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Canadian Immigration Tracker - December 2024.pdf

Full Year 2024 annual comparisons Permanent residents admissions: From 449,00 in 2023 to 482,000 in 2024 or 7.3 percent. TR2PR (Those already in Canada): From 244,000 in 2023 to 247,000 in 2024 or 1.3 percent. TRs-IMP: From 874,000 in 2023 to 746,000 in 2024 or -14.7 percent. Significant decrease in PGWP and spouses TRs-TFWP: From 191,000 in 2023 to 198,000 in 2024 or 3.6 percent. Students: From 709,000 in 2023 to 540,000 in 2024 or -28.9 percent. Post-secondary only: Decline from 544,000 to 387,000 or 23.9 percent. Asylum Claimants: From 149,000 in 2023 to 175,000 in 2024 or 17.5 percent. Citizenship: From 377,000 in 2023 to 372,000 in 2024 or -1.3 percent. Visitor Visas: From 1,846,000 in 2023 to 1,478,000 in 2024 or -19.9 percent. Note settlement services and citizenship application numbers for 2024 requested and will post when received. Future updates will be on a quarterly basis.

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Canadian Immigration Tracker 2018 to December 2024 Working Draft - Key Slides 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
Programs Examined • Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees • TR to Permanent Resident transition • Asylum Claimants • Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS), Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment, spouses) • Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) • Study Permits (international students) • Settlement Services • Citizenship • Visitor Visas 2
December 2024 Highlights • PR Admissions: Decrease from 36,820 in November to 31,860 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022 in parentheses): Economic - PNP 42.9% (-37.9%), Economic - Federal 168.9% (28.0%), Family 74.7% (78.6%), Refugees 44.8% (47.9%) • Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Increase from 44,040 in May to 48,514 in June. June year-over-year change (change from 2020): 19.7% (110.0%). • Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: Increase from 2,561 in December (0 Arrima) to 5,821 in January (0 Arrima). January year-over-year change (change from 2022): 35.8% (-47.1%) • TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Decrease from 17,390 in November (47.2% of all PRs) to 11,045 in December (34.7% of all PRs). December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -48.3% (112.2%) • Temporary Residents: • TRs/IMP: Stable from 48,560 in November to 49,785 in December. December year-over-year (change from 2022): Agreements: 87.9% (31.9%), Canadian Interests: 36.0% (18.3%), Other IMP Participants -44.6% (-3.8%), Not stated -52.9% (-40.3%) • TRs/TFWP: Increase from 11,540 in November to 21,890 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): Caregivers 186.5% (272.5%), Agriculture 111.8% (103.0%) and Other LMIA 161.4% (189.5%). • TRs by occupation code: Full Year-over-year (D) change (change from 2022) 14.0% (157.4%) • Students: Increase from 28,470 in November to 50,760 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2023): All -53.6% (-47.3%), post-secondary -58.3% (-52.7%) • Applications: Decrease from 39,759 in November to 35,569 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -29.1% (148.3%) • Asylum Claimants: Increase from 12,590 in November to 13,470 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -14.1% (18.3%) • Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc): Increase from 79 in November to 119 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2021): -47.3% (-97.5%. • Settlement Services (2023): Increase from 1,941,480 in 2022 to 2,960,330 in 2023 (most recent data, services, not unique clients). 2023 year- over-year (change from 2021): 52.5% (53.3%) • Citizenship: Decline from 25,234 in November to 18,160 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -26.1% (-19.0%) • Applications (2023): From 264,231 in 2022 to 317,538 in 2023. 2023 Year-over-year change (change from 2021): 20.2%% (36.3%) • Visitor Visas: Decline from 100,845 in November to 87,279 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -26.3% (-35.5%). 3
Change Across Major Programs 2024 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline, 2024/2023 Comparison 4 PR Admissions-PNP PR Admissions-Fed TR2PR Temporary Workers IMP Temporary Workers TFWP Asylum Claimants Study Permit Applications Study Permit Holders Citizenship Applications (2023) New Citizens Settlement Services (2023) Visitor Visas -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% -19.9% -1.3% -23.8% -32.4% 17.5% 3.6% -14.7% 1.3% 6.1% 12.3% 10.6% 26.7% 110.8% 22.2% 46.4% 71.4% 217.7% 131.9% 186.2% 184.6% 36.2% 80.8% Change 2024/2018 Change 2024/2023
