GOLD
Historical performances of GOLD ever since
 1979.
 Also follows a brief analytical study giving a
 view on behavioral pattern of GOLD.

 The following slides only shows glimpses of GOLD
To understand the details and the latest developments,
     visit our website IEDForum or contact us at
         contact@iedforum.com / 8108-310-310
GOLD 30 years Rolling Return (CAGR)
              25000




              20000




              15000
Value (Rs.)




              10000




               5000




                  0



                                         year
CAGR
YEAR   GOLD PRICE
                                                         (%)
       /10 gm (Rs)
              No. of years     1        2       3       5       7      10      15      20      25
1979        937
1980       1330               41.94
1981       1800               35.34     38.60
1982       1645                -8.61    11.21   20.64
1983       1800                 9.42     0.00   10.61
1984       1970                 9.44     9.43    3.05   16.02
1985       2130                 8.12     8.78    8.99    9.88
1986       2140                 0.47     4.23    5.94    3.52   12.52
1987       2570               20.09      9.84    9.27    9.33    9.87
1988       3130               21.79     20.94   13.69   11.70    8.22
1989       3140                 0.32    10.53   13.63    9.77    9.68   12.85
1990       3200                 1.91     1.11    7.58    8.48    8.57    9.18
1991       3466                 8.31     5.06    3.46   10.12    8.41    6.77
1992       4334               25.04     16.38   11.34   11.02   10.68   10.17
1993       4140                -4.48     9.29    8.96    5.75    9.89    8.69
1994       4598               11.06      3.00    9.88    7.93    8.67    8.85   11.19
1995       4680                 1.78     6.32    2.59    7.90    5.91    8.19    8.75
1996       5160               10.26      5.94    7.62    8.28    7.35    9.20    7.27
1997       4725                -8.43     0.48    0.91    1.74    5.73    6.28    7.29
1998       4045               -14.39   -11.46   -4.74   -0.46    2.23    2.60    5.55
1999       4234                 4.67    -5.34   -6.38   -1.64   -0.33    3.03    5.23   10.58
2000       4400                 3.92     4.30   -2.35   -1.23    0.87    3.24    4.96    8.30
2001       4300                -2.27     0.78    2.06   -3.58   -0.95    2.18    4.76    5.98
2002       4990               16.05      6.49    5.63    1.10    0.92    1.42    4.52    7.68
2003       5600               12.22     14.12    8.37    6.72    1.18    3.07    3.95    7.86
2004       5850                 4.46     8.27   10.81    6.68    3.10    2.44    4.24    7.53    7.60
2005       7000               19.66     11.80   11.94    9.73    8.15    4.11    5.36    8.25    6.87
2006       8400               20.00     19.83   14.47   14.33   10.28    4.99    6.08    9.54    6.36
2007       10800              28.57     24.21   22.67   16.70   13.69    8.62    6.28   10.04    7.82
2008       12500              15.74     21.99   21.32   17.42   16.47   11.94    7.65    9.67    8.06
2009       14500              16.00     15.87   19.96   19.91   16.46   13.10    7.96   10.74    8.31
2010       18500              27.59     21.66   19.65   21.45   18.62   15.44    9.60   12.41    9.03
2011      23747.5             28.36     27.97   23.85   23.10   22.16   18.64   10.71   13.69   10.11
No. of Years            1        2       3       5       7       10      15      20      25




Average Return
                      11.39    10.38    9.51    8.99    8.40    7.61    6.74    9.41    8.02
(%)



Probability of loss   5/32     2/31     3/30    4/28    2/26    0/23    0/18    0/13    0/8




Mean (%)              13.78    13.57    8.74    9.76    10.60   10.03   7.57    9.83    8.23




Maximum (%)           41.94    38.60    23.85   23.10   22.16   18.64   11.19   13.69   10.11




Minimum (%)           -14.39   -11.46   -6.38   -3.58   -0.95   1.42    3.95    5.98    6.36
Max vs Avg vs Min
           50.00




           40.00




           30.00




           20.00
CAGR (%)




                                                                         max
                                                                         avg
                                                                         min
           10.00




