End Games for 2012
End Games
'End Games' talks to the life strategies people carry
inside their heads and use to take decisions


End Games can be explicit or implicit; conscious or
unconscious


End Games come to the fore in times of
uncertainty, where having a survival strategy
matters
4 Key End Games for 2012
New Life: survival lies beyond today's realities


Into The Sun: survival by winning through


Recoiling: curl up and wait your moment


Holding On: just hang in there
New Life     Into The Sun




Holding On   Recoiling
End Game: New Life
          “Fundamental dissatisfaction with life will lead many
                       to look for tectonic shifts”

For some, shift will come from real world realignment
    - Bloody social and political protests will reach boiling point and extremist figureheads will
        emerge to crystallise radicalism
    - New technologies will support more and more essential aspects of life, leaving few
       everyday needs untouched by Apps
    - Many brands will race to the top - meeting 'impossible', extreme aspirations: being newer,
       better, rarer

For others, New Life means escape from real world constraints
    - Brands will give trapdoors to other, more exciting, Worlds
    - Myth-making brands and heros will give people an excuse not to think
Message to marketeers

Create a New Life for me
It must have cut though
My aspiration knows no bounds
Ensure it really, I mean really, works
Allow me to dream
Magic me from everyday life
Release racy new emotions
Be convincing so that I can follow you
Think for me
If I accept the cult; I am your worshipper
End Game: Into The Sun
                     “Hard times will bring opportunities
                     and some will fight and battle through”

For some, 2012 will be a time to get real and knuckle down
    - Employees will be prepared to dedicated even more effort at work - perhaps at a cost to
       their health
    - No stone will be left unturned to get to the top – manipulation, physical fitness, mental
       alertness, laser and cosmetic treatments
    - Brands will do more to facilitate an 'always on' mentality and a search for perfection

Some people will seek to become 'linchpins'
    - Putting themselves at the centre of various social networks to win 'soft power'
    - Becoming an information aggregator by tapping into targeted knowledge networks
    - Risk taking will become the norm
Message to marketeers

Propel me Into The Sun
Give me the tools to get things done effectively
I need to get going and stay going
Move obstructions out of my way
Reward my success
Provide information so I can 'panic early'
Whatever it takes to get ahead of the others
Friends must have their uses
Being the best I can be
Nothing sticks; problems fall like water off a duck's back
End Game: Recoiling
           “The world turns, but in the mean time, some will
              burrow deep, put up their armour and wait”

For some, 2012 will be about hunkering down
    - In all aspects of life, don't make waves, keep heads down, let the storm pass
    - Importance is given to convenience, slimming down, finding stress and risk free options
    - Brands will give safety and security messages and guarantees of being there for the long
       term
    - Longevity, craftsmanship, quality – these customers seek solidity

Home based activities are preferred
    - Home time is valued and indoors provides a safe haven in an uncertain world
    - Technology becomes even more pivotal as the way of relating to the World outside
Message to marketeers

Help me to Recoil
I need short cuts
I'm not going to exert myself; that will leave me vulnerable
I'm super sensitive regarding my privacy
Spending is dangerous; I'm saving for the long-term
If this will last my lifetime, I'm interested
Short-term is risky
I value comfort, cosiness and having my family around me
Bring the World to me
What is your guarantee?
End Game: Holding On
                               “I'm in the shit;
              I'm going to close my eyes and hope for the best”

2012 will be menacing for many
    - Economically, some families and communities will fall on extreme, hard times
    - Resources will be managed tightly; but excesses will be necessary to let off steam
    - Brands will cynically play on luck, hope and naïvety

People will seek 'warmth' wherever it can be found
    - Hand outs, freebies, playing the system, crime.....an alternative, opportunistic lifestyle will
       prosper
    - Value retail gives way to lowest possible price; quality is a luxury that cannot be afforded
    - Tone and feel is: “doing whatever it takes” and “trusting to luck”; miracle claims are
       believed
Message to marketeers

Protect me as I Hold On
If it costs something extra, forget it
I'll stick to what I know, thank you
You'll not catch me out (again)
Tell me precisely what I need to do
If the trial is free, why not?
If I do this for you, what will you do for me?
Can you offer me any shelter at all?
It's good that you seem to be on my side
I look for alternatives to buying stuff
New Life               Into The Sun




      20%                     20%
       Indicative Consumer Penetration
Holding On             Recoiling




      30%                     30%
End Games: Market Mapping
  High
                         Into The Sun



  Socio
economic                                         New Life
   axis
                                     Recoiling
             Holding On



  Low
                                                                     Source:
                                Socio cultural              Futures Coaching
           Traditional                            Modern           Nov 2011
                                     axis
How to Benefit in 2012
       from Consumer's End Games
Work with Futures Coaching:

- bring brand teams up to speed with 2012's key trends
- portfolio mapping vs End Games
- white space analysis
- marketing plan coherence
- future-proof existing NPD pipeline & launch
- focused innovation
- senior management away days
About Futures Coaching
                Celebrating 5 years!