Permanent Residents 5
Express Entry & Arrima Invitations—2018-24 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 2025-1 CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades Healthcare STEM Trades Transport Agriculture French General QC Arrima 6
PR Applications: Region of Citizenship —2018-24 35,000 70,000 105,000 140,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 7 Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, a six month time lag is used. May 2021 surge driven by applications from India (corrected from previous version)
Admissions: PRs by Categories—2018-24 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other 8
Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenship—2018-24 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 9
Admissions: PRs Canada Total December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -45% 0% 45% 90% 135% 180% Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees 68.7% 23.6% 36.2% 80.8% 47.9% 78.6% 28% -37.9% 44.8% 74.7% 168.9% 42.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 10
Admissions: PNP Provinces December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -1,500% 0% 1,500% 3,000% 4,500% 6,000% Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC 42.9% 93% 59.5% 50.1% 115.3% 127.9% -43.5% -20.2% -35.5% -55.6% -27.1% -17.1% 79.3% -76.8% 5,250% 1,600% 345.7% -75.5% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 11
Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year -100% -25% 50% 125% 200% India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK -27.1% 190.5% 60.8% 25.3% -14.8% 86% -35.9% 0.4% -8.1% 81.4% 33.3% 196.2% -60.4% 50% 25.6% 0.3% -38.6% -3.8% 71.4% 42% -30% 39.2% 50% 14.9% -9.3% -1% 17.2% -33.3% -34.4% -33.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 12
Admissions: Temporary to Permanent Residents By Program—2018-24 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 13
Admissions by Province: TRs to PRs December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 115.2% 115.4% 121.9% 377.9% 172.6% 134.9% 421.5% 208% 156.1% 168.8% 82.8% 261.6% 16.2% -6.6% -64.2% -71.8% -79% -82.9% -34.4% 321.6% -80.4% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 14
Admissions: TRs to PRs December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 175.6% 133.4% 150.4% 184.6% 190% 44% 106.3% 124.4% -16.7% -58.3% -51.7% -47.1% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 15
Two-Step Immigration TR2PR Percent Total Admission—2018-24 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 22.5% 45% 67.5% 90% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Percent TR2PR Total Admissions 16
Asylum Claimants 17
Asylum Claimants: Of fi ce Type 2018-24 4,500 9,000 13,500 18,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Airport Border Inland Other 18 Note: The “other claim of fi ce” surge in September-November likely re fl ected delays in classi fi cation, most of these were likely Inland
Asylum Claimants: Irregular Arrivals RCMP Interceptions as Percent Total Asylum Claimants—2018-24 0 4,500 9,000 13,500 18,000 15% 30% 45% 60% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Percent Claimants Irregular Arrivals Asylum Claimants 19
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -150% 0% 150% 300% 450% 600% Airport Border Inland 326.3% -25.5% 512.3% 146% -72.8% 16.4% 2.7% -24.2% -45.8% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 20
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -175% 0% 175% 350% 525% 700% India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti Congo DRC 131.1% 556.5% 55.6% 116.8% 177.2% 69.3% 49.5% 171.4% 179.7% 616.5% -7.1% 7.9% -79.2% 254.5% 32.8% -65.6% 337% 20.6% -73% 377.4% -42.6% 23.8% -48.9% 69.6% -16.8% -46.2% -34.3% 59.6% -65.9% 63.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 21 Note: USA no longer in top 25
Asylum Claimants: Provinces 2018-24 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 ON QC BC AB MB SK Atlantic 22
Temporary Residents 23
IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders—2018-24 35,000 70,000 105,000 140,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Agreements Cdn Interests Other IMP Vulnerable Not Stated Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 24
Temporary Residents by Program Canada December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 396.5% 27.7% -52.1% 114.4% -31.6% 189.5% 103% 272.5% 18.3% 31.9% 161.4% 111.8% 186.5% 36% 87.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 25
