Resilient seed systems and Adaptation to climate change: Some
Results from Participatory Climate & Crops Suitability modeling in 8
African Countries
Otieno Gloria
Date: 16-20th November 2015, Addis Ababa
1. Analysis of
farmers’ needs
and community
dynamics
2. Selection of
tools and
software, and
data
preparation
germplasm
identification
4. Germplasm
acquisition
5. Field testing
of germplasm
3. Climate
change analysis
and
6. Selection/
enhancement of
climate smart
varieties
8. Germplasm
conservation
(in-situ/ex-situ)
7.
Multiplication/
distribution of
climate smart
seeds
Resilient Seed Systems
and Adaptation to
Climate Change
Research Process
Methodology 1: Climate change
Analysis
Past to present:
 Meteorological data and
Focus group discussions with
farmers ( local indigenous
knowledge)
Future climate change: predictions
from World Clim
(www.worldclim.org )
Methodology 2: Identifying suitably
adapted germplasm
• GIS + Climate modeling: matching Accessions with climates
• Identifying specific climate challenges
(present and future)
• Identifying Accessions through GIS and crop suitability
modeling
• National gene bank accessions
• International gene bank accessions (www.genesys-pgr.org
• Locally adapted germplasm ( Local indigenous knowledge)
The countries
Zambia Results: Chikankata
Located in SW part of Zambia
Rainfall amounts - 600-
1000mm
Average temperature -13-
27ºC
Mixed cropping systems –
livestock, maize (staple),
sorghum, bambara nut,
beans, pumpkins, yams….
Climate challenges: Shorter
rainy season, Erratic rainfall
and prolonged dry spells
Present & future climate challenges
Present Temperature &
Precipitation
Temperature & Precipitation for
2050’s
• Climate change perception
• shortening of the growing seasons (less number of rainy days
• Erratic Rainfall
• Prolonged dry season
• Loss of diversity (due to climate change)
• Preference for earlier maturing varieties
• 3 out of 14 local maize varieties identified for climate change
Participatoryexercises with farmers
Potentially adapted material from national gene bank
(present) (34 out of 98 Accessions)
Potentially adaptable material from national gene bank
(2050’s) (11 Accessions)
Geographic origin of 22,000 accessions of maize in
collections around the World
Potentially adaptable material for present climate
conditions (280)
Potentially adapted material for future climate conditions
for Chikankata, Zambia (109)
Results Zimbabwe: Tsholotsho
Located in SW part of
Zimbabwe
Rainfall amounts - 400-
600mm
Average temperature -
13.5-28ºC
Mixed cropping systems –
livestock, sorghum, millets,
maize
Climate challenges: Erratic
rainfall and prolonged dry
spells
P0tentially adaptable sorghum materials from national gene bank (34
out 0f 98)
Potentially adaptable material from national gene bank
(2050’s) (11 Accessions)
Geographic origin of 22,000 accessions of Sorghum
in collections around the World
Potentially adapted material for Present climate conditions for Tsholotsho,
Zimbabwe(1593 Accessions)
Potentially adapted material for future climate conditions for Tsholotsho,
Zimbabwe (1232 Accessions)
Implications for ABS• What does this imply for future climate change and
adaptation? (countries may need materials from
elsewhere, and countries may be asked to provide)
• ACCESS
• MLS material – (CIMMYT and ICRISAT) accessible through
the SMTA (ITPGRFA)
• Non –MLS material (NAGOYA PROTOCOL)
• For example held by USDA (national law – not
ITPGRFA or CBD or NP members)
• Materials in Farmers Hands (national implementing
the NP if they are NP member state)
Benefit sharing
• Access to adaptable germplsam
• Partnerships
• Tech transfer
• Capacity building
• Benefit sharing fund
• Monetary if NP
Thank you
www.bioversityinternational.org/subscribe
@BioversityInt
Gloria Otieno
g.otieno@cgiar.org
Carlo Fadda
c.fadda@cgiar.org

Resilient seed systems and Adaptation to climate change

  • 1.
