From Systemic Modelling to OrganisationTransformation in the Energy-E....docx.pdf

From Systemic Modelling to OrganisationTransformation in the Energy-E....docx.pdf

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  From Systemic Modellingto Organisation Transformation: Comparing the Club of Rome’s Limits to Growth and Energy for One World The challenge of creating a sustainable future rests on two pillars: the scientific diagnosis of planetary constraints and the political and moral mobilization required for change. The Club of Rome’s seminal reports, The Limits to Growth (LtG) and its updated successor, Earth4All, provide the data-driven alarm, while Energy for One World (EFOW) offers a professional, values-based approach to implementing the necessary organisational transitions, especially within the complex energy-economy sectors. These two frameworks, though operating at different scales—modeling versus actionable policy (based on fact-based insights)—are deeply synergistic, with EFOW acting as the practical, moral roadmap for achieving the systemic stability modeled by the Club of Rome. The Club of Rome: Modeling Planetary Boundaries The 1972 publication of The Limits to Growth was a landmark study that used the World3 computer model to map the feedback loops between five critical factors: population, industrial output, resource depletion, pollution, and food production. Its core, enduring conclusion was that continuous exponential growth on a finite planet would lead to overshoot and collapse—a sudden, uncontrollable decline in both global population and industrial capacity within the 21st century. The LtG model demonstrated that technological advances alone (a "Technology Fix" scenario) merely delayed the inevitable by shifting the limiting factor from one constraint (e.g., oil) to another (e.g., pollution). Fifty years later, the Earth4All initiative reaffirmed this scientific warning but shifted the core focus. Through the publication Earth for All: A Survival Guide for Humanity, the model was updated to stress that avoiding collapse is insufficient; the goal must be global Wellbeing for All. Earth4All advocates for five "extraordinary turnarounds" (on poverty, inequality, food, energy, and gender equity), explicitly rejecting Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the sole metric of success. This shift moves the discourse from simply avoiding limits to proactively restructuring the global economy to operate within planetary boundaries while ensuring human dignity—a profound conceptual bridge toward values-based action. CopyRight EFOW- All Rights Reserved.​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ 1
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  Energy for OneWorld: Foundation and Practice Energy for One World is an organization rooted in deep professional lifetime experience within the global energy system, including firsthand knowledge of upstream oil and gas reserves, business and energy market developments, and the incumbent economic structures of the Big Oil and Utility sectors1 . This professional foundation gives EFOW a crucial understanding of the inertia, financial mechanisms, and political hurdles embedded in the current energy infrastructure. EFOW recognizes that the energy transition is not just a technology swap; it requires a financial organisational and governance change to redirect capital flows away from a centralized fossil-fuel based system toward more balanced and electrified "energy-economies for all". From System A to System B. The practice of EFOW is explicitly guided by two key frameworks: 1.​ Moral and Ethical Vision: EFOW draws its core moral conviction from the Pope Francis encyclicals, Laudato Si’ (On Care for Our Common Home) and Fratelli tutti (On Fraternity and Social Friendship). Laudato Si’ provides the concept of Integral Ecology, insisting that the environmental crisis and the social crisis are one, thereby cementing the need for the energy transition to be just and equitable. Fratelli tutti demands global solidarity and a move beyond self-interest. 2.​ Global Policy Framework: EFOW integrates its work directly into global policy mechanisms, supporting the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly SDG 7 ("affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all"), and the COP climate negotiation process. This dual grounding—in moral vision and established political mechanisms—allows EFOW to offer leadership, organisational and change solutions that are both technically rigorous and universally justifiable. 1 EFOW work has also been grounded based on deep research of the present outlook and functioning of the world energy system: https://www.energyforoneworld.com/services-and-solutions/research CopyRight EFOW- All Rights Reserved.​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ 2
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  Synergy in theEnergy-Economy Sector The LtG/Earth4All models and the EFOW practice are two sides of the same coin, offering powerful synergy for the energy-economy transition: Framework Role in Energy-Economy Transition Corroboration with EFOW LtG / Earth4All Diagnosis: Models the inevitable overshoot caused by continuous growth in industrial output and resource consumption (fossil fuels). Prescribes the "Sustainable World" dynamic equilibrium. Provides the scientific mandate. EFOW’s goal of rapidly accelerating clean energy and efficiency is the direct policy measure required to shift the world off the LtG’s “Business-as-Usual” collapse trajectory. Energy for One World Implementation: Leverages deep sector knowledge to guide the actual restructuring of utility and Big Oil operational models. Mobilizes the moral and political capital to finance and execute the UN SDG targets. Provides the actionable mechanism. EFOW translates the Earth4All imperative for "Wellbeing for All" into practical energy access programs, ensuring the new energy system addresses global inequality, realities, interests and constraints The professional experience of EFOW, understanding the current systems, allows it to pinpoint the organisational change2 and leverage points necessary to accelerate the energy transition—, and advocating for frameworks that allow the transition from System A to System B3 . This provides the practical pathway toward the systemic, non-collapsing model identified by the Club of Rome studies. 3 "Organizing Energy", "Good Future Making" 2 At the various and relevant Levels: (1) UN, (2) Sector, Market and Regions, (3) Governments and (4) Corporations CopyRight EFOW- All Rights Reserved.​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ 3
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  Positive Astonishments inDialogue and Leadership A unique and positive astonishment regarding Energy for One World is its ingenious capacity to transform difficult, technical, and adversarial energy negotiations into a unifying dialogue. EFOW knows how to touch on World Views, Tone of Voices, and the Hearts of Leaders by intentionally reframing the conversation. Instead of exclusively using the language of carbon budgets and economic loss, EFOW frames the transition using the positive language of "Good Future Making"4 . This shifts the dialogue from a zero-sum economic conflict—where a CEO or Minister must choose between Profit and Self vs Planet and the Other—to a collective wanting to work and create for the Whole. By engaging with global leaders and the energy sector through this values-based lens, EFOW builds trust, overcomes political deadlock, and transforms working approaches by appealing to a deeper sense of legacy and ethical obligation. This ability to translate the cold, hard science of the Club of Rome into a compelling, shared vision on "Organizing Energy"and "Good Future Making" is EFOW’s most powerful contribution to achieving a sustainable future, next to its world class knowledge about our world energy system, the UNSDGs and Paris Agreement and its outlook. "EFOW is an Art, and a Leadership skill that can be learned!. Oct 2025 AK 4 See Mission EFOW Foundation documents: https://www.energyforoneworld.com/services-and-solutions/mission-energy-for-one-world-foundation-new -2025 CopyRight EFOW- All Rights Reserved.​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ 4