IMP by Region of Citizenship—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania 26
IMP by Citizenship December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan 12.5% 2.3% 66.2% -39% -12.8% 31.9% 21.8% 6.3% -24.6% 280.2% -8.1% -27.5% 32% -6.3% 35.3% 11.7% 7.7% -7.6% 24.8% 20.4% 0% -18.2% 30.9% 36.4% 17.3% 9.2% 29.8% 17.4% 31.1% 23.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 27
IMP by Province December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 133.1% 229.8% 132.4% 196.1% 195.2% 123.8% 258.5% 16.9% 34.9% 20.9% 5.4% 16.2% 30.3% 38.5% -3.9% 23.7% 23.7% 18% 13% 20.2% 41.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 28
TFWP by Region of Citizenship—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania 29
TFWP by Citizenship December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -150% 0% 150% 300% 450% 600% Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France 347.3% 400.5% 36.1% -25.4% -13.4% 445.6% 158.7% 113.8% 0.5% 49.1% 130.6% 305.9% 28.6% -13.3% -12.8% 286.8% 191.3% 73.2% 564.3% 181.1% 197.4% 84% 63.6% 44.4% -8.1% 245.8% 182.4% 97.8% 66.1% 161.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 30
TFWP by Province December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 82% 253.7% 318.5% 313.6% 72.2% 223.6% 148% 137.6% 200% 275% 416.7% 265.3% 110.4% 101.4% 138.8% 118.8% 341.2% 264.7% 213% 114.6% 137.7% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 31
TFWP by NOC Level—2018-24 Percentage 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 A (0, 1) B (2, 3) C (4,5) D (6,7) 32
TFWP by NOC Sector—2018-24 Percentage 30% 60% 90% 120% 2018-1 2019-1 2020-1 2021-1 2022-1 2023-1 2024-1 Management Business & Admin Sciences Health Education & Govt Arts culture & Sport Sales & service Trades, transport Natural resources, agriculture Manufacturing & utilities 33
TFWP by NOC Level Full-Year Comparisons: 2024/23, 2024/22, 2023/18 -350% 0% 350% 700% 1,050% 1,400% A (0, 1) B (2, 3) C (4,5) D (6,7) 1,322.1% -43.1% 375.1% 92.4% 375.6% -56.8% 73.1% -10.9% 41.6% -47.2% 2.3% -26.2% 2024/23 2024/22 2023/18 34
TFWP by NOC Sector Full-Year Comparisons: 2024/23, 2024/22, 2023/18 Management Business & Admin Sciences Health Education & Govt Arts culture & Sport Sales & service Trades, transport Natural resources, agriculture Manufacturing & utilities -500% 875% 2,250% 3,625% 5,000% 263.5% 35.3% 528.8% 552.3% -52.2% -39.8% 4,600% 84.2% 1,618.2% 326.4% 9.4% 4% 82.8% 113.3% -38.3% 2.3% 167.5% -21.6% 129.7% 34.6% -29.3% -5.6% 7.9% 8.9% -45.3% -14.3% 30.6% -34.9% 27.6% -11.5% 2024/23 2024/22 2023/18 35
Study Permits 36
Study Permit Applications—By Region—2018-24 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 37
Study Permit Holders—By Level—2018-24 45,000 90,000 135,000 180,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies 38
Study Permit Holders—By Region—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 39
Study Permit Holders by Citizenship December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria 312.5% 6.5% -8.3% 57.7% -33.5% -13.4% 4.4% -50.8% -33.6% 78.3% 3.1% -9.7% -25.8% -27.6% -52.7% -1.5% 16.9% -18.8% 14.3% -61.4% -49.1% -12.2% -14.8% -26.4% -50% -7.3% 57.3% -2.3% -3.4% -64.4% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 40
Study Permit Holders by Province December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -90% -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 23.8% 111.1% 64.2% 25.7% 43.5% 68.2% 38.4% -47.8% -4.2% -22.0% -24.2% -57.4% 1.6% -44.2% -54.5% -40.5% -41.5% -31.3% -60.8% -27.1% -33.8% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 41
Settlement Services 42
Settlement—By Service—2018-23 Pre-Arrival and In Canada Services 68,750 137,500 206,250 275,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Pre-Arrival Information & Orientation Needs & Assets Assessment, Referrals Employment Related Services Information & Orientation Services Community Connections Language Assessment Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement 43
Settlement Services Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 Pre-Arrival Info & Orientation Needs, Assets & Referrals Employment Related Information & Orientation Community Connections Language Assessment Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement -110% -32.5% 45% 122.5% 200% -96.7% 14.8% 143% 48.8% 68.6% 20.5% 29.9% 8.1% 36.3% -92.3% 162.8% 192.4% 197.9% 88.0% 53.2% 62.5% 39.1% 45.2% -97.2% -3.3% 16.2% 36.6% 41.7% 22.5% 20.9% 28.0% 20.6% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 44
Settlement Services—By Region—2018-23 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 45
