Know First • Be First • Profit First



         Craig Rispin
Business Futurist & Innovation Expert


       www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
       craig@futuretrendsgroup.com

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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com




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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Discuss with a Partner:

What Did You Find Most
Surprising in the Video
  “Did You Know”?

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Cloud Computing
  a Passing Fad?

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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Discuss with Partner:
What is Cloud Computing?


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“Cloud
 Computing isn’t
   really about
 technology - it’s
   really about
thinking of IT in a
 whole new way.”


                      Up
You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud




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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud




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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud




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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud




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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Cisco: 50% of all Computing in Cloud by 2014




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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology;
adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years

          What is Your Organization’s Level of                                                 The Global Cloud Computing Market is
                   Cloud Adoption?                                                           Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020
                              % of Respondents
                                                        91%                                   $250B                                                                       $241B

                                                                      Piloting
                                                        21%
                    72%                                                                       $200B

                                                                                                                                    $150B
                                                                      Adopting               $150B
                   38%                                  28%


                                    +33%                                                      $100B

                                                                      Substantially
                   21%                                                Implemented              $50B
                                                        41%
                                     +215%                                                          $41B
                   13%
                                                                                                 $0B
                  Today                                 3 yrs                                        2011                            2015                                  2020
                                                                                                     Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011
                                                           Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over
                                                           traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments
Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of
cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years?
Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First
17                                                                                                                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology;
adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years

          What is Your Organization’s Level of                                                 The Global Cloud Computing Market is
                   Cloud Adoption?                                                           Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020
                              % of Respondents
                                                        91%                                   $250B                                                                       $241B

                                                                      Piloting
                                                        21%
                    72%                                                                       $200B

                                                                                                                                    $150B
                                                                      Adopting               $150B
                   38%                                  28%


                                    +33%                                                      $100B

                                                                      Substantially
                   21%                                                Implemented              $50B
                                                        41%
                                     +215%                                                          $41B
                   13%
                                                                                                 $0B
                  Today                                 3 yrs                                        2011                            2015                                  2020
                                                                                                     Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011
                                                           Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over
                                                           traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments
Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of
cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years?
Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First
17                                                                                                                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
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 in Cloud Computing?



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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
What is the biggest driver
of innovation and change
in education worldwide?


                             Up
You!
   Up
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Who are the thought
leaders in education
 driving change and
     innovation?


                       Up
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Beautiful, Elegant and
 Simple Technology

That Helps You Keep Up

                         Up
iPad




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Twitter Lists




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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Flipboard.com




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Flipboard.com




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Evernote




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Use Any Device




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David Allen’s Getting Things Done




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HD Webcam




            Up
Online Mastermind Group




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Google+ Hangouts




                   Up
Download Craig’s eBook:




 QR Scan or ! is.gd/think
                            Up
People

     W
      or
      Sh k/L                                 s
        ift ife                       ife ce
                                     L n
                                        e
                                 S   ci


                  Acceleration
Business           Globalised    Technology




                                                 Up
Education
                              Re-Engineering

                   Global                                        Free
                   Mobility                                     Agency

                Age Gap          People                             End of
                                                                  Retirement

   Un-Bell Curve          W                                            Speed & Size
                           or
                           Sh k/L                                  s
                             ift ife                        ife ce
                                                           L n
                                                              e
Marketing                                              S   ci               Unbreakable
Megatrend                                                                      Tech
                                       Acceleration
               Business                 Globalised    Technology                   Cloud
Outrageous
Outsourcing                                                                      Computing

 Coworking                                                                       CoIT
               Virtual    Innovation                  Robots            Mobile
              Business    Imperative                   Rise            Madness

                                                                                             Up
Education
                              Re-Engineering

                   Global                                        Free
                   Mobility                                     Agency

                Age Gap          People                             End of
                                                                  Retirement

   Un-Bell Curve          W                                            Speed & Size
                           or
                           Sh k/L                                  s
                             ift ife                        ife ce
                                                           L n
                                                              e
Marketing                                              S   ci               Unbreakable
Megatrend                                                                      Tech
                                       Acceleration
               Business                 Globalised    Technology                   Cloud
Outrageous
Outsourcing                                                                      Computing

 Coworking                                                                       CoIT
               Virtual    Innovation                  Robots            Mobile
              Business    Imperative                   Rise            Madness

                                                                                             Up
Your mobile phone has
more computing power than
        all of NASA in 1969.




          http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732
How Big is Mobile Today?




