© Nuffield Trust
Building the workforce as we
transform the delivery system
Candace Imison
The Commonwealth Fund and the Nuffield Trust
15th International Meeting on Improving the Quality
and Efficiency of Health Care
Pennyhill Park
17 July 2015
© Nuffield Trust
Overview
• The challenges we face
• Workforce – the English context
• The opportunities offered by changes in skill mix
• The challenges of skill mix change
• Lessons for the future
© Nuffield Trust
The challenges we face – the need for
transformation
• Ageing population + rising burden of chronic disease and
co-morbidity
• Changing expectations of, and relationships with patients
• 24/7 working
• Impact of new medical and information technologies
• Financial context – unprecedented productivity challenge
– £22bn by 2020
© Nuffield Trust
NHS Workforce profile in England
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
NHS Infrastructure support
Support to clinical staff
Additional professional, scientific and
technical (including healthcare scientists)
Allied Health Professionals (including
qualified ambulance staff)
Nursing and Midwifery Registered
Medical and dental
% Total earnings % FTE
FTE data: NHS Hospital & Community Health Service (HCHS) and General Practice workforce as at 30 September 2014. Total earnings
calculated through using estimated average earnings per staff group (taken from 12 month period ending February 2015) and FTE data.
Data sources: NHS Workforce Statistics in England, 2011-2014, HSCIC; NHS staff earnings estimates to February 2015 - provisional
statistics, HSCIC.
Staff employed by NHS organisations – hospitals, mental health and
community providers
General Practice staff contracted to the NHS
0 25000 50000 75000
GPs
Practice Nurses
Advanced & Specialist
Nurses
Direct Patient Care
(HCAs)
Other
Admin & Clerical
General Practice Staff FTE
FTE
© Nuffield Trust
UK has seen significant expansion of medical
workforce (but not evenly distributed)
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
AxisTitle
Medical and dental
Nursing and Midwifery Registered
Allied Health Professionals (including
qualified ambulance staff)
Additional professional, scientific and
technical (including healthcare
scientists)
Support to clinical staff
NHS Infrastructure support - including
hotel, estates and managers
Data source: NHS Workforce Statistics – February 2015, provisional statistics, HSCIC. Data taken from December of
each year shown.
© Nuffield Trust
England – workforce supply issues
 Recruitment difficulties & forecast shortages
 Nursing – hospital, primary care and community
 Doctors – A&E, acute medicine, psychiatry, general practice
 Social and informal care
 Changing workforce expectations
 More flexibility
 Less organisational allegiance
 How sustainable is continued restraint on pay?
 Geographical variation – recruitment black spots
© Nuffield Trust
Royal College Physicians survey highlights some of issues
© Nuffield Trust
Skill mix change could offer some solutions
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Delivers
more patient
focused care
Addresses
gaps in
medical
workforce
Addresses
gaps in
skilled
nursing
workforce
Delivers
savings in
service costs
Improves
health
outcomes
Improves
overall
recruitment
and retention
Addresses
gaps in allied
health
professionals
workforce
Other Delivers
savings in
training costs
What would be the benefits of skill mix change for the area with the
greatest potential to benefit? (n=17)
© Nuffield Trust
All service areas have potential to benefit from skill mix
change – but particularly primary and community care
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Community
services
Hospital
inpatient
services
(secondary)
Hospital
inpatient
services
(tertiary)
Hospital
outpatient
services
(secondary)
Hospital
outpatient
services
(tertiary)
Mental
health
services
Pharmacy
services
Primary
care
Social care Support for
self-care
How much potential do the following health and social care service areas have for skill
mix change (recognising the opportunities offered by new technologies)? (n=18)
Great potential
Moderate potential
Little potential
No potential
© Nuffield Trust
New (alternative)
worker
New work
Old worker
Old work
increasing the numbers of
nurses, doctors, and other
health professionals
expanding the job
descriptions of existing
workers, such as
community matrons, to
include work previously
not done by anyone
handing off existing tasks
to other workers, such as
nurse practitioners and
general practitioners with
specialist interests
creating new jobs for work
previously not done by
anyone, such as genetic
counselors, and lay
providers to support self-
care
Redistribution Creation
Capacity expansion Retraining
Source: Bohmer,
Imison. Health Affairs
2013, 32(11), 2025-2031
Framing the options for skill mix change
© Nuffield Trust
Summary: considerations in workforce redesign
1. Complements vs. substitutes; previously new roles have been
added w/out decommissioning old roles with a net increase in costs
2. Importance of role definition; new classes of worker often have
poorly defined roles, especially in relation to the roles of others
3. Benefits of seniority; senior clinicians, although more expensive by
the hour tend to order fewer tests and utilize fewer bed days,
admissions and procedures
4. Risks of fragmentation; dividing the work among more (cheaper)
workers increases team coordination costs
5. Importance of a career; new roles benefit from a formal career
structure, national recognition and portability
© Nuffield Trust
Messages from Time to Think Differently
• The staff we will have are the staff we already have
– don’t rely on the pipeline
• Align the workforce to the work – not the other way
round
• Develop teams not just individual professional
groups
• Support and “activate” patients
• Support the informal workforce
• Reverse the inverse training and investment law
• National facilitation but local action
© Nuffield Trust
Conclusion
“New technologies will force changes in delivery
models that we have not yet thought of. Without
building capacities and capabilities in our
workforce for a world of continuous change and
emergence of new roles and possibilities, we risk
being perpetually out of step and continually
rebuilding our workforce to do yesterday’s not
tomorrows health work”
Professor Richard Bohmer
© Nuffield Trust17 July 2015
www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk
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© Nuffield Trust
candace.imison@nuffieldtrust.org.uk

Building the right workforce

  • 1.