Settlement Services by Citizenship Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 Top 10, 2018 base year -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Syria China India Philippines Iraq Eritrea Iran PakistanAfghanistan Somalia 40% 400.8% -2.3% 2.4% 49.6% -34.9% -42% 2.1% -16.8% -23.5% 34.3% 217.6% 16.2% 15.1% 40.7% -12.5% -6% 30.7% 12.7% -6.7% 20.7% 36.4% 8.4% 13.2% 21.3% -12.1% -4.2% 10.3% 5% -2.4% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 46
Settlement Services Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 -35% -17.5% 0% 17.5% 35% 52.5% 70% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 29.8% 38.7% 28.7% 15.8% 28.3% -27.5% 64.7% -18.6% -21.7% -16.5% -24.0% -16.9% -20.6% -5.8% 47.0% 70.0% 44.1% 55.9% 47.3% 2.3% 53.0% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 47
Citizenship 48
Citizenship Applications—2018-23 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Number: Red line is 3-month moving average 49
New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-24 Numbers 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 50
New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-24 Percentage 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 51
Citizenship by Country of Birth December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -200% -50% 100% 250% 400% Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France 140.6% -8.8% -19.1% 122.2% 199.8% 14.5% 43.5% 2.9% 350.4% 92.1% 22.9% -65.4% -60.6% -7.6% -46.8% -52.4% -5.3% -28% 19% -27.6% -39.6% -56.3% -42.1% -24.2% -42.4% -41.9% -26.5% -2.3% -16.4% -30.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 52
Approved Visitor Visas 53
Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-24 56,250 112,500 168,750 225,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other 54
Visitor Visas—By Source Country December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/23, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -90% -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia -31% 64% 111.7% 100.3% -8% -42.6% -34.8% -3.4% 58% -45.6% -54.7% -44.8% 63.4% -51.9% -62.8% -79.8% -44.3% -66.4% -38.4% 77.5% -56.9% 19.2% -50.6% -12.8% -25.7% -18.6% -74.5% -45.6% -27.7% 1% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 2024/18 55
Research Questions 56 • Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries were most a ff ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries recovered more quickly? • Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source country? • Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or tensions with China a factor? • Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for which countries?
Annex 57
Top Countries Share of Total (2018) 10 Countries 25 Countries Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7% IMP 70.8% 86.4% TFWP 85.2% 93.2% Study Permits 70.3% 73.8% Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4% Citizenship 50.3% 71.5% 58
Top Countries (2018) Permanent Residents IMP TFWP Students Settlement Citizenship India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647 Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486 China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037 Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718 Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406 USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398 Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229 France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115 Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951 UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915 Saudi Arabia 2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836 59
Data Sources • PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries • TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category • Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O ffi ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking), Claim O ffi ce Type and Claim Year • TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective • Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Study permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for New Study Permit Applications • Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table • Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month • Web: Provided by IRCC • 2018 is used as baseline 60

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Canadian Immigration Tracker - December 2024.pdf

  • 1.
    Canadian Immigration Tracker 2018to December 2024 Working Draft - Key Slides 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
  • 2.
