NFSA and food security
Reetika Khera,Reetika Khera,
IIT Delhi
Five common misconceptions about 
NFSA
1 “D ’t d thi f t iti ” b t it d1. “Doesn’t do anything for nutrition”: but it does 
include maternity entitlements & ICDS
2 “These schemes don’t work” Recent evidence2. “These schemes don’t work”: Recent evidence 
shows a revival
3 “It is anti farmer”: a large part of food subsidy3. It is anti‐farmer : a large part of food subsidy 
goes to farmer as support prices! 
4 “it is unaffordable”: It is approx 1% of GDP4. it is unaffordable : It is approx 1% of GDP
5. “Grain requirements are too high”: NFSA 
requires same level of procurement as seen inrequires same level of procurement as seen in 
past few years
Revival: Evidence and ExplanationsRevival: Evidence and Explanations
id f i l• Evidence of PDS revival
– Zero purchase households has declined
– Leakages have declined
– Poverty impact is substantialy p
• Time to junk the Planning Commission (2005) 
report! See Himanshu and Sen (2013) 
instead!
Corruption control: some evidenceCorruption control: some evidence
Diversion of PDS grain in selected states (2004-5, 2009-10 and 2011-12)
85.2
90.0
100.0
Diversion of PDS grain in selected states (2004 5, 2009 10 and 2011 12)
76.3
70.0
80.0
51.8
46.3
42.4
40 0
50.0
60.0
30.2
19.9
20 0
30.0
40.0
10.4 10.2
0.0
10.0
20.0
0.0
JH OR Chh
Source: Calculated from Monthly foodgrains bulletin and National Sample Survey data from 2004-5 and 2009-10.
Bihar Chhattisgarh
Proportion of BPL households who did not get any
foodgrains from the PDS in the last 3 months (%)
35 0
foodgrains from the PDS in the last 3 months (%)
Proportion of BPL respondents who said that they
‘normally’ get their full PDS entitlements (%)
18 97
Proportion of BPL respondents who agree with the
entries in their ration cards (%)
25 94
Proportion of BPL households who skipped meals 70 17Proportion of BPL households who skipped meals
in the last three months (%)
70 17
Proportion of BPL households who would support 54 2
the PDS being replaced with equivalent cash
transfers (%)
‘Poverty-gap index’ of rural poverty 2009–10bPoverty gap index of rural poverty, 2009 10
(%)
Without implicit subsidy
14.4
13.8
16.3
9.9
With implicit subsidy
Percentage reduction
13.8
4
9.9
39
Drèze and Khera (2013), Rural Poverty and the PDS, Economic and Political Weekly
Explanations for the revivalExplanations for the revival
d id f• Demand side factors
– Expanded coverage, reduction in price, 
diversification
• Supply side factorspp y
– Computerization, management of shops, official 
commissions, door‐step delivery, regularity and p y g y
predictability
• See Khera (2011) for more
NFSA: Implementation Challenges (1)NFSA: Implementation Challenges (1) 
• Identification of households
– Criteria 
• Inclusion vs. Exclusion approach (e.g., Odisha, 
Chhattisgarh)
• 1997 or 2002 BPL lists (e.g., Rajasthan)
– Procedure:Procedure: 
• SECC data based survey or self‐declaration
• New cards vs old cardsNew cards vs. old cards
NFSA: Implementation Challenges (2)NFSA: Implementation Challenges (2)
• Entitlements: Per capita or per household?
– Per capita: Better for larger families, definition of 
“household”household
– Per household:  Clarity of entitlements, hassles 
and harassment , disruptive transition?
NFSA: Implementation Challenges (3)NFSA: Implementation Challenges (3)
• Integration with UID: Claims
– Corruption control: Yes, it’s a problem, but how p , p ,
much can UID help?
– Inclusion: Massive exclusion but what is theInclusion: Massive exclusion, but what is the 
source of exclusion?
Portability: Desirable but is UID necessary to– Portability: Desirable, but is UID necessary to 
achieve it? No.
Leakages Inclusion and PortabilityLeakages, Inclusion and Portability
• Leakages: Technology? Yes. UID? No.
– Computerization alone helps a lotp p
• Inclusion: Duplicates/ghosts are a problem, 
but exaggeratedbut exaggerated. 