                           Up
How Big is Mobile Today?

7B People in the World




                           Up
How Big is Mobile Today?

7B People in the World

6B Mobile Subscribers


                           Up
How Big is Mobile Today?

7B People in the World

6B Mobile Subscribers

1B 3G/LTE Subscribers
                           Up
Despite Tremendous Ramp So Far,
Smartphone User Adoption Has Huge Upside
                                         Global Smartphone vs. Mobile Phone Subscriptions, Q4:11
                              7,000                                                                                     6.1B Mobile Phone
                                                                                                                              Subscriptions
                              6,000


                              5,000
  Global Subscriptions (MM)




                              4,000


                              3,000


                              2,000
                                                 953MM
                                             Smartphone
                                            Subscriptions
                              1,000


                                 0
                                                Smartphone                                                                      Mobile Phone

                                      Source: Mobile phone subscriptions per Informa (as of Q4:11), Smartphone subscriptions estimate based on Morgan Stanley Research’s
                                                                                              estimated smartphone user as % of total mobile user at the end of 2011 (16%).
                                      Note: While there are 1B global 3G subscribers as of Q4:11, not all of them were smartphone users. One user may have multiple mobile      11
                                                                                                     subscriptions, therefore actual user #s may be lower than subscriber #s.



                                                                                                                                                                                     Up
Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp –
                              The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
                              iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
                                                First 20 Quarters Since Launch
                   120
                                                                                                ~120MM+
                                               Mobile Internet
                   100                    iPhone + iTouch + iPad
                                                Launched 6/07
                                                                                                                            Desktop Internet
                   80
Subscribers (MM)




                                                                                                                                Netscape*
                                                                                                                            Launched 12/94
                   60
                                                                                                                                               Mobile Internet
                                                                                         ~32MM                                             NTT docomo i-mode
                   40                                                                                                                           Launched 6/99

                                                                                                                                             Desktop Internet
                   20                                                                    ~27MM
                                                                                                                                                    AOL*
                                                                                                                                          v 2.0 Launched 9/94
                                                                                          ~9MM

                         Q1    Q3        Q5          Q7           Q9          Q11          Q13          Q15          Q17          Q19
                                                            Quarters Since Launch
                              iPhone + iTouch                NTT docomo i-mode                         AOL             Netscape
                                    Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
                                     ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.     8
                                                                                                                                               Data as of CQ3:10.
380M




Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
                  Apple Leading Charge
                              iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
                                                First 20 Quarters Since Launch
                   100

                                                                            ~85MM
                                       Mobile Internet                                                          Desktop Internet
                   80
                                       iPhone + iTouch                                                               Netscape*
                                        Launched 6/07                                                            Launched 12/94
Subscribers (MM)




                   60
                                                                                                                                               Mobile Internet
                                                                            ~31MM                                                          NTT docomo i-mode
                   40
                                                                                                                                                Launched 6/99


                                                                             ~18MM                                                           Desktop Internet
                   20
                                                                                                                                                    AOL*
                                                                                                                                          v 2.0 Launched 9/94
                                                                             ~8MM

                         Q1    Q3        Q5           Q7          Q9          Q11          Q13          Q15          Q17          Q19
                                                             Quarters Since Launch
                              iPhone + iTouch                 NTT docomo i-mode                        AOL              Netscape
                                    Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
                                      ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.     7

                                                                                                                                                                        Up
468M




Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
                  Apple Leading Charge
                              iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
                                                First 20 Quarters Since Launch
                   100

