Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
Available online 7 May 2022
2214-6296/© 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Review
Whither policy innovation? Mapping conceptual engagement with public
policy in energy transitions research
N. Goyal a,*
, A. Taeihagh b
, M. Howlett c
a
Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands
b
National University of Singapore, Singapore
c
Simon Fraser University, Canada
A R T I C L E I N F O
Keywords:
Bibliometric review
Computational text analysis
Energy transition
Policy diffusion
Policy innovation
Policy success
A B S T R A C T
A transition to sustainable energy will require not only technological diffusion and behavioral change, but also
policy innovation. While research on energy transitions has generated an extensive literature, the extent to which
it has used the policy innovation perspective – entailing policy entrepreneurship or invention, policy diffusion,
and policy success – remains unclear. This study analyzes over 8000 publications on energy transitions through a
bibliometric review and computational text analysis to create an overview of the scholarship, map conceptual
engagement with public policy, and identify the use of the policy innovation lens in the literature. We find that:
(i) though the importance of public policy is frequently highlighted in the research, the public policy itself is
analyzed only occasionally; (ii) studies focusing on public policy have primarily engaged with the concepts of
policy mixes, policy change, and policy process; and (iii) the notions of policy entrepreneurship or invention,
policy diffusion, and policy success are hardly employed to understand the sources, speed, spread, or successes of
energy transitions. We conclude that the value of the policy innovation lens for energy transitions research re­
mains untapped and propose avenues for scholars to harness this potential.
1. Introduction
The research on energy transitions delves into qualitative, quanti­
tative, or geospatial shifts in how energy is sourced, delivered, or uti­
lized [1–6]. There is broad consensus in the literature that public policy
plays a key role in initiating, accelerating, or supporting these activities
and, thereby, energy transitions [7–9]. To better understand the re­
lationships of the policy context, policy process, policy design, and en­
ergy transitions, scholars have appealed for closer synthesis among the
literature on energy research, public policy, and sustainability transi­
tions. Some avenues proposed for this include the use of concepts from
policy studies in energy research [10], the adaptation of policy process
theories to analyze the politics of transitions [11], the development of a
strand of interdisciplinary research on policy mixes through integration
of innovation studies and policy studies [12], the application of the
research on policy transfer to study internationalization of socio-
technical transitions [13], and the engagement with the notion of pol­
icy feedback for co-evolutionary assessment of policy mixes and socio-
technical transitions [14].
Policy innovations that address “the root causes of… problems
instead of the symptoms” will be key for sustainability transitions,
generally, and energy transitions, specifically [15]. Policy innovation
can be viewed as a multidimensional concept involving three perspec­
tives: policy invention, policy diffusion, and policy success [16]. Policy
invention entails a radical change in policy objectives or instruments
leading to a new policy [17], and policy diffusion denotes the (potential)
spread of policy from one jurisdiction to other interdependent jurisdic­
tions [18]. Meanwhile, the notion of policy success recognizes the
diverse outcomes of public policy and emphasizes the need to analyze
these through ex-post evaluation [19,20].
Taken together, in a polycentric context – such as that of energy
transitions – these can create a virtuous cycle of experimentation and
learning that helps catalyze systemic transformation. The study of policy
innovation is, therefore, useful for understanding the relationship(s)
between public policy and energy transitions and for creating knowl­
edge on accelerating energy transitions [21–23]. This is not to say that
this lens should replace other approaches to studying public policy in
energy transitions – or even that innovation is always desirable [24] –
but only that its use has high positive and normative relevance for the
scholarly community and merits further attention. While existing studies
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: nihit.goyal@tudelft.nl (N. Goyal).
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2022.102632
Received 24 November 2021; Received in revised form 20 April 2022; Accepted 20 April 2022
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
2
have reviewed conceptual engagement with public policy in energy
transitions research broadly [10–12,25], whether, to what extent, and
how the literature on energy transitions has used the policy innovation
lens specifically remains unclear.
The objective of this study is to shed light on policy innovation in
energy transitions research. We pose the question: “(to what extent)
does energy transitions research address policy innovation?” Here, we
use the term energy transitions research broadly to refer to publications
that mention the phrase ‘energy transition’ or the term ‘energy’ in the
context of socio-technical transitions in their title, abstract, or keywords.
To answer the question, we collect relevant bibliometric data of over
8000 publications on energy transitions and analyze it using a combi­
nation of topic modelling, term frequency analysis, term co-occurrence
analysis, and a manual review. While this approach does not lend itself
to an in-depth conceptual or narrative synthesis, it allows us to obtain a
bird's eye view of the literature and systematically quantify the preva­
lence of themes, the mention of terms, and the co-occurrence of concepts
in a large body of research. We contribute to the literature by: (i)
identifying and ranking the key themes in energy transitions research;
(ii) mapping the conceptual engagement with public policy in this
scholarship; and (iii) proposing avenues for future research to harness,
and further develop, the policy innovation lens.
This article is structured as follows. In Section 2, we elaborate on the
notion of policy innovation and emphasize its relevance for energy
transitions research. Subsequently, we present the methods of data
collection and analysis (Section 3). Section 4 presents the results of the
study, including an overview of our dataset to set the context, the key
themes in energy transitions research, and conceptual engagement with
public policy in this scholarship. Finally, we conclude with an inter­
pretation of the findings, a discussion of their implications, and avenues
for future research (Section 5).
2. Why policy innovation?
In policy studies, public policy has been conceived as a combination
of objectives and instruments, with each of these comprising a nested
hierarchy of abstract (high-level), operationalizable (program-level),
and on-the-ground (specific) elements [26]. Building on this, Howlett
[17] proposes that change(s) at the abstract or operationalizable level in
either policy objectives or policy instruments constitutes policy inno­
vation. While this conceptualization makes a distinction between in­
cremental, minor, or routine change on the one hand and fundamental,
major, or rare change on the other hand, it adopts an output-centric view
of policy innovation, i.e., of policy as a product. Further, it does not
clarify whether such a change must be new or whether reversion to the
old also constitutes policy innovation. In a more encompassing
conceptualization, Jordan and Huitema [24] define policy innovation as
“the process and/or product of seeking to develop new and/or widely
adopted, and/or impactful policies, when existing ones are perceived to
be under-performing.”
Jordan and Huitema [16] suggest that the policy innovation lens
comprises three perspectives on public policy: invention, diffusion, and
success (see also [23]). The policy invention perspective focuses on the
adoption of new policies (or new objectives or tools therein), often
through experimentation and learning. Meanwhile, the policy diffusion
perspective delves into processes that contribute to, or hinder, the
spread of policies to other jurisdictions and resulting changes in the
policy. The policy success perspective focuses on examining policy
outcomes through careful ex-post evaluation. These perspectives have
received attention – albeit, often in isolation – in the field of policy
studies.
Policy invention – more generally, policy change – has been analyzed
in the literature on the policy process. Although the policy process is
characterized in several – even incompatible – ways, scholars broadly
agree that it is a multi-actor, multi-dimensional process occurring over a
long time-period [27,28]. The most widely known ‘theories’ of the
policy process include the policy stages heuristic [29–31], the multiple
streams framework [32], the institutional analysis and development
framework [33], the advocacy coalition framework [34,35], punctuated
equilibrium theory [36], policy feedback theory [37], and the narrative
policy framework [38]. These aim to explain both policy stability and
policy change, and usually make a distinction between incremental
change and radical change.
The policy invention perspective is important for explaining and
promoting energy transitions as it can shed light on the characteristics
that lead to the creation of policy alternatives, the adoption of new
policies, and the co-evolution of policy and technology. Illustratively,
Llamosas, Upham [39] use the multiple streams framework to show that
‘regime resistance’ has thwarted efforts to introduce policy innovation
in the energy system in Paraguay. Similarly, Karapin [40] argues that
the veto power of fossil-fuel interests hinders policy innovation at the
federal and the state level in the United States, slowing the energy
transition. Also, Carmon and Fischhendler [41] explain the lack of
stringency in the policy design on renewable energy targets based on the
‘friction’ between bureaucrats and politicians during the policy process.
In assessing a ‘successful’ case, Argyriou [42] demonstrates that a
combination of socioeconomic characteristics, political orientations,
and third-sector entities drive policy innovation in commercial energy
efficiency in Philadelphia.
Jordan and Huitema [23] emphasize the activities of policy entre­
preneurs as a potential source of policy invention. Policy entrepre­
neurship – defined as “the coupling activities of like-minded individuals
with different skills, knowledge and positions that take place simulta­
neously or at different stages in the policy process” [43] – has indeed
been acknowledged as a key source of policy change within nearly every
theoretical lens mentioned above [44–49]. Broadly, the literature of
policy entrepreneurship has recognized it as a collective or institutional
act [50–56] and identified the attributes, strategies, and influence of
policy entrepreneurs in the policy process [57].
The study of policy entrepreneurship in the energy transitions can
help ascertain the resources, strategies, and activities that contribute to
policy invention and its diffusion. Albeit in the case of water policy,
Huitema, Lebel [58] find that policy entrepreneurs contribute to water
transitions, although their degree of influence depends on the institu­
tional setting. The authors argue that individuals can play a role in these
processes through idea development, exploitation of windows of op­
portunity, venue shopping, coalition building, and network manage­
ment. Relatedly, Goyal, Howlett [59] synthesize research on policy
entrepreneurship using the multiple streams framework to delineate six
types of individual or collective entrepreneurs relevant to energy tran­
sitions: the problem broker, the policy entrepreneur, the process broker,
the political entrepreneur, the program champion, and the technology
innovator. The authors show how these different types of entrepreneurs
contributed to a policy innovation in the energy-water nexus in India.
The spread of (new) policies to other jurisdictions, too, has been
examined using multiple theories in policy studies. Among others, these
include policy assemblage [60], policy mobility and mutation [61], and
policy translation [62]. While each of these offers unique insights into
the processes by which policies spread – and their influence on policy
design – the notions of policy diffusion [63,64] and policy transfer
[65,66] are arguably the most mainstream. The literature on policy
diffusion has focused mainly on the ‘mechanisms’ that explain patterns
of horizontal diffusion (i.e., at the same level) or vertical diffusion (i.e.,
between hierarchically different levels) [67]. In contrast, the scholarship
on policy transfer has emphasized the role of lesson drawing in this
process [65,68]. Increasingly, scholars have argued for a synthesis of the
research on diffusion and transfer to develop a better understanding of
why and how policies spread [69,70].
The diffusion perspective is essential for energy transitions research
as it can reveal the dynamics that facilitate the scaling up and scaling out
of novel policies. For instance, Zimm [71] analyzes the global diffusion
of policies concerning electric vehicles to find the socioeconomic
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
3
characteristics, political factors, and international mechanisms that can
accelerate the transition to electric vehicles. Relatedly, Goyal [72]
synthesizes policy diffusion and policy transfer and conceptualizes both
using the multiple streams framework to explain the slow adoption of
building energy codes in India. At the intersection of research on policy
transfer and sustainability transitions, Pitt and Jones [13] introduce
‘scaling up and scaling out’ as a new mechanism of transfer and identify
the conditions under which it can lead to success. Morton, Wilson [73]
find that household characteristics such as age, education, building type,
and household size influence the subnational ‘diffusion’ of energy effi­
ciency assessment in the United Kingdom. Bhamidipati, Haselip [74]
document the process of policy ‘translation’ through which a coherent
policy outcome was achieved in the case of renewable energy in Uganda.
Recently, Heyen, Jacob [75] have argued for closer integration between
the research on policy transfer and sustainability transitions to catalyze
transformative change.
