Think Tank

As Israelis head to the polls on 27 October 2026, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces mounting political and legal pressures, including domestic corruption charges and an International Criminal Court arrest warrant. His coalition of right-wing and religious parties confronts a fragmented opposition, whose leading challenger is former military chief Gadi Eisenkot.Polls predict another parliamentary stalemate short of the required 61-seat majority, while mainstream Jewish opposition parties still ...

This study examines the substantive negotiation issues at stake at the UN Climate Change Conference COP31 in Antalya, Türkiye (9 - 20 November 2026). It assesses climate finance, the fossil-fuel transition, Loss and Damage, Paris Agreement Article 6 carbon markets, climate governance and the sectoral frontier towards clean transition, identifying what remains unresolved and its implications for the European Union. This document was provided by the Policy Department for Transformation, Innovation ...

Europe’s defence build-up raises questions about its economic effects, the pressure it puts on public finances, and how it should be funded. Using annual data for the EU27 over 1995–2025, we study how economies respond to changes in defence spending and how these effects spill across borders. The boost to output is moderate and short-lived, while there is little evidence of lasting gains in productivity, innovation, or productive capacity. If past financing patterns continue, a permanent increase ...

The state of EU-US defence cooperation is evolving amid growing uncertainty over Washington's long-term security commitments to Europe. It examines how the Trump administration's 2025 National Security Strategy and 2026 National Defense Strategy prioritise allied burden‑sharing, strategic competition with China, and a reduced US conventional role in Europe. There are persistent asymmetries in transatlantic defence industrial relations, including Europe's reliance on US military capabilities and equipment ...

The original full study examines the substantive issues at stake at the UN Climate Change Conference COP31, hosted by Türkiye in Antalya from 9 to 20 November 2026, with Australia serving as President of Negotiations. It covers five flagship negotiation issues: climate finance, the fossil-fuel transition, Loss and Damage, the Paris Agreement Article 6 carbon markets and climate governance, and the sectoral frontier towards clean transition (shipping, aviation, hydrogen, carbon dioxide removal and ...