    Resilient seed systemsand Adaptation to climate change: Some Results from Participatory Climate & Crops Suitability modeling in 8 African Countries Otieno Gloria Date: 16-20th November 2015, Addis Ababa
  • 2.
    1. Analysis of farmers’needs and community dynamics 2. Selection of tools and software, and data preparation germplasm identification 4. Germplasm acquisition 5. Field testing of germplasm 3. Climate change analysis and 6. Selection/ enhancement of climate smart varieties 8. Germplasm conservation (in-situ/ex-situ) 7. Multiplication/ distribution of climate smart seeds Resilient Seed Systems and Adaptation to Climate Change Research Process
  • 3.
    Methodology 1: Climatechange Analysis Past to present:  Meteorological data and Focus group discussions with farmers ( local indigenous knowledge) Future climate change: predictions from World Clim (www.worldclim.org )
  • 4.
    Methodology 2: Identifyingsuitably adapted germplasm • GIS + Climate modeling: matching Accessions with climates • Identifying specific climate challenges (present and future) • Identifying Accessions through GIS and crop suitability modeling • National gene bank accessions • International gene bank accessions (www.genesys-pgr.org • Locally adapted germplasm ( Local indigenous knowledge)
  • 5.
  • 6.
    Zambia Results: Chikankata Locatedin SW part of Zambia Rainfall amounts - 600- 1000mm Average temperature -13- 27ºC Mixed cropping systems – livestock, maize (staple), sorghum, bambara nut, beans, pumpkins, yams…. Climate challenges: Shorter rainy season, Erratic rainfall and prolonged dry spells
  • 8.
    Present & futureclimate challenges Present Temperature & Precipitation Temperature & Precipitation for 2050’s
  • 9.
    • Climate changeperception • shortening of the growing seasons (less number of rainy days • Erratic Rainfall • Prolonged dry season • Loss of diversity (due to climate change) • Preference for earlier maturing varieties • 3 out of 14 local maize varieties identified for climate change Participatoryexercises with farmers
  • 10.
    Potentially adapted materialfrom national gene bank (present) (34 out of 98 Accessions)
  • 11.
    Potentially adaptable materialfrom national gene bank (2050’s) (11 Accessions)
  • 12.
    Geographic origin of22,000 accessions of maize in collections around the World
  • 13.
    Potentially adaptable materialfor present climate conditions (280)
  • 14.
    Potentially adapted materialfor future climate conditions for Chikankata, Zambia (109)
  • 15.
    Results Zimbabwe: Tsholotsho Locatedin SW part of Zimbabwe Rainfall amounts - 400- 600mm Average temperature - 13.5-28ºC Mixed cropping systems – livestock, sorghum, millets, maize Climate challenges: Erratic rainfall and prolonged dry spells
  • 16.
    P0tentially adaptable sorghummaterials from national gene bank (34 out 0f 98)
  • 17.
    Potentially adaptable materialfrom national gene bank (2050’s) (11 Accessions)
  • 18.
    Geographic origin of22,000 accessions of Sorghum in collections around the World
  • 19.
    Potentially adapted materialfor Present climate conditions for Tsholotsho, Zimbabwe(1593 Accessions)
  • 20.
    Potentially adapted materialfor future climate conditions for Tsholotsho, Zimbabwe (1232 Accessions)
  • 21.
    Implications for ABS•What does this imply for future climate change and adaptation? (countries may need materials from elsewhere, and countries may be asked to provide) • ACCESS • MLS material – (CIMMYT and ICRISAT) accessible through the SMTA (ITPGRFA) • Non –MLS material (NAGOYA PROTOCOL) • For example held by USDA (national law – not ITPGRFA or CBD or NP members) • Materials in Farmers Hands (national implementing the NP if they are NP member state)
  • 22.
    Benefit sharing • Accessto adaptable germplsam • Partnerships • Tech transfer • Capacity building • Benefit sharing fund • Monetary if NP
  • 23.