The notion of policy success recognizes that, despite its positive
connotation, invention does not necessarily translate into success on the
ground, and policy outcomes should – therefore – be analyzed carefully
[76]. While the early literature on the topic adopted a rationalist
approach to policy evaluation, subsequent research has advanced a
constructivist approach too [77]. In an attempt to bridge these,
McConnell [20] has defined a policy as successful if “it achieves the
goals that proponents set out to achieve and attracts no criticism of any
significance and/or support is virtually universal” and proposed a heu­
ristic to assess success empirically. Such a view of policy success em­
phasizes the multidimensional nature of policy effects, spanning the
program (such as the achievement of stated objectives), the process
(such as procedural justice), and the politics of public policy (such as
electoral repercussions) [20,78–82].
A study of policy success can, therefore, help present a nuanced ac­
count of the various effects of a policy, distinguish policies that have
desirable outcomes in specific contexts from those that do not, and steer
transitions towards justice and sustainability [83–85]. Illustratively,
through a comparison of coal phase-out in Germany and the United
Kingdom, Brauers, Oei [86] show that policy outcomes are affected by
several actors, such as industries, environmental groups, and the gov­
ernment. In the case of the transition from solid fuels in South Africa,
Matinga, Clancy [87] find that symbolic use of policy explained the non-
implementation of the pro-poor energy policy of the South African
government. In another example, Fontaine, Fuentes [88] use the policy
design framework to show that the (intended) lack of congruence within
the policy mix can help actors resisting change and undermine policy
outcomes. Relatedly, in their evaluation of the energy efficiency policy
mix in Finland, Kivimaa, Kangas [89] find that incoherence during
policy implementation decreases effectiveness.
Thus, the perspectives of policy entrepreneurship or invention, pol­
icy diffusion, and policy success can shed light on the interplay between
public policy and energy transitions. In the next section, we describe
how we locate and quantify the use of these perspectives – and the policy
innovation lens – within energy transitions research.
3. Methods
We conduct a bibliometric review and computational text analysis
for this study using bibliometric data – i.e., data on authorship, insti­
tutional affiliation, publication title, abstract, keywords, cited refer­
ences, and so on – collected from the Web of Science database.
As our interest was in capturing the body of work on energy transi­
tions – and not only research referring to public policy or policy inno­
vation – we searched the titles, abstracts, and keywords of the
publications in the Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI) and the Book
Citation Index-Social Sciences and Humanities (BKCI-SSH) for the
following: (electricity OR energy OR power OR renewable OR smartgrid)
AND (MLP OR “multilevel perspective” OR SNM OR “strategic niche
management” OR “technological innovation system*” OR TIS OR
transition). We iteratively revised the query based on a scan of the
resulting dataset in each round. Our final query reflected three key
changes. First, we qualified the presence of the term ‘power’ as it
resulted in numerous articles on geopolitics and international relations
not related to the energy domain. Second, we included a variant of the
term ‘smartgrid’ (‘smart grid’) to incorporate additional literature.
Third, we excluded articles mentioning the term ‘transition’ in another
context not directly relevant to the energy domain.
Consequently, our final search query – executed on July 05, 2021 –
was: (electricity OR energy OR “power generation” OR “power system*”
OR renewable OR smartgrid OR “smart grid*”) AND (MLP OR “multi­
level perspective” OR SNM OR “strategic niche management” OR
“technological innovation system*” OR TIS OR transition) NOT (“de­
mographic transition*” OR “energy intake” OR “land?cover transition*”
OR “land?use transition*” OR “nutrition transition*” OR “phase transi­
tion*”). While this reduced the number of irrelevant articles signifi­
cantly, several still remained. We addressed this problem by employing
topic modelling (see below) to identify themes not pertaining to energy
transitions by clustering publications based on their titles and abstracts.
Specifically, we found two themes – the first about health and nutrition
and the second about forestry, land cover, and land use – that were not
relevant to energy transitions. After removing publications for which
one of these was the most prominent theme, our final dataset consisted
of 8442 publications that self-identify as pertaining to energy transitions
or to energy in sustainability transitions (Fig. 1).
To begin with, we conducted a bibliometric analysis to obtain an
overview of our dataset and validate our search strategy. For this, we
used the bibliometrix package [90] in the R programming environment to
examine scientific activity over time, authorship, institutional collabo­
ration, and scientific production by country. Subsequently, we used
topic modelling to identify the main themes in energy transitions
research. Topic modelling is an unsupervised machine learning tech­
nique for ‘discovering’ latent themes (or topics) in a document collection
based on the distribution of terms, i.e., words or phrases, in the text [91].
Specifically, we used the structural topic model to account for correla­
tion among topics, incorporate document-level metadata for topic dis­
covery, and implement the analysis in the R programming environment
using the stm package [92]. To select the number of themes for this
analysis – an input to the topic model – we examined models ranging
from 10 to 25 themes using the searchK function in the stm package and
chose the model with 15 themes, based on the held-out likelihood and
semantic coherence of the alternatives.
To prepare the dataset for computational text analysis, we employed
the following procedure. First, we tokenized, annotated, and lemmat­
ized the publication text (i.e., titles and abstracts) using the udpipe
package [93]. Second, identified commonly occurring phrases in the text
and, where applicable, replaced sequences of words with phrases to
increase the coherence of the analysis. Third, we removed the parts of
speech that do not contain domain-relevant information – such as con­
jugations, determiners, and pronouns – from the text. Also, we removed
terms that lend little discriminating power to our analysis but occur
frequently in the English language or in our dataset (‘stop words’).
Fourth, we implemented stemming, using the SnowballC package [94],
to reduce terms to their root form and further enhance the coherence of
our analysis.
Once our analysis highlighted that policy innovation was not a key
theme in this literature, we examined conceptual engagement with
public policy by counting mentions of ‘policy’ OR ‘polici’, distilling
terms that represent key concepts in policy studies, and investigating
term co-occurrence to understand the context of their use. Our key aim
in this analysis was to map public policy lenses that have been employed
in energy transitions research and answer whether policy innovation
was one among them.
The limitations of this study should, however, be borne in mind
while interpreting the results of these analyses. First, as we searched the
SSCI and the BKCI-SSH in the Web of Science database for identifying
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
4
the literature, relevant studies that are not listed in these indices are not
included in our analysis. Second, although a wide variety of policy areas,
problems, and themes are relevant to energy transitions. Our search
strategy focused only on studies that self-identified as pertaining to
energy transitions or to energy in sociotechnical transitions. Conse­
quently, relevant studies that did not mention our search terms in their
title, abstract, or keywords are not included in our analysis. Third, while
our reliance on computational text analysis allowed us to analyze a large
dataset, its findings are premised on lexical – rather than semantic –
similarities with the concepts of interest to us. In contrast, manual text
analysis would have enabled more fine-grained analysis, but would have
limited the size of the literature that we could have reviewed. Fourth, we
selected studies to illustrate the themes in the research based not on
their centrality to the field, but on their topic proportion(s), the diversity
of studies within the themes, and our prior knowledge of the theme.
Fifth, we did not validate the findings with other scholars active in en­
ergy transitions research or policy studies.
4. Results
4.1. An overview of the dataset
In this sub-section, we present a brief overview of our dataset to show
that our search strategy identified the relevant literature and set the
context for the analysis.
As mentioned earlier, the final dataset consists of 8442 publications
on energy transitions. The earliest publications in this research area –
written in the aftermath of the oil crisis – discussed the impending en­
ergy transition, resource scarcity, sustainable energy, and the role of
public policy [95–99]. While research activity was moderate during the
previous century, it witnessed sustained growth after 2005 and has
increased exponentially since 2015 (Fig. 2), possibly indicating a policy-
driven and normative response to the declaration of the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) and the adoption of the Paris Agreement on
climate change.
As per our dataset, over 18,000 scholars have authored publications
on energy transitions. Of these, approximately 400 have more than five
publications and over a hundred scholars have 10 or more publications
in this area, indicating an active research community. The most pub­
lished authors in this dataset include B. K. Sovacool [4,100,101], F.
Krausmann [102,103], B. Q. Lin [104,105], M. P. Hekkert [106,107],
and D. P. van Vuuren [108,109]. Noticeably, among the most prolific
scholars in this field, only D. J. Hess and F. Kern engage actively with
policy studies or political science, while the rest focus on science &
technology studies, philosophy, or other social sciences (Table 1).
Although scholars publishing in this research area represent over
4000 research institutions, approximately only 130 institutions world­
wide are mentioned on 25 or more occasions.1
A look at the top in­
stitutions in this area – the University of Sussex, Utrecht University, the
University of Leeds, the Delft University of Technology, and the Uni­
versity of Oxford – reveals a large European (specifically, British and
Dutch) presence in this field. A co-authorship network among the top 30
institutions shows the presence of three clusters: the first of institutions
Fig. 1. The steps for selecting publications on energy transitions.
0
500
1000
1500
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Fig. 2. The number of publications on energy transitions over time. Publica­
tions for the year 2021 are not shown in the figure for consistency.
Table 1
The most prolific authors in energy transitions research based on our dataset.
Author Publications Author Publications
B. K. Sovacool 81 P. Kivimaa 23
F. Krausmann 37 R. Raven 23
B. Q. Lin 32 D. J. Hess 21
M. P. Hekkert 29 F. Kern 21
D. P. van Vuuren 27 J. Markard 21
T. J. Foxon 26 S. Ginrich 20
F. W. Geels 24 M. Martiskainen 20
1
We count multiple authors from an institution or multiple publications by
an author as distinct occurrences.
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
5
mainly in the Netherlands and Scandinavia, the second of institutions
primarily in the United Kingdom, and the third of institutions in China
and the United States (Fig. 3). With the exception of China, the only non-
OECD countries among the top 30 in scientific activity are India (19),
Brazil (22), and South Africa (27). This reveals a geographic bias in
scientific activity – and, possibly, focus – in energy transitions research.
4.2. Key themes in energy transitions research
We analyze the topics in the literature to ascertain whether public
policy (and more specifically, policy innovation) is a prominent theme.
A topic model reveals the presence of various analytical approaches and
empirical issues that have been covered in the literature on energy
transitions (Fig. 4).
The most prevalent theme in the dataset is Theme 1 on ‘Socio-tech­
nical transition.’ The primarily focus here is the conceptual advance­
ment of sustainability transitions and its empirical application to climate
change or the energy system. Illustratively, studies in this theme delve
into the role of agency [110], community energy [111], community
leadership in grassroots innovation [112], ecologies of participation
[113], the geographies of transitions [114,115], intermediaries [116],
and the role of non-traditional actors [117].
The challenge of transitioning away from high‑carbon energy, spe­
cifically, is deliberated on in more detail in Theme 2 on ‘Fossil fuel de­
pendency’, wherein scholars focus on topics such as energy security
[118], the future of coal, oil, and shale gas [119–122], lesson drawing
from historical transitions [123,124], and pathways for emerging
economies [125]. Relatedly, ‘Climate change mitigation’ is discussed
predominantly in Theme 5. Studies in this theme analyze topics con­
cerning decarbonization alternatives [126–128], national climate
ambition [129–132], net-zero energy system [133], and the role of
public policy [134].
Adopting a more nexus approach, Theme 3 on ‘Economy and energy’
highlights the complex relationship among the economy, energy
production and use, and the environment, often in the case of China
[135–141]. Studies in this theme also explore the effects of technological
progress on energy use [142]. Relatedly, studies in Theme 4 on
‘Resource flows’ conduct lifecycle analyses relevant to energy produc­
tion or use [143], examine the food-energy-water nexus [144,145], and
advance scholarship on measuring resource efficiency [146,147]. This
theme has also witnessed research activity on bioeconomy [148] and
circular economy [149–151].