                                                                            ~85MM
                                       Mobile Internet                                                          Desktop Internet
                   80
                                       iPhone + iTouch                                                               Netscape*
                                        Launched 6/07                                                            Launched 12/94
Subscribers (MM)




                   60
                                                                                                                                               Mobile Internet
                                                                            ~31MM                                                          NTT docomo i-mode
                   40
                                                                                                                                                Launched 6/99


                                                                             ~18MM                                                           Desktop Internet
                   20
                                                                                                                                                    AOL*
                                                                                                                                          v 2.0 Launched 9/94
                                                                             ~8MM

                         Q1    Q3        Q5           Q7          Q9          Q11          Q13          Q15          Q17          Q19
                                                             Quarters Since Launch
                              iPhone + iTouch                 NTT docomo i-mode                        AOL              Netscape
                                    Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates



                                                                                                                                                                        Up
                                      ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.     7
iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped Even
Faster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust
                                        First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad

                                1,400
                                70,000
                                                          iPad
                                                           iPad
                                                            iPad        iPhone
                                                                         iPhone
                                                                          iPhone           iPod
                                                                                            iPod
                                                                                             iPod
                          20,000
                            1,200
                            60,000
  Global Unit Shipments (000)
  Global Unit Shipments (000)




                            1,000
                            50,000
                          15,000

                                  800
                                40,000

                          10,000
                              600
                            30,000


                                  400
                                20,000
                                5,000

                                  200
                                10,000


                                   000
                                     000         1
                                                 11       2
                                                          22        3
                                                                   33           4
                                                                               44           5
                                                                                           55               6
                                                                                                            6                7
                                                                                                                             7               8
                                                                                                                                             8
                                                                     Quarters After Launch
                                                                      Quarters After Launch
                                                                    Quarters After Launch

                                                                                      Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch).    9
                                                                                                                                                   Up
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
Security             Metering




                                                  Access




Control




                                          Money
   Body
                     Engines
Education
                              Re-Engineering

                   Global                                        Free
                   Mobility                                     Agency

                Age Gap          People                             End of
                                                                  Retirement

   Un-Bell Curve          W                                            Speed & Size
                           or
                           Sh k/L                                  s
                             ift ife                        ife ce
                                                           L n
                                                              e
Marketing                                              S   ci               Unbreakable
Megatrend                                                                      Tech
                                       Acceleration
               Business                 Globalised    Technology                   Cloud
Outrageous
Outsourcing                                                                      Computing

 Coworking                                                                       CoIT
               Virtual    Innovation                  Robots            Mobile
              Business    Imperative                   Rise            Madness

                                                                                             Up
South Korean Kids Get Robot Teachers




                                       Up
Google robot car does 225,000km by itself
By Brett Davis | October 11th, 2010                               20        Like          18 Comments


Mulit-billion-dollar international technology company, Google, has been secretly working away on
developing robotic cars capable of driving themselves.




Up until now it’s all been a bit of a secret, but Google has begun releasing information to the public
about what the company has been up to in the last year or so and where it’s currently at.
                                                                                                         Up
Healthcare Robots




                    Up
Robotic Surgery Has Doubled in 5 Yrs




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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud
5 Drivers of Change:
1. Social Networks

2. Home/Work Blur

3. Mobile Device Boom

4. Tech Savvy Employees

5. C-Suite & Employee’s Expectations of IT
                                     Source: Paul D'Arcy
                                     1 March 2011 CIO.com



                                                            Up
People

     W
      or
      Sh k/L                                 s
        ift ife                       ife ce
                                     L n
                                        e
                                 S   ci


                  Acceleration
Business           Globalised    Technology




                                                 Up
Education
                              Re-Engineering

                   Global                                        Free
                   Mobility                                     Agency

                Age Gap          People                             End of
                                                                  Retirement

   Un-Bell Curve          W                                            Speed & Size
                           or
                           Sh k/L                                  s
                             ift ife                        ife ce
                                                           L n
                                                              e
Marketing                                              S   ci               Unbreakable
Megatrend                                                                      Tech
                                       Acceleration
               Business                 Globalised    Technology                   Cloud
Outrageous
Outsourcing                                                                      Computing

 Coworking                                                                       CoIT
               Virtual    Innovation                  Robots            Mobile
              Business    Imperative                   Rise            Madness

                                                                                             Up
Juan Enriquez




                Up
Juan Enriquez




                Up
Up
Up
Up
3D Printed Organs




                    Up
The Case for Foresight:
  things might be moving faster
         than you think...



