   Cost  
  • 8. 8 Demand  side  –  Increasing  customer  u0lity   Value to consumer Actual  (or  an.cipated)  size  customer  base   Value  of  standards   Driven  product   Conven.onal  product   Demand  side  –  Increasing  availability  of   complementary  goods   Complementary goods Installed base Complementary goods Installed base
  • 9. 9 Winners  take  all  and  the  “long  tail”?   One  product     becomes  the   preferred  choice   for  nearly   everyone   What are the mechanism driving value in the long tail? Better matching. Growth is intrinsically constrained in the long tail Picture from the Economist
  • 10. 10 Media Capability Space e.g. Disney, Facebook, Analogue device manufacturer e.g. Sony Traditional content distributors e..g. Blockbuster, Borders Technology  Capability  Space   Providers of access to digital content e.g. Google, Apple, YouTube, Amazon Digital device manufacturers e.g. Apple, Sony, Nokia Telecomm. (digital) network operators e.g. Vodafone, Sky, BT Digital  Technology  Developers  Capability  Space   e.g. Ericsson, Microsoft, Nokia, Siemens, IBM Financial services – e.g. payments, loans Advertising digital platforms – e.g. pay-per-click Intellectual property protection – e.g. digital rights management Digital application (software) development tools – e.g. Android, NET Financial   Service   Capability   Space     Source: Lanzolla & Anderson, 2010
  • 11. 11 •  Innova.on  &  disrup.ons   •  Network  effect  &  the  long  tail   •  Convergence   •  (Near)Zero  marginal  cost  compe..on         The  underlining  transforma0onal  forces   First  Mover  or  Follower?  No  magic…  
  • 12. 12 Source: Suarez and Lanzolla, 2005 In  Rough  Waters  First  Mover  Advantages  are  difficult  to  maintain   Bank  Digital  transforma0on(s)?   Cass  Business  School,  9  April  2015     Gianvito  Lanzolla,  PhD   Professor  of  Strategic  Leadership,  Cass  Business  School,  London,  UK   [email protected]