Some themes shed light on the relationship between energy transi­
tions and society. Theme 7 on ‘Industry and innovation’, for example,
discusses the role of business in influencing technology or service
innovation [152–158] as well as the influence of the energy transition on
corporates [159]. Meanwhile, Theme 13 on ‘Behavior and consumption’
engages with the demand for energy. Illustratively, studies in this theme
delve into topics surrounding participation in community energy ini­
tiatives [160], electric vehicles [161–164], smart grids [165,166], social
acceptance, and willingness to pay [167]. Similar to Theme 13 in its
focus on behavior, Theme 14 delves into ‘Energy access’ at the house­
hold level, with studies examining energy inequity and poverty
[168–170], fuelwood use [171], household preferences for energy
[172,173], willingness to pay [174], and the effect of access on social
development [175,176].
Several themes are concerned with the role of renewable energy in
energy transitions. Theme 9 on ‘Renewable energy integration’ delves
into the potential [177], sociotechnical feasibility [178–181], and
benefits of high renewable energy penetration [182], as well as the
regulatory and technology alternatives for realizing it [183–185]. While
studies in Theme 9 focus more on solar energy, Theme 11 concentrates
predominantly on the role of ‘Wind energy’ by studying the diffusion of
clean energy [107,186–188], project implementation and social accep­
tance [189,190], and energy planning and policy at the local, national,
or supranational level [191–193]. The use of the technological innova­
tion system perspective is also prominent in this theme. Relatedly,
Theme 15 on ‘Financing and investment’ is concerned with realizing
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Fig. 3. Inter-institutional collaboration among the top 30 institutions in energy transitions research. Here, collaboration is defined as a co-authorship relationship. A
link between two nodes indicates a co-authorship relationship. Node size indicates the number of co-authorship relationships identified in the dataset. Nodes are
clustered using the Louvain method based on the edges connecting them.
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
6
actor
commun
conceptu
emerg
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13: Behavior and consumption 14: Energy access 15: Financing and investment
10: Energy modelling 11: Wind energy 12: Energy future
7: Industry and innovation 8: Governance and policy 9: Renewable energy integration
4: Resource flows 5: Climate change mitigation 6: Politics and power
1: Sociotechnical transition 2: Fossil fuel dependency 3: Economy and energy
Fig. 4. The main themes in energy transitions research. Themes are arranged in descending order of prevalence, from left to right and top to bottom. The key terms
associated with each theme are arranged based on probability of occurrence within the theme (x-axis) and exclusivity to that theme (y-axis).
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
7
renewable energy on the ground through an emphasis on competitive­
ness of renewable energy [194], energy financing [195–197], renewable
energy investment [198–201], the role of electricity utilities [202], and
policy advice [203].
With an interest in predicting, anticipating, or responding to the
future, Theme 10 on ‘Energy modelling’ is concerned with trend analysis
and short-term forecasting [204] of phenomena such as energy con­
sumption [205,206], energy demand [207], energy market volatility
[208], price of energy [209,210]. While several studies use economet­
rics for these, the use of machine learning techniques, such as artificial
neural networks or support vector machines, has also become increas­
ingly popular. In contrast to Theme 10, Theme 12 on ‘Energy future’
focuses on long-term scenario building to address uncertainty in energy
transitions [211–218].
With a different perspective and analytical focus from the above,
Theme 6 on ‘Politics and power’ emphasizes the contested nature of
energy transitions. Illustratively, studies in this theme delve into topics
such as collective action [219], conflict between business and civil so­
ciety [220], energy democracy [221], energy discourse [222–224], en­
ergy practices [225], social movements [226], and public participation
[227]. Finally, only Theme 8 explicitly focuses on ‘Governance and
policy’ with studies examining topics such as electricity market reform
[228], governance capacity [229], policy implementation [230,231],
policy process [232], renewable portfolio standards [233], and regula­
tory inefficiency [234].
This analysis shows that several themes acknowledge the importance
of policy. This is further corroborated by examining the most frequently
occurring terms related to policy within each theme (Table 2). While the
most common use of policy is descriptive, the notions of policy process
(Theme 1 on ‘Sociotechnical transition’), policy change (Theme 6 on
‘Politics and power’), policy tool (Theme 7 on ‘Industry and innovation’
and Theme 10 on ‘Energy modelling’), policy mixes and policy instru­
ment (Theme 8 on ‘Governance and policy’), and policy design (Theme
12 on ‘Energy future’) have been invoked in the literature. However,
policy innovation itself is not a prominent theme in the research and
only theme 8 on ‘Governance and policy’ (with median prevalence in the
dataset) focuses explicitly on public policy. To understand the extent to
which studies in this – and the remaining themes – address policy
innovation, we analyze the conceptual engagement with public policy in
this literature.
4.3. Conceptual engagement with public policy
Although the word policy has been mentioned over 9000 times in
this dataset, either by itself or as part of a phrase, its most common
occurrences indicate descriptive use of the term. These include policy
areas – such as ‘energy polici’ (n > 600), ‘climate [change] polici’ (n >
450), ‘environmental polici’ (n > 150), ‘renewable energy polici’ (n >
100), and ‘innovation polici’ (n > 75) – or terms suggesting policy
relevance rather than policy analysis, such as ‘policy mak[er/ing]’ (n >
800), ‘policy impl[ication]’ (n > 150), ‘public polici’ (n > 100), and
‘policy recommend[ation]’ (n > 75). The frequently occurring terms
indicating plausible conceptual engagement with public policy include
‘policy mix[es]’ (n ~ 200), ‘policy instru[ment]’ (n ~ 150), ‘policy
design’ (n ~ 90), ‘policy chang[e]’ (n ~ 90), ‘policy process’ (n ~ 50),
and ‘policy go[al]’ (n ~ 50). In contrast, terms such as ‘policy innov
[ation]’ (n ~ 25), ‘policy outcom[es]’ (n ~ 20), and policy ‘evalu
[ation]’ (n ~ 19) have been mentioned on few occasions and terms such
as policy entrepreneurship, policy invention, policy diffusion, policy
transfer, and policy success find hardly any mention in this literature.
A correlation network of concepts from policy studies with 10 or
more occurrences in the dataset is shown in Fig. 5. As seen in this figure,
a large strand of the literature delves into policy design in the form of
policy instruments, policy mixes, or policy packages. While some studies
investigate individual policy instruments [235–237], others also
recognize that different policy instruments can interact with one
another. Kern and Howlett [238], for example, argue that characteristics
of policy mixes – such as consistency, coherence, and congruency – in­
fluence socio-technical outcomes in (energy) transitions (see also,
[239]). The notion of policy mixes has, consequently, witnessed con­
ceptual and empirical advancement, with scholars viewing it as a
multidimensional concept consisting of processes, elements, and char­
acteristics and operationalizing it to capture the interaction(s) of public
policy and energy transitions [240,241]. In addition, the concept has
been used normatively, for example, to advocate for policy mixes that
facilitate creation of the new with ‘destabilization of the old’ [242] or
foster energy democracy [243]. Recently, the integration of the concept
of policy mixes with that of policy feedback has been proposed to
examine the co-evolution of policy mixes and sustainability transitions
[14].
The notion of policy change has been discussed in the context of
energy transitions, albeit often descriptively. Several studies do, how­
ever, engage with the concept – especially using the advocacy coalition
framework [34] – while examining regime dynamics in the energy
system [244,245]. In an example of a study synthesizing policy change
and policy mixes, Li and Taeihagh [246] conduct a temporal analysis of
policy design, instruments' interaction, and evolution of mixes in China
during 1981–2020. More generally, Kern, Kuzemko [247] develop a
framework to measure policy (paradigm) change while Schmidt and
Sewerin [248] propose an approach to measure policy (mix) change in
the context of energy transitions.
Relatedly, the policy process has received some attention in energy
transitions research. Studies have documented, for example, the differ­
ence in the (energy) policy process between the national and the
Table 2
The most frequently occurring terms related to policy in each theme.
1: Sociotechnical transition 2: Fossil fuel dependency 3: Economy and energy 4: Resource flows 5: Climate change mitigation
Policy process Energy polici Policy impl[ication] Policy mak[er/ing] Climate polici
Policy intervent[ion] Policy decis[ion] Environmental polici Policy analysi[s] Policy mak[er/ing]
Policy mak[er/ing] Policy act[ion] Policy mak[er/ing] National polici Policy scenario
Policy docu[ment] Policy opt[ion] Policy recommend[ation] Policy strategi Policy relev[ance]
Policy analysi[s] Economic polici Economic polici Environmental polici Policy recommend[ation]
6: Politics and power 7: Industry and innovation 8: Governance and policy 9: Renewable energy integration 10: Energy modelling
Energy polici Innovation polici Energy polici Policy mak[er/ing] Policy scenario
Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mix[es] Policy decis[ion] Policy mak[er/ing]
Policy chang[e] Policy support Policy instru[ment] Policy recommend[ation] Policy tool
Industrial polici Policy perspect[ive] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy support Policy perspect[ive]
Climate polici Policy tool Environmental polici Policy impl[ication] Economic polici
11: Wind energy 12: Energy future 13: Behavior and consumption 14: Energy access 15: Financing and investment
Policy mak[er/ing] Energy polici Policy mak[er/ing] Policy impl[ication] Policy impl[ication]
National polici Policy mak[er/ing] Policy impl[ication] Policy intervent[ion] Effective polici
Energy transition polici Policy impl[ication] Policy intervent[ion] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mak[er/ing]
Local polici Policy design Policy develop[ment] Energy efficiency polici Policy support
Policy impl[ication] Policy develop[ment] Policy recommend[ation] Energy polici Policy opt[ion]
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
8
subnational level [249], the role of incumbent energy generating com­
panies in lobbying for status quo [250], the challenge(s) of policy co­
ordination given the complex, multi-objective, and uncertain nature of
the energy system [251], the ‘translation’ of transnational policy to the
national level, especially within the European Union [252], and the
effect of inclusivity in the policy process on niche development [253]. A
stage of the policy process, policy implementation has been studied, for
example, in the context of contestation at the local level in the top-down
push for energy infrastructure [254], challenges in translating national
policy at the local level [255], and policy dismantling by veto players
[256]. The notion of policy feedback, too, has been invoked to capture
the influence of path dependence, politics, and vicious (or virtuous)
cycles in governance and policy-making in the energy transitions
[257–260].
This analysis shows that several studies use the term policy (and
associated phrases) descriptively rather than analytically. Further, even
among studies that demonstrate conceptual engagement with public
policy, a majority focus on topics such as policy mixes, policy change,
policy process, policy implementation, and policy feedback. Within the
context of these topics, or otherwise, few studies have used the policy
innovation lens and delved into phenomena such as policy entrepre­
neurship, policy invention, policy diffusion, policy transfer, policy out­
comes, and policy success.
5. Discussion and conclusion
This study examined over 8000 publications on energy transitions to
answer the question: (to what extent) does energy transitions research
address policy innovation? Using topic modelling, we identified 15
themes in the literature (in descending order of prevalence): socio­
technical transition, fossil fuel dependency, economy and energy,
resource flows, climate change mitigation, politics and power, industry
and innovation, governance and policy, renewable energy integration,
energy modelling, wind energy, energy future, behavior and
consumption, energy access, and financing and investment. Thus, while
‘governance and policy’ was discovered as a key theme – and studies in
several other themes acknowledged the importance of public policy –
policy innovation itself is not a prominent theme in this research.