    Programs Examined • PermanentResidents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees • TR to Permanent Resident transition • Asylum Claimants • Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS), Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment, spouses) • Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) • Study Permits (international students) • Settlement Services • Citizenship • Visitor Visas 2
  • 3.
    December 2024 Highlights •PR Admissions: Decrease from 36,820 in November to 31,860 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022 in parentheses): Economic - PNP 42.9% (-37.9%), Economic - Federal 168.9% (28.0%), Family 74.7% (78.6%), Refugees 44.8% (47.9%) • Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Increase from 44,040 in May to 48,514 in June. June year-over-year change (change from 2020): 19.7% (110.0%). • Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: Increase from 2,561 in December (0 Arrima) to 5,821 in January (0 Arrima). January year-over-year change (change from 2022): 35.8% (-47.1%) • TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Decrease from 17,390 in November (47.2% of all PRs) to 11,045 in December (34.7% of all PRs). December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -48.3% (112.2%) • Temporary Residents: • TRs/IMP: Stable from 48,560 in November to 49,785 in December. December year-over-year (change from 2022): Agreements: 87.9% (31.9%), Canadian Interests: 36.0% (18.3%), Other IMP Participants -44.6% (-3.8%), Not stated -52.9% (-40.3%) • TRs/TFWP: Increase from 11,540 in November to 21,890 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): Caregivers 186.5% (272.5%), Agriculture 111.8% (103.0%) and Other LMIA 161.4% (189.5%). • TRs by occupation code: Full Year-over-year (D) change (change from 2022) 14.0% (157.4%) • Students: Increase from 28,470 in November to 50,760 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2023): All -53.6% (-47.3%), post-secondary -58.3% (-52.7%) • Applications: Decrease from 39,759 in November to 35,569 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -29.1% (148.3%) • Asylum Claimants: Increase from 12,590 in November to 13,470 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -14.1% (18.3%) • Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc): Increase from 79 in November to 119 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2021): -47.3% (-97.5%. • Settlement Services (2023): Increase from 1,941,480 in 2022 to 2,960,330 in 2023 (most recent data, services, not unique clients). 2023 year- over-year (change from 2021): 52.5% (53.3%) • Citizenship: Decline from 25,234 in November to 18,160 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -26.1% (-19.0%) • Applications (2023): From 264,231 in 2022 to 317,538 in 2023. 2023 Year-over-year change (change from 2021): 20.2%% (36.3%) • Visitor Visas: Decline from 100,845 in November to 87,279 in December. December year-over-year change (change from 2022): -26.3% (-35.5%). 3
  • 4.
    Change Across MajorPrograms 2024 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline, 2024/2023 Comparison 4 PR Admissions-PNP PR Admissions-Fed TR2PR Temporary Workers IMP Temporary Workers TFWP Asylum Claimants Study Permit Applications Study Permit Holders Citizenship Applications (2023) New Citizens Settlement Services (2023) Visitor Visas -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% -19.9% -1.3% -23.8% -32.4% 17.5% 3.6% -14.7% 1.3% 6.1% 12.3% 10.6% 26.7% 110.8% 22.2% 46.4% 71.4% 217.7% 131.9% 186.2% 184.6% 36.2% 80.8% Change 2024/2018 Change 2024/2023
  • 5.
  • 6.
    Express Entry &Arrima Invitations—2018-24 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 2025-1 CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades Healthcare STEM Trades Transport Agriculture French General QC Arrima 6
  • 7.
    PR Applications: Regionof Citizenship —2018-24 35,000 70,000 105,000 140,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 7 Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, a six month time lag is used. May 2021 surge driven by applications from India (corrected from previous version)
  • 8.
    Admissions: PRs byCategories—2018-24 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other 8
  • 9.
    Admissions: PRs Regionof Citizenship—2018-24 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 9
  • 10.
    Admissions: PRs CanadaTotal December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -45% 0% 45% 90% 135% 180% Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees 68.7% 23.6% 36.2% 80.8% 47.9% 78.6% 28% -37.9% 44.8% 74.7% 168.9% 42.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 10
  • 11.