                                  Up
Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again




                                          Up
Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again




                                          Up
Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria?
                    Chinese researchers
                    have developed a
                    way to use E.coli to
                    store data

                    One gram of the
                    bacteria could store
                    90 Gigabytes of Data



                                           Up
THE FUTURE OF PEOPLE
                           Ultimate Upgrades




     24                Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now.

                                                                                                                                               Up
Up
Know First • Be First • Profit First



         Craig Rispin
Business Futurist & Innovation Expert


       www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
       craig@futuretrendsgroup.com

                                        Up

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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud

  • 1. Know First • Be First • Profit First Craig Rispin Business Futurist & Innovation Expert www.FutureTrendsGroup.com [email protected] Up
  • 3. Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com Up
  • 5. Discuss with a Partner: What Did You Find Most Surprising in the Video “Did You Know”? Up
  • 6. Cloud Computing a Passing Fad? Up
  • 9. Discuss with Partner: What is Cloud Computing? Up
  • 10. Up
  • 11. “Cloud Computing isn’t really about technology - it’s really about thinking of IT in a whole new way.” Up
  • 12. You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud Up
  • 13. You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud Up
  • 14. You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud Up
  • 15. You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud Up
  • 17. Cisco: 50% of all Computing in Cloud by 2014 Up
  • 19. Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology; adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years What is Your Organization’s Level of The Global Cloud Computing Market is Cloud Adoption? Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020 % of Respondents 91% $250B $241B Piloting 21% 72% $200B $150B Adopting $150B 38% 28% +33% $100B Substantially 21% Implemented $50B 41% +215% $41B 13% $0B Today 3 yrs 2011 2015 2020 Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011 Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years? Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First 17 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 20. Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology; adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years What is Your Organization’s Level of The Global Cloud Computing Market is Cloud Adoption? Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020 % of Respondents 91% $250B $241B Piloting 21% 72% $200B $150B Adopting $150B 38% 28% +33% $100B Substantially 21% Implemented $50B 41% +215% $41B 13% $0B Today 3 yrs 2011 2015 2020 Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011 Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years? Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First 17 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 24. Want to See What’s Next in Cloud Computing? Up
  • 25. OnLive.com: Ultimate Cloud Play? Not an OnLive member yet? Sign Up FREE | Sign In Overview | Features | Tech Specs Order Order Now Up
  • 26. OnLive.com: Ultimate Cloud Play? Not an OnLive member yet? Sign Up FREE | Sign In Overview | Features | Tech Specs Order Order Now Up
  • 40. What is the biggest driver of innovation and change in education worldwide? Up
  • 41. You! Up
  • 44. Who are the thought leaders in education driving change and innovation? Up
  • 51. Beautiful, Elegant and Simple Technology That Helps You Keep Up Up
  • 52. iPad Up
  • 57. Evernote Up
  • 59. David Allen’s Getting Things Done Up
  • 60. HD Webcam Up
  • 63. Download Craig’s eBook: QR Scan or ! is.gd/think Up
  • 64. People W or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e S ci Acceleration Business Globalised Technology Up
  • 65. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e Marketing S ci Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology Cloud Outrageous Outsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 66. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e Marketing S ci Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology Cloud Outrageous Outsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 67. Your mobile phone has more computing power than all of NASA in 1969. http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732
