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The ability of generative AI ('GenAI') to generate plausible text, images, music and computer code in response to human prompts is impressive. GenAI promises huge productivity gains in many domains, and large amounts of financial and political capital are staked on its success. Nevertheless, the current generation of models exhibit well-publicised weaknesses that might not simply disappear by using more data and processing power or smarter training. This paper looks at those limitations, and the ...

Although microelectronics have a significant role in modern life, their low visibility and complex value chain have contributed to concealing a decline in EU industry in the field. It is broadly assumed that microelectronics are designed in California and manufactured in Taiwan. What if the EU could take a particularly strategic position in this technology?

On 9 September 2025, the European Commission presented its latest strategic foresight report – 'Resilience 2.0: empowering the EU to thrive amid turbulence and uncertainty' – the first such report of the second von der Leyen Commission. Building on established trends, it provides updates on global and EU-specific challenges. The four EU-specific challenges outlined in the report require balancing competitiveness and strategic autonomy, technological innovation and appropriate safeguards, sustained ...

Fusion, regarded by many as the ultimate form of clean energy, may finally be within reach. This analysis looks at the context of the latest advances, in particular the explosion of private-sector interest. Overall, this has led to an acceleration of many planned timelines, although a lot of uncertainty remains, given the magnitude of the remaining technical challenges. In addition, questions also persist around skills, the regulatory environment, financing and economic viability. With a new EU strategy ...

This study explores the feasibility of a European news streaming platform (ENSP), with a focus on its governance, legal implications and potential added value for media pluralism in Europe. Such a platform would, according to its proponents, provide access to news and public interest content by audiovisual media service providers across the EU, with automatically generated subtitles that make content available in all EU languages. Such an initiative is a clear response to the requirements highlighted ...

This briefing explores the potential of generative AI in supporting foresight analysis and strategic decision-making. Recent technological developments promise an increased role for large language models (LLMs) in policy research and analysis. From identifying trends and weak signals to fleshing out rich scenario narratives and bringing them to life in experiential and immersive ways, generative AI is empowering foresight analysts in their endeavour to anticipate uncertainties and support policymakers ...

Initiatives to restore European primary forests and thereby reverse centuries of decline are gaining traction. Such restoration could deliver significant ecological, environmental, climate-related and socio-cultural benefits, ranging from biodiversity conservation, water regulation and climate mitigation, to ecotourism and renewed human relationships with nature. However, a number of challenges and trade-offs need to be addressed, including the lack of primary forest mapping, concerns over human ...

The European Commission's communication on a vision for agriculture and food, published in February 2025, aims to secure the long-term competitiveness and sustainability of the farming and food sector. The document consists of four distinct parts: making agriculture an attractive sector with affordable food for all, a competitive and resilient sector, a future-proof sector that is sustainable and contributes to food security, and a vibrant sector with fair living and working conditions. To future-proof ...

This study explores the design of future Framework Programmes for Research and Innovation (R&I) in the European Union. Employing a foresight methodology – comprising a literature review, case studies, scenarios and foresight workshops with stakeholders – the study examines prevailing discourses on Framework Programme structures, identifies key R&I trends, and analyses the challenges posed by current developments. It presents a set of hypothetical programme structures alongside policy recommendations ...

Driven by the rapid pace of technological change and the need for a human-centric approach to the development of artificial intelligence (AI), AI skills have a significant role in shaping the future European workforce. The growing skills gap in the EU, with almost half of the population lacking basic digital skills, including AI skills, poses a significant challenge for the future that needs to be addressed for the EU to maintain its competitiveness and manage regional disparities. Several EU initiatives ...