Robbins9 ppt09

ninth edition

STEPHEN P. ROBBINS

Chapter

9

© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc.
All rights reserved.

MARY COULTER

Planning Tools
and Techniques

PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook
The University of West Alabama

LEARNING OUTLINE
Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter.

Techniques for Assessing the Environment
• List the different approaches to assess the environment.
• Explain what competitor intelligence is and ways that
managers can do it legally and ethically.
• Describe how managers can improve the effectiveness of
forecasting.
• List the steps in the benchmarking process.

Techniques for Allocating Resources
• List the four techniques for allocating resources.
• Describe the different types of budgets.
• Explain what a Gantt chart and a load chart do.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights
reserved.

9–2

L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d)
Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter.

Techniques for Allocating Resources (cont’d)
• Describe how PERT network analysis works.
• Understand how to compute a breakeven point.
• Describe how managers can use linear programming.

Contemporary Planning Techniques
• Explain why flexibility is so important to today’s planning
techniques.
• Describe project management.
• List the steps in the project planning process.
• Discuss why scenario planning is an important planning
tool.
reserved.

9–3

Assessing the Environment
• Environmental Scanning
 The screening of large amounts of information to
anticipate and interpret change in the environment.
 Competitor Intelligence


The process of gathering information about competitors —
who they are; what they are doing
– Is not spying but rather careful attention to readily
accessible information from employees, customers,
suppliers, the Internet, and competitors themselves.



May involve reverse engineering of competing products to
discover technical innovations.

reserved.

9–4

Assessing the Environment (cont’d)
• Environmental Scanning (cont’d)
 Global Scanning


Screening a broad scope of information on global forces that
might affect the organization.



Has value to firms with significant global interests.



Draws information from sources that provide global
perspectives on world-wide issues and opportunities.

reserved.

9–5

• Forecasting
 The part of organizational planning that involves
creating predictions of outcomes based on
information gathered by environmental scanning.


Facilitates managerial
decision making.



Is most accurate in
stable environments.

reserved.

9–6

• Forecasting Techniques
 Quantitative forecasting


Applying a set of mathematical rules to a series of hard data
to predict outcomes (e.g., units to be produced).

 Qualitative forecasting


Using expert judgments and opinions to predict less than
precise outcomes (e.g., direction of the economy).

• Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and
Replenishment (CPFR) Software
 A standardized way for organizations
to use the Internet to exchange data.
reserved.

9–7

Exhibit 9–1 Forecasting Techniques

• Quantitative
• Time series analysis
• Regression models
• Econometric models
• Economic indicators
• Substitution effect
• Qualitative
• Jury of opinion
• Sales force composition
• Customer evaluation
reserved.

9–8

Making Forecasting More Effective
1. Use simple forecasting methods.
2. Compare each forecast with its corresponding
“no change” forecast.
3. Don’t rely on a single forecasting method.
4. Don’t assume that the turning points in a trend
can be accurately identified.
5. Shorten the time period covered by a forecast.
6. Remember that forecasting is a developed
managerial skill that supports decision making.
reserved.

9–9

Benchmarking
• The search for the best practices among
competitors and noncompetitors that lead to
their superior performance.
• By analyzing and copying these practices, firms
can improve their performance.

reserved.

9–10

Exhibit 9–2 Steps in Benchmarking

reserved.

Source: Based on Y.K. Shetty, “Aiming High: Competitive Benchmarking
for Superior Performance,” Long Range Planning. February 1993, p. 42.

9–11

Allocating Resources
• Types of Resources
 The assets of the organization


Financial: debt, equity, and retained earnings



Physical: buildings, equipment, and raw materials



Human: experiences, skills, knowledge, and competencies



Intangible: brand names, patents, reputation, trademarks,
copyrights, and databases

reserved.

9–12

Allocating Resources: Budgeting
• Budgets
 Are numerical plans for allocating resources (e.g.,
revenues, expenses, and capital expenditures).
 Are used to improve time, space, and use of material
resources.
 Are the most commonly used
and most widely applicable
planning technique for
organizations.

reserved.

9–13

Exhibit 9–3 Types of Budgets

Source: Based on R.S. Russell and B.W. Taylor III. Production and Operations
© 2007(Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall,All rights
Prentice Hall, Inc. 1995), p. 287.
Management
reserved.

9–14

Exhibit 9–4 Suggestions for Improving Budgeting

• Collaborate and communicate.
• Be flexible.
• Goals should drive budgets—budgets should not
determine goals.
• Coordinate budgeting throughout the organization.
• Use budgeting/planning software when
appropriate.
• Remember that budgets are tools.
• Remember that profits result from smart
management, not because you budgeted for them.

reserved.

