Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Copyright © 2004
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Sample Size
Determination
CHAPTER
Eleven
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
1. To learn the financial and statistical issues in
the determination of sample size.
2. To discover the methods for determining
sample size.
3. To gain an appreciation of a normal
distribution.
4. To understand population, sample, and
sampling distribution.
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
5. To distinguish between point and interval
estimates.
6. To recognize problems involving sampling
means and proportions.
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Financial, Statistical, and Managerial Issues
As a general rule:
The larger the sample, the smaller the sampling error.
Larger samples cost more; however the sampling error
decreases at a rate equal to the square root of the
relative increase in sample size.
Before trying to determine the size of the sample, the
confidence intervals need to be decided.
The financial and statistical
issues in the determination of
sample size.
Determining Sample Size
for Probability Samples
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Budget Available
Sample Size—a project is often determined by the
available budget
Alternative Data Collection Approaches—budget
constraints force the researcher to explore
and consider the value of information in
relation to its cost
The financial and statistical
issues in the determination of
sample size.
Methods for Determining
Sample Size
Rules of Thumb
- Desired sampling error - Similar Studies
- Past experience - A gut feeling
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Number of Subgroups To Be Analyzed
The sample should contain at least 100 respondents in
each major subgroup.
Traditional Statistical Methods
• An estimate of the population standard deviation.
• The acceptable level of sampling error.
• The desired level of confidence that the sample will fall
within a certain range of the true population values.
To discover the methods for
determining sample size.
Methods for Determining
Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
General Properties for the Normal Distribution
Crucial to Classical Statistical Inference
Reasons For Its Importance
• Many variables have probability distributions that are
close to the normal distribution
• Central Limit Theorem—distribution of a large number
of sample means or sample proportions will
approximate a normal distribution, regardless of the
distribution of the population from which they were
drawn
The Normal Distribution To gain an appreciation of a
normal distribution.
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Important Characteristics of the Normal Distribution
1. The normal distribution is bell-shaped and has only one mode.
2. Symmetrical about the mean
3. Uniquely defined by its mean and standard deviation.
4. The total area is equal to one.
5. The area between any two values of a variable equals the
probability of observing a value in that range when randomly
selecting an observation from the distribution.
6. The area between the mean and a given number of standard
deviations from the mean is the same for all normal
distributions
To gain an appreciation of
a normal distribution.
The Normal Distribution
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
The Standard Normal Distribution
• The same features as any normal distribution.
• The mean is equal to zero
• The standard deviation is equal to one.
To gain an appreciation of
a normal distribution.
The Normal Distribution
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Z=
value of the variable - mean of the variable
standard deviation of the variable
To gain an appreciation of
a normal distribution.
Z =
X - 

where
X = value of the variable
 = mean of the variable
 = standard deviation of the variable
The Normal Distribution
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Population Distribution
A frequency distribution of all the elements of a
population.
Sample Distribution
A frequency distribution of all the elements of an
individual sample.
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean
A frequency distribution of the means of many sample
means from a given population
To understand population, sample,
and sampling distributions.
Sampling Distributions
Of The Mean
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
If the samples are sufficiently large and random, the
resulting distribution of sample means will approximate a
normal distribution.
The distribution of the means of a large number of random
samples taken from virtually any population approaches a
normal distribution with a mean equal to  and a standard
deviation equal to:
To understand population, sample,
and sampling distributions.
s x =

n
√
Sampling Distributions
Of The Mean
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
The Standard Error of the Mean
Applies to the standard deviation of a distribution of
sample means.
To understand population, sample,
and sampling distribution.
 x =

