Crunch Time
Selected future of education trends
Greetings from springtime Vermont
http://futureofeducation.us/
The Future of Education Observatory
The Future Trends Forum
 Monthly
environmental
scan report
 Trends
identified,
tested,
projected
Trendlines
Globalization of higher education
 International higher ed systems
building up
 Growing international market
 US opening branches abroad
Globalization of higher education
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2017/new-night-lights-maps-open-up-possible-real-time-applicatio
 Now global student #s in US drop
Demographics
Youth population
shrinkage
Expanding senior
population…
10
11
ā€œU.S. and World
Population Clockā€
https://www.census.go
v/popclock/
Population changes
12
Macroeconomic changes
Labor transformations
• manufacturing->service
• 1 job/career->many gigs
• declining participation
• income stagnation
• automation
Political changes
Rural urban
split
Race
Gender
Economic
anxiety
Nationalism/
nativism or
globalism
Education trends
Reform movements
Alternative certification
Alternative business
models and schools
Student population
changes
 Near-majority
adult
 Increasing first-
generation
students
 Veterans
 Learning
disabilities
12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
Student population changes
12
Student enrollment changes
12
National Student Clearinghouse Research Center
Adjunctification rising
Defunding public universities
How financialization plays out
https://www.flickr.com/photos/seeyoujimmy/2631905283/
https://www.flickr.com/photos/streetmatt/15083719955/
Established and growing
• Mobile
• Social media
• Cloud computing
• Digital video
• Gaming
The post-
Snowden
world
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Kelly_(editor)
Screening
Flowing
Accessing
Sharing
Cognifying
Filtering
Remixing
Interacting
Screening
Flowing
Accessing
Sharing
Cognifying
Filtering
Remixing
Interacting
Automation on the rise
Automation on the rise
http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
Taking automation seriously
Taking automation seriously
• Robots in industry
• ā€œ ā€œ cars
• ā€œ at war
• Spambots
• High frequency trading
• Automated writing…
Design for mobile *first *
New device ecosystem
VR
VR + AR = MR
New device ecosystem
Android battles iOS
Disintegrated computing:
Wearables
Very small cameras and
computers…
New device ecosystem
Leading to…
https://www.reddit.com/r/IllBeYourGuide/
Two huge horizons
Moore’s Law
End of the Web
https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/
https://www.flickr.com/photos/btckeychain/19574064780/
Teaching and learning and tech
blended/
flipped /
hybrid
classroom
Changes in the LMS world?
http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg
Teaching and learning and tech
 distance learning
grows
 generational gaps
Open…
 OER
 Open access
 Open teaching
The rise of the
Maker movement
BYOD
VR/AR
Analytics
Uses of social media
Uses of Web video
Ebooks + etextbooks
gaming in education
MOOCs on the move
Technology-mediated research
Simulations
http://web.archive.org/web/20150418162758/http://www.futurict.eu
/
Textual research
Digital humanities
Textual research
Law: e-discovery
http://criminalintent.org/
The new community of scholars, 1*
*Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
The new
community of
scholars, 2
What happens to the library?
•Shift from collection development
to digital literacy consultation
•Open scholarship
•Classroom engagement
•Transforms to research
entrepreneurship
National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of
Which of these
trends are the
most powerful?
Which of these
trends are the most
unpredicatble?
All of these
are in the present.
So what’s next?
Extrapolations:
Transnational
campuses
Average
student age:
40
Hourly faculty
 Privatizing
public
universities
 Hogwarts vs
poor
campuses
What comes next?
• Rich
multimedia
environment
• Some
gamification
• Student as
producer
Disintegrated
computing as
a service
Extensive data
analysis,
surveillance,
creativity
Campus of
networked
things
Classes?
• Blended learning is campus
norm
• Some classes outsourced
to DL
• Classrooms in studio mode
• All campus is blended
learning environment
(ā€œplace as libraryā€)
• Hands-on learning (maker
culture, tinkering):
production + studies
A higher education bubble?
A higher education bubble?
 Continued cost/quality anxiety
 Student and parent anxieties
about debt
 Grad school crises
 Political pressure
The
Queen
sacrifice
gambit
Yet the college premium
persists
Will universities fight Trump?
Campuses
defending
immigrants
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2016/1
2/02/outlining-commitments-undocumented-
immigrant-students-some-presidents-avoid-
term
What do campuses
do during civil
unrest?
Taking automation seriously
Curriculum and life:
is school for
unemployment or
working with AIs?
Post-AI education
Pedagogy:
• Apps instead of classes
• Computer-assisted
creativity
• Cyborg teaching and
becoming
Post-AI education
Curriculum and life:
what does it mean to be
human when machines
exceed us?
Post-AI education
The best digital literacy
storytelling
https://www.youtube.com/wat
ch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I
What comes next?
Collaborate with each
other, across
institutions, sectors,
nations, populations,
professions
What can we do now?
Use social media
Use social media
Use and be open
Rethink everything
in terms of
automation’s
possibilities
Imagine different worlds
and inhabiting them -
yourselves, your
institution, your children
and the generation to
come
http://futureofeducation.us/
http://twitter.com/bryanalexander

Future trends for education and technology: 2018

Editor's Notes

  • #48Ā One way of describing this world of small, embedded, invisible, and environmental hardware is the IoT. This is already occurring through an enormous infrastructure build out: Expanding into the IPv6 internet protocol Developing new middleware, OSes Building out data ownership and control systems
  • #89Ā You. Help. Make. The. Future. It isn’t something just done to you, delivered like gifts from a cargo cult. You help make the future. Every decision you make contributes. When you craft a creative work, or teach in a certain way, or nudge a campus in one direction, or support a political candidate, or tell a story, or dream out loud, or influence younger folks, you help co-create what is coming next. Don’t be passive - it’s too late! You’re already making it happen. You are all - each of you - practicing futurists and world-makers. Do so with open eyes, and the flame of creative possibility roaring in your heart.