9–15

Allocating Resources: Scheduling
• Schedules
 Plans that allocate resources by detailing what
activities have to be done, the order in which they are
to be completed, who is to do each, and when they
are to be completed.
 Represent the coordination of various activities.

reserved.

9–16

Allocating Resources: Charting
• Gantt Chart
 A bar graph with time on the horizontal axis and
activities to be accomplished on the vertical axis.
 Shows the expected and actual progress of various
tasks.

• Load Chart
 A modified Gantt chart that lists entire departments or
specific resources on the vertical axis.
 Allows managers to plan and control capacity
utilization.
reserved.

9–17

Exhibit 9–5 A Gantt Chart

reserved.

9–18

Exhibit 9–6 A Load Chart

reserved.

9–19

Allocating Resources: Analysis
• Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
 A flow chart diagram that depicts the sequence of activities
needed to complete a project and the time or costs
associated with each activity.


Events: endpoints for completion.



Activities: time required for each activity.



Slack time: the time that a completed activity waits for another
activity to finish so that the next activity, which depends on the
completion of both activities, can start.



Critical path: the path (ordering) of activities that allows all
tasks to be completed with the least slack time.

reserved.

9–20

Exhibit 9–7 Steps in Developing a PERT Network

1. Identify every significant activity that must be achieved for
a project to be completed.
2. Determine the order in which these events must be
completed.
3. Diagram the flow of activities from start to finish,
identifying each activity and its relationship to all other
activities.
4. Compute a time estimate for completing each activity.
5. Using the network diagram that contains time estimates for
each activity, determine a schedule for the start and finish
dates of each activity and for the entire project.

reserved.

9–21

Exhibit 9–8 Events and Activities in Constructing an Office Building

reserved.

9–22

Exhibit 9–9 A Visual PERT Network for Constructing an Office Building

Critical Path: A - B - C - D - G - H - J - K

reserved.

9–23

Allocating Resources: Analysis (cont’d)
• Breakeven Analysis
 Is used to determine the point at which all fixed costs
have been recovered and profitability begins.


Fixed cost (FC)



Variable costs (VC)



Total Fixed Costs (TFC)



Price (P)

• The Break-even Formula:

Total Fixed Costs
Breakeven :
Unit Price - Unit Variable Costs
reserved.

9–24

Exhibit 9–10 Breakeven Analysis

reserved.

9–25

Allocating Resources: Analysis (cont’d)
• Linear Programming
 A technique that seeks to solve resource allocation
problems using the proportional relationships
between two variables.

reserved.

9–26

Exhibit 9–11 Production Data for Cinnamon-Scented Products

reserved.

9–27

Exhibit 9–12 Graphical Solution to Linear Programming Problem

Max. Assembly
Max. Manufacturing

Max. Profits

Max. Assembly

Max. Manufacturing

reserved.

9–28

• Project
 A one-time-only set of activities that has a definite
beginning and ending point time.

• Project Management
 The task of getting a project’s activities done on time,
within budget, and according to specifications.


Define project goals



Identify all required activities, materials, and labor



Determine the sequence of completion

reserved.

9–29

Exhibit 9–13 Project Planning Process

reserved.

Source: Based on R.S. Russell and B.W. Taylor III, Production and Operations
Management (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1995), p. 287.

9–30

(cont’d)
• Scenario
 A consistent view of what the future is likely to be.

• Scenario Planning
 An attempt not try to predict the future but to reduce
uncertainty by playing out potential situations under
different specified conditions.

• Contingency Planning
 Developing scenarios that allow managers determine
in advance what their actions should be should a
considered event actually occur.
reserved.

9–31

Exhibit 9–14 Preparing for Unexpected Events

• Identify potential unexpected events.
• Determine if any of these events would have
early indicators.
• Set up an information gathering system to
identify early indicators.
• Have appropriate responses (plans) in place if
these unexpected events occur.

reserved.

Source: S. Caudron, “Frontview Mirror,” Business Finance, December 1999, pp. 24–30.

9–32

Terms to Know
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

environmental scanning
competitor intelligence
forecasts
quantitative forecasting
qualitative forecasting
benchmarking
resources
budget
scheduling
Gantt chart
load chart

reserved.

•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

PERT network
events
activities
slack time
critical path
breakeven analysis
linear programming
project
project management
scenario

9–33

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