To further understand the extent to which the literature has
addressed policy innovation, we mapped conceptual engagement with
public policy using term frequency analysis and term co-occurrence
analysis. The analysis showed that although the term policy has been
mentioned over 9000 times in our dataset, most uses of the term are
descriptive rather than analytical. Further, while the notions of policy
mixes, policy change, policy process, and – to a lesser extent – policy
implementation and policy feedback have received attention in the
literature, the policy innovation lens has hardly been used. Some studies
have referred to notions of policy innovation, policy evaluation, or
policy outcomes, but almost none have delved into policy invention,
policy entrepreneurship, policy diffusion, policy transfer, or policy
success, despite their relevance for energy transitions. On the whole, the
findings indicate that we know little about policy innovation – and how
to promote it – in the context of energy transitions.
Our findings are comparable to similar reviews conducted previ­
ously. Illustratively, in an exploratory review of research on energy
policy in the Netherlands, Hoppe, Coenen [10] had found that policy
studies' concepts were employed in only approximately one-fourth of the
publications on the topic and that policy studies scholars had neglected
energy policy to some extent. Similarly, in a bibliometric review of over
2700 publications on energy policy in India, Goyal [25] showed that
while numerous studies emphasized policy relevance, analysis for policy
and analysis of policy were both limited. Also, in their systematic review
of nearly 200 social science studies on transformation for climate change
mitigation (of which over 50% focused on energy), Moore, Verfuerth
[261] found that only about half of the publications employed any
theory and that only 17 publications used a theory from political
science.
Our study hints at several reasons for why the analysis has unfolded
policy mix
policy instru
policy formul
policy packag
policy innov
policy feedback
policy evalu
policy network
policy design
policy integr
policy target
policy agenda
policy outcom
policy chang
policy implement
policy tool
policy regim
policy process
policy go
yangtze river delta
instrument
packag
3e
feedback
building cod
instrument mix
green new d
gas polici
policy pathwai
llcei
properli
building energy effici
carbon pr
sphere
transport polici
positive feedback
policy effort
societal challeng
policy domain
such polici
innovation polici
yunnan
inhibitor
energy decentr
sustainability transit
nb
bh
political dynam
material effici
instabl
network govern
devolut
social network analysi
corrupt
financial incent
mix
political context
avenu
fc
loan
green busi
saxoni
seawat
practis
isra
longitudin
alternative polici
jatropha
advocacy coalit
bureaucrat
biodiesel
nongovernment
regulatory polici
stringenc
silver landlord
polici
multiregim
eol
owp
cpi
paraguai
entropi
oversight
stall
social outcom
transport energi
chinese economi
coher
cellulos
innovation studi
chinese govern
policy landscap
creative destruct
dsm
dutch energi
substanc
inject
noteworthi
mrio henan
housing sector
mover
nonmonetari
key polici
analogi
multiobject
prerequisit
fyp
green bond
advocaci
orderli
rmb
partisanship
Fig. 5. Correlation network of concepts in policy studies. The nodes represent the phrases used in the literature. A link between two phrases indicates a correlation of
0.10 or more. The color intensity of the link indicates the strength of the correlation.
N. Goyal et al.
Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632
9
in this manner. First, a look at the most prolific scholars in this field
reveals that few have a background in policy studies. This may be the
case as energy transitions research is largely normative in nature, with
limited engagement of the social sciences [262], while policy studies
have a more (post-)positivist and interpretivist orientation. A change in
the status quo, however, will require greater participation of policy
studies scholars in energy transitions research as well as more interest in
concepts in public policy (including the policy innovation lens) from
researchers studying energy transitions.
Second, and relatedly, our bibliometric review indicated that scien­
tific activity in this research area is Europe-centric and select institutions
– in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, particularly – play a
dominant role in advancing the scholarship, with limited institutional
and country collaboration. While this is problematic for the advance­
ment of the scholarship, it also has an implication for the engagement
with policy studies. In a review of publications in a top policy sciences
journal, Goyal [263] had found that nearly 80% of the corresponding
authors were based in North America (see also [264]). A concerted effort
at diversification of theoretical perspectives and/or pan-Atlantic
collaboration may then be necessary for cross-fertilization in energy
transitions research and policy studies.
Third, traditional theories of the policy process (and other concepts
in policy studies) may be perceived as having limited applicability in
explaining phenomena in complex sociotechnical systems. Lovell [265],
for example, argues that theories of the policy process must incorporate
the role of technology in order to explain radical policy change in a
sociotechnical system involving durable infrastructure, such as the low-
energy housing sector in the United Kingdom. In another study, Lovell,
Bulkeley [266] lament the ability of theories of the policy process to
explain change in a context involving the convergence of multiple policy
areas and/or networks (such as climate change and energy). Similarly,
Kern and Rogge [11] find theories of the policy process to be unsuitable
for examining sociotechnical transitions due to their focus on single
policy instruments (rather than instrument mixes) and lack of attention
to policy outcomes.
Fourth, and relatedly, fragmentation in policy studies could be
another reason for its sparse application (and perceived limited appli­
cability) in energy transitions research. For example, our co-occurrence
analysis showed that the notion of policy mixes has been frequently
combined with those of policy evaluation/outcomes, policy feedback,
and policy process, thereby moving towards a holistic framework of
analysis. In contrast, concepts such as policy agendas, policy formula­
tion, policy goals, (to a lesser extent) policy implementation, policy
innovation, policy networks, and policy regimes have been used largely
in isolation. This problem of fragmentation of concepts in policy studies
has been previously highlighted as a reason for its untapped potential in
creating and mobilizing policy-relevant knowledge [267–269].
While this criticism of policy studies is largely valid, recent research
has shown that theories of the policy process can be adapted – and even
advanced – through applications in complex sociotechnical systems.
Goyal, Howlett [59] and Goyal, Howlett [270], for example, have
adapted the multiple streams framework to explain a policy invention in
energy-water nexus in India and the emergence of the General Data
Protection Regulation in the European Union, both of which involved
significant policy-technology interaction (see also [271]). Similarly,
Dolan [272] has (re-)introduced the notion of partial couplings within
the multiple streams framework to explain policy change at the
convergence of disaster management and climate change adaptation.
Also, Schmid, Sewerin [245] have synthesized the advocacy coalition
framework with policy feedback theory to link policy change with policy
outcomes and subsequent coalition change in the case of the German
energy transition. Relatedly, Goyal [273] has conceptualized policy
success using the multiple streams framework to show how the coupling
among problem, policy, and politics led to political success despite
programmatic failure in the case of the solar energy policy in Gujarat,
India.
The policy innovation lens can, in fact, help address fragmentation in
policy studies and leverage the growing interest in synthesizing policy
studies and transitions research. In a polycentric context, the processes
of invention, diffusion, and success (or failure) often occur simulta­
neously in different jurisdictions around the world, making it imperative
to understand whether and how they influence one another. Therefore,
apart from the importance of the three perspectives on policy innova­
tion, the lens as a whole emphasizes the need to study invention,
diffusion, and success in an integrated manner. Further, it calls for
combining notions around the policy context (such as policy paradigms
and policy regimes), policy actors (such as policy entrepreneurs and
policy networks), policy characteristics (such as policy design, and
policy processes (such as policy adoption, policy implementation, and
policy feedback) to explain long-term policy outcomes.
How, then, should scholars apply – and further develop – the policy
innovation lens for energy transitions research? In this study, we iden­
tified some publications applying the three perspectives – entrepre­
neurship or invention, diffusion, and success – individually to cases in
energy transitions. Future research should intensify their use in diverse
contexts in order to create generalizable knowledge on policy innova­
tion in energy transitions. In the case of policy success, attention should
also be paid to the process and political outcomes of public policy and
not only its programmatic outcomes.
In addition, we found that the notion of policy mixes has been used
more commonly in energy transitions research. A synthesis of the policy
innovation lens with this concept can facilitate the conceptual
advancement of both and the empirical advancement of energy transi­
tions research. For example, scholars could study questions such as:
what is policy invention in the context of policy mixes? why are some
policy mixes more credible, coherent, comprehensive, or consistent that
others? how does policy entrepreneurship influence the characteristics
of policy mixes? how do policy mixes influence the diffusion of public
policy? (see also, [274]) and, how do the different characteristics of
policy mixes influence programmatic, process, and political success?
Finally, analytical frameworks from the field of science & technology
studies have been used more extensively in energy transitions research
as indicated by the key themes identified in this study. Scholars should
examine synergies between these frameworks and the policy innovation
lens to understand the roles of policy invention, diffusion, and success in
sociotechnical transitions systematically. In a recent study, for example,
Derwort, Jager [275] have complemented the use of the multilevel
perspective with that of the multiple streams framework to show that, in
the case of the German energy transition, policy innovation resulted
from an interplay between socio-technical and political dynamics.
Scholars could build on this approach to further synthesize perspectives
on policy innovation with those on sociotechnical change.
To conclude, this study reviewed over 8000 publications on energy
transitions to identify the key themes in the scholarship, map conceptual
engagement with public policy, show the dearth of research on policy
innovation in the literature, and propose avenues for addressing this gap
in the future.
Declaration of competing interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial
interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence
the work reported in this paper.
