Dr. Philipp Rau

Dr. Philipp Rau

Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
1129 Follower:innen 500+ Kontakte

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I am a Partner at McKinsey and Company, based in Berlin. I work with clients in the…

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  • Getting the price right in logistics

    McKinsey.com

    Reimagining the pricing cycle can be the most impactful lever for profitability in the logistics sector, and five steps to reform the entire pricing cycle can maximize the value.

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  • Alliance formation in a cooperative container shipping game: Performance of a real options investment approach

    Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 101, 155-175

    This paper develops an integrated alliance formation and investment simulation model within container shipping. In light of low profitability and frequent alliance changes, the optimal choice of investment approach is addressed. This is achieved by comparing the performance of three investment approaches: real options analysis, and individual and collective discounted cash flow. It turns out that the real options trigger performs best, especially under conditions of high competitive intensity…

    This paper develops an integrated alliance formation and investment simulation model within container shipping. In light of low profitability and frequent alliance changes, the optimal choice of investment approach is addressed. This is achieved by comparing the performance of three investment approaches: real options analysis, and individual and collective discounted cash flow. It turns out that the real options trigger performs best, especially under conditions of high competitive intensity and freight rate volatility. A sensitivity analysis concludes that competitive intensity, alliance complexity cost, and freight rate volatility lead to alliance instability and that shorter lead times increase industry concentration.

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  • Investment into container shipping capacity: A real options approach in oligopolistic competition

    Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 93, 130-147

    We develop a container industry-specific real options investment model in oligopolistic competition taking into account endogenous price function, fuel-efficient investment, endogenous lead times, and endogenous price formation in the second-hand vessel market. We assess how optimal capacity is influenced by competitive intensity, number of players, volatility, fuel-efficiency, lead time, and cost. Moreover, we investigate optimal investment policies. We find that strategic action increases…

    We develop a container industry-specific real options investment model in oligopolistic competition taking into account endogenous price function, fuel-efficient investment, endogenous lead times, and endogenous price formation in the second-hand vessel market. We assess how optimal capacity is influenced by competitive intensity, number of players, volatility, fuel-efficiency, lead time, and cost. Moreover, we investigate optimal investment policies. We find that strategic action increases firm value and that it is worthwhile to consider alliances. Additionally, players in the market should consider retrofitting old vessels for fuel economy in economic downturns and using new, fuel-efficient vessels for capacity expansion in market upswings.

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