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Economic Indicators
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Economic indicators May 2013
- 1. | [Presentation title]| [Client Name] | [Date]1 Economic Indicators Last update 14.06.2013
- 2. | Economic Indicators|2 Economic Outlook Monthly Overview – June 2013 Europe: • Consensus June GDP forecast for WE remained stable on -0,1% for 2013 and on 1,1% for 2014. • Both, the EU industrial confidence and the consumer confidence indicator improved slightly in May. • The IFO Business Climate index for Germany has risen again after two consecutive declines. Companies assessed their current business situation clearly more positive than last month, the outlook for future business remained unchanged. The German economy remains on track. • Q1 GDP fell by 0,2% q-o-q from -0,6% in Q4 2012, a sixth straight quarter of contraction. The pace of downturn should slowly ease and many observers suggest that GDP is poised to grow in the 2nd half of 2013. US: • Consensus June GDP forecast for the US remained at 1,9% for 2013 and at 2,7% for 2014. • US growth prospects are somewhat uncertain as slowing industrial indicators and fiscal drag hamper activity. The Fed’s recent suggestion to ‘taper’ the current pace of asset purchases has sent the world financial and currency markets into a flurry, even though it is unclear whether this means outright monetary tightening. Japan: • The June GDP growth forecast for Japan improved again considerably from 1,4% to 1,9% for 2013 and remained on 1,5% for 2014. • The final release of GDP data for Q1 showed the economy growing at a faster pace than previously thought.
- 3. 3 | EconomicIndicators | Eurostat Data
- 4. | Economic Indicators|4 Economic Indicators – GDP EU 27 Source: Eurostat May 13 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 '07Q1 '08Q1 '09Q1 '10Q1 '11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 GDP for the EU 27 countries at constant prices quarter vs. same quarter of last year
- 5. | Economic Indicators|5 Economic Indicators – GDP EU 27 Source: Eurostat May 13 -2,5 -2 -1,5 -1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 '07Q1 '08Q1 '09Q1 '10Q1 '11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 GDP for the EU 27 countries at constant prices quarter on quarter
- 6. | Economic Indicators|6 Economic Indicators –EU 27 Consumer Price Index Source: Eurostat June 13 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 08/1 09/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 13/1 1,4 % The harmonized index of consumer prices is the result of the collaboration between Eurostat and National Statistical Institutes of the Member States.
- 7. | Economic Indicators|7 Economic Indicators – ECB interest rate Source: ECB, FED June 13 May 13; 1,4 Jun.13; 0,5 Jun.13; 0,25 -0,5 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 Jan08 July08 Jan09 Jul.09 Jan10 Jul.10 Jan11 July11 Jan12 Jul.12 Jan13 Jul.13 ECB short-term rate Eurozone inflation FED rate
- 8. | Economic Indicators|8 Economic Indicators –EU 27 Unemployment Rate Source: Eurostat June 13 Apr.13; 11 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Unemployment rate for EU 27 countries
- 9. | Economic Indicators|9 Economic Indicators – Industrial Confidence Ind EU Source: Eurostat June 13 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Jan06 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Industrial confidence within EU 27 improved slightly in May. The Industrial Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questions on production expectations, order books and stocks.
- 10. | Economic Indicators|10 Economic Indicators – Consumer Confidence Ind EU Source: Eurostat June 13 Consumer Confidence within EU 27 improved very slightly in May. -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 Jan06 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 The Consumer Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questions on the financial situation of households and general economic situation (past and future) together with that on the advisability of making major purchases.
- 11. | Economic Indicators|11 Economic Indicators – Capacity Utilization in Manufacturing Industry in % - EU 27 Source: Eurostat May 13 60 65 70 75 80 85 04Q1 05Q1 06Q1 07Q1 08Q1 09Q1 10Q1 11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 77,9 % The capacity utilization in manufacturing industry gives the level of capacity utilization in percent, as assessed by managers in manufacturing industry.
- 12. | Economic Indicators|12 Ifo Data
- 13. | Economic Indicators|13 Economic Indicators – IFO World Economic Climate Source: IFO June 13 The Ifo World Economic climate improved again in Q2 2013 This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
- 14. | Economic Indicators|14 Economic Indicators – IFO WE Economic Climate Source: IFO June 13 The economic climate for Western Europe improved slightly in Q2 2013. This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
- 15. | Economic Indicators|15 Economic Indicators – IFO NA Economic Climate Source: IFO June 13 This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis.
- 16. | Economic Indicators|16 Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Euro Area Source: IFO June 13
- 17. | Economic Indicators|17 Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Germany Source: IFO June 13
- 18. | Economic Indicators|18 Economic Indicators – Exchange rate $ vs € Source: IFO June 13
- 19. | Economic Indicators|19 Economic Indicators – Ifo business situation and 6 month expectations Source: IFO June 13 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Business situation 6 months expectations The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business situation index shows the current evaluation of the economic situation, while the 6 month expectations index shows the expectations of the companies for the next 6 months. Over 7000 companies are being interviewed. The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany has risen again after two consecutive declines. The firms are clearly more satisfied with their current business situation than in the previous month. The outlook for future business is unchanged and slightly positive. The Germany economy remains on track in a challenging European environment.
- 20. | Economic Indicators|20 Economic Indicators – IFO Assessment of Current Business Situation Source: IFO June 13 The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany has risen again after two consecutive declines. The firms are clearly more satisfied with their current business situation than in the previous month. The outlook for future business is unchanged and slightly positive. The Germany economy remains on track in a challenging European environment.
- 21. | Economic Indicators|21 Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index printing industry Source: IFO Apr 13, bundesverband druck und medien -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry is based on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers. The business climate within the printing industry declined slightly from -2 to -5 in March.
- 22. | Economic Indicators|22 Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index printing industry The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry is based on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers. Business Development at German Printers – March 2013: The assessment of the current business situation in the printing industry improved slightly from last month (+5%) and is positive now for the 7th month in a row. The business climate – an indicator for the development in the next quarter – declined slightly from -2% to -5%. The business expectations for the coming 6 months remained negative for the 7th month in succession, and declined from -6% to now -15%. In the same month of last year expectations were considerably better than today (+5%). Source: IFO Apr 13, bundesverband druck und medien
- 23. | Economic Indicators|23 Zenith Data
- 24. | Economic Indicators|24 Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press release Source: Zenith 4/13
- 25. | Economic Indicators|25 Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press release Source: Zenith 4/13
- 26. | Economic Indicators|26 Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press release Source: Zenith 4/13
- 27. | Economic Indicators|27 Advertising Growth – Zenith 4/13 Press release Source: Zenith 4/13