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Whither policy innovation? Mapping conceptual engagement with public policy in energy transitions research

  • 1. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 Available online 7 May 2022 2214-6296/© 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Review Whither policy innovation? Mapping conceptual engagement with public policy in energy transitions research N. Goyal a,* , A. Taeihagh b , M. Howlett c a Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands b National University of Singapore, Singapore c Simon Fraser University, Canada A R T I C L E I N F O Keywords: Bibliometric review Computational text analysis Energy transition Policy diffusion Policy innovation Policy success A B S T R A C T A transition to sustainable energy will require not only technological diffusion and behavioral change, but also policy innovation. While research on energy transitions has generated an extensive literature, the extent to which it has used the policy innovation perspective – entailing policy entrepreneurship or invention, policy diffusion, and policy success – remains unclear. This study analyzes over 8000 publications on energy transitions through a bibliometric review and computational text analysis to create an overview of the scholarship, map conceptual engagement with public policy, and identify the use of the policy innovation lens in the literature. We find that: (i) though the importance of public policy is frequently highlighted in the research, the public policy itself is analyzed only occasionally; (ii) studies focusing on public policy have primarily engaged with the concepts of policy mixes, policy change, and policy process; and (iii) the notions of policy entrepreneurship or invention, policy diffusion, and policy success are hardly employed to understand the sources, speed, spread, or successes of energy transitions. We conclude that the value of the policy innovation lens for energy transitions research re­ mains untapped and propose avenues for scholars to harness this potential. 1. Introduction The research on energy transitions delves into qualitative, quanti­ tative, or geospatial shifts in how energy is sourced, delivered, or uti­ lized [1–6]. There is broad consensus in the literature that public policy plays a key role in initiating, accelerating, or supporting these activities and, thereby, energy transitions [7–9]. To better understand the re­ lationships of the policy context, policy process, policy design, and en­ ergy transitions, scholars have appealed for closer synthesis among the literature on energy research, public policy, and sustainability transi­ tions. Some avenues proposed for this include the use of concepts from policy studies in energy research [10], the adaptation of policy process theories to analyze the politics of transitions [11], the development of a strand of interdisciplinary research on policy mixes through integration of innovation studies and policy studies [12], the application of the research on policy transfer to study internationalization of socio- technical transitions [13], and the engagement with the notion of pol­ icy feedback for co-evolutionary assessment of policy mixes and socio- technical transitions [14]. Policy innovations that address “the root causes of… problems instead of the symptoms” will be key for sustainability transitions, generally, and energy transitions, specifically [15]. Policy innovation can be viewed as a multidimensional concept involving three perspec­ tives: policy invention, policy diffusion, and policy success [16]. Policy invention entails a radical change in policy objectives or instruments leading to a new policy [17], and policy diffusion denotes the (potential) spread of policy from one jurisdiction to other interdependent jurisdic­ tions [18]. Meanwhile, the notion of policy success recognizes the diverse outcomes of public policy and emphasizes the need to analyze these through ex-post evaluation [19,20]. Taken together, in a polycentric context – such as that of energy transitions – these can create a virtuous cycle of experimentation and learning that helps catalyze systemic transformation. The study of policy innovation is, therefore, useful for understanding the relationship(s) between public policy and energy transitions and for creating knowl­ edge on accelerating energy transitions [21–23]. This is not to say that this lens should replace other approaches to studying public policy in energy transitions – or even that innovation is always desirable [24] – but only that its use has high positive and normative relevance for the scholarly community and merits further attention. While existing studies * Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (N. Goyal). Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Energy Research & Social Science journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/erss https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2022.102632 Received 24 November 2021; Received in revised form 20 April 2022; Accepted 20 April 2022
  • 2. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 2 have reviewed conceptual engagement with public policy in energy transitions research broadly [10–12,25], whether, to what extent, and how the literature on energy transitions has used the policy innovation lens specifically remains unclear. The objective of this study is to shed light on policy innovation in energy transitions research. We pose the question: “(to what extent) does energy transitions research address policy innovation?” Here, we use the term energy transitions research broadly to refer to publications that mention the phrase ‘energy transition’ or the term ‘energy’ in the context of socio-technical transitions in their title, abstract, or keywords. To answer the question, we collect relevant bibliometric data of over 8000 publications on energy transitions and analyze it using a combi­ nation of topic modelling, term frequency analysis, term co-occurrence analysis, and a manual review. While this approach does not lend itself to an in-depth conceptual or narrative synthesis, it allows us to obtain a bird's eye view of the literature and systematically quantify the preva­ lence of themes, the mention of terms, and the co-occurrence of concepts in a large body of research. We contribute to the literature by: (i) identifying and ranking the key themes in energy transitions research; (ii) mapping the conceptual engagement with public policy in this scholarship; and (iii) proposing avenues for future research to harness, and further develop, the policy innovation lens. This article is structured as follows. In Section 2, we elaborate on the notion of policy innovation and emphasize its relevance for energy transitions research. Subsequently, we present the methods of data collection and analysis (Section 3). Section 4 presents the results of the study, including an overview of our dataset to set the context, the key themes in energy transitions research, and conceptual engagement with public policy in this scholarship. Finally, we conclude with an inter­ pretation of the findings, a discussion of their implications, and avenues for future research (Section 5). 2. Why policy innovation? In policy studies, public policy has been conceived as a combination of objectives and instruments, with each of these comprising a nested hierarchy of abstract (high-level), operationalizable (program-level), and on-the-ground (specific) elements [26]. Building on this, Howlett [17] proposes that change(s) at the abstract or operationalizable level in either policy objectives or policy instruments constitutes policy inno­ vation. While this conceptualization makes a distinction between in­ cremental, minor, or routine change on the one hand and fundamental, major, or rare change on the other hand, it adopts an output-centric view of policy innovation, i.e., of policy as a product. Further, it does not clarify whether such a change must be new or whether reversion to the old also constitutes policy innovation. In a more encompassing conceptualization, Jordan and Huitema [24] define policy innovation as “the process and/or product of seeking to develop new and/or widely adopted, and/or impactful policies, when existing ones are perceived to be under-performing.” Jordan and Huitema [16] suggest that the policy innovation lens comprises three perspectives on public policy: invention, diffusion, and success (see also [23]). The policy invention perspective focuses on the adoption of new policies (or new objectives or tools therein), often through experimentation and learning. Meanwhile, the policy diffusion perspective delves into processes that contribute to, or hinder, the spread of policies to other jurisdictions and resulting changes in the policy. The policy success perspective focuses on examining policy outcomes through careful ex-post evaluation. These perspectives have received attention – albeit, often in isolation – in the field of policy studies. Policy invention – more generally, policy change – has been analyzed in the literature on the policy process. Although the policy process is characterized in several – even incompatible – ways, scholars broadly agree that it is a multi-actor, multi-dimensional process occurring over a long time-period [27,28]. The most widely known ‘theories’ of the policy process include the policy stages heuristic [29–31], the multiple streams framework [32], the institutional analysis and development framework [33], the advocacy coalition framework [34,35], punctuated equilibrium theory [36], policy feedback theory [37], and the narrative policy framework [38]. These aim to explain both policy stability and policy change, and usually make a distinction between incremental change and radical change. The policy invention perspective is important for explaining and promoting energy transitions as it can shed light on the characteristics that lead to the creation of policy alternatives, the adoption of new policies, and the co-evolution of policy and technology. Illustratively, Llamosas, Upham [39] use the multiple streams framework to show that ‘regime resistance’ has thwarted efforts to introduce policy innovation in the energy system in Paraguay. Similarly, Karapin [40] argues that the veto power of fossil-fuel interests hinders policy innovation at the federal and the state level in the United States, slowing the energy transition. Also, Carmon and Fischhendler [41] explain the lack of stringency in the policy design on renewable energy targets based on the ‘friction’ between bureaucrats and politicians during the policy process. In assessing a ‘successful’ case, Argyriou [42] demonstrates that a combination of socioeconomic characteristics, political orientations, and third-sector entities drive policy innovation in commercial energy efficiency in Philadelphia. Jordan and Huitema [23] emphasize the activities of policy entre­ preneurs as a potential source of policy invention. Policy entrepre­ neurship – defined as “the coupling activities of like-minded individuals with different skills, knowledge and positions that take place simulta­ neously or at different stages in the policy process” [43] – has indeed been acknowledged as a key source of policy change within nearly every theoretical lens mentioned above [44–49]. Broadly, the literature of policy entrepreneurship has recognized it as a collective or institutional act [50–56] and identified the attributes, strategies, and influence of policy entrepreneurs in the policy process [57]. The study of policy entrepreneurship in the energy transitions can help ascertain the resources, strategies, and activities that contribute to policy invention and its diffusion. Albeit in the case of water policy, Huitema, Lebel [58] find that policy entrepreneurs contribute to water transitions, although their degree of influence depends on the institu­ tional setting. The authors argue that individuals can play a role in these processes through idea development, exploitation of windows of op­ portunity, venue shopping, coalition building, and network manage­ ment. Relatedly, Goyal, Howlett [59] synthesize research on policy entrepreneurship using the multiple streams framework to delineate six types of individual or collective entrepreneurs relevant to energy tran­ sitions: the problem broker, the policy entrepreneur, the process broker, the political entrepreneur, the program champion, and the technology innovator. The authors show how these different types of entrepreneurs contributed to a policy innovation in the energy-water nexus in India. The spread of (new) policies to other jurisdictions, too, has been examined using multiple theories in policy studies. Among others, these include policy assemblage [60], policy mobility and mutation [61], and policy translation [62]. While each of these offers unique insights into the processes by which policies spread – and their influence on policy design – the notions of policy diffusion [63,64] and policy transfer [65,66] are arguably the most mainstream. The literature on policy diffusion has focused mainly on the ‘mechanisms’ that explain patterns of horizontal diffusion (i.e., at the same level) or vertical diffusion (i.e., between hierarchically different levels) [67]. In contrast, the scholarship on policy transfer has emphasized the role of lesson drawing in this process [65,68]. Increasingly, scholars have argued for a synthesis of the research on diffusion and transfer to develop a better understanding of why and how policies spread [69,70]. The diffusion perspective is essential for energy transitions research as it can reveal the dynamics that facilitate the scaling up and scaling out of novel policies. For instance, Zimm [71] analyzes the global diffusion of policies concerning electric vehicles to find the socioeconomic N. Goyal et al.
  • 3. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 3 characteristics, political factors, and international mechanisms that can accelerate the transition to electric vehicles. Relatedly, Goyal [72] synthesizes policy diffusion and policy transfer and conceptualizes both using the multiple streams framework to explain the slow adoption of building energy codes in India. At the intersection of research on policy transfer and sustainability transitions, Pitt and Jones [13] introduce ‘scaling up and scaling out’ as a new mechanism of transfer and identify the conditions under which it can lead to success. Morton, Wilson [73] find that household characteristics such as age, education, building type, and household size influence the subnational ‘diffusion’ of energy effi­ ciency assessment in the United Kingdom. Bhamidipati, Haselip [74] document the process of policy ‘translation’ through which a coherent policy outcome was achieved in the case of renewable energy in Uganda. Recently, Heyen, Jacob [75] have argued for closer integration between the research on policy transfer and sustainability transitions to catalyze transformative change. The notion of policy success recognizes that, despite its positive connotation, invention does not necessarily translate into success on the ground, and policy outcomes should – therefore – be analyzed carefully [76]. While the early literature on the topic adopted a rationalist approach to policy evaluation, subsequent research has advanced a constructivist approach too [77]. In an attempt to bridge these, McConnell [20] has defined a policy as successful if “it achieves the goals that proponents set out to achieve and attracts no criticism of any significance and/or support is virtually universal” and proposed a heu­ ristic to assess success empirically. Such a view of policy success em­ phasizes the multidimensional nature of policy effects, spanning the program (such as the achievement of stated objectives), the process (such as procedural justice), and the politics of public policy (such as electoral repercussions) [20,78–82]. A study of policy success can, therefore, help present a nuanced ac­ count of the various effects of a policy, distinguish policies that have desirable outcomes in specific contexts from those that do not, and steer transitions towards justice and sustainability [83–85]. Illustratively, through a comparison of coal phase-out in Germany and the United Kingdom, Brauers, Oei [86] show that policy outcomes are affected by several actors, such as industries, environmental groups, and the gov­ ernment. In the case of the transition from solid fuels in South Africa, Matinga, Clancy [87] find that symbolic use of policy explained the non- implementation of the pro-poor energy policy of the South African government. In another example, Fontaine, Fuentes [88] use the policy design framework to show that the (intended) lack of congruence within the policy mix can help actors resisting change and undermine policy outcomes. Relatedly, in their evaluation of the energy efficiency policy mix in Finland, Kivimaa, Kangas [89] find that incoherence during policy implementation decreases effectiveness. Thus, the perspectives of policy entrepreneurship or invention, pol­ icy diffusion, and policy success can shed light on the interplay between public policy and energy transitions. In the next section, we describe how we locate and quantify the use of these perspectives – and the policy innovation lens – within energy transitions research. 3. Methods We conduct a bibliometric review and computational text analysis for this study using bibliometric data – i.e., data on authorship, insti­ tutional affiliation, publication title, abstract, keywords, cited refer­ ences, and so on – collected from the Web of Science database. As our interest was in capturing the body of work on energy transi­ tions – and not only research referring to public policy or policy inno­ vation – we searched the titles, abstracts, and keywords of the publications in the Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI) and the Book Citation Index-Social Sciences and Humanities (BKCI-SSH) for the following: (electricity OR energy OR power OR renewable OR smartgrid) AND (MLP OR “multilevel perspective” OR SNM OR “strategic niche management” OR “technological innovation system*” OR TIS OR transition). We iteratively revised the query based on a scan of the resulting dataset in each round. Our final query reflected three key changes. First, we qualified the presence of the term ‘power’ as it resulted in numerous articles on geopolitics and international relations not related to the energy domain. Second, we included a variant of the term ‘smartgrid’ (‘smart grid’) to incorporate additional literature. Third, we excluded articles mentioning the term ‘transition’ in another context not directly relevant to the energy domain. Consequently, our final search query – executed on July 05, 2021 – was: (electricity OR energy OR “power generation” OR “power system*” OR renewable OR smartgrid OR “smart grid*”) AND (MLP OR “multi­ level perspective” OR SNM OR “strategic niche management” OR “technological innovation system*” OR TIS OR transition) NOT (“de­ mographic transition*” OR “energy intake” OR “land?cover transition*” OR “land?use transition*” OR “nutrition transition*” OR “phase transi­ tion*”). While this reduced the number of irrelevant articles signifi­ cantly, several still remained. We addressed this problem by employing topic modelling (see below) to identify themes not pertaining to energy transitions by clustering publications based on their titles and abstracts. Specifically, we found two themes – the first about health and nutrition and the second about forestry, land cover, and land use – that were not relevant to energy transitions. After removing publications for which one of these was the most prominent theme, our final dataset consisted of 8442 publications that self-identify as pertaining to energy transitions or to energy in sustainability transitions (Fig. 1). To begin with, we conducted a bibliometric analysis to obtain an overview of our dataset and validate our search strategy. For this, we used the bibliometrix package [90] in the R programming environment to examine scientific activity over time, authorship, institutional collabo­ ration, and scientific production by country. Subsequently, we used topic modelling to identify the main themes in energy transitions research. Topic modelling is an unsupervised machine learning tech­ nique for ‘discovering’ latent themes (or topics) in a document collection based on the distribution of terms, i.e., words or phrases, in the text [91]. Specifically, we used the structural topic model to account for correla­ tion among topics, incorporate document-level metadata for topic dis­ covery, and implement the analysis in the R programming environment using the stm package [92]. To select the number of themes for this analysis – an input to the topic model – we examined models ranging from 10 to 25 themes using the searchK function in the stm package and chose the model with 15 themes, based on the held-out likelihood and semantic coherence of the alternatives. To prepare the dataset for computational text analysis, we employed the following procedure. First, we tokenized, annotated, and lemmat­ ized the publication text (i.e., titles and abstracts) using the udpipe package [93]. Second, identified commonly occurring phrases in the text and, where applicable, replaced sequences of words with phrases to increase the coherence of the analysis. Third, we removed the parts of speech that do not contain domain-relevant information – such as con­ jugations, determiners, and pronouns – from the text. Also, we removed terms that lend little discriminating power to our analysis but occur frequently in the English language or in our dataset (‘stop words’). Fourth, we implemented stemming, using the SnowballC package [94], to reduce terms to their root form and further enhance the coherence of our analysis. Once our analysis highlighted that policy innovation was not a key theme in this literature, we examined conceptual engagement with public policy by counting mentions of ‘policy’ OR ‘polici’, distilling terms that represent key concepts in policy studies, and investigating term co-occurrence to understand the context of their use. Our key aim in this analysis was to map public policy lenses that have been employed in energy transitions research and answer whether policy innovation was one among them. The limitations of this study should, however, be borne in mind while interpreting the results of these analyses. First, as we searched the SSCI and the BKCI-SSH in the Web of Science database for identifying N. Goyal et al.
