SHIFT HAPPENSFrom VALUE DESTRUCTION to VALUE CREATIONDr. Ken MorseCTO, Service Provider Technology GroupCisco
Traditional Video Competitive Landscape is in FluxNew Entrants, Everyday, in Online Video Online VideoVideoSatellite CompaniesMobile CompaniesCable CompaniesTelco Companies
Online Video – Shifting the Balance of PowerMoving in Favor of Consumers and M&E CompaniesPOWERM&ECompaniesCable CompaniesSatellite CompaniesTelco CompaniesMobile CompaniesM&ECompaniesConsumers
Online Video is part of a broader“Viewer-Controlled” Video TrendTotal hours of Media Viewing by US populationAnnual Share of Viewing(person hours, in billions)50148447460(13%)105(22%)162(32%)2-3%414(87%)379(78%)339(68%)LATENT DEMAND: Addressableby Online Video (e.g. catch-up TV)* Online Video=Video watched via the Internet typically within an internet browser (ex. YouTube, Hulu, Daily Motion, Omroep.nl, …)Source: BlackArrow estimates based on internal DVR/VOD deployment estimates and publicly reported data from Nielsen Media, Nielsen NetRatings, Comcast and comScore.
User Survey Highlights Key Demand Drivers for Internet Delivery of Video to TV“Which of the following might encourage you to start streaming or downloading   TV programmes/movies online or, if you already do this, to watch more online  TV programmes/movies than you currently do?” 44%24% 41%29%40%29%23%38%38%29%27%29%26%24%Source: Olswang Convergence Consumer Survey, November 2008
Online Video to the TV will be enabled by avariety of devices130M Capable Homes, 40M Active HomesIncumbentsCable / Satellite / TelcoCompetitorsTru2WaySTB/PVRHybrid STBTiVoMCEnDTVGame Console360M Capable Homes, 170M Active HomesiSTB (NeuLion)internetBlu-Ray PlayerPCSource: TDG
Fragmentation Takes HoldBusinessModelsConsumer ExperienceContent FragmentationBroadcast, Premium, UGCDevice & Screen FragmentationTV, PC, Mobile, Gaming, PDAInteractivity FragmentationLean back, Lean forward, SocialSubscription FragmentationBroadband, TV, Mobile, Movie rentals, OTTFree vs. PaidAd Dollars FragmentationTransition from linear TV to online
The Quest for Value Creation Propels a 3rd Wave: IP Video1st Wave2nd Wave3rd WaveIP VideoOn-net or Off-net
TV, PC, Mobile
Highest Service Velocity
Business Model: B2B2CIPTVOn-net only
TV
Higher Service Velocity
Business Model: B2CTraditional CableOn-net only
TV
Limited Service Velocity
Business Model:  B2CMore Open, More Flexible, More Monetization Opportunities