    Admissions: PNP Provinces DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -1,500% 0% 1,500% 3,000% 4,500% 6,000% Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC 42.9% 93% 59.5% 50.1% 115.3% 127.9% -43.5% -20.2% -35.5% -55.6% -27.1% -17.1% 79.3% -76.8% 5,250% 1,600% 345.7% -75.5% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 11
  • 12.
    Admissions: Permanent Residentsby Citizenship December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year -100% -25% 50% 125% 200% India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK -27.1% 190.5% 60.8% 25.3% -14.8% 86% -35.9% 0.4% -8.1% 81.4% 33.3% 196.2% -60.4% 50% 25.6% 0.3% -38.6% -3.8% 71.4% 42% -30% 39.2% 50% 14.9% -9.3% -1% 17.2% -33.3% -34.4% -33.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 12
  • 13.
    Admissions: Temporary toPermanent Residents By Program—2018-24 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 13
  • 14.
    Admissions by Province:TRs to PRs December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 115.2% 115.4% 121.9% 377.9% 172.6% 134.9% 421.5% 208% 156.1% 168.8% 82.8% 261.6% 16.2% -6.6% -64.2% -71.8% -79% -82.9% -34.4% 321.6% -80.4% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 14
  • 15.
    Admissions: TRs toPRs December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 175.6% 133.4% 150.4% 184.6% 190% 44% 106.3% 124.4% -16.7% -58.3% -51.7% -47.1% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 15
  • 16.
    Two-Step Immigration TR2PR PercentTotal Admission—2018-24 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 22.5% 45% 67.5% 90% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Percent TR2PR Total Admissions 16
  • 17.
  • 18.
    Asylum Claimants: Of fi ceType 2018-24 4,500 9,000 13,500 18,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Airport Border Inland Other 18 Note: The “other claim of fi ce” surge in September-November likely re fl ected delays in classi fi cation, most of these were likely Inland
  • 19.
    Asylum Claimants: IrregularArrivals RCMP Interceptions as Percent Total Asylum Claimants—2018-24 0 4,500 9,000 13,500 18,000 15% 30% 45% 60% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Percent Claimants Irregular Arrivals Asylum Claimants 19
  • 20.
    Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -150% 0% 150% 300% 450% 600% Airport Border Inland 326.3% -25.5% 512.3% 146% -72.8% 16.4% 2.7% -24.2% -45.8% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 20
  • 21.
    Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -175% 0% 175% 350% 525% 700% India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti Congo DRC 131.1% 556.5% 55.6% 116.8% 177.2% 69.3% 49.5% 171.4% 179.7% 616.5% -7.1% 7.9% -79.2% 254.5% 32.8% -65.6% 337% 20.6% -73% 377.4% -42.6% 23.8% -48.9% 69.6% -16.8% -46.2% -34.3% 59.6% -65.9% 63.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 21 Note: USA no longer in top 25
  • 22.
    Asylum Claimants: Provinces2018-24 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 ON QC BC AB MB SK Atlantic 22
  • 23.
  • 24.
    IMP & TFWPWork Permit Holders—2018-24 35,000 70,000 105,000 140,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Agreements Cdn Interests Other IMP Vulnerable Not Stated Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 24
  • 25.
    Temporary Residents byProgram Canada December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 396.5% 27.7% -52.1% 114.4% -31.6% 189.5% 103% 272.5% 18.3% 31.9% 161.4% 111.8% 186.5% 36% 87.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 25
  • 26.
    IMP by Regionof Citizenship—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania 26
  • 27.
    IMP by Citizenship DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan 12.5% 2.3% 66.2% -39% -12.8% 31.9% 21.8% 6.3% -24.6% 280.2% -8.1% -27.5% 32% -6.3% 35.3% 11.7% 7.7% -7.6% 24.8% 20.4% 0% -18.2% 30.9% 36.4% 17.3% 9.2% 29.8% 17.4% 31.1% 23.9% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 27
  • 28.
    IMP by Province DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 133.1% 229.8% 132.4% 196.1% 195.2% 123.8% 258.5% 16.9% 34.9% 20.9% 5.4% 16.2% 30.3% 38.5% -3.9% 23.7% 23.7% 18% 13% 20.2% 41.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 28
  • 29.