  • 4. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 4 the literature, relevant studies that are not listed in these indices are not included in our analysis. Second, although a wide variety of policy areas, problems, and themes are relevant to energy transitions. Our search strategy focused only on studies that self-identified as pertaining to energy transitions or to energy in sociotechnical transitions. Conse­ quently, relevant studies that did not mention our search terms in their title, abstract, or keywords are not included in our analysis. Third, while our reliance on computational text analysis allowed us to analyze a large dataset, its findings are premised on lexical – rather than semantic – similarities with the concepts of interest to us. In contrast, manual text analysis would have enabled more fine-grained analysis, but would have limited the size of the literature that we could have reviewed. Fourth, we selected studies to illustrate the themes in the research based not on their centrality to the field, but on their topic proportion(s), the diversity of studies within the themes, and our prior knowledge of the theme. Fifth, we did not validate the findings with other scholars active in en­ ergy transitions research or policy studies. 4. Results 4.1. An overview of the dataset In this sub-section, we present a brief overview of our dataset to show that our search strategy identified the relevant literature and set the context for the analysis. As mentioned earlier, the final dataset consists of 8442 publications on energy transitions. The earliest publications in this research area – written in the aftermath of the oil crisis – discussed the impending en­ ergy transition, resource scarcity, sustainable energy, and the role of public policy [95–99]. While research activity was moderate during the previous century, it witnessed sustained growth after 2005 and has increased exponentially since 2015 (Fig. 2), possibly indicating a policy- driven and normative response to the declaration of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the adoption of the Paris Agreement on climate change. As per our dataset, over 18,000 scholars have authored publications on energy transitions. Of these, approximately 400 have more than five publications and over a hundred scholars have 10 or more publications in this area, indicating an active research community. The most pub­ lished authors in this dataset include B. K. Sovacool [4,100,101], F. Krausmann [102,103], B. Q. Lin [104,105], M. P. Hekkert [106,107], and D. P. van Vuuren [108,109]. Noticeably, among the most prolific scholars in this field, only D. J. Hess and F. Kern engage actively with policy studies or political science, while the rest focus on science & technology studies, philosophy, or other social sciences (Table 1). Although scholars publishing in this research area represent over 4000 research institutions, approximately only 130 institutions world­ wide are mentioned on 25 or more occasions.1 A look at the top in­ stitutions in this area – the University of Sussex, Utrecht University, the University of Leeds, the Delft University of Technology, and the Uni­ versity of Oxford – reveals a large European (specifically, British and Dutch) presence in this field. A co-authorship network among the top 30 institutions shows the presence of three clusters: the first of institutions Fig. 1. The steps for selecting publications on energy transitions. 0 500 1000 1500 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Fig. 2. The number of publications on energy transitions over time. Publica­ tions for the year 2021 are not shown in the figure for consistency. Table 1 The most prolific authors in energy transitions research based on our dataset. Author Publications Author Publications B. K. Sovacool 81 P. Kivimaa 23 F. Krausmann 37 R. Raven 23 B. Q. Lin 32 D. J. Hess 21 M. P. Hekkert 29 F. Kern 21 D. P. van Vuuren 27 J. Markard 21 T. J. Foxon 26 S. Ginrich 20 F. W. Geels 24 M. Martiskainen 20 1 We count multiple authors from an institution or multiple publications by an author as distinct occurrences. N. Goyal et al.
  • 5. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 5 mainly in the Netherlands and Scandinavia, the second of institutions primarily in the United Kingdom, and the third of institutions in China and the United States (Fig. 3). With the exception of China, the only non- OECD countries among the top 30 in scientific activity are India (19), Brazil (22), and South Africa (27). This reveals a geographic bias in scientific activity – and, possibly, focus – in energy transitions research. 4.2. Key themes in energy transitions research We analyze the topics in the literature to ascertain whether public policy (and more specifically, policy innovation) is a prominent theme. A topic model reveals the presence of various analytical approaches and empirical issues that have been covered in the literature on energy transitions (Fig. 4). The most prevalent theme in the dataset is Theme 1 on ‘Socio-tech­ nical transition.’ The primarily focus here is the conceptual advance­ ment of sustainability transitions and its empirical application to climate change or the energy system. Illustratively, studies in this theme delve into the role of agency [110], community energy [111], community leadership in grassroots innovation [112], ecologies of participation [113], the geographies of transitions [114,115], intermediaries [116], and the role of non-traditional actors [117]. The challenge of transitioning away from high‑carbon energy, spe­ cifically, is deliberated on in more detail in Theme 2 on ‘Fossil fuel de­ pendency’, wherein scholars focus on topics such as energy security [118], the future of coal, oil, and shale gas [119–122], lesson drawing from historical transitions [123,124], and pathways for emerging economies [125]. Relatedly, ‘Climate change mitigation’ is discussed predominantly in Theme 5. Studies in this theme analyze topics con­ cerning decarbonization alternatives [126–128], national climate ambition [129–132], net-zero energy system [133], and the role of public policy [134]. Adopting a more nexus approach, Theme 3 on ‘Economy and energy’ highlights the complex relationship among the economy, energy production and use, and the environment, often in the case of China [135–141]. Studies in this theme also explore the effects of technological progress on energy use [142]. Relatedly, studies in Theme 4 on ‘Resource flows’ conduct lifecycle analyses relevant to energy produc­ tion or use [143], examine the food-energy-water nexus [144,145], and advance scholarship on measuring resource efficiency [146,147]. This theme has also witnessed research activity on bioeconomy [148] and circular economy [149–151]. Some themes shed light on the relationship between energy transi­ tions and society. Theme 7 on ‘Industry and innovation’, for example, discusses the role of business in influencing technology or service innovation [152–158] as well as the influence of the energy transition on corporates [159]. Meanwhile, Theme 13 on ‘Behavior and consumption’ engages with the demand for energy. Illustratively, studies in this theme delve into topics surrounding participation in community energy ini­ tiatives [160], electric vehicles [161–164], smart grids [165,166], social acceptance, and willingness to pay [167]. Similar to Theme 13 in its focus on behavior, Theme 14 delves into ‘Energy access’ at the house­ hold level, with studies examining energy inequity and poverty [168–170], fuelwood use [171], household preferences for energy [172,173], willingness to pay [174], and the effect of access on social development [175,176]. Several themes are concerned with the role of renewable energy in energy transitions. Theme 9 on ‘Renewable energy integration’ delves into the potential [177], sociotechnical feasibility [178–181], and benefits of high renewable energy penetration [182], as well as the regulatory and technology alternatives for realizing it [183–185]. While studies in Theme 9 focus more on solar energy, Theme 11 concentrates predominantly on the role of ‘Wind energy’ by studying the diffusion of clean energy [107,186–188], project implementation and social accep­ tance [189,190], and energy planning and policy at the local, national, or supranational level [191–193]. The use of the technological innova­ tion system perspective is also prominent in this theme. Relatedly, Theme 15 on ‘Financing and investment’ is concerned with realizing univ sussex u u u u u u u u u u u u u u u u univ sus u u un ni un ni i i i u u u u u u u u u uni i i u u u u univ suss u u u u u u u u u u u u u univ sus u u u u u u u u u u u u u u u univ utrecht u u u u u u u u u univ utr un u u u un n n n niv univ utr u u u u u u u u univ utr u u u u u u univ leeds univ l u u un univ le univ le delft univ technol delf del del del el elft univ ft f f lft univ f l l lft univ f lf lf lf univ oxford u univ o u univ ox u univ ox u u tsinghua univ singhu singhu singhu univ calif berkeley v cali v calif v calif lund univ lund lund lund univ manchester niv man niv man niv man cardiff univ cardi cardif cardif imperial coll london ndon on rial rial rial swiss fed inst technol nst tech hnol fed i fed i fed i univ cambridge mbridge mbridge ambri m g ge e e niv ca a niv cam am am niv ca a a us univ s univ s univ s us aa aarhu u u u hu hus s s s u aa hu us us us u aa vrije univ amsterdam m amsterdam rdam mster amsterdam amsterda v am er er e am m a univ univ v univ univ queensland eensland ueensland ueenslan ueen quee u d d d qu sl sl s s nd d d d d q q q q q v qu q q q v q q q q q dinburgh inburgh dinburgh univ edinbu dinbur dinbu di dinb d din d ed ed e e iv ed ed d ed d ed ed e e e e e v niv ed d d d d d d d e e e niv ed d d d d d d e e e e univ niv niv org un rg un g u g aalbo org un bor bo bo un n un albo b b b albo bo b b albo b b b hno hnol ech ch univ te univ te eindhoven un uni un u n u n u h h v ec echnol h v v i hnol l ech h ec ven n n n n n en e e e v oven n n n en e e v oven n n n n n en e e v helsinki lsin helsink univ he he h h v ni n n nki nki i i n n ki nki ink iv v v v v i n n n niv v v ni n n n n niv v v v ni n n n n n ter r er t v exeter e xete exete exet e v ex univ v e iv iv ni un u ter r er e t r r r r exe e ex e niv v v u iv i ni i n n un niv v v u v iv i i n un u univ v v u v iv i i n n u s uni s un mus un us mus u mu mus u mu mus mu erasm m m m sm m a ra a ra a erasmus univ univ niv erasmus univ er er r iv niv iv v un un s univ u univ us un s s u un asm m m sm sm sm a a a a a asm m m m m r m m m sm m a a a ra a asm m m m m sm m s s a a a ra a en oning on nin groni ron ronin ro gron gron gr univ g gr g g v v v ni ni i univ groningen ninge ng univ groningen uni un un gen en ingen oning oni ning onin on oni i v g g g g g g g g g g v v v iv g g g g g g g g g v v v iv g g g g g g g g g g g v v v univ univ un lto u o to u o aal alt al a a a a a a o un o o u o aalt a a a a a a a a aalt t aal a a a a a aalt t aal a a a a a state univ state sta s sta a s a a a a arizona rizona na na na n n o o o o o zo ar ariz iz ari r z ar a a a ta ta st s s a st s a s a a a na na n n n n n n n n n n n n n natl univ n n lian lian an an an an a ia ia ia ia i tral ra r str t t st t li li li l l al al l l ra tr tr tr str tr aust au us au au au a a austr str au au u a a an an n lia a ia ia i l l al l l l a alia a a a a a i a a ali l l l l l al l a ia a a ia a i a al l l l al al l l a rs univ technol s u un u u rs s u u u s u s u s s s r r lme me m me m m alm m l r r er er r r e e e alm m lm chalm al al lm l ch cha a c ch chalm lm lm lm cha al a ch cha c rs rs s s s s s rs r er r r r e ers s s s s rs s e er r r r e e e ers s s s s rs er r r e e normal univ orm orm o n no n n n beijing eij g ijing g b beijing be g g g g g n n n n n n n n n n g g g g g g g g g g g a elect power univ a le a a le e a a a a a a a a a a h china hi ch hin h na h c a a a a north no th or rth rt th th univ michigan uni un un v u v u u v v un u un u Fig. 3. Inter-institutional collaboration among the top 30 institutions in energy transitions research. Here, collaboration is defined as a co-authorship relationship. A link between two nodes indicates a co-authorship relationship. Node size indicates the number of co-authorship relationships identified in the dataset. Nodes are clustered using the Louvain method based on the edges connecting them. N. Goyal et al.