– Mis‐classification, UID can do nothing
• Portability: Requires fixing supply chain 
management CORE PDS in Chhattisgarhmanagement. CORE PDS in Chhattisgarh

IFPRI- National Food Security Bill- Reetika Khera, IIT

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Five common misconceptions about  NFSA 1 “D ’td thi f t iti ” b t it d1. “Doesn’t do anything for nutrition”: but it does  include maternity entitlements & ICDS 2 “These schemes don’t work” Recent evidence2. “These schemes don’t work”: Recent evidence  shows a revival 3 “It is anti farmer”: a large part of food subsidy3. It is anti‐farmer : a large part of food subsidy  goes to farmer as support prices!  4 “it is unaffordable”: It is approx 1% of GDP4. it is unaffordable : It is approx 1% of GDP 5. “Grain requirements are too high”: NFSA  requires same level of procurement as seen inrequires same level of procurement as seen in  past few years
  • 3.
    Revival: Evidence andExplanationsRevival: Evidence and Explanations id f i l• Evidence of PDS revival – Zero purchase households has declined – Leakages have declined – Poverty impact is substantialy p • Time to junk the Planning Commission (2005)  report! See Himanshu and Sen (2013)  instead!
  • 4.
    Corruption control: someevidenceCorruption control: some evidence Diversion of PDS grain in selected states (2004-5, 2009-10 and 2011-12) 85.2 90.0 100.0 Diversion of PDS grain in selected states (2004 5, 2009 10 and 2011 12) 76.3 70.0 80.0 51.8 46.3 42.4 40 0 50.0 60.0 30.2 19.9 20 0 30.0 40.0 10.4 10.2 0.0 10.0 20.0 0.0 JH OR Chh Source: Calculated from Monthly foodgrains bulletin and National Sample Survey data from 2004-5 and 2009-10.
  • 5.
    Bihar Chhattisgarh Proportion ofBPL households who did not get any foodgrains from the PDS in the last 3 months (%) 35 0 foodgrains from the PDS in the last 3 months (%) Proportion of BPL respondents who said that they ‘normally’ get their full PDS entitlements (%) 18 97 Proportion of BPL respondents who agree with the entries in their ration cards (%) 25 94 Proportion of BPL households who skipped meals 70 17Proportion of BPL households who skipped meals in the last three months (%) 70 17 Proportion of BPL households who would support 54 2 the PDS being replaced with equivalent cash transfers (%) ‘Poverty-gap index’ of rural poverty 2009–10bPoverty gap index of rural poverty, 2009 10 (%) Without implicit subsidy 14.4 13.8 16.3 9.9 With implicit subsidy Percentage reduction 13.8 4 9.9 39 Drèze and Khera (2013), Rural Poverty and the PDS, Economic and Political Weekly
  • 6.
    Explanations for therevivalExplanations for the revival d id f• Demand side factors – Expanded coverage, reduction in price,  diversification • Supply side factorspp y – Computerization, management of shops, official  commissions, door‐step delivery, regularity and p y g y predictability • See Khera (2011) for more
  • 7.
    NFSA: Implementation Challenges(1)NFSA: Implementation Challenges (1)  • Identification of households – Criteria  • Inclusion vs. Exclusion approach (e.g., Odisha,  Chhattisgarh) • 1997 or 2002 BPL lists (e.g., Rajasthan) – Procedure:Procedure:  • SECC data based survey or self‐declaration • New cards vs old cardsNew cards vs. old cards
  • 8.
    NFSA: Implementation Challenges(2)NFSA: Implementation Challenges (2) • Entitlements: Per capita or per household? – Per capita: Better for larger families, definition of  “household”household – Per household:  Clarity of entitlements, hassles  and harassment , disruptive transition?
  • 9.
    NFSA: Implementation Challenges(3)NFSA: Implementation Challenges (3) • Integration with UID: Claims – Corruption control: Yes, it’s a problem, but how p , p , much can UID help? – Inclusion: Massive exclusion but what is theInclusion: Massive exclusion, but what is the  source of exclusion? Portability: Desirable but is UID necessary to– Portability: Desirable, but is UID necessary to  achieve it? No.
  • 10.
    Leakages Inclusion andPortabilityLeakages, Inclusion and Portability • Leakages: Technology? Yes. UID? No. – Computerization alone helps a lotp p • Inclusion: Duplicates/ghosts are a problem,  but exaggeratedbut exaggerated.  – Mis‐classification, UID can do nothing • Portability: Requires fixing supply chain  management CORE PDS in Chhattisgarhmanagement. CORE PDS in Chhattisgarh