    TFWP by Regionof Citizenship—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania 29
  • 30.
    TFWP by Citizenship DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -150% 0% 150% 300% 450% 600% Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France 347.3% 400.5% 36.1% -25.4% -13.4% 445.6% 158.7% 113.8% 0.5% 49.1% 130.6% 305.9% 28.6% -13.3% -12.8% 286.8% 191.3% 73.2% 564.3% 181.1% 197.4% 84% 63.6% 44.4% -8.1% 245.8% 182.4% 97.8% 66.1% 161.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 30
  • 31.
    TFWP by Province DecemberComparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 82% 253.7% 318.5% 313.6% 72.2% 223.6% 148% 137.6% 200% 275% 416.7% 265.3% 110.4% 101.4% 138.8% 118.8% 341.2% 264.7% 213% 114.6% 137.7% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 31
  • 32.
    TFWP by NOCLevel—2018-24 Percentage 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 A (0, 1) B (2, 3) C (4,5) D (6,7) 32
  • 33.
    TFWP by NOCSector—2018-24 Percentage 30% 60% 90% 120% 2018-1 2019-1 2020-1 2021-1 2022-1 2023-1 2024-1 Management Business & Admin Sciences Health Education & Govt Arts culture & Sport Sales & service Trades, transport Natural resources, agriculture Manufacturing & utilities 33
  • 34.
    TFWP by NOCLevel Full-Year Comparisons: 2024/23, 2024/22, 2023/18 -350% 0% 350% 700% 1,050% 1,400% A (0, 1) B (2, 3) C (4,5) D (6,7) 1,322.1% -43.1% 375.1% 92.4% 375.6% -56.8% 73.1% -10.9% 41.6% -47.2% 2.3% -26.2% 2024/23 2024/22 2023/18 34
  • 35.
    TFWP by NOCSector Full-Year Comparisons: 2024/23, 2024/22, 2023/18 Management Business & Admin Sciences Health Education & Govt Arts culture & Sport Sales & service Trades, transport Natural resources, agriculture Manufacturing & utilities -500% 875% 2,250% 3,625% 5,000% 263.5% 35.3% 528.8% 552.3% -52.2% -39.8% 4,600% 84.2% 1,618.2% 326.4% 9.4% 4% 82.8% 113.3% -38.3% 2.3% 167.5% -21.6% 129.7% 34.6% -29.3% -5.6% 7.9% 8.9% -45.3% -14.3% 30.6% -34.9% 27.6% -11.5% 2024/23 2024/22 2023/18 35
  • 36.
  • 37.
    Study Permit Applications—ByRegion—2018-24 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 37
  • 38.
    Study Permit Holders—ByLevel—2018-24 45,000 90,000 135,000 180,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies 38
  • 39.
    Study Permit Holders—ByRegion—2018-24 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 39
  • 40.
    Study Permit Holdersby Citizenship December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria 312.5% 6.5% -8.3% 57.7% -33.5% -13.4% 4.4% -50.8% -33.6% 78.3% 3.1% -9.7% -25.8% -27.6% -52.7% -1.5% 16.9% -18.8% 14.3% -61.4% -49.1% -12.2% -14.8% -26.4% -50% -7.3% 57.3% -2.3% -3.4% -64.4% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 40
  • 41.
    Study Permit Holdersby Province December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -90% -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 23.8% 111.1% 64.2% 25.7% 43.5% 68.2% 38.4% -47.8% -4.2% -22.0% -24.2% -57.4% 1.6% -44.2% -54.5% -40.5% -41.5% -31.3% -60.8% -27.1% -33.8% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 41
  • 42.
  • 43.
    Settlement—By Service—2018-23 Pre-Arrival andIn Canada Services 68,750 137,500 206,250 275,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Pre-Arrival Information & Orientation Needs & Assets Assessment, Referrals Employment Related Services Information & Orientation Services Community Connections Language Assessment Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement 43
  • 44.
