Climate Change Causes, Impacts,
Future Projections and Limitations
Emmanuel Unaegbu
 Human influence on the climate system is confirmed.
 Recent anthropogenic emissions of GHGs are the highest
in history.
 Recent climate changes have had widespread impacts on
the ecosystems.
 Observations since 1950 shows that:
-Atmosphere and ocean have warmed;
-Snow and ice amounts have reduced;
-Sea level has risen;
-Ocean pH has decreased by 0.1 since 1850.
Observed Changes
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases responsible for
current climate change has been driven largely by
- Economic growth and
- Population growth
Cause of Climate Change
Changes in climate have caused impacts on natural
and human systems globally. Some observes impact
include:
- Changing precipitation;
- Decreasing crop yields in many regions.
- Hydrological systems alteration, affecting water
resources quantity and quality
-Species have shifted their geographic ranges,
seasonal activities, migration patterns and abundance
Impacts of Climate Change
Changes in many extreme weather and climate
events have been observed since about 1950. Some of
these changes include
- decrease in cold temperature extremes,
- increase in warm temperature extremes
- increase in extreme high sea levels
- increase in frequency of heavy precipitation
events in many regions
Extreme Events
Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause
further warming and long-lasting changes in all
components of the climate system.
It will increase the likelihood of severe, pervasive and
irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems.
Future Climate Risks and Impacts
All emission scenarios project increase in surface
temperature causing more and longer lasting heat
waves;
Extreme precipitation events will become more
intense and frequent in many regions;
The ocean will continue to warm and acidify; and
Global mean sea level to rise.
Projected Impacts
Reduction in crop yield
Reduction in livestock productivity
Reduction in fish production
Increase in vector borne diseases such as malaria
Some Visible Impact
Climate change will exacerbate existing risks and
create new risks for ecosystems.
Projected risks will be are unevenly distributed
affecting vulnerable population in countries
especially developing countries.
Risks of sudden or irreversible changes increase as
the magnitude of the warming increases
Future Risks
Limiting climate change would require:
 Substantial and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas
emissions – Mitigation
 Building human system resilience to impacts – Adaptation
 Sustainable Development
Future Pathway
 Effective institutions and good governance;
 Innovation and investments in environmentally sound
technologies;
 sustainable livelihoods;
 Behavioral and lifestyle choices
 Ethical dimensions,
 Equity,
 Value judgments,
 Economic assessments and
 Diverse perceptions and responses to risk and uncertainty
Foundation of CC Decision Making
 Climate change exacerbates other threats to social and natural
systems, placing additional burdens particularly on the poor.
 Aligning climate policy with sustainable development requires
attention to both adaptation and mitigation.
 Delaying global mitigation actions may reduce options for
climate-resilient pathways and adaptation in the future.
 Climate action is about local differential action for global impact.
Conclusion

Climate change causes, impacts, future projections

  • 1.
    Climate Change Causes,Impacts, Future Projections and Limitations Emmanuel Unaegbu
  • 2.
     Human influenceon the climate system is confirmed.  Recent anthropogenic emissions of GHGs are the highest in history.  Recent climate changes have had widespread impacts on the ecosystems.  Observations since 1950 shows that: -Atmosphere and ocean have warmed; -Snow and ice amounts have reduced; -Sea level has risen; -Ocean pH has decreased by 0.1 since 1850. Observed Changes
  • 3.
    Anthropogenic greenhouse gasesresponsible for current climate change has been driven largely by - Economic growth and - Population growth Cause of Climate Change
  • 4.
    Changes in climatehave caused impacts on natural and human systems globally. Some observes impact include: - Changing precipitation; - Decreasing crop yields in many regions. - Hydrological systems alteration, affecting water resources quantity and quality -Species have shifted their geographic ranges, seasonal activities, migration patterns and abundance Impacts of Climate Change
  • 5.
    Changes in manyextreme weather and climate events have been observed since about 1950. Some of these changes include - decrease in cold temperature extremes, - increase in warm temperature extremes - increase in extreme high sea levels - increase in frequency of heavy precipitation events in many regions Extreme Events
  • 6.
    Continued emission ofgreenhouse gases will cause further warming and long-lasting changes in all components of the climate system. It will increase the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems. Future Climate Risks and Impacts
  • 7.
    All emission scenariosproject increase in surface temperature causing more and longer lasting heat waves; Extreme precipitation events will become more intense and frequent in many regions; The ocean will continue to warm and acidify; and Global mean sea level to rise. Projected Impacts
  • 8.
    Reduction in cropyield Reduction in livestock productivity Reduction in fish production Increase in vector borne diseases such as malaria Some Visible Impact
  • 9.
    Climate change willexacerbate existing risks and create new risks for ecosystems. Projected risks will be are unevenly distributed affecting vulnerable population in countries especially developing countries. Risks of sudden or irreversible changes increase as the magnitude of the warming increases Future Risks
  • 10.
    Limiting climate changewould require:  Substantial and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions – Mitigation  Building human system resilience to impacts – Adaptation  Sustainable Development Future Pathway
  • 11.
     Effective institutionsand good governance;  Innovation and investments in environmentally sound technologies;  sustainable livelihoods;  Behavioral and lifestyle choices  Ethical dimensions,  Equity,  Value judgments,  Economic assessments and  Diverse perceptions and responses to risk and uncertainty Foundation of CC Decision Making
  • 12.
     Climate changeexacerbates other threats to social and natural systems, placing additional burdens particularly on the poor.  Aligning climate policy with sustainable development requires attention to both adaptation and mitigation.  Delaying global mitigation actions may reduce options for climate-resilient pathways and adaptation in the future.  Climate action is about local differential action for global impact. Conclusion