How to craft robust strategy through scenarios webinar

How to craft robust strategy through scenarios webinar

• 1.
  A Presentation isa confusion of one man multiplied by the number present! Dr. Awais e Siraj Consultant of Strategy and Scenario Planning Managing Director Genzee Solutions Islamabad www.genzeesolutions.com 1
• 2.
  Objective i. History ofScenario Planning ii. How to build Scenarios? iii. How to devise a robust strategy from Scenarios? iv. QnA http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/ http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/
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  Scenarios • Origin – World War II – US Air Force (RAND Corporation Herman Kahn – 1950’s) • “Scenarios describe hypothetically a succession of events with the objective of drawing attention to causal relationships and working towards decisions”. – Arab Israel War – 1967 – Yom Kippur War – 1973 – Oil Crises http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/ http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through-scenarios/ 3
• 4.
  The process • Dotson the Horizon – Signals • First tank crossing Soviet – Afghan Border • First Immigrant crossing Afghan Border into Pakistan in 1979 • Breakdown of Taliban/Unocal Negotiation on Oil Pipeline • Picture of Bilawal Bhutto Zardari with President of US • Bou Azizi For Complete PPT & Video Log on to: http://blog.mile.org/how-to-craft-robust-strategy-through- scenarios/