  • 68. How Big is Mobile Today? Up
  • 69. How Big is Mobile Today? 7B People in the World Up
  • 70. How Big is Mobile Today? 7B People in the World 6B Mobile Subscribers Up
  • 71. How Big is Mobile Today? 7B People in the World 6B Mobile Subscribers 1B 3G/LTE Subscribers Up
  • 72. Despite Tremendous Ramp So Far, Smartphone User Adoption Has Huge Upside Global Smartphone vs. Mobile Phone Subscriptions, Q4:11 7,000 6.1B Mobile Phone Subscriptions 6,000 5,000 Global Subscriptions (MM) 4,000 3,000 2,000 953MM Smartphone Subscriptions 1,000 0 Smartphone Mobile Phone Source: Mobile phone subscriptions per Informa (as of Q4:11), Smartphone subscriptions estimate based on Morgan Stanley Research’s estimated smartphone user as % of total mobile user at the end of 2011 (16%). Note: While there are 1B global 3G subscribers as of Q4:11, not all of them were smartphone users. One user may have multiple mobile 11 subscriptions, therefore actual user #s may be lower than subscriber #s. Up
  • 73. Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 120 ~120MM+ Mobile Internet 100 iPhone + iTouch + iPad Launched 6/07 Desktop Internet 80 Subscribers (MM) Netscape* Launched 12/94 60 Mobile Internet ~32MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 Desktop Internet 20 ~27MM AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~9MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 8 Data as of CQ3:10.
  • 74. 380M Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 100 ~85MM Mobile Internet Desktop Internet 80 iPhone + iTouch Netscape* Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94 Subscribers (MM) 60 Mobile Internet ~31MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 ~18MM Desktop Internet 20 AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~8MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7 Up
  • 75. 468M Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 100 ~85MM Mobile Internet Desktop Internet 80 iPhone + iTouch Netscape* Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94 Subscribers (MM) 60 Mobile Internet ~31MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 ~18MM Desktop Internet 20 AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~8MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates Up ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7
  • 76. iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped Even Faster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad 1,400 70,000 iPad iPad iPad iPhone iPhone iPhone iPod iPod iPod 20,000 1,200 60,000 Global Unit Shipments (000) Global Unit Shipments (000) 1,000 50,000 15,000 800 40,000 10,000 600 30,000 400 20,000 5,000 200 10,000 000 000 1 11 2 22 3 33 4 44 5 55 6 6 7 7 8 8 Quarters After Launch Quarters After Launch Quarters After Launch Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch). 9 Up
  • 80. Security Metering Access Control Money Body Engines
  • 81. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e Marketing S ci Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology Cloud Outrageous Outsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 82. South Korean Kids Get Robot Teachers Up
  • 83. Google robot car does 225,000km by itself By Brett Davis | October 11th, 2010 20 Like 18 Comments Mulit-billion-dollar international technology company, Google, has been secretly working away on developing robotic cars capable of driving themselves. Up until now it’s all been a bit of a secret, but Google has begun releasing information to the public about what the company has been up to in the last year or so and where it’s currently at. Up
  • 85. Robotic Surgery Has Doubled in 5 Yrs Up
  • 89. 5 Drivers of Change: 1. Social Networks 2. Home/Work Blur 3. Mobile Device Boom 4. Tech Savvy Employees 5. C-Suite & Employee’s Expectations of IT Source: Paul D'Arcy 1 March 2011 CIO.com Up
  • 90. People W or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e S ci Acceleration Business Globalised Technology Up
  • 91. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e Marketing S ci Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology Cloud Outrageous Outsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 94. Up
  • 95. Up
  • 96. Up
  • 98. The Case for Foresight: things might be moving faster than you think... Up
  • 99. Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again Up
  • 100. Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again Up
  • 101. Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria? Chinese researchers have developed a way to use E.coli to store data One gram of the bacteria could store 90 Gigabytes of Data Up
  • 102. THE FUTURE OF PEOPLE Ultimate Upgrades 24 Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now. Up
  • 103. Up
  • 104. Know First • Be First • Profit First Craig Rispin Business Futurist & Innovation Expert www.FutureTrendsGroup.com [email protected] Up