    Settlement Services Annual Comparisons:2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 Pre-Arrival Info & Orientation Needs, Assets & Referrals Employment Related Information & Orientation Community Connections Language Assessment Language Training Resettlement Assistance Service Delivery Improvement -110% -32.5% 45% 122.5% 200% -96.7% 14.8% 143% 48.8% 68.6% 20.5% 29.9% 8.1% 36.3% -92.3% 162.8% 192.4% 197.9% 88.0% 53.2% 62.5% 39.1% 45.2% -97.2% -3.3% 16.2% 36.6% 41.7% 22.5% 20.9% 28.0% 20.6% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 44
  • 45.
    Settlement Services—By Region—2018-23 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-12018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 45
  • 46.
    Settlement Services byCitizenship Annual Comparisons: 2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 Top 10, 2018 base year -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Syria China India Philippines Iraq Eritrea Iran PakistanAfghanistan Somalia 40% 400.8% -2.3% 2.4% 49.6% -34.9% -42% 2.1% -16.8% -23.5% 34.3% 217.6% 16.2% 15.1% 40.7% -12.5% -6% 30.7% 12.7% -6.7% 20.7% 36.4% 8.4% 13.2% 21.3% -12.1% -4.2% 10.3% 5% -2.4% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 46
  • 47.
    Settlement Services Annual Comparisons:2023/22, 2023/21, Full year 2023/18 -35% -17.5% 0% 17.5% 35% 52.5% 70% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 29.8% 38.7% 28.7% 15.8% 28.3% -27.5% 64.7% -18.6% -21.7% -16.5% -24.0% -16.9% -20.6% -5.8% 47.0% 70.0% 44.1% 55.9% 47.3% 2.3% 53.0% 2023/22 2023/21 Full year 2023/18 47
  • 48.
  • 49.
    Citizenship Applications—2018-23 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-72019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Number: Red line is 3-month moving average 49
  • 50.
    New Citizens—By Regionof Birth—2018-24 Numbers 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 50
  • 51.
    New Citizens—By Regionof Birth—2018-24 Percentage 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 51
  • 52.
    Citizenship by Countryof Birth December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2024/18 -200% -50% 100% 250% 400% Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France 140.6% -8.8% -19.1% 122.2% 199.8% 14.5% 43.5% 2.9% 350.4% 92.1% 22.9% -65.4% -60.6% -7.6% -46.8% -52.4% -5.3% -28% 19% -27.6% -39.6% -56.3% -42.1% -24.2% -42.4% -41.9% -26.5% -2.3% -16.4% -30.6% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 Full year 2024/18 52
  • 53.
  • 54.
    Visitor Visas—By SourceCountry—2018-24 56,250 112,500 168,750 225,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1 2024-7 Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other 54
  • 55.
    Visitor Visas—By SourceCountry December Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/23, Full year 2024/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -90% -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia -31% 64% 111.7% 100.3% -8% -42.6% -34.8% -3.4% 58% -45.6% -54.7% -44.8% 63.4% -51.9% -62.8% -79.8% -44.3% -66.4% -38.4% 77.5% -56.9% 19.2% -50.6% -12.8% -25.7% -18.6% -74.5% -45.6% -27.7% 1% December 2024/23 December 2024/22 2024/18 55
  • 56.
    Research Questions 56 • Whichprograms contracted most quickly and which source countries were most a ff ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries recovered more quickly? • Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source country? • Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or tensions with China a factor? • Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for which countries?
  • 57.
  • 58.
    Top Countries Shareof Total (2018) 10 Countries 25 Countries Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7% IMP 70.8% 86.4% TFWP 85.2% 93.2% Study Permits 70.3% 73.8% Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4% Citizenship 50.3% 71.5% 58
  • 59.
    Top Countries (2018) Permanent Residents IMPTFWP Students Settlement Citizenship India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647 Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486 China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037 Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718 Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406 USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398 Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229 France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115 Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951 UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915 Saudi Arabia 2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836 59
  • 60.
    Data Sources • PRs:Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries • TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category • Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O ffi ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking), Claim O ffi ce Type and Claim Year • TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective • Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Study permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for New Study Permit Applications • Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table • Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month • Web: Provided by IRCC • 2018 is used as baseline 60