OTTCon 2010: ShiFt Happens Part 2

  • 1.
    SHIFT HAPPENSFrom VALUEDESTRUCTION to VALUE CREATIONDr. Ken MorseCTO, Service Provider Technology GroupCisco
  • 2.
    Traditional Video CompetitiveLandscape is in FluxNew Entrants, Everyday, in Online Video Online VideoVideoSatellite CompaniesMobile CompaniesCable CompaniesTelco Companies
  • 3.
    Online Video –Shifting the Balance of PowerMoving in Favor of Consumers and M&E CompaniesPOWERM&ECompaniesCable CompaniesSatellite CompaniesTelco CompaniesMobile CompaniesM&ECompaniesConsumers
  • 4.
    Online Video ispart of a broader“Viewer-Controlled” Video TrendTotal hours of Media Viewing by US populationAnnual Share of Viewing(person hours, in billions)50148447460(13%)105(22%)162(32%)2-3%414(87%)379(78%)339(68%)LATENT DEMAND: Addressableby Online Video (e.g. catch-up TV)* Online Video=Video watched via the Internet typically within an internet browser (ex. YouTube, Hulu, Daily Motion, Omroep.nl, …)Source: BlackArrow estimates based on internal DVR/VOD deployment estimates and publicly reported data from Nielsen Media, Nielsen NetRatings, Comcast and comScore.
  • 5.
    User Survey HighlightsKey Demand Drivers for Internet Delivery of Video to TV“Which of the following might encourage you to start streaming or downloading TV programmes/movies online or, if you already do this, to watch more online TV programmes/movies than you currently do?” 44%24% 41%29%40%29%23%38%38%29%27%29%26%24%Source: Olswang Convergence Consumer Survey, November 2008
  • 6.
    Online Video tothe TV will be enabled by avariety of devices130M Capable Homes, 40M Active HomesIncumbentsCable / Satellite / TelcoCompetitorsTru2WaySTB/PVRHybrid STBTiVoMCEnDTVGame Console360M Capable Homes, 170M Active HomesiSTB (NeuLion)internetBlu-Ray PlayerPCSource: TDG
  • 7.
    Fragmentation Takes HoldBusinessModelsConsumerExperienceContent FragmentationBroadcast, Premium, UGCDevice & Screen FragmentationTV, PC, Mobile, Gaming, PDAInteractivity FragmentationLean back, Lean forward, SocialSubscription FragmentationBroadband, TV, Mobile, Movie rentals, OTTFree vs. PaidAd Dollars FragmentationTransition from linear TV to online
  • 8.
    The Quest forValue Creation Propels a 3rd Wave: IP Video1st Wave2nd Wave3rd WaveIP VideoOn-net or Off-net
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
    Business Model: B2CMore Open, More Flexible, More Monetization Opportunities
  • 18.
    How do weget there?Key Architectural Tenets for IP VideoNext Generation PlatformNext Generation Platform Built on Web Services ProtocolsAccelerates universal reach and 3rd party innovationLarge-scale UnicastVideo Intelligence Common Client ArchitectureManaged / Unmanaged
  • 19.
    How do weget there?Key Architectural Tenets for IP VideoNext Generation PlatformContent networks scale exponentially for large-scale unicast servicesLeveraging multicast technologies for efficient distributionLarge-scale UnicastVideo Intelligence Common Client ArchitectureManaged / Unmanaged
  • 20.
    How do weget there?Key Architectural Tenets for IP VideoNext Generation PlatformVideo intelligence propagates deep into the network edge Providing media, device, and network awarenessLarge-scale UnicastVideo Intelligence Common Client ArchitectureManaged / Unmanaged
  • 21.
    How do weget there?Key Architectural Tenets for IP VideoNext Generation PlatformCommon Client ArchitectureMulti-device support – for PCs, set-tops, gaming consoles, mobile devices, etc. Large-scale UnicastVideo Intelligence Common Client ArchitectureManaged / Unmanaged
  • 22.
    How do weget there?Key Architectural Tenets for IP VideoNext Generation PlatformServices Across Managed and Unmanaged NetworksCommon experience no matter where the user connectsLarge-scale UnicastVideo Intelligence Common Client ArchitectureManaged / Unmanaged
  • 23.
    IP Video reshapesvideo distribution architecturesIP CoreEdgeAggregationVoDVoDVoDSP Services/ContentThird-Party Services/ ContentMediaData CenterMediaData CenterRegionalMedia Data Center / VHORegionalMedia Data CenterConnected HomeBusiness
  • 24.
    MedianetThe Architectural Blueprintfor Delivering Next Gen IP Video Services ConsumptionContributionProductionDistributionPost ProductionSecondaryPrimaryDirect To HomeHeadendNews GatheringTelcoConsumersHeadendCableStudio to StudioIngestHeadendMobileSport EventsMedia Data CenterIPIPIPIPCore IPNetworkContent ProvidersService ProvidersTighter Linkages Between Core, Data Center and Edge
  • 25.
    Core + E-MSECore+ E-MSEMedianetThe Architectural Blueprint for Delivering Next Gen IP Video Services ConsumptionContributionProductionDistributionPost ProductionSecondaryPrimaryDirect To HomeProximity RoutingHeadendMedia Data CenterNews GatheringTelcoAggregation RouterConsumersHeadendCableStudio to StudioIngestReal-timeTranscodingData CenterSwitchDistributionRouterAggregation RouterHeadendMobileSport EventsAggregation RouterDistribution RouterMedia Data CenterIPIPIPIPCore IPNetworkAggregation RouterContent ProvidersService ProvidersStorageStorageTighter Linkages Between Core, Data Center and EdgeVideo ProcessingConsumer AppsNRT TranscodeSvc. DeliveryBillingDevice MgmtEncryptionUCSStorageStorageStorage
  • 26.
    Shift Happens: WillSPs Lead an Eco-system Searching for Value Creation

Editor's Notes

  • #9 Revise second bullet sub heading: less about Cisco, more about the marketThird
  • #10 Revise second bullet sub heading: less about Cisco, more about the marketThird
  • #11 Revise second bullet sub heading: less about Cisco, more about the marketThird
  • #12 Revise second bullet sub heading: less about Cisco, more about the marketThird
  • #13 Revise second bullet sub heading: less about Cisco, more about the marketThird