            0.00
                    1   2   3     5        7         10   15   20   25




           -10.00




           -20.00
                                      no. of years
GOLD

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GOLD

  • 2. Historical performances of GOLD ever since 1979. Also follows a brief analytical study giving a view on behavioral pattern of GOLD. The following slides only shows glimpses of GOLD To understand the details and the latest developments, visit our website IEDForum or contact us at [email protected] / 8108-310-310
  • 3. GOLD 30 years Rolling Return (CAGR) 25000 20000 15000 Value (Rs.) 10000 5000 0 year
  • 4. CAGR YEAR GOLD PRICE (%) /10 gm (Rs) No. of years 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25 1979 937 1980 1330 41.94 1981 1800 35.34 38.60 1982 1645 -8.61 11.21 20.64 1983 1800 9.42 0.00 10.61 1984 1970 9.44 9.43 3.05 16.02 1985 2130 8.12 8.78 8.99 9.88 1986 2140 0.47 4.23 5.94 3.52 12.52 1987 2570 20.09 9.84 9.27 9.33 9.87 1988 3130 21.79 20.94 13.69 11.70 8.22 1989 3140 0.32 10.53 13.63 9.77 9.68 12.85 1990 3200 1.91 1.11 7.58 8.48 8.57 9.18 1991 3466 8.31 5.06 3.46 10.12 8.41 6.77 1992 4334 25.04 16.38 11.34 11.02 10.68 10.17 1993 4140 -4.48 9.29 8.96 5.75 9.89 8.69 1994 4598 11.06 3.00 9.88 7.93 8.67 8.85 11.19 1995 4680 1.78 6.32 2.59 7.90 5.91 8.19 8.75 1996 5160 10.26 5.94 7.62 8.28 7.35 9.20 7.27 1997 4725 -8.43 0.48 0.91 1.74 5.73 6.28 7.29 1998 4045 -14.39 -11.46 -4.74 -0.46 2.23 2.60 5.55 1999 4234 4.67 -5.34 -6.38 -1.64 -0.33 3.03 5.23 10.58 2000 4400 3.92 4.30 -2.35 -1.23 0.87 3.24 4.96 8.30 2001 4300 -2.27 0.78 2.06 -3.58 -0.95 2.18 4.76 5.98 2002 4990 16.05 6.49 5.63 1.10 0.92 1.42 4.52 7.68 2003 5600 12.22 14.12 8.37 6.72 1.18 3.07 3.95 7.86 2004 5850 4.46 8.27 10.81 6.68 3.10 2.44 4.24 7.53 7.60 2005 7000 19.66 11.80 11.94 9.73 8.15 4.11 5.36 8.25 6.87 2006 8400 20.00 19.83 14.47 14.33 10.28 4.99 6.08 9.54 6.36 2007 10800 28.57 24.21 22.67 16.70 13.69 8.62 6.28 10.04 7.82 2008 12500 15.74 21.99 21.32 17.42 16.47 11.94 7.65 9.67 8.06 2009 14500 16.00 15.87 19.96 19.91 16.46 13.10 7.96 10.74 8.31 2010 18500 27.59 21.66 19.65 21.45 18.62 15.44 9.60 12.41 9.03 2011 23747.5 28.36 27.97 23.85 23.10 22.16 18.64 10.71 13.69 10.11
  • 5. No. of Years 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25 Average Return 11.39 10.38 9.51 8.99 8.40 7.61 6.74 9.41 8.02 (%) Probability of loss 5/32 2/31 3/30 4/28 2/26 0/23 0/18 0/13 0/8 Mean (%) 13.78 13.57 8.74 9.76 10.60 10.03 7.57 9.83 8.23 Maximum (%) 41.94 38.60 23.85 23.10 22.16 18.64 11.19 13.69 10.11 Minimum (%) -14.39 -11.46 -6.38 -3.58 -0.95 1.42 3.95 5.98 6.36
  • 6. Max vs Avg vs Min 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 CAGR (%) max avg min 10.00 0.00 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25 -10.00 -20.00 no. of years