n
√
Sampling Distributions
Of The Mean
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Basic Concepts
1. A normal distribution
2. Mean equal to the population mean.
3. Standard deviation
Making Inferences on the Basis of a Single Sample
A 68 percent probability that any one sample from a
population will produce an estimate of the population mean
that is within plus or minus one standard deviation of the
population mean.
Sampling Distribution of
the Mean
To understand population, sample,
and sampling distribution.
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Point Estimates
Inferences regarding the sampling error associated with a
particular estimate of the population value.
Interval Estimate
Inference regarding the likelihood that a population value
will fall within a certain range.
To distinguish between point and
interval estimates.
1 x
x <  < x + 1 x
Sampling Distribution of
the Mean
Sampling Distributions
Of The Mean
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
A relative frequency distribution of the sample proportions of
a large number of random samples of a given size drawn
from a particular population.
1. Approximates a normal distribution
2. The mean proportion is equal to the population
proportion.
3. Standard error computed as:
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Sampling Distribution of
the Proportion
P (1-P)
Sp =
n
√
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
where:
Sp = standard error of sampling distribution
proportion
P = estimate of population proportion
n = sample size
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Sampling Distribution of
the Proportion
P (1-P)
Sp =
n
√
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Problems Involving Means
The formula for calculating the required sample size for
problems that involve the estimation of a mean:
n =
Z2
2
E2
where:
Z = level of confidence expressed in
standard errors
 = population standard deviation
E = acceptable amount of sampling error
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Determining Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Problems Involving Proportions
n =
Z2
[P1-P)]
E2
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Determining Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Determining Sample Size for Stratified and Cluster
Sample
• Beyond the scope of this text.
Determining How Many Sample Units You Need
• Don’t want to pay for more numbers than needed
• Don’t want to run out of numbers.
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Determining Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Population Size and Sample Size
Make an adjustment in the sample size if the sample size is
more than 5 percent of the size of the total population.
Finite Population Correction (FPC)
An adjustment in cases where the sample is
expected to be equal to 5 percent or more of the total
population. (N-n) / (N-1)
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Determining Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Adjusting for a sample that is 5 percent or more of the
population and dropping the independence assumption:
 x =

n
√
N - n
√ N - 1
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Determining Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
Reducing the required sample size using the Finite
Population Correction
nN
N + n -1
n' =
where:
n' = revised sample size
n = original sample size
N = population size
To recognize problems involving
sampling means and proportions.
Determining Sample Size
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
• Determining Sample Size for Probability Samples
• Methods for Determining Sample Size
• The Normal Distribution
• Population, Sample, and Sampling Distributions
• Sampling Distribution of the Mean
• Sampling Distribution of the Proportion
• Sample Size Determination
• Statistical Power
SUMMARY
Learning Objectives
Learning Objectives
The End
Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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Marketing Research chapter11 Sample Size.ppt