    © Nuffield Trust Buildingthe workforce as we transform the delivery system Candace Imison The Commonwealth Fund and the Nuffield Trust 15th International Meeting on Improving the Quality and Efficiency of Health Care Pennyhill Park 17 July 2015
  • 2.
    © Nuffield Trust Overview •The challenges we face • Workforce – the English context • The opportunities offered by changes in skill mix • The challenges of skill mix change • Lessons for the future
  • 3.
    © Nuffield Trust Thechallenges we face – the need for transformation • Ageing population + rising burden of chronic disease and co-morbidity • Changing expectations of, and relationships with patients • 24/7 working • Impact of new medical and information technologies • Financial context – unprecedented productivity challenge – £22bn by 2020
  • 4.
    © Nuffield Trust NHSWorkforce profile in England 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% NHS Infrastructure support Support to clinical staff Additional professional, scientific and technical (including healthcare scientists) Allied Health Professionals (including qualified ambulance staff) Nursing and Midwifery Registered Medical and dental % Total earnings % FTE FTE data: NHS Hospital & Community Health Service (HCHS) and General Practice workforce as at 30 September 2014. Total earnings calculated through using estimated average earnings per staff group (taken from 12 month period ending February 2015) and FTE data. Data sources: NHS Workforce Statistics in England, 2011-2014, HSCIC; NHS staff earnings estimates to February 2015 - provisional statistics, HSCIC. Staff employed by NHS organisations – hospitals, mental health and community providers General Practice staff contracted to the NHS 0 25000 50000 75000 GPs Practice Nurses Advanced & Specialist Nurses Direct Patient Care (HCAs) Other Admin & Clerical General Practice Staff FTE FTE
  • 5.
    © Nuffield Trust UKhas seen significant expansion of medical workforce (but not evenly distributed) -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 AxisTitle Medical and dental Nursing and Midwifery Registered Allied Health Professionals (including qualified ambulance staff) Additional professional, scientific and technical (including healthcare scientists) Support to clinical staff NHS Infrastructure support - including hotel, estates and managers Data source: NHS Workforce Statistics – February 2015, provisional statistics, HSCIC. Data taken from December of each year shown.
  • 6.
    © Nuffield Trust England– workforce supply issues  Recruitment difficulties & forecast shortages  Nursing – hospital, primary care and community  Doctors – A&E, acute medicine, psychiatry, general practice  Social and informal care  Changing workforce expectations  More flexibility  Less organisational allegiance  How sustainable is continued restraint on pay?  Geographical variation – recruitment black spots
  • 7.
    © Nuffield Trust RoyalCollege Physicians survey highlights some of issues
  • 8.
    © Nuffield Trust Skillmix change could offer some solutions 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Delivers more patient focused care Addresses gaps in medical workforce Addresses gaps in skilled nursing workforce Delivers savings in service costs Improves health outcomes Improves overall recruitment and retention Addresses gaps in allied health professionals workforce Other Delivers savings in training costs What would be the benefits of skill mix change for the area with the greatest potential to benefit? (n=17)
  • 9.
    © Nuffield Trust Allservice areas have potential to benefit from skill mix change – but particularly primary and community care 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Community services Hospital inpatient services (secondary) Hospital inpatient services (tertiary) Hospital outpatient services (secondary) Hospital outpatient services (tertiary) Mental health services Pharmacy services Primary care Social care Support for self-care How much potential do the following health and social care service areas have for skill mix change (recognising the opportunities offered by new technologies)? (n=18) Great potential Moderate potential Little potential No potential
  • 10.
    © Nuffield Trust New(alternative) worker New work Old worker Old work increasing the numbers of nurses, doctors, and other health professionals expanding the job descriptions of existing workers, such as community matrons, to include work previously not done by anyone handing off existing tasks to other workers, such as nurse practitioners and general practitioners with specialist interests creating new jobs for work previously not done by anyone, such as genetic counselors, and lay providers to support self- care Redistribution Creation Capacity expansion Retraining Source: Bohmer, Imison. Health Affairs 2013, 32(11), 2025-2031 Framing the options for skill mix change
  • 11.
    © Nuffield Trust Summary:considerations in workforce redesign 1. Complements vs. substitutes; previously new roles have been added w/out decommissioning old roles with a net increase in costs 2. Importance of role definition; new classes of worker often have poorly defined roles, especially in relation to the roles of others 3. Benefits of seniority; senior clinicians, although more expensive by the hour tend to order fewer tests and utilize fewer bed days, admissions and procedures 4. Risks of fragmentation; dividing the work among more (cheaper) workers increases team coordination costs 5. Importance of a career; new roles benefit from a formal career structure, national recognition and portability
  • 12.
    © Nuffield Trust Messagesfrom Time to Think Differently • The staff we will have are the staff we already have – don’t rely on the pipeline • Align the workforce to the work – not the other way round • Develop teams not just individual professional groups • Support and “activate” patients • Support the informal workforce • Reverse the inverse training and investment law • National facilitation but local action
  • 13.
    © Nuffield Trust Conclusion “Newtechnologies will force changes in delivery models that we have not yet thought of. Without building capacities and capabilities in our workforce for a world of continuous change and emergence of new roles and possibilities, we risk being perpetually out of step and continually rebuilding our workforce to do yesterday’s not tomorrows health work” Professor Richard Bohmer
  • 14.
    © Nuffield Trust17July 2015 www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk Sign-up for our newsletter www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/newsletter Follow us on Twitter: Twitter.com/NuffieldTrust © Nuffield Trust [email protected]