  • 6. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 6 actor commun conceptu emerg energy justic experiment framework literatur organis practic process role social sociotechn sociotechnical system sociotechnical transit sustainability transit transit base build ce circular economi citi develop environment food indic integr recycl sustain sustainable develop system urban wast water busi business model compani develop enterpris firm green industri innov market organ sector strategi technologi technological innov transit base calcul comput data dynam forecast model optim paramet predict price propos simul time volatil accept adopt attitud behaviour car consum electric vehicl ev individu inform particip percept prefer prosum smart grid user coal countri economi energi energy secur fossil fuel global hydrogen mine miner natural ga oil resourc russia transit world achiev carbon carbon transit cc climat decarbon decarbonis emiss ghg ghg emiss greenhouse ga greenhouse gas emiss low low carbon reduc scenario sector target transport effect eu european union govern implement instrument legal market polici policy mix promot reform regul regulatori state tax barrier cooper develop diffus energy transit factor german germani innovation system local municip netherland region renewable energi support technological innovation system ti wind energi access cook energi energy poverti fuel health household incom increas india lpg rural rural area rural household stove transit china co2 emiss converg countri decoupl economi economic growth effect energy consumpt energy intens gdp increas industri provinc region renewable energy consumpt argu care chang coalit conflict contest debat democrat discours govern movement narr polit power regim resist state capac cost electr electricity gener electricity system gener grid heat increas instal plant power power gener power pl power system pv renew solar system cluster decis energi energy system energy transit expert futur make plan present quantit scenario societ sustainable energi uncertainti vision asset bank capit cost financ financi fund invest investor profit project renew renewable energi risk 13: Behavior and consumption 14: Energy access 15: Financing and investment 10: Energy modelling 11: Wind energy 12: Energy future 7: Industry and innovation 8: Governance and policy 9: Renewable energy integration 4: Resource flows 5: Climate change mitigation 6: Politics and power 1: Sociotechnical transition 2: Fossil fuel dependency 3: Economy and energy Fig. 4. The main themes in energy transitions research. Themes are arranged in descending order of prevalence, from left to right and top to bottom. The key terms associated with each theme are arranged based on probability of occurrence within the theme (x-axis) and exclusivity to that theme (y-axis). N. Goyal et al.
  • 7. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 7 renewable energy on the ground through an emphasis on competitive­ ness of renewable energy [194], energy financing [195–197], renewable energy investment [198–201], the role of electricity utilities [202], and policy advice [203]. With an interest in predicting, anticipating, or responding to the future, Theme 10 on ‘Energy modelling’ is concerned with trend analysis and short-term forecasting [204] of phenomena such as energy con­ sumption [205,206], energy demand [207], energy market volatility [208], price of energy [209,210]. While several studies use economet­ rics for these, the use of machine learning techniques, such as artificial neural networks or support vector machines, has also become increas­ ingly popular. In contrast to Theme 10, Theme 12 on ‘Energy future’ focuses on long-term scenario building to address uncertainty in energy transitions [211–218]. With a different perspective and analytical focus from the above, Theme 6 on ‘Politics and power’ emphasizes the contested nature of energy transitions. Illustratively, studies in this theme delve into topics such as collective action [219], conflict between business and civil so­ ciety [220], energy democracy [221], energy discourse [222–224], en­ ergy practices [225], social movements [226], and public participation [227]. Finally, only Theme 8 explicitly focuses on ‘Governance and policy’ with studies examining topics such as electricity market reform [228], governance capacity [229], policy implementation [230,231], policy process [232], renewable portfolio standards [233], and regula­ tory inefficiency [234]. This analysis shows that several themes acknowledge the importance of policy. This is further corroborated by examining the most frequently occurring terms related to policy within each theme (Table 2). While the most common use of policy is descriptive, the notions of policy process (Theme 1 on ‘Sociotechnical transition’), policy change (Theme 6 on ‘Politics and power’), policy tool (Theme 7 on ‘Industry and innovation’ and Theme 10 on ‘Energy modelling’), policy mixes and policy instru­ ment (Theme 8 on ‘Governance and policy’), and policy design (Theme 12 on ‘Energy future’) have been invoked in the literature. However, policy innovation itself is not a prominent theme in the research and only theme 8 on ‘Governance and policy’ (with median prevalence in the dataset) focuses explicitly on public policy. To understand the extent to which studies in this – and the remaining themes – address policy innovation, we analyze the conceptual engagement with public policy in this literature. 4.3. Conceptual engagement with public policy Although the word policy has been mentioned over 9000 times in this dataset, either by itself or as part of a phrase, its most common occurrences indicate descriptive use of the term. These include policy areas – such as ‘energy polici’ (n > 600), ‘climate [change] polici’ (n > 450), ‘environmental polici’ (n > 150), ‘renewable energy polici’ (n > 100), and ‘innovation polici’ (n > 75) – or terms suggesting policy relevance rather than policy analysis, such as ‘policy mak[er/ing]’ (n > 800), ‘policy impl[ication]’ (n > 150), ‘public polici’ (n > 100), and ‘policy recommend[ation]’ (n > 75). The frequently occurring terms indicating plausible conceptual engagement with public policy include ‘policy mix[es]’ (n ~ 200), ‘policy instru[ment]’ (n ~ 150), ‘policy design’ (n ~ 90), ‘policy chang[e]’ (n ~ 90), ‘policy process’ (n ~ 50), and ‘policy go[al]’ (n ~ 50). In contrast, terms such as ‘policy innov [ation]’ (n ~ 25), ‘policy outcom[es]’ (n ~ 20), and policy ‘evalu [ation]’ (n ~ 19) have been mentioned on few occasions and terms such as policy entrepreneurship, policy invention, policy diffusion, policy transfer, and policy success find hardly any mention in this literature. A correlation network of concepts from policy studies with 10 or more occurrences in the dataset is shown in Fig. 5. As seen in this figure, a large strand of the literature delves into policy design in the form of policy instruments, policy mixes, or policy packages. While some studies investigate individual policy instruments [235–237], others also recognize that different policy instruments can interact with one another. Kern and Howlett [238], for example, argue that characteristics of policy mixes – such as consistency, coherence, and congruency – in­ fluence socio-technical outcomes in (energy) transitions (see also, [239]). The notion of policy mixes has, consequently, witnessed con­ ceptual and empirical advancement, with scholars viewing it as a multidimensional concept consisting of processes, elements, and char­ acteristics and operationalizing it to capture the interaction(s) of public policy and energy transitions [240,241]. In addition, the concept has been used normatively, for example, to advocate for policy mixes that facilitate creation of the new with ‘destabilization of the old’ [242] or foster energy democracy [243]. Recently, the integration of the concept of policy mixes with that of policy feedback has been proposed to examine the co-evolution of policy mixes and sustainability transitions [14]. The notion of policy change has been discussed in the context of energy transitions, albeit often descriptively. Several studies do, how­ ever, engage with the concept – especially using the advocacy coalition framework [34] – while examining regime dynamics in the energy system [244,245]. In an example of a study synthesizing policy change and policy mixes, Li and Taeihagh [246] conduct a temporal analysis of policy design, instruments' interaction, and evolution of mixes in China during 1981–2020. More generally, Kern, Kuzemko [247] develop a framework to measure policy (paradigm) change while Schmidt and Sewerin [248] propose an approach to measure policy (mix) change in the context of energy transitions. Relatedly, the policy process has received some attention in energy transitions research. Studies have documented, for example, the differ­ ence in the (energy) policy process between the national and the Table 2 The most frequently occurring terms related to policy in each theme. 1: Sociotechnical transition 2: Fossil fuel dependency 3: Economy and energy 4: Resource flows 5: Climate change mitigation Policy process Energy polici Policy impl[ication] Policy mak[er/ing] Climate polici Policy intervent[ion] Policy decis[ion] Environmental polici Policy analysi[s] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy act[ion] Policy mak[er/ing] National polici Policy scenario Policy docu[ment] Policy opt[ion] Policy recommend[ation] Policy strategi Policy relev[ance] Policy analysi[s] Economic polici Economic polici Environmental polici Policy recommend[ation] 6: Politics and power 7: Industry and innovation 8: Governance and policy 9: Renewable energy integration 10: Energy modelling Energy polici Innovation polici Energy polici Policy mak[er/ing] Policy scenario Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mix[es] Policy decis[ion] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy chang[e] Policy support Policy instru[ment] Policy recommend[ation] Policy tool Industrial polici Policy perspect[ive] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy support Policy perspect[ive] Climate polici Policy tool Environmental polici Policy impl[ication] Economic polici 11: Wind energy 12: Energy future 13: Behavior and consumption 14: Energy access 15: Financing and investment Policy mak[er/ing] Energy polici Policy mak[er/ing] Policy impl[ication] Policy impl[ication] National polici Policy mak[er/ing] Policy impl[ication] Policy intervent[ion] Effective polici Energy transition polici Policy impl[ication] Policy intervent[ion] Policy mak[er/ing] Policy mak[er/ing] Local polici Policy design Policy develop[ment] Energy efficiency polici Policy support Policy impl[ication] Policy develop[ment] Policy recommend[ation] Energy polici Policy opt[ion] N. Goyal et al.
