XAUUSD — 4,293 Hold or 4,261 Sweep?
Gold is trading around 4,321 after another weak M30 rotation inside the descending channel.
The short-term bounce has lost momentum below the nearby resistance area, while sellers are still controlling the broader structure under the falling dynamic resistance.
Macro conditions also remain diffic
Futures market
Liquidity Sweep Before The Next Drop?Overall trend: Bearish on the 1H timeframe.
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows after the rejection from the 4,400 area.
A bearish BOS occurred as price broke below the previous swing lows.
The marked CHoCH shows a temporary shift in short-term order flow, but price failed to establish a sus
Short Long on Gold The setup is interesting because gold has experienced a sharp correction into a previous $4,280–4,290 demand/support zone, while the short-term momentum indicators are deeply oversold. The immediate catalyst is the upcoming Fed meeting which the markets are pricing roughly an 85–90% probability of a
Downward Sloping Running Correction Just Before FED EventProbable Scenario Analysis:
⏺ Present Scenario:
The main trend of Gold (XAUUSD) FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is downward. However, the fall is staggering and volatile. It is a sign of a running correction. This week, we have a high-impact event on 16th September (Wednesday). The price action is broken due
XAU/USD - Defends the Floor, Breakout Away From 4.500OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting inside the 4,280–4,350 buy zone, where buyers have already defended the lower boundary several times. Price is also compressing between the rising support line and the descending trendline, creating a clear decision area.
The bullish setup only becomes convincing if Gold c
GOLD H1 SCALPING — WAIT FOR RECOVERY, THEN SELLGold continues to trade under bearish pressure on H1 after failing to reclaim the previous resistance structure. Price is currently holding near the lower support area, so the preferred approach for the US session is to wait for a recovery before looking for selling positions, rather than chasing th
XAUUSD — Sell the H1 Fibonacci RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 15–16 Fed meeting. Markets are pricing roughly a 92% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while a firmer U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to raise the opportunity cost of holding gold.
The macro backdrop is also be
H4 Recovery From Lower Structural Support
XAUUSD is trading around 4,297 after extending the bearish H4 sequence into the lower part of the current structure. Price remains below the descending resistance trendline, so the broader bias is still defensive, but the market is approaching an area where a corrective recovery may develop.
The m
SSL Sweep Before RecoveryFundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed meeting on September 15–16. Markets are pricing roughly an 89% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. dollar has reached a one-week high and the 10-year Treasury yield is near 5%. Brent above $107 is also keeping inflation
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Frequently asked questions
A futures contract is a legal agreement to buy or sell an asset (such as a commodity or security) at a set price on a specific future date. The buyer agrees to purchase and receive the asset when the contract expires, while the seller agrees to deliver it at that time.
Most futures contracts are traded through centralized exchanges like the Chicago Board of Trade and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). But there's no need to leave TradingView to trade futures — you can do it right from your charts. Just check out the list of our integrated brokers and find the best one for your needs and strategy.
Before you start, it's crucial to do you research: perform technical analysis on the chart, evaluate risks, and test your strategy.
Before you start, it's crucial to do you research: perform technical analysis on the chart, evaluate risks, and test your strategy.
Energy futures are contracts tied to energy commodities — they're aimed at facilitating the trading of specific quantities of crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, etc. Energy futures allow producers, consumers, and traders to manage price volatility in energy markets or capitalize on future price movements.
Explore a wide range of energy futures with detailed stats directly on TradingView.
Explore a wide range of energy futures with detailed stats directly on TradingView.
Agricultural futures are derivative contracts with agricultural commodities (wheat, corn, soybeans, etc.) as the underlying. They're widely used to trade standardized quantities of commodities, allowing farmers, food producers, and traders to hedge against price fluctuations or to profit from expected price changes in the agricultural market.
Browse a full list of agricultural futures with detailed stats directly on TradingView.
Browse a full list of agricultural futures with detailed stats directly on TradingView.
Futures market is a bustling place with many interested parties. Here are some key participants to keep in mind:
- Hedgers (traders using futures to protect their existing positions or trades from risk caused by market volatility or direction)
- Speculators (traders executing trades based on their price predictions)
- Arbitrageurs (traders trying to win from market inefficiency and price difference by buying and selling the underlying in different markets)
- Institutional investors
- Retail investors
- Hedgers (traders using futures to protect their existing positions or trades from risk caused by market volatility or direction)
- Speculators (traders executing trades based on their price predictions)
- Arbitrageurs (traders trying to win from market inefficiency and price difference by buying and selling the underlying in different markets)
- Institutional investors
- Retail investors
Futures markets are platforms where traders gather to buy and sell futures contracts. In the past, trading was performed physically: traders would come to a 'pit' in the trading floor and conduct trading by shouting and actively gesturing. But today, this is all done electronically.
In a futures market, buyers and sellers post margin to secure their positions, and profits or losses are settled daily through mark-to-market. At expiration, contracts are settled in cash or through physical delivery, though most traders close positions beforehand. Since futures offer flexibility and leverage, futures markets attract diverse participants: hedgers, speculators, arbitrageurs, institutional and retail investors.
Some of the largest futures markets today are the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the Chicago Board of Trade (CBoT), and the Cboe Options Exchange (Cboe). They're registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the main body in charge of futures markets regulation in the US. In other countries, futures markets are regulated by a corresponding national body.
In a futures market, buyers and sellers post margin to secure their positions, and profits or losses are settled daily through mark-to-market. At expiration, contracts are settled in cash or through physical delivery, though most traders close positions beforehand. Since futures offer flexibility and leverage, futures markets attract diverse participants: hedgers, speculators, arbitrageurs, institutional and retail investors.
Some of the largest futures markets today are the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the Chicago Board of Trade (CBoT), and the Cboe Options Exchange (Cboe). They're registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the main body in charge of futures markets regulation in the US. In other countries, futures markets are regulated by a corresponding national body.
Open interest is the total number of active futures contracts that haven’t been closed or expired. It reflects how much interest or participation exists in a market.
Traders use open interest to gauge market strength. For example, declining open interest often signals that traders are closing positions — a possible sign of a weakening trend.
Traders use open interest to gauge market strength. For example, declining open interest often signals that traders are closing positions — a possible sign of a weakening trend.
Futures prices are mainly driven by supply and demand, economic indicators, and central bank policies. Disruptions like droughts or geopolitical tensions can affect supply, while inflation or interest rate changes shape investor expectations. These shifts influence how traders value future prices relative to current conditions.
Market sentiment and speculation also play a big role, with traders often reacting to news or forecasts before fundamentals change. Factors like storage costs, inventory levels, and contract expiration impact pricing too, especially in commodities. Seasonal trends, government policies, and even new technologies can further sway futures markets.
Market sentiment and speculation also play a big role, with traders often reacting to news or forecasts before fundamentals change. Factors like storage costs, inventory levels, and contract expiration impact pricing too, especially in commodities. Seasonal trends, government policies, and even new technologies can further sway futures markets.
It's always best to test you skills in futures trading before going to the real markets. You can do it right on TradingView thanks to our Paper Trading functionality — just find the Paper trading icon on the trading panel and put your ideas to the test. You can also check out our Bar Replay feature — it simulates past price movements for strategy testing.