Working for great clients       Doing great things
                                Anticipating
                                    * the future of retail
                                    * the future of offices
                                    * the future of banking
                                    * the future of mobility
                                Innovating
                                    * new fund-raising offers
                                    * consumer healthcare NPD
                                Coaching
                                    * trends training for insight teams
                                    * personal rejuvenation
                                Speaking
                                    * engagements from Taipei to Toronto
                                Researching
                                    * management interviews
                                    * expert in-depths
                                    * consumer focus groups
for a no obligation
exploratory chat...
        phone chris middleton
        '00 33 1 3908 0542

   Website: www.futurescoaching.com
Blog: http://futurescoaching.typepad.com
    Email: chris@futurescoaching.com

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Consumer End Games 2012

  • 2. End Games 'End Games' talks to the life strategies people carry inside their heads and use to take decisions End Games can be explicit or implicit; conscious or unconscious End Games come to the fore in times of uncertainty, where having a survival strategy matters
  • 3. 4 Key End Games for 2012 New Life: survival lies beyond today's realities Into The Sun: survival by winning through Recoiling: curl up and wait your moment Holding On: just hang in there
  • 4. New Life Into The Sun Holding On Recoiling
  • 5. End Game: New Life “Fundamental dissatisfaction with life will lead many to look for tectonic shifts” For some, shift will come from real world realignment - Bloody social and political protests will reach boiling point and extremist figureheads will emerge to crystallise radicalism - New technologies will support more and more essential aspects of life, leaving few everyday needs untouched by Apps - Many brands will race to the top - meeting 'impossible', extreme aspirations: being newer, better, rarer For others, New Life means escape from real world constraints - Brands will give trapdoors to other, more exciting, Worlds - Myth-making brands and heros will give people an excuse not to think
  • 6. Message to marketeers Create a New Life for me It must have cut though My aspiration knows no bounds Ensure it really, I mean really, works Allow me to dream Magic me from everyday life Release racy new emotions Be convincing so that I can follow you Think for me If I accept the cult; I am your worshipper
  • 7. End Game: Into The Sun “Hard times will bring opportunities and some will fight and battle through” For some, 2012 will be a time to get real and knuckle down - Employees will be prepared to dedicated even more effort at work - perhaps at a cost to their health - No stone will be left unturned to get to the top – manipulation, physical fitness, mental alertness, laser and cosmetic treatments - Brands will do more to facilitate an 'always on' mentality and a search for perfection Some people will seek to become 'linchpins' - Putting themselves at the centre of various social networks to win 'soft power' - Becoming an information aggregator by tapping into targeted knowledge networks - Risk taking will become the norm
  • 8. Message to marketeers Propel me Into The Sun Give me the tools to get things done effectively I need to get going and stay going Move obstructions out of my way Reward my success Provide information so I can 'panic early' Whatever it takes to get ahead of the others Friends must have their uses Being the best I can be Nothing sticks; problems fall like water off a duck's back
  • 9. End Game: Recoiling “The world turns, but in the mean time, some will burrow deep, put up their armour and wait” For some, 2012 will be about hunkering down - In all aspects of life, don't make waves, keep heads down, let the storm pass - Importance is given to convenience, slimming down, finding stress and risk free options - Brands will give safety and security messages and guarantees of being there for the long term - Longevity, craftsmanship, quality – these customers seek solidity Home based activities are preferred - Home time is valued and indoors provides a safe haven in an uncertain world - Technology becomes even more pivotal as the way of relating to the World outside
  • 10. Message to marketeers Help me to Recoil I need short cuts I'm not going to exert myself; that will leave me vulnerable I'm super sensitive regarding my privacy Spending is dangerous; I'm saving for the long-term If this will last my lifetime, I'm interested Short-term is risky I value comfort, cosiness and having my family around me Bring the World to me What is your guarantee?
  • 11. End Game: Holding On “I'm in the shit; I'm going to close my eyes and hope for the best” 2012 will be menacing for many - Economically, some families and communities will fall on extreme, hard times - Resources will be managed tightly; but excesses will be necessary to let off steam - Brands will cynically play on luck, hope and naïvety People will seek 'warmth' wherever it can be found - Hand outs, freebies, playing the system, crime.....an alternative, opportunistic lifestyle will prosper - Value retail gives way to lowest possible price; quality is a luxury that cannot be afforded - Tone and feel is: “doing whatever it takes” and “trusting to luck”; miracle claims are believed
  • 12. Message to marketeers Protect me as I Hold On If it costs something extra, forget it I'll stick to what I know, thank you You'll not catch me out (again) Tell me precisely what I need to do If the trial is free, why not? If I do this for you, what will you do for me? Can you offer me any shelter at all? It's good that you seem to be on my side I look for alternatives to buying stuff
  • 13. New Life Into The Sun 20% 20% Indicative Consumer Penetration Holding On Recoiling 30% 30%
  • 14. End Games: Market Mapping High Into The Sun Socio economic New Life axis Recoiling Holding On Low Source: Socio cultural Futures Coaching Traditional Modern Nov 2011 axis
  • 15. How to Benefit in 2012 from Consumer's End Games Work with Futures Coaching: - bring brand teams up to speed with 2012's key trends - portfolio mapping vs End Games - white space analysis - marketing plan coherence - future-proof existing NPD pipeline & launch - focused innovation - senior management away days
  • 16. About Futures Coaching Celebrating 5 years! Working for great clients Doing great things Anticipating * the future of retail * the future of offices * the future of banking * the future of mobility Innovating * new fund-raising offers * consumer healthcare NPD Coaching * trends training for insight teams * personal rejuvenation Speaking * engagements from Taipei to Toronto Researching * management interviews * expert in-depths * consumer focus groups
  • 17. for a no obligation exploratory chat... phone chris middleton '00 33 1 3908 0542 Website: www.futurescoaching.com Blog: http://futurescoaching.typepad.com Email: [email protected]