  • 8. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 8 subnational level [249], the role of incumbent energy generating com­ panies in lobbying for status quo [250], the challenge(s) of policy co­ ordination given the complex, multi-objective, and uncertain nature of the energy system [251], the ‘translation’ of transnational policy to the national level, especially within the European Union [252], and the effect of inclusivity in the policy process on niche development [253]. A stage of the policy process, policy implementation has been studied, for example, in the context of contestation at the local level in the top-down push for energy infrastructure [254], challenges in translating national policy at the local level [255], and policy dismantling by veto players [256]. The notion of policy feedback, too, has been invoked to capture the influence of path dependence, politics, and vicious (or virtuous) cycles in governance and policy-making in the energy transitions [257–260]. This analysis shows that several studies use the term policy (and associated phrases) descriptively rather than analytically. Further, even among studies that demonstrate conceptual engagement with public policy, a majority focus on topics such as policy mixes, policy change, policy process, policy implementation, and policy feedback. Within the context of these topics, or otherwise, few studies have used the policy innovation lens and delved into phenomena such as policy entrepre­ neurship, policy invention, policy diffusion, policy transfer, policy out­ comes, and policy success. 5. Discussion and conclusion This study examined over 8000 publications on energy transitions to answer the question: (to what extent) does energy transitions research address policy innovation? Using topic modelling, we identified 15 themes in the literature (in descending order of prevalence): socio­ technical transition, fossil fuel dependency, economy and energy, resource flows, climate change mitigation, politics and power, industry and innovation, governance and policy, renewable energy integration, energy modelling, wind energy, energy future, behavior and consumption, energy access, and financing and investment. Thus, while ‘governance and policy’ was discovered as a key theme – and studies in several other themes acknowledged the importance of public policy – policy innovation itself is not a prominent theme in this research. To further understand the extent to which the literature has addressed policy innovation, we mapped conceptual engagement with public policy using term frequency analysis and term co-occurrence analysis. The analysis showed that although the term policy has been mentioned over 9000 times in our dataset, most uses of the term are descriptive rather than analytical. Further, while the notions of policy mixes, policy change, policy process, and – to a lesser extent – policy implementation and policy feedback have received attention in the literature, the policy innovation lens has hardly been used. Some studies have referred to notions of policy innovation, policy evaluation, or policy outcomes, but almost none have delved into policy invention, policy entrepreneurship, policy diffusion, policy transfer, or policy success, despite their relevance for energy transitions. On the whole, the findings indicate that we know little about policy innovation – and how to promote it – in the context of energy transitions. Our findings are comparable to similar reviews conducted previ­ ously. Illustratively, in an exploratory review of research on energy policy in the Netherlands, Hoppe, Coenen [10] had found that policy studies' concepts were employed in only approximately one-fourth of the publications on the topic and that policy studies scholars had neglected energy policy to some extent. Similarly, in a bibliometric review of over 2700 publications on energy policy in India, Goyal [25] showed that while numerous studies emphasized policy relevance, analysis for policy and analysis of policy were both limited. Also, in their systematic review of nearly 200 social science studies on transformation for climate change mitigation (of which over 50% focused on energy), Moore, Verfuerth [261] found that only about half of the publications employed any theory and that only 17 publications used a theory from political science. Our study hints at several reasons for why the analysis has unfolded policy mix policy instru policy formul policy packag policy innov policy feedback policy evalu policy network policy design policy integr policy target policy agenda policy outcom policy chang policy implement policy tool policy regim policy process policy go yangtze river delta instrument packag 3e feedback building cod instrument mix green new d gas polici policy pathwai llcei properli building energy effici carbon pr sphere transport polici positive feedback policy effort societal challeng policy domain such polici innovation polici yunnan inhibitor energy decentr sustainability transit nb bh political dynam material effici instabl network govern devolut social network analysi corrupt financial incent mix political context avenu fc loan green busi saxoni seawat practis isra longitudin alternative polici jatropha advocacy coalit bureaucrat biodiesel nongovernment regulatory polici stringenc silver landlord polici multiregim eol owp cpi paraguai entropi oversight stall social outcom transport energi chinese economi coher cellulos innovation studi chinese govern policy landscap creative destruct dsm dutch energi substanc inject noteworthi mrio henan housing sector mover nonmonetari key polici analogi multiobject prerequisit fyp green bond advocaci orderli rmb partisanship Fig. 5. Correlation network of concepts in policy studies. The nodes represent the phrases used in the literature. A link between two phrases indicates a correlation of 0.10 or more. The color intensity of the link indicates the strength of the correlation. N. Goyal et al.
  • 9. Energy Research & Social Science 89 (2022) 102632 9 in this manner. First, a look at the most prolific scholars in this field reveals that few have a background in policy studies. This may be the case as energy transitions research is largely normative in nature, with limited engagement of the social sciences [262], while policy studies have a more (post-)positivist and interpretivist orientation. A change in the status quo, however, will require greater participation of policy studies scholars in energy transitions research as well as more interest in concepts in public policy (including the policy innovation lens) from researchers studying energy transitions. Second, and relatedly, our bibliometric review indicated that scien­ tific activity in this research area is Europe-centric and select institutions – in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, particularly – play a dominant role in advancing the scholarship, with limited institutional and country collaboration. While this is problematic for the advance­ ment of the scholarship, it also has an implication for the engagement with policy studies. In a review of publications in a top policy sciences journal, Goyal [263] had found that nearly 80% of the corresponding authors were based in North America (see also [264]). A concerted effort at diversification of theoretical perspectives and/or pan-Atlantic collaboration may then be necessary for cross-fertilization in energy transitions research and policy studies. Third, traditional theories of the policy process (and other concepts in policy studies) may be perceived as having limited applicability in explaining phenomena in complex sociotechnical systems. Lovell [265], for example, argues that theories of the policy process must incorporate the role of technology in order to explain radical policy change in a sociotechnical system involving durable infrastructure, such as the low- energy housing sector in the United Kingdom. In another study, Lovell, Bulkeley [266] lament the ability of theories of the policy process to explain change in a context involving the convergence of multiple policy areas and/or networks (such as climate change and energy). Similarly, Kern and Rogge [11] find theories of the policy process to be unsuitable for examining sociotechnical transitions due to their focus on single policy instruments (rather than instrument mixes) and lack of attention to policy outcomes. Fourth, and relatedly, fragmentation in policy studies could be another reason for its sparse application (and perceived limited appli­ cability) in energy transitions research. For example, our co-occurrence analysis showed that the notion of policy mixes has been frequently combined with those of policy evaluation/outcomes, policy feedback, and policy process, thereby moving towards a holistic framework of analysis. In contrast, concepts such as policy agendas, policy formula­ tion, policy goals, (to a lesser extent) policy implementation, policy innovation, policy networks, and policy regimes have been used largely in isolation. This problem of fragmentation of concepts in policy studies has been previously highlighted as a reason for its untapped potential in creating and mobilizing policy-relevant knowledge [267–269]. While this criticism of policy studies is largely valid, recent research has shown that theories of the policy process can be adapted – and even advanced – through applications in complex sociotechnical systems. Goyal, Howlett [59] and Goyal, Howlett [270], for example, have adapted the multiple streams framework to explain a policy invention in energy-water nexus in India and the emergence of the General Data Protection Regulation in the European Union, both of which involved significant policy-technology interaction (see also [271]). Similarly, Dolan [272] has (re-)introduced the notion of partial couplings within the multiple streams framework to explain policy change at the convergence of disaster management and climate change adaptation. Also, Schmid, Sewerin [245] have synthesized the advocacy coalition framework with policy feedback theory to link policy change with policy outcomes and subsequent coalition change in the case of the German energy transition. Relatedly, Goyal [273] has conceptualized policy success using the multiple streams framework to show how the coupling among problem, policy, and politics led to political success despite programmatic failure in the case of the solar energy policy in Gujarat, India. The policy innovation lens can, in fact, help address fragmentation in policy studies and leverage the growing interest in synthesizing policy studies and transitions research. In a polycentric context, the processes of invention, diffusion, and success (or failure) often occur simulta­ neously in different jurisdictions around the world, making it imperative to understand whether and how they influence one another. Therefore, apart from the importance of the three perspectives on policy innova­ tion, the lens as a whole emphasizes the need to study invention, diffusion, and success in an integrated manner. Further, it calls for combining notions around the policy context (such as policy paradigms and policy regimes), policy actors (such as policy entrepreneurs and policy networks), policy characteristics (such as policy design, and policy processes (such as policy adoption, policy implementation, and policy feedback) to explain long-term policy outcomes. How, then, should scholars apply – and further develop – the policy innovation lens for energy transitions research? In this study, we iden­ tified some publications applying the three perspectives – entrepre­ neurship or invention, diffusion, and success – individually to cases in energy transitions. Future research should intensify their use in diverse contexts in order to create generalizable knowledge on policy innova­ tion in energy transitions. In the case of policy success, attention should also be paid to the process and political outcomes of public policy and not only its programmatic outcomes. In addition, we found that the notion of policy mixes has been used more commonly in energy transitions research. A synthesis of the policy innovation lens with this concept can facilitate the conceptual advancement of both and the empirical advancement of energy transi­ tions research. For example, scholars could study questions such as: what is policy invention in the context of policy mixes? why are some policy mixes more credible, coherent, comprehensive, or consistent that others? how does policy entrepreneurship influence the characteristics of policy mixes? how do policy mixes influence the diffusion of public policy? (see also, [274]) and, how do the different characteristics of policy mixes influence programmatic, process, and political success? Finally, analytical frameworks from the field of science & technology studies have been used more extensively in energy transitions research as indicated by the key themes identified in this study. Scholars should examine synergies between these frameworks and the policy innovation lens to understand the roles of policy invention, diffusion, and success in sociotechnical transitions systematically. In a recent study, for example, Derwort, Jager [275] have complemented the use of the multilevel perspective with that of the multiple streams framework to show that, in the case of the German energy transition, policy innovation resulted from an interplay between socio-technical and political dynamics. Scholars could build on this approach to further synthesize perspectives on policy innovation with those on sociotechnical change. To conclude, this study reviewed over 8000 publications on energy transitions to identify the key themes in the scholarship, map conceptual engagement with public policy, show the dearth of research on policy innovation in the literature, and propose avenues for addressing this gap in the future. Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. References [1] G. Bridge, et al., Geographies of energy transition: space, place and the low- carbon economy, Energy Policy 53 (2013) 331–340. [2] D. Gielen, et al., The role of renewable energy in the global energy transformation, Energy Strat. Rev. 24 (2019) 38–50. [3] G. Verbong, F. Geels, The ongoing energy transition: lessons from a socio- technical, multi-level analysis of the dutch electricity system (1960–2004), Energy Policy 35 (2) (2007) 1025–1037. N. Goyal et al.
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