  • 1. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Sample Size Determination CHAPTER Eleven
  • 2. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Learning Objectives 1. To learn the financial and statistical issues in the determination of sample size. 2. To discover the methods for determining sample size. 3. To gain an appreciation of a normal distribution. 4. To understand population, sample, and sampling distribution.
  • 3. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Learning Objectives 5. To distinguish between point and interval estimates. 6. To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions.
  • 4. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Financial, Statistical, and Managerial Issues As a general rule: The larger the sample, the smaller the sampling error. Larger samples cost more; however the sampling error decreases at a rate equal to the square root of the relative increase in sample size. Before trying to determine the size of the sample, the confidence intervals need to be decided. The financial and statistical issues in the determination of sample size. Determining Sample Size for Probability Samples
  • 5. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Budget Available Sample Size—a project is often determined by the available budget Alternative Data Collection Approaches—budget constraints force the researcher to explore and consider the value of information in relation to its cost The financial and statistical issues in the determination of sample size. Methods for Determining Sample Size Rules of Thumb - Desired sampling error - Similar Studies - Past experience - A gut feeling
  • 6. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Number of Subgroups To Be Analyzed The sample should contain at least 100 respondents in each major subgroup. Traditional Statistical Methods • An estimate of the population standard deviation. • The acceptable level of sampling error. • The desired level of confidence that the sample will fall within a certain range of the true population values. To discover the methods for determining sample size. Methods for Determining Sample Size
  • 7. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives General Properties for the Normal Distribution Crucial to Classical Statistical Inference Reasons For Its Importance • Many variables have probability distributions that are close to the normal distribution • Central Limit Theorem—distribution of a large number of sample means or sample proportions will approximate a normal distribution, regardless of the distribution of the population from which they were drawn The Normal Distribution To gain an appreciation of a normal distribution.
  • 8. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Important Characteristics of the Normal Distribution 1. The normal distribution is bell-shaped and has only one mode. 2. Symmetrical about the mean 3. Uniquely defined by its mean and standard deviation. 4. The total area is equal to one. 5. The area between any two values of a variable equals the probability of observing a value in that range when randomly selecting an observation from the distribution. 6. The area between the mean and a given number of standard deviations from the mean is the same for all normal distributions To gain an appreciation of a normal distribution. The Normal Distribution
  • 9. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives The Standard Normal Distribution • The same features as any normal distribution. • The mean is equal to zero • The standard deviation is equal to one. To gain an appreciation of a normal distribution. The Normal Distribution
  • 10. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Z= value of the variable - mean of the variable standard deviation of the variable To gain an appreciation of a normal distribution. Z = X -   where X = value of the variable  = mean of the variable  = standard deviation of the variable The Normal Distribution
  • 11. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Population Distribution A frequency distribution of all the elements of a population. Sample Distribution A frequency distribution of all the elements of an individual sample. Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean A frequency distribution of the means of many sample means from a given population To understand population, sample, and sampling distributions. Sampling Distributions Of The Mean
  • 12. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives If the samples are sufficiently large and random, the resulting distribution of sample means will approximate a normal distribution. The distribution of the means of a large number of random samples taken from virtually any population approaches a normal distribution with a mean equal to  and a standard deviation equal to: To understand population, sample, and sampling distributions. s x =  n √ Sampling Distributions Of The Mean
  • 13. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives The Standard Error of the Mean Applies to the standard deviation of a distribution of sample means. To understand population, sample, and sampling distribution.  x =  n √ Sampling Distributions Of The Mean
  • 14. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Basic Concepts 1. A normal distribution 2. Mean equal to the population mean. 3. Standard deviation Making Inferences on the Basis of a Single Sample A 68 percent probability that any one sample from a population will produce an estimate of the population mean that is within plus or minus one standard deviation of the population mean. Sampling Distribution of the Mean To understand population, sample, and sampling distribution.
  • 15. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Point Estimates Inferences regarding the sampling error associated with a particular estimate of the population value. Interval Estimate Inference regarding the likelihood that a population value will fall within a certain range. To distinguish between point and interval estimates. 1 x x <  < x + 1 x Sampling Distribution of the Mean Sampling Distributions Of The Mean
  • 16. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives A relative frequency distribution of the sample proportions of a large number of random samples of a given size drawn from a particular population. 1. Approximates a normal distribution 2. The mean proportion is equal to the population proportion. 3. Standard error computed as: To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Sampling Distribution of the Proportion P (1-P) Sp = n √
  • 17. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives where: Sp = standard error of sampling distribution proportion P = estimate of population proportion n = sample size To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Sampling Distribution of the Proportion P (1-P) Sp = n √
  • 18. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Problems Involving Means The formula for calculating the required sample size for problems that involve the estimation of a mean: n = Z2 2 E2 where: Z = level of confidence expressed in standard errors  = population standard deviation E = acceptable amount of sampling error To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Determining Sample Size
  • 19. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Problems Involving Proportions n = Z2 [P1-P)] E2 To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Determining Sample Size
  • 20. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Determining Sample Size for Stratified and Cluster Sample • Beyond the scope of this text. Determining How Many Sample Units You Need • Don’t want to pay for more numbers than needed • Don’t want to run out of numbers. To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Determining Sample Size
  • 21. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Population Size and Sample Size Make an adjustment in the sample size if the sample size is more than 5 percent of the size of the total population. Finite Population Correction (FPC) An adjustment in cases where the sample is expected to be equal to 5 percent or more of the total population. (N-n) / (N-1) To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Determining Sample Size
  • 22. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Adjusting for a sample that is 5 percent or more of the population and dropping the independence assumption:  x =  n √ N - n √ N - 1 To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Determining Sample Size
  • 23. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives Reducing the required sample size using the Finite Population Correction nN N + n -1 n' = where: n' = revised sample size n = original sample size N = population size To recognize problems involving sampling means and proportions. Determining Sample Size
  • 24. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives • Determining Sample Size for Probability Samples • Methods for Determining Sample Size • The Normal Distribution • Population, Sample, and Sampling Distributions • Sampling Distribution of the Mean • Sampling Distribution of the Proportion • Sample Size Determination • Statistical Power SUMMARY
  • 25. Learning Objectives Learning Objectives The End Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.