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Cynefin
Making Sense of Leadership and Decision Making
Sara Caldwell
Chief Unicorn Spotter
Polaris Solutions
Cynefin February 2020
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Experiment?
Photo Credit Shutterstock
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
RULES OF
ENGAGEMENT
◦Option to opt out
◦Resist the urge to
rescue people
◦Have fun
What situations do leaders
find themselves in?
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Photo Credit Science in HD
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Issy Bailey
Photo Credit Issy Bailey
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Photo Credit Bud Helisson
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
CYNEFIN
DAVE SNOWDEN
Disorder
Photo credit podtail
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
CYNEFIN
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Ordered
Disordered
Obvious Domain
Known Knowns
Best Practices, SOP
How to Act
Sense, categorize, respond
Leadership Style
Process-Oriented
Tips
◦ Stay connected without micromanaging
◦ Understand the value and limitation of best practices
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Photo Credit Dan Istitene
Sense, categorize, respond
Photo Credit Dan Istitene
Cynefin February 2020
Complicated
Domain
Known Unknown
Better Practices, Exploration
How to Act
Sense, analyze, respond
Leadership Style
Expert in the field
Tips
◦ Beware of analysis paralysis
◦ Listen to experts but invite novel suggestions from others
◦ Fear entrained thinking
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Sense, analyze, respond
Drew et al., Psych. Sci. (in press)
Complex
Domain
Unknown unknowns
Emergent practices
How to Act
Probe, sense, respond
Leadership Style
Entrepreneurial, governing or enabling constraints
Tips
◦ Step back and let patterns emerge
◦ Be careful not in impose order with command and control leadership
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Cynefin February 2020
Probe, sense, respond
Chaos Domain
Unknowable
Crisis Management, Extreme
Innovation
How to Act
Act, sense, respond
Leadership Style
Directive
Tips
◦ Try and manage chaos and innovation in parallel
◦ Make constraints, not solutions
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Photo credit Jack Marshall
Photo credit Jack Marshall
Act, sense, respond
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Disorder Domain
If you don’t know where you are, here you are
◦ Gather info
◦ Identify domain
◦ Decide accordingly
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
CYNEFIN
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Scenario Match
Match the scenario with the
Cynefin domain Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
What did you learn?
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
References
Cynefin - A Leaders Guide to Decision
Making, Harvard Business Review, 2007.
Broughman, Greg. “Cynefin 101 – An
Introduction.” InfoQ,
https://www.infoq.com/articles/cynefin-
introduction/ Accessed 15, December
2019.
Latchana, Dean. “Cynefin A&E Game
Workshop.” latchana.co.uk,
https://latchana.co.uk/workshop/cynefin-
workshop/ Accessed 1, January 2019.
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Photo Credit Rob Walsh
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Print and cut out scenarios
You are grocery store clerk checking out a customer in your store.
You are an accounting clerk and there was an overpayment applied to the customer’s account.
You are placing an order for a new cell phone at your company.
You are a grocery store manager who is ordering a new type of produce for the local grocery store.
You are trying to determine the best cell phone plan and carrier to use.
You are a developer rewriting an application from angular to react.
You are a grocery store manager Determining the best produce to sell at the local grocery store.
Your home ‘button’ broke on your touch screen phone, you do not have a warranty, nor money for a new
phone, and are not technically inclined.
You are a leader forming a new, global, cross functional team
You are a grocery store manager and all the produce has gone rotten and customer are complaining.
You are a grocery store manager, and no one is coming into your grocery store.
Your cell phone catches fire in your bag.
You are a manager and all your peers are arguing, no one agrees on the characteristics of the environment
Sara.Caldwell@PolarisSolutions.com
Photo credit PierreENeis – Decoding
Systems with Cynefin
Obvious
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Leadership Style_________________ Leadership Style______________________
Leadership Style__________________Leadership Style______________________

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Cynefin February 2020

Editor's Notes

  • #16: Be careful not to make complex problems simple C=E Avoid the complacency cliff Have early warning systems in place and safe communication challenges Rituals help with cognitive activation Pit crews are people who fix a race car during a race During a race, the pit crew is responsible for changing tires, refueling, adjusting aerodynamics, checking and repairing parts, and getting the driver back on course in a matter of seconds
  • #17: Be careful not to make complex problems simple C=E Avoid the complacency cliff Have early warning systems in place and safe communication challenges Rituals help with cognitive activation
  • #33: If any of this resonates, I'd love to chat
  • #37: https://myao.blog/2019/08/